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Kalshi
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Markets Split Ahead of Fed Rate Decision: Kalshi Traders Favor Hold, Citadel Securities Expects Hike
Ahead of today's Federal Reserve rate decision, Kalshi traders assign a 77% probability to the Fed holding rates steady and a 23% chance of a surprise 25 basis point hike. However, Citadel Securities
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Trump Teleprompter Operator Accused of Kalshi Betting Misconduct Leaves Government
Gabriel Perez, a former teleprompter operator for President Donald Trump, is no longer employed by the U.S. federal government. Perez had been accused of profiting from bets placed on Kalshi, an event
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Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, a Win for Kalshi and Polymarket
A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction on Monday, blocking the U.S. state of Minnesota from enforcing its new law banning prediction markets. This decision marks a win for prediction market p
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US Judge Temporarily Blocks Minnesota Prediction Market Ban
A US judge has issued a preliminary injunction, temporarily blocking Minnesota's ban on prediction markets. This ruling allows prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket US to continue operatin
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Federal Judge Pauses Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Citing Likely Conflict with Commodity Exchange Act
A federal judge has paused Minnesota's law criminalizing prediction markets, ruling that it would likely violate the federal Commodity Exchange Act. This decision comes after prediction market platfor
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Kalshi has accused Netflix of defamation and is demanding that the trailer for the documentary about prediction markets be taken down
Svmuu News: On July 24, prediction market operator Kalshi sent a cease-and-desist letter to Netflix, alleging that the trailer for its new documentary *Instadocs: The Prediction Games* constitutes def
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Polymarket data showing nearly $9 million in open interest indicates that traders assign a 17% probability to Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026.
Svmuu News: On Polymarket, the trading volume for the “Will Ethereum Reach $1,000 or $3,000 First?” contract was $95,300,with traders pricing the $1,000 outcome at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 5
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Robinhood in Talks to Integrate Crypto.com's Prediction Market
Svmuu News: Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership in the prediction markets business. If the partnership is finalized, the prediction markets provided by Crypto.com will be int
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Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership on prediction markets
Svmuu News: Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership in the prediction markets business. If the partnership is finalized, the prediction markets provided by Crypto.com will be int
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Wisconsin Warns That Those Who Trade Election Contracts May Lose Their Right to Vote in the Same Election; Kalshi Calls It Voter Suppression
Svmuu News: The Wisconsin Election Commission has stated that residents who purchase contracts related to a specific election on Kalshi or Polymarket may lose their eligibility to vote in that same el
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DraftKings Co-Founder Questions Kalshi's $22 Billion Valuation and Financial Credibility
Svmuu News: Matt Kalish, CEO of HARDSCOPE and co-founder of DraftKings, posted on X, using the sudden departure of Kalshi’s CFO as an opportunity to satirize and question the company’s $22 billion val
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Kalshi and Polymarket's combined trading volume exceeded $44 billion in 2025
Svmuu News: Kalshi and Polymarket processed a combined trading volume of over $44 billion in 2025. As of April 2026, the two platforms’ combined monthly trading volume had risen to $24 billion, exceed
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Kalshi Launches Midterm Election Hub, Showing Real-Time Odds for U.S. Congressional Races
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Kalshi has launched the Midterms Hub to display real-time market odds for each U.S. Senate and House of Representatives district. The page aggregates real-time t
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Prediction Market Reports $113.8 Billion in Nominal Trading Volume for the Second Quarter; Talos Integrates Kalshi Trading
Svmuu News: Talos, an institutional crypto trading platform, has integrated with prediction market operator Kalshi, allowing select clients to trade Kalshi’s event contracts and crypto perpetual contr
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The CLARITY Act May Help the CFTC Address Prediction Markets
Svmuu News: The U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Agriculture’s Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development held a hearing on how the Commodity Futures Trading Co
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Kalshi Files Application with the U.S. CFTC to Launch Gold-Backed Perpetual Futures
Svmuu News: According to market reports, the prediction market platform Kalshi has filed an application with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to launch gold-linked perpetual futures.
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Prediction Market Kalshi Sees Trading Volume Soar to $24.2 Billion During the World Cup
Svmuu News: The U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi experienced explosive growth during the 2026 World Cup, with the platform’s trading volume surging from $6.67 billion on June 22 to $24.2 billion
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During the World Cup, Kalshi's trading volume reached $54.338 billion, with Kalshi and Polymarket together accounting for over 95% of the market share.
Svmuu News: According to statistics, Kalshi’s total trading volume across all platforms during the World Cup reached $54.338 billion, approximately 2.6 times Polymarket’s trading volume of $20.988 bil
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Kalshi: U.S. states have no regulatory jurisdiction over the cryptocurrency market; Washington State’s regulatory actions are a waste of taxpayer money
Svmuu News: A Kalshi spokesperson stated that U.S. states lack the jurisdiction to regulate prediction markets, and that several courts—including the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit—have e
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A court in Washington State issued a preliminary injunction against Kalshi, ruling that its operations violate state gambling laws
Svmuu News: According to Daniel Wallach, a court in Washington State has issued a preliminary injunction against Kalshi, ruling that its business operations violate Washington State gambling laws and
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The total amount is approximately $200 million; in the first half of this year, an estimated 34,000 suspicious transactions were flagged.
Svmuu News: As prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket become increasingly popular and expand in scale, the phenomenon of trading based on insider information is on the rise. An analysis of a
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Open Interest Falls 20% as Kalshi and Polymarket See World Cup Frenzy Fade
Svmuu News: On the eve of the World Cup final, the combined open interest on Kalshi and Polymarket fell by 20% from its peak of approximately $2 billion in early July, dropping from nearly $1.8 billio
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The prediction platform Kalshi gained 3 million new users during the World Cup
Svmuu News: Market Report: Event prediction platform Kalshi gained 3 million new users during the World Cup. (Jin Shi)
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The U.S. CFTC is investigating staff members suspected of using inside information from a speech at Donald Trump to engage in trading based on predicted events
Svmuu News: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating a potential insider trading incident involving the prediction market platform Kalshi. An employee allegedly responsibl
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WuBlockchain forwarded news that Kalshi's cryptocurrency trading volume is facing "wash trading" allegations, as its ETH-PERP 24-hour trading volume reached $539 million, significantly exceeding its open interest of $3.1 million.
Stealth Neolab co-founder Beni questioned Kalshi's cryptocurrency trading volume, pointing out that its ETH-PERP 24-hour trading volume was approximately $539 million, while open interest was only $3.
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Prediction Markets Kalshi and Polymarket Increasingly Upstage Election Polls in Forecasting Outcomes
Voters, donors, and media are increasingly using the betting platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to forecast election outcomes. Critics, however, warn of new risks to democracy posed by this trend.
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CryptoSlate analysis: Real-time election odds on prediction markets can mislead crypto traders, with DoubleZero's Edge service potentially exacerbating the issue for retail users
CryptoSlate's analysis highlights that while DoubleZero's Edge service, launched on September 9, integrates Kalshi's election and politics market data to offer faster, more dependable information for
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Kalshi has filed for perpetual futures on US stocks, joining companies like Coinbase in seeking to launch similar products.
Kalshi has filed an application for perpetual futures on US equities, joining companies like Coinbase in seeking to launch similar products. Kalshi's proposal aims to offer US traders perpetual future
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World (formerly Worldcoin) launches "World Money" super app, offering stablecoin payments, trading, and earning in over 150 countries.
The self-custody app integrates Stripe, Kalshi, and Morpho, and supports World ID verification to unlock higher rewards. Stripe also supports new US money flows, allowing users to convert Apple Pay fu
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Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $3.8 billion in inflows over the past three weeks, marking their best performance of the year.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that with Bitcoin's 25% surge in August, funds are flowing back into Bitcoin ETFs. Data from the Kalshi online prediction market shows a 21% probability of Bitcoin rea
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WhaleInsider: Prediction market platform Kalshi broke its all-time weekly volume record and captured its largest-ever share of the industry last week
WhaleInsider: Prediction market platform Kalshi broke its all-time weekly volume record and captured its largest-ever share of the industry last week
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Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
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Prediction market traders expect U.S. gas prices to hit new highs for the year, with a 71% chance of surpassing $4.60/gallon
Traders on Kalshi also place 57% odds that prices will top $4.80 a gallon, and just over a 40% chance that they cross $5.00. This comes as U.S. oil prices are again above $100 per barrel, driven by es
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Prediction Market Kalshi Plans to Offer U.S. Single-Stock Perpetual Futures and Agriculture Commodities Trading
Kalshi, a prediction market, plans to allow customers to trade single-stock perpetual futures contracts in the U.S., including those linked to major U.S. stocks like Tesla and Nvidia. The company is a
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Prediction-market operator Kalshi plans to seek U.S. approval for 24/7 Tesla and Nvidia perpetual contracts
The move would expand one of crypto's biggest trading products into equities, amid ongoing regulatory disputes on Wall Street over such instruments. Kalshi intends to seek approval for approximately 6
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Prediction market company Kalshi launches gold and silver perpetual contracts after CFTC approval.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) this week approved prediction market company Kalshi to list perpetual contracts linked to precious metals gold and silver, with the new market goin
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Coinbase Adopts ION's Real-Time Trading Tech to Bolster Kalshi Prediction Market Infrastructure
The XTP for Event Contracts solution will enable real-time execution and processing, automated 24/7 operations, and the onboarding of tens of thousands of accounts per day for its event-contract clear
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UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
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New Jersey petitions Supreme Court to hear prediction market case, raising stakes for industry
New Jersey last week filed a petition for a writ of certiorari with the U.S. Supreme Court, asking the high court to decide whether prediction markets' sports-related contracts are gambling products r
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Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
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American Gaming Association Analysis Finds Underage Bettors Wagered Over $5 Billion on Kalshi Due to Sportsbook Restrictions
A new analysis by the American Gaming Association reveals that individuals under 21, who are restricted from most sportsbooks, have instead wagered over $5 billion on prediction market Kalshi.
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Michigan Court Orders Kalshi to Continue Blocking Sports Prediction Markets, Citing Violations of State Betting Law
A Michigan state court has issued a preliminary injunction requiring prediction markets platform Kalshi to continue blocking state residents from accessing sports-related event contracts. The order, i
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Kalshi to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures
Kalshi is preparing to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures, potentially as early as next week. If approved by the CFTC, Kalshi could launch the first oil-linked perpetual
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Prediction Market Traders See 50-50 Odds for U.S. Economy Adding Over 50,000 Jobs in August
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket assign roughly 50% likelihood to the U.S. economy adding more than 50,000 jobs in August. This outlook implies a slightly lower job cr
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Kalshi reports nearly $13.7 billion in perpetual futures volume over past three weeks, almost double July's total
Prediction market platform Kalshi stated that its perpetual futures volume reached nearly $13.7 billion over the past three weeks, which is almost double the full-month volume recorded in July. The co
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Prediction market startup Kalshi permanently bans ex-US lawmaker George Santos from trading, imposes $71,356 penalty
Kalshi cited insider trading as the reason for the ban and penalty. The company had previously reported Santos to the U.S. Department of Justice in June after detecting suspicious trading activity fro
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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