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9/17
18:02
Fitch Raises Private Credit Default Rate to Record 6.3%, Pimco's "Shadow" Indicator Shows 19%
Private credit market default rates vary wildly, with Fitch Ratings this week raising its default rate to a record 6.3%, while Pimco's "shadow" default rate indicator shows that default rates for Business Development Companies (BDCs) targeting retail investors have climbed to 19%. Meanwhile, investment bank Houlihan Lokey's calculations suggest that, on a loan-size weighted basis, the default rate remains below 1%.

This $1.8 trillion asset class lacks a unified data infrastructure and a consensus definition of "default," complicating market judgments on risk. Retail investors' concerns about borrower health continue to escalate, and redemption pressure has already formed. The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on Wednesday may further exacerbate financing cost pressures for highly leveraged borrowers.
17:55
US and Chinese Brookings researchers urge Washington and Beijing to agree to keep humans in control of nuclear weapons
17:53
Macerich CEO: Consumers Are Spending, but Are Selective
Macerich President and CEO Jack Hsieh stated that consumers are spending, but they are selective in their purchases. Hsieh made the remarks shortly after presenting at the Bank of America real estate conference.
17:52
White House: US President signs executive order aimed at reforming federal fisheries management and prioritizing recreational fishing.
The U.S. President signed an executive order aimed at reforming federal fisheries management, prioritizing recreational fishing, modernizing data collection, and removing unnecessary restrictions. The executive order notes that the U.S. outdoor recreation industry generates over $1.2 trillion annually and supports more than 5 million jobs. It directs relevant agencies to review national standard guidelines within 180 days to ensure consistency with the order's objectives and to consider revising standards to better reflect the unique biological, economic, and social characteristics of recreational fisheries, while also promoting the rapid integration of state-level data into federal management decisions.
17:52
White House Issues Executive Order to Reinvigorate America's Hunting Heritage, Expanding Access to Federal Lands
The executive order aims to protect and expand hunting, fishing, and shooting opportunities on federal lands. Key directives include allowing hunting in certain national monuments, modifying policies to expand recreational access, reforming river access lotteries to prioritize U.S. citizens, and clarifying federal education funding for archery and hunter education programs in schools.
17:43
DoubleLine's Gundlach Warns Next US Recession Could Trigger Fiscal Crisis, Sending Long-Term Treasury Yields Sharply Higher
DoubleLine Capital chief executive Jeffrey Gundlach warned that the next US downturn could trigger a debt crisis that sends long-term Treasury yields sharply higher — defying decades of conventional wisdom that bonds will always serve as safe haven during times of economic strife.
17:40
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite posted their biggest gains in six weeks, driven by a rebound in tech stocks as investors shifted their focus from inflation and interest rates back to technology.
The Nasdaq Composite rose 1.7%, the S&P 500 gained 1.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.6%. Oil prices fell for a second consecutive day, easing pressure on the bond market, with the 10-year US Treasury yield dropping to 4.946%.
17:39
Russia and China veto UN mandate to monitor Iran sanctions, ending Security Council's watchdog panel
The US-backed resolution, shut down on Thursday, would have authorized UN experts to continue monitoring sanctions reimposed last year after Western powers accused Iran of violating the 2015 nuclear pact. US Deputy Ambassador to the UN, Jennifer Locetta, stated that the veto creates a monitoring gap that only benefits the Iranian regime.
17:34
Ondo Finance succession crisis deepens as Kathleen Allman's daughter seeks conservatorship, alleging 'dementia,' alcoholism, and reckless spending to protect her stake
The legal battle over Ondo Finance's succession has intensified after founder Nathan Allman's sudden death in May, which left his parents, Kathleen and Lawrence Allman, as inheritors. Dr. Lani Clinton, Kathleen Allman's estranged daughter, has petitioned a Hawaiian court to establish a limited conservatorship over her 77-year-old mother's share of the estate, which includes a controlling equity interest in Ondo Finance and a large holding of ONDO tokens. Dr. Clinton, a professor of medicine, claims her mother suffers from a long-standing alcohol use disorder and progressive cognitive impairment, rendering her unable to manage significant property and business affairs. Kathleen Allman has denied the allegations, calling them baseless.
17:33
Japan’s Retail Bond Boom Offers New Avenue for Fiscal Funding
Japan’s rising yields are drawing record demand for retail government bonds, offering a potential new source of funding just as policymakers seek to contain borrowing costs and reduce market supply.
17:30
Musk retweeted a SpaceX post stating that the target for Starship Flight 14 launch is as early as September 28, pending regulatory approval.
17:28
Elon Musk: Grok Bot now has a voice
17:23
Elon Musk's SpaceX AI division has held internal talks about buying customer records from dead startups to train Grok
17:23
Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The JPY is Losing Its Appeal as a Funding Currency for Carry Trades
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that for decades, the Japanese Yen has been a favored funding currency for investors, used for low-cost borrowing and investing in high-yield assets.
17:18
Anthropic's Claude Code introduces Projects feature, enabling multi-threaded automated workflows for AI programming, with tasks running in parallel and offline.
Anthropic's coding assistant, Claude Code, officially launched a major upgrade to its Projects feature on September 17, elevating AI-assisted development from a single-conversation mode to a multi-threaded automated workflow. This feature allows Claude to break down tasks, assign threads, and advance them in parallel. The company states that these threads will continue to work even after users close their laptops, marking a substantial step forward for AI programming tools towards autonomous project management. Projects is currently available in beta to select Claude Pro and Max subscribers, with access gradually expanding over the coming weeks to eventually cover Team and Enterprise plan users.
17:18
UBS Strategists: Federal Reserve's "Hawkish Rate Hike" Does Not Alter Gold's Long-Term Bullish Logic, Phased Target Sees Highest at $5,400
UBS strategist Giovanni Staunovo believes that despite the Federal Reserve's decision on September 16 to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% and signal a potential further rate hike this year, which will suppress gold prices in the short term, factors such as rising global debt levels, an anticipated medium-term weakening of the US dollar, and the prospect of Fed rate cuts next year will support gold demand. He views a gold price pullback to around $4,000 per ounce as an opportune moment to increase holdings, setting phased targets: $4,600 by December 2026, $5,000 by March 2027, $5,200 by June 2027, and $5,400 by September 2027. Additionally, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold holdings by approximately 20 metric tons in August, with continuous central bank gold purchases providing structural support.
17:13
Analysis indicates: Wall Street's "TACO trade" strategy, betting on Donald Trump's concessions on the Iran issue, became invalid in September.
MarketWatch analysis indicates that over the past six months, investors would buy the dip when Donald Trump threatened Iran, as he always backed down, a strategy dubbed "TACO trading." However, since September, this strategy has ceased to be effective.
17:11
Grayscale: Bitcoin Price Unlikely To Be Bothered by Fed's Interest Rate Hike
Grayscale's crypto research team believes that despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on Wednesday and potential further increases in 2026, bitcoin's price is unlikely to be significantly affected. The firm's head of research, Zach Pandl, stated in a Thursday note that the recent move was a "mid-cycle adjustment, not a cyclical change," drawing a comparison to 1997 when a one-off Fed hike did not prevent the Nasdaq from continuing to rise. Bitcoin recently traded near $76,581, up 18% over the past 30 days.
17:08
Bridgewater Associates Co-CIO Greg Jensen suggests regulating AI computing power giants, potentially by setting a "cap on computing power holdings."
Jensen stated that major global AI hashrate holders need to accept additional regulation similar to large financial institutions. He proposed that if a company controls more than 5% of the hashrate resources in the United States or globally, it could be considered a "systemically important institution" and subject to stricter regulation. Furthermore, Jensen suggested that regulators could consider limiting the scale of hashrate that a single company can own to prevent a few companies from controlling an excessively high proportion of computing resources.
17:08
SpaceX is reportedly considering purchasing data from defunct startups to expand training resources for its Grok AI model.
SpaceX is exploring purchasing data from bankrupt or struggling startups to expand training resources for its Grok AI model at a lower cost. Bloomberg, citing sources familiar with the matter, reported that discussions have taken place within SpaceXAI, the company's AI division, regarding acquiring customer information and operational data from troubled startups, though these discussions remain informal. This move signals a shift in SpaceX's AI data acquisition strategy, aimed at accelerating its catch-up in the AI arms race.
17:04
Crypto Finds an Innovative Way Around the Will of Congress
17:03
Conflict in Sudan-South Sudan border region kills at least 26, UN strengthens local security
The United Nations reported that inter-communal clashes in the disputed Abyei region between Sudan and South Sudan have resulted in at least 26 deaths and 82 injuries over several days. The United Nations Interim Security Force for Abyei (UNISFA) has increased its security presence in the area to protect civilians and prevent retaliatory actions. The conflict escalated due to killings that occurred on Monday and Tuesday, heightening tensions between the Ngok Dinka and Misseriya communities.
17:01
Indonesia quake aftermath exposes fault lines in Prabowo's economic plans as villages struggle with recovery costs due to funds redirected to flagship programs
16:56
The U.S. will allow Iran's president and foreign minister, along with other delegation members, to attend UN meetings but will impose travel restrictions.
BBC News reports that the U.S. government has issued visas to Iranian officials, allowing them to travel to New York next week for the United Nations General Assembly. The delegation includes Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. A U.S. State Department spokesperson confirmed the decision, stating that the delegation will be subject to travel restrictions and prohibited from purchasing certain American products. This move comes as the war between the two countries enters its seventh month, a conflict that has driven up global energy prices and spread to neighboring nations.
16:51
Chipotle is piloting a Palantir-built food safety dashboard after a summer of outbreaks, putting employee data in the hands of the CIA-seeded company.
16:39
Y Combinator has funded 106 companies related to AI observability in recent years
16:39
Suspended Glencore Executive Told Radiant World to 'Say Nothing on Email' via WhatsApp Messages, Bloomberg Reports
16:33
Blackstone's QTS proposal to build a large data center in Clinton, Iowa, was rejected by local residents due to concerns over noise pollution and environmental impact.
Blackstone's QTS has proposed building a large data center in Clinton, Iowa, which is expected to create thousands of construction jobs and nearly $200 million in property tax revenue over the first decade. However, local residents, concerned about noise pollution, environmental degradation, and rising utility costs, rejected the plan, even if it means sacrificing economic growth.
16:32
Braskem SA bondholders reject its debt restructuring proposal, increasing pressure on owner Petrobras to inject fresh capital.
Braskem SA bondholders are balking at the petrochemical giant's restructuring proposal, according to people familiar with the matter, pushing Petrobras to commit fresh capital into the business.
16:29
Trump stated that yesterday's "Farm Bill" has passed, which will provide dollar aid to offset the impact of the Biden administration.
Donald Trump stated that he was proud to have passed the previous Farm Bill in December 2018 and looks forward to, as president again, working with Republican senators and representatives to more thoroughly complete a better bill. He said that yesterday's Farm Bill passed along strict party lines (12 Republican votes in favor, 11 Democratic votes against), and the second phase of voting will take place soon, expressing confidence that Republicans will once again secure the bill's passage for farmers and ranchers. The bill will provide much-needed dollar assistance to offset the impact of four years of the Biden administration.

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