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10/2
01:13
Bitcoin recorded a 6.33% gain in September, breaking the historical "Red September" curse, and entered the traditionally strong "Uptober" at a price of $83,823. However, the market is facing macroeconomic headwinds, including the Federal Reserve's rate hike on September 16, raising the interest rate range to 3.75%-4% (the first hike this year), and the US 10-year government bond yield closing at a 52-week high of 5.289% at the end of September. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that inflation "remains high," and the Federal Reserve's median forecast indicates another 25 basis point rate hike this year. Prediction market Myriad data shows that traders believe Bitcoin has a 90% chance of hitting a high of $85,000, but only a 7% chance of reaching an all-time high before 2027.
01:12
The analysis, based on Stork's on-chain settlement data, found that 69.2% of approximately 2.9 million "manually operated" retail investor accounts on the Polymarket international platform ultimately incurred losses, totaling $338.9 million. The report also indicated that 15.2% of accounts did not trade again within 30 days after a loss, compared to 6.1% for accounts that did not trade again after a profit. Approximately 44.1% of traders concentrated over 60% of their activity on a single topic. Sports professional traders accounted for 47% of all professional traders but had the lowest profitability rate at 25.1%; technology and science professional traders had the highest profitability rate at 41.2%, despite a smaller sample size. The median position size for profitable traders was $13.96, while for losing traders it was $10, and there was no clear correlation between holding period and profitability.
01:00
A Japanese government fund for revitalizing the shipbuilding industry has begun to spur private-sector investment in projects aimed at doubling the country's capacity by 2035. This initiative comes as builders reverse course on downsizing due to booming demand, with some shipyards like Hakodate Dock having over a three-year order backlog, though obstacles remain.
00:50
Amazon Web Services (AWS) Strands Labs has released its latest decision model, Strands Decider 2B. Inspired by TypeSafe's Jev, the model aims to provide a high-speed, low-cost method for classifying and giving confidence scores for choices among preset options. Strands Decider 2B is fully open-source, can run locally, and is suitable for agent workflows where the full capabilities and costs of large language models (LLMs) are not required.
00:48
Bank of America's Sell Side Indicator rose to 57.2% in September, reaching its highest level since March 2022 and just 0.3 percentage points shy of the bank's "sell" threshold. This contrarian indicator tracks the equity allocation recommended by Wall Street strategists. Historically, when the indicator has reached the "sell" zone, the S&P 500's return over the subsequent 12 months has been only around 3%. Meanwhile, fund managers' bond allocations are at their lowest level since early 2022.
00:45
A new report from cybersecurity firm Proofpoint, released on Thursday, reveals that a China-aligned hacking group, TA419, has been impersonating prominent AI experts, including former White House AI official Lynne Edwards Parker, to target US policy experts. The hackers, active since April 2025, sent deceptive emails, such as invitations to join an “AI Policy Advisory Committee,” to individuals at think tanks, defense contractors, universities, and law firms in the US and Japan. Upon response, targets were directed to fake login pages designed to steal their credentials.
00:43
Gasoline-powered models shrank to less than 50% of global new-vehicle sales in the January-June half, driven by high oil prices from the Middle East conflict pushing consumers toward electric vehicles.
00:37
Starting today, Austrian Bitcoin platform 21bitcoin will pay 1.21% annual interest on customers' uninvested euro balances, allowing them to collect it in Bitcoin with no conversion fee. The company claims to be the first provider in Europe to offer savings interest directly in Bitcoin, with no minimum deposit or lock-up period. Customer euros are held in a segregated trust account at German bank Volksbank Raiffeisenbank Bayern Mitte eG, which holds a stake in 21bitcoin.
00:31
Investors are selling off mortgage bond funds at the fastest pace in over six years, as a sharp rise in yields impacts these bonds.
00:27
According to Lookonchain's Oct 1 update, Bitcoin ETFs recorded a 1-day net outflow of 1,796 BTC (approximately $150.24 million), while the 7-day net flow remained positive at 3,096 BTC (approximately $258.99 million). Ethereum ETFs experienced a 1-day net outflow of 5,171 ETH (approximately $13.89 million), but a 7-day net inflow of 41,041 ETH (approximately $110.24 million).
00:26
Microsoft executive Ryan Roslansky, who led the company's LinkedIn subsidiary for six years, will leave at the end of 2026. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced the departure in a Thursday memo. Roslansky had taken on additional responsibilities in Microsoft's Office productivity software group in 2025 and was named a leader of the Microsoft 365 applications and Copilot AI platform earlier this year. His departure follows other executive exits this year, including gaming head Phil Spencer and Office leader Rajesh Jha, while security head Charlie Bell transitioned to an individual contributor role. Roslansky stated in a memo that his decision was due to his inability to be in Redmond full-time, as his life and family are in the Bay Area.
00:24
The agreement will allow the two state regulators to share supervisory information, streamline licensing reviews, and coordinate examinations and enforcement actions involving digital asset firms.
00:23
U.S. bank stocks extended their pullback, with the KBW Bank Index falling 2.4% on Thursday to its lowest level since late May, as investors assessed the impact of rising Treasury yields on the economy and banking operations. Citigroup shares declined.
00:22
CME Group soybean futures saw a new record for September open interest at 1,118,872 contracts, surpassing the previous record of 1,063,108 contracts set in April 2026.

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