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Foreign Exchange
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Canada's employment unexpectedly fell by 41,700 in August, significantly missing expectations. The Canadian dollar is under pressure and has declined, with market expectations for a Bank of Canada rate hike rapidly cooling.
Canada's employment fell by 41,700 in August, the first decline since April this year, far below the market expectation of a 15,000 increase, Statistics Canada reported on Friday. The unemployment rat
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Emerging market currency indices have risen for 10 consecutive weeks, marking their longest winning streak since 2007, with the rally unbroken even by strong US non-farm payroll data.
The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index rose 0.4% on Friday, accumulating a 0.7% gain for the week, marking its 10th consecutive week of increases, the longest winning streak for the index since 2007
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Donald Trump reiterated his call for interest rate cuts after a strong jobs report, while third-party analysis suggests the Iran war should be stopped and tariffs revoked.
Following the strong jobs report, Donald Trump reiterated his stance on pushing for lower interest rates. Liz Pancotti, Vice President of Policy, Advocacy, and Research at the progressive advocacy org
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that another bank could be sanctioned next week, stating that "weekly sanctions will become the norm."
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned in an interview on September 4, Eastern Time, that "another bank may be sanctioned next week," adding that the Treasury Department could roll out new secon
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Yen Reverses Course, Short Squeeze Potentially Imminent: Up Nearly 2% Against USD This Week, BOJ September Rate Hike Probability Rises to 97%, JPMorgan Estimates $109 Billion in Shorts May Cover
Reuters analysis indicates that after years of weakness, market sentiment towards the Japanese Yen is shifting, with investors becoming increasingly hesitant to aggressively short the currency. This w
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Trump demands Fed slash interest rates or he will cut off trade with countries with which the U.S. has trade deficits
President Donald Trump on Friday issued a sweeping ultimatum in a Truth Social post, reacting to a much-stronger-than-expected monthly jobs report. He urged the central bank and its chairman, Kevin Wa
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Wolfe Research Chief Economist Roth stated that inflation data, not employment data, will determine the Federal Reserve's next move.
Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth stated that the market's "hawkish reaction to the August US jobs report may be somewhat overdone."
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USD/JPY rose 0.74% intraday to 156.5435.
USD/JPY rose 0.74% intraday to 156.5435.
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Nick Timiraos: US August unrounded unemployment rate rose to 4.14% from 4.09% in July
Nick Timiraos reported that the US unemployment rate on an unrounded basis was 4.14% in August, up from 4.09% in July. The rate was 4.32% in August 2025.
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USD/KRW falls 0.81% intraday to 1,344.8800.
USD/KRW falls 0.81% intraday to 1,344.8800.
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The US midterm elections could be a critical turning point for the Iran war, with analysts suggesting that high oil prices and public opposition are pressuring the Donald Trump administration to de-escalate tensions before the midterms.
Al Jazeera analysis indicates that as the US midterm elections approach (November 3), rising oil prices and public opposition to the war with Iran are creating political pressure on the Donald Trump a
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HSBC Says India’s Weak Rupee Fails to Deliver Export Payoff Due to High Tariffs and Domestic Manufacturing Gaps
HSBC Says India’s Weak Rupee Fails to Deliver Export Payoff Due to High Tariffs and Domestic Manufacturing Gaps
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Philippines Peso plunges to a record low of 62.71 per US dollar on Friday, driven by Iran war fallout, rising oil prices, and domestic economic challenges.
The Philippines peso hit an all-time low of 62.71 to the US dollar on Friday, continuing its downward trajectory since the start of the year, having lost about 6% of its value against the US dollar si
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The Japanese Yen surged over 2% against the US Dollar on Thursday, reaching a nearly one-month high, as hawkish remarks from Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials, including Kazuo Ueda, triggered a wave of unwinding in carry trades.
The Japanese Yen strengthened significantly this week, appreciating by nearly 3% on Wednesday and Thursday combined, marking its largest two-day gain since August 2024. This rally was primarily driven
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Emerging Market Stocks and Currencies Rise as Fed Hike Bets Ease
MSCI’s emerging market stock index jumped as much as 1.1%, while a similar currency gauge rose 0.2%. Investors pared bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this month, sending the dollar lower,
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Nomura Warns AI Rally Masks US Vulnerabilities, Threatens Sharp US Asset Correction and Dollar Weakening
Nomura analysts, led by Rob Subbaraman, stated in a report on Thursday that the artificial intelligence boom has signaled growing risks in the US economy and capital markets. A setback in the technolo
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European Union formally joins U.S.-led 'Operation Economic Outcast' sanctions campaign against Iran
The European Union has formally joined the U.S.-led "Operation Economic Outcast," a sanctions campaign aimed at severing Tehran from the global financial system. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
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Bianco Research: The Federal Reserve's September meeting vote is finely balanced, with the "maintain" camp leading 6-5 after Christopher Waller shifted to favoring holding rates steady. Jerome Powell's vote becomes crucial.
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, analyzed that the voting landscape is highly contested ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting. Following recent remarks from Fed Governor Wall
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Nomura Says Three Straight BOJ Hikes Possible in Extreme Case
Nomura Securities Co. suggests that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates at three consecutive meetings through December in an extreme scenario where yen weakness persists. Yujiro Goto, head of
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RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
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JPMorgan Chase: If USD/JPY falls below 155, over $100 billion in short positions could be unwound, leading to a larger-than-expected appreciation of the Japanese Yen.
JPMorgan strategists warn that if USD/JPY falls below the 155 mark, the current market's approximately $102.6 billion in JPY short positions face a risk of concentrated unwinding, potentially triggeri
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The Japanese Yen continued to strengthen against the US Dollar on Friday morning, moving into the 155 range, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hikes.
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar, moving beyond 157 yen from the previous day, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hike
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US Dollar Slumps to Start September as Yen Surges on Rate Bets
The dollar slumped to start September as traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month and a surging yen rippled across global currency markets.
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The Nikkei 225 rose 0.5% to 64,530.98 in early trading, led by technology and financial stocks.
Japanese stocks rose in early trading, as market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike receded. SoftBank Group surged 6.5%, Fujitsu gained 3.1%, and Nomura Holdings advanced 1.9%. The
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Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
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China names Li Chenggang its top international trade negotiator ahead of US talks
China elevated Li Chenggang's title on Sunday, hours before delegations from the two countries were set to hold negotiations in New York. This move comes as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is sche
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
On September 19, Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a new round of missile and drone attacks targeting "sensitive sites" in the Saudi capital Riyadh and Saudi Aramco facilities in Yanbu. U.S. embassies in
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Yen vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines as Japan holiday reduces liquidity, investors disappointed by BOJ guidance
The yen is vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines over the next week, with a three-day holiday in Japan set to reduce trading liquidity and investors disappointed that the central bank didn’t
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
Financial Secretary Paul Chan stated on Sunday that Hong Kong would expand its renminbi-denominated bond market and develop renminbi-denominated gold and commodity markets. This initiative aims to str
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Financial Times: Saudi Arabia Exits China-Led Cross-Border Currency Platform
Saudi Arabia has withdrawn from a China-led cross-border currency platform. According to the Financial Times, the Saudi central bank exited the project last year, which was one of China's efforts to d
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Global oil shipping costs have surged to historic highs, with supertankers earning over $1.2 million per day. A South Korean shipping magnate is making a massive bet, investing $7 billion, and is set to profit handsomely.
The global supertanker market is experiencing unprecedented supply-demand tightness, with soaring freight rates rendering some long-haul crude oil trades economically unviable and profoundly altering
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent seeks to influence Japan's fiscal and monetary policy, Nikkei Asia reports, stating that Japan's response must be mutually beneficial.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama for the first time after their coordinated intervention. Nikkei Asia noted that the U.S. Treasury's move aims
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Turkish Foreign Minister: Turkey supports Saudi Arabia's security and is prepared to provide military assistance amid escalating Houthi attacks.
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Friday that Saudi Arabia may have unmet military needs amid Houthi attacks in Yemen, and Turkey would consider how to support Saudi Arabia as part of a tri
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Iran's security chief says conditions for ending war with US, including lifting naval blockade and unfreezing funds, sent to Washington via Qatar; awaits Trump's response
Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, told Al Jazeera in an exclusive interview on Saturday that Tehran has conveyed a formal set of conditions to Washington through Qa
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss AI safety, trade, and economic issues, paving the way for a summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss artificial intelligence safety, trade, and broader economic issues. The meeting, he
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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Pakistan urges Iran to protect energy supplies and shipping, as high-ranking officials from both countries are set to meet.
Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Ishaq Dar, spoke with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Saturday, emphasizing the importance of uninterrupted energy supplies and the sa
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Trump Administration Lifts Sanctions on Eritrea to Advance U.S. Regional Interests in Red Sea
The U.S. State Department announced that President Donald Trump chose not to renew sanctions against Eritrea from 2021, a move aimed at "advancing U.S. regional interests." Eritrea, located in the Hor
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Russia attacked two merchant ships in the Black Sea, and Poland raised its air defense alert level.
Ukraine's Air Force stated that Russia used dozens of drones and two anti-ship missiles to attack Ukraine overnight. Russia's Ministry of Defense, meanwhile, claimed that its forces used "Geran-4 Seek
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
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World faces supertanker shortage, threatening long-haul oil flows as costs soar
The rising cost of global oil transportation is rendering some long-distance crude trades uneconomical, potentially disrupting flows at a time when fuel markets are exceptionally tight.
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Brazil's central bank announced a ban on the use of stablecoins for certain cross-border payment settlements, effective October 1, to address regulatory ambiguities.
Brazil's central bank stated that the move aims to address ambiguities in the 2022 virtual assets law, which grants the central bank the authority to determine which crypto operations constitute forei
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Trump Administration Refuses to Disclose Details of Venezuelan Oil Revenue, State Department Faces Public Pressure
The Trump administration is facing pressure from the U.S. State Department to disclose the total amount of funds it seized from Venezuelan oil and the amount that has been returned to Caracas, after r
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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U.S. President signs H.R. 5334 bill, expanding sanctions on Russia and extending sanctions on Iran.
On Friday, September 18, the President of the United States signed H.R. 5334, the "Lindsey O. Graham Sanction Russia and Iran Act of 2026." This bill authorizes and expands statutory sanctions, tariff
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EQ9 Token Analysis: Project Positioning, Market Performance, and Future Development Prospects
The EQ9 (Equals9) token aims to revolutionize the traditional foreign exchange sector by providing low-cost, high-efficiency international currency management services through its Polygon-based technology platform. The project plans to transition to a proprietary chain in the future to further enhance performance. However, EQ9's current market performance faces challenges, with extremely low 24-hour trading volume, significant discrepancies in circulating market capitalization data, and severe price volatility. Investors need to be wary of its liquidity risks and closely monitor the project's subsequent technological developments and market dynamics.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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