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Foreign Exchange
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller on Thursday publicly countered Chairman Warsh's downplaying of forward guidance, stating that effective monetary policy communication requires a clear policy framework.
At a Reuters event, Waller stated that effective monetary policy communication should revolve around the current policy stance, the outlook for policy, and forward guidance under specific circumstance
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UBS Wealth Management France CIO Discusses Soaring Global Bond Yields and ECB Rate Hike Expectations
Claudia Panseri, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Wealth Management France, discussed the surge in global bond yields driven by inflation concerns, market expectations for European Central Bank rate hi
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The USD/JPY fell 2.1% to 155.40 on Thursday, nearing the 155 mark. CME stated that if it breaks below 155, option selling pressure could accelerate the yen's gains.
The USD/JPY exchange rate plummeted on Thursday, hitting a more than one-month low of 155.34 during intraday trading, marking a 2.1% single-day decline. It is currently trading at 155.40. The Chicago
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Bitcoin Reclaims $80,000, Rallying 5% as DXY Falls Amid Suspected Yen Intervention
Bitcoin rallied 5% to reclaim $80,000, while the US dollar weakened amid market suspicion of a continuing Bank of Japan currency intervention. Analysts, however, remain split on the intervention's ove
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WSJ Fed reporter Nick Timiraos shared a view that it is “proper and responsible for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates” given the CPI numbers.
WSJ Fed reporter Nick Timiraos shared a view that it is “proper and responsible for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates” given the CPI numbers.
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WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
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Bloomberg: US officials have expressed dissatisfaction to Germany, citing the Bundesbank President's criticism of US intervention in the yen and the German Finance Minister's tough stance on Russia.
U.S. officials have expressed dissatisfaction with the German government through multiple channels, Bloomberg reported on September 3, citing sources. Reasons include Bundesbank President Nagel's publ
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The DXY is down 0.76% today, currently at 98.840.
The DXY is down 0.76% today, currently at 98.840.
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NZD/USD rose 0.77% intraday, now trading at 0.5892.
NZD/USD rose 0.77% intraday, now trading at 0.5892.
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The dollar hedging ratio has fallen to a historic low. Bloomberg estimates that raising it by 5 percentage points could trigger $230 billion in sell-offs.
Bloomberg data shows that as of June 30 this year, the currency hedging ratio of major global institutional investors for dollar-denominated assets has fallen to approximately 41%, the lowest since re
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Panama Canal restricts daily vessel traffic to 34 from Thursday, further to 32 by Sep 15, due to low water levels; one ship paid record $5.3M for transit
Panama Canal authorities announced that from Thursday (September 3), the number of vessels permitted to pass daily will be restricted to 34, down from the traditional 40. This cap will further drop to
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Spot silver rises 3% to $67.36/oz
Spot silver rises 3% to $67.36/oz
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Reuters Poll: Majority of Economists Expect ECB to Hike by 25 bps on September 10, Deposit Rate to Reach 2.50%, Signaling Potential Peak of Tightening Cycle
All 65 economists surveyed by Reuters from August 31 to September 3 expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10. Economists generally b
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The odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September have risen to 56%, following a slight increase in jobless claims beyond expectations and Christopher Waller's statement supporting a hold on rates.
The odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September have risen to 56%, following a slight increase in jobless claims beyond expectations and Christopher Waller's statement supporti
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USD/CHF is down 0.73% today, currently trading at 0.8064.
USD/CHF is down 0.73% today, currently trading at 0.8064.
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USD/JPY extends losses to 1.75%, now at 155.9.
USD/JPY extends losses to 1.75%, now at 155.9.
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CoinDesk Analysis: Forex Markets Have Changed How They Interpret Bond Yields; High Yields May Signal Fiscal Stress, Not Strength; Bitcoin Should Follow Suit
CoinDesk's latest "Daybook" notes that while conventional wisdom holds that rising government bond yields are a headwind for cryptocurrencies, the foreign exchange market no longer follows this logic.
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The Bank of Japan's data showed no intervention in the yen's sharp rise on Wednesday, while the Finance Minister reiterated that he would prevent the yen from depreciating.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) account data released on Thursday showed that speculation of market intervention following Wednesday's more than 1 yen drop in USD/JPY was unfounded, as the gap between its current
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Chinese Ministry of Commerce spokesperson Huang Ling demanded that the United States immediately rectify its sanctions against Chinese companies and citizens related to Iran.
Huang Ling stated that despite repeated requests from China, the U.S. has repeatedly sanctioned Chinese companies and citizens using Iran as a pretext, which China strongly resents and firmly opposes.
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The Japanese Yen surged 1.5% against the US Dollar on Thursday to 156.36, marking its best single-day performance since the joint US-Japan intervention.
The current rebound of the Japanese Yen is primarily driven by a dual expectation of intervention from Japanese authorities and an anticipated interest rate hike. Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Kat
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EUR/JPY is down 1.41% today, currently trading at 181.2580.
EUR/JPY is down 1.41% today, currently trading at 181.2580.
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Yen jumps over 1% to one-month high of 156.34 per dollar on Thursday, as traders weigh further intervention chances after US Treasury Secretary Bessent's remarks
The yen strengthened sharply on Thursday, reaching a one-month high against the U.S. dollar, as traders considered the possibility of further Japanese intervention and rising expectations for Bank of
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BOJ Is Said to Be Leaning Toward a Quarter-Point Hike
BOJ Is Said to Be Leaning Toward a Quarter-Point Hike
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The Wall Street Journal: Bond markets stabilize, oil prices fall, and markets are on alert for JPY intervention after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that Tokyo would take measures to support the Japanese Yen.
The bond market stabilized today, with government bond yields slightly lower and global government bonds also trending stable, the Wall Street Journal reported. Oil prices are falling, and US stock fu
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Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
Emerging market investors are favoring local currency sovereign bonds, as surging U.S. Treasury yields diminish the appeal of dollar-denominated debt.
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China names Li Chenggang its top international trade negotiator ahead of US talks
China elevated Li Chenggang's title on Sunday, hours before delegations from the two countries were set to hold negotiations in New York. This move comes as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is sche
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
On September 19, Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a new round of missile and drone attacks targeting "sensitive sites" in the Saudi capital Riyadh and Saudi Aramco facilities in Yanbu. U.S. embassies in
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Yen vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines as Japan holiday reduces liquidity, investors disappointed by BOJ guidance
The yen is vulnerable to sharp moves and further declines over the next week, with a three-day holiday in Japan set to reduce trading liquidity and investors disappointed that the central bank didn’t
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
Financial Secretary Paul Chan stated on Sunday that Hong Kong would expand its renminbi-denominated bond market and develop renminbi-denominated gold and commodity markets. This initiative aims to str
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Financial Times: Saudi Arabia Exits China-Led Cross-Border Currency Platform
Saudi Arabia has withdrawn from a China-led cross-border currency platform. According to the Financial Times, the Saudi central bank exited the project last year, which was one of China's efforts to d
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Global oil shipping costs have surged to historic highs, with supertankers earning over $1.2 million per day. A South Korean shipping magnate is making a massive bet, investing $7 billion, and is set to profit handsomely.
The global supertanker market is experiencing unprecedented supply-demand tightness, with soaring freight rates rendering some long-haul crude oil trades economically unviable and profoundly altering
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent seeks to influence Japan's fiscal and monetary policy, Nikkei Asia reports, stating that Japan's response must be mutually beneficial.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama for the first time after their coordinated intervention. Nikkei Asia noted that the U.S. Treasury's move aims
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Turkish Foreign Minister: Turkey supports Saudi Arabia's security and is prepared to provide military assistance amid escalating Houthi attacks.
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said on Friday that Saudi Arabia may have unmet military needs amid Houthi attacks in Yemen, and Turkey would consider how to support Saudi Arabia as part of a tri
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Iran's security chief says conditions for ending war with US, including lifting naval blockade and unfreezing funds, sent to Washington via Qatar; awaits Trump's response
Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, told Al Jazeera in an exclusive interview on Saturday that Tehran has conveyed a formal set of conditions to Washington through Qa
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss AI safety, trade, and economic issues, paving the way for a summit between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York on Sunday to discuss artificial intelligence safety, trade, and broader economic issues. The meeting, he
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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Pakistan urges Iran to protect energy supplies and shipping, as high-ranking officials from both countries are set to meet.
Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Ishaq Dar, spoke with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Saturday, emphasizing the importance of uninterrupted energy supplies and the sa
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Trump Administration Lifts Sanctions on Eritrea to Advance U.S. Regional Interests in Red Sea
The U.S. State Department announced that President Donald Trump chose not to renew sanctions against Eritrea from 2021, a move aimed at "advancing U.S. regional interests." Eritrea, located in the Hor
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Russia attacked two merchant ships in the Black Sea, and Poland raised its air defense alert level.
Ukraine's Air Force stated that Russia used dozens of drones and two anti-ship missiles to attack Ukraine overnight. Russia's Ministry of Defense, meanwhile, claimed that its forces used "Geran-4 Seek
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
The French government stated that its 2027 budget draft will comply with EU spending recommendations, even though its debt burden is projected to rise above 120% of economic output.
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World faces supertanker shortage, threatening long-haul oil flows as costs soar
The rising cost of global oil transportation is rendering some long-distance crude trades uneconomical, potentially disrupting flows at a time when fuel markets are exceptionally tight.
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Brazil's central bank announced a ban on the use of stablecoins for certain cross-border payment settlements, effective October 1, to address regulatory ambiguities.
Brazil's central bank stated that the move aims to address ambiguities in the 2022 virtual assets law, which grants the central bank the authority to determine which crypto operations constitute forei
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Trump Administration Refuses to Disclose Details of Venezuelan Oil Revenue, State Department Faces Public Pressure
The Trump administration is facing pressure from the U.S. State Department to disclose the total amount of funds it seized from Venezuelan oil and the amount that has been returned to Caracas, after r
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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U.S. President signs H.R. 5334 bill, expanding sanctions on Russia and extending sanctions on Iran.
On Friday, September 18, the President of the United States signed H.R. 5334, the "Lindsey O. Graham Sanction Russia and Iran Act of 2026." This bill authorizes and expands statutory sanctions, tariff
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EQ9 Token Analysis: Project Positioning, Market Performance, and Future Development Prospects
The EQ9 (Equals9) token aims to revolutionize the traditional foreign exchange sector by providing low-cost, high-efficiency international currency management services through its Polygon-based technology platform. The project plans to transition to a proprietary chain in the future to further enhance performance. However, EQ9's current market performance faces challenges, with extremely low 24-hour trading volume, significant discrepancies in circulating market capitalization data, and severe price volatility. Investors need to be wary of its liquidity risks and closely monitor the project's subsequent technological developments and market dynamics.
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