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Federal Reserve
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Reuters Survey: Majority of Economists Expect Fed to Cut Rates 1-2 Times This Year
Svmuu News According to a Reuters survey: Among 82 economists, 65 (approximately 79%) believe the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates one to two times this year. (Jin10)
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Fed Advisor: Warsh May Need Five Years to Shrink Fed's Balance Sheet
Svmuu According to a top financial economist, Kevin Warsh, nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, aims to significantly reduce the Fed's $6.6 trillion balance sheet, but he may need more than one term to
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Analysis: Market Focuses on Bitcoin's $72,000 to $82,000 "Vacuum Zone," Upward Momentum Still Awaits Confirmation
Svmuu News Bitfinex Alpha's latest report points out that Bitcoin's price action showed significant divergence last week. Although it once surged to a high of $76,000, it subsequently retreated under
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K33: Bitcoin's Sideways Consolidation Signals Bottom Formation, Receding Selling Pressure May Trigger Structural Reversal
Svmuu News Cryptocurrency research firm K33 suggests that Bitcoin's recent sustained sideways consolidation may indicate a shift in market structure. As selling pressure diminishes, the market could b
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U.S. Media: U.S. Department of Justice Admits Lack of Evidence in Investigation into Powell
Svmuu News According to a report by The Washington Post, court records show that a senior aide to U.S. Department of Justice official Jeannie Pirro admitted during a closed-door hearing this month tha
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Goldman Sachs Raises Probability of US Recession to 30%
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs stated that due to the surge in oil and natural gas prices, the probability of the US economy falling into a recession within the next 12 months has risen to 30%, an increase
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed
Svmuu News Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed. (Jin10)
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Morgan Stanley currently holds a neutral stance on US Treasuries
Svmuu News Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that they currently recommend maintaining a neutral strategy towards US Treasuries until the impact of the Middle East conflict on the economy
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Spot Gold Nearly Erases All Gains for the Year
Svmuu News On Monday, spot gold once fell to $4,320.30 per ounce—just over a dollar higher than its price at the end of last year, nearly erasing all gains for the year. Meanwhile, the war in the Midd
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10x Research: Bitcoin Falls Below $69,000, Derivatives Market Turns Defensive, Downside Risks Intensify
Svmuu reported that 10x Research posted an analysis on platform X, pointing out that Bitcoin has fallen below the critical price level of $69,000, indicating a significant shift in market structure wi
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 87.6%, while the probability of a rate hike is 12.4%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.6%. The pr
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Analysis: Trump's "48-Hour Ultimatum" to Iran Triggers Risk-Off Sentiment, Leading to Broad Decline in Major Crypto Assets
Svmuu News According to , influenced by Trump issuing a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran and threatening to strike power facilities, Bitcoin experienced a rapid decline over the weekend, falling below the $6
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Institution: The Core of Current Gold Price Movement Lies in the Re-constraint of Energy Price Increases on Interest Rate Expectations
Svmuu News According to Xinda Futures, from the current drivers, the core of gold price movement lies in the re-constraint of energy price increases on interest rate expectations. As the Middle East c
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HSBC: Maintains Expectation for Fed to Hold Rates Steady This Year and Next
Svmuu News HSBC stated that the Federal Reserve once again kept its policy rate unchanged at the March meeting, remaining at 3.50%-3.75%, and hinted at adopting a "wait-and-see" approach. Persistent i
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Bitcoin mining difficulty dropped to 133.79 T, a decrease of 7.76%; 2. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $41.9715 million yesterday, marking three consecutive days of net outflows; 3. A
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Analysis: "Fed Rate Hike" Nightmare May Come True, Bank of America Says Three Conditions Must Be Met First
Svmuu News Wall Street is concerned that escalating conflicts in the Middle East could lead to a surge in international oil prices, potentially reigniting U.S. inflation and prompting the Federal Rese
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The market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December
Svmuu News According to short-term interest rate futures prices, the market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December. (Jin10)
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Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October
Svmuu News According to market news: Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October. (Jin10)
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Iran War Intensifies Fed Divisions: Waller Turns Cautious, Bowman Sticks to Three Rate Cuts This Year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller revealed that he would have voted against holding rates steady again this week, but paused due to the Iran war; Vice Chair for Supervision Michel
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: "Emergency Withdrawal" of Rate Cut Vote Due to Oil Price Surge
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that, given the unexpected unemployment situation in February, he had originally planned to vote in favor of a rate cut at this week's central bank me
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Fed Governor Waller: If Reserve Demand Declines, Tapering Could Be Discussed
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that if reserve demand declines, tapering could be discussed. The Fed has no reason to create a reserve shortage, and an adverse shock could lead businesses to st
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Fed Governor Waller: Will Advocate for Rate Cuts if Conditions Develop Favorably
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that the market has not yet shown signs of expectations becoming unanchored. If conditions develop relatively smoothly and the labor market weakens, he will begin
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Fed Governor Waller: Wants to Observe First Before Deciding Whether to Cut Rates Later This Year
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that he wants to observe developments first before deciding whether to cut rates later this year. (Jin10)
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Fed Governor Waller: If oil prices remain high for several months, it will eventually pass through to core inflation
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that if oil prices remain high for several months, it will eventually pass through to core inflation. A high and sustained oil shock does not have a temporary imp
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Current Status and Future Outlook of IMX in Blockchain Gaming
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What is OCEAN? Ocean Protocol Mechanism, Token, and Risk Analysis
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
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What is Bee Network? The Relationship and Current Status of Bee Network and Pi Network
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What is BIMP Coin? An Analysis of BIMP Coin's Project Background and Current Market Status
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