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Federal Reserve
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Fed Reserve Chair Nominee Warsh: Will Be Independent from US President Trump
Svmuu News: Fed Reserve Chair Nominee Warsh: Will Be Independent from US President Trump. (Jin10)
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Warsh: The Fed Needs a Completely New Inflation Framework
Svmuu News Nominee for Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that if appointed and in charge of the Fed, he would promote comprehensive reforms in policy-making. Warsh told the Senate Committee: "In m
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U.S. President Trump: Will be disappointed if the new Fed chair does not cut interest rates
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump: Will be disappointed if the new Fed chair does not cut interest rates. (Jin10)
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Revolut CEO: IPO Potentially Delayed Until 2028, Actively Advancing US Banking License Application
Svmuu News: Revolut CEO Nik Storonsky stated that the company's public listing is still at least two years away, potentially delayed until 2028 at the earliest, with no immediate IPO plans. He pointed
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The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 100%. The probabil
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Fed Chair Nominee Warsh to Firmly Commit to Strict Independence on Interest Rate Issues
Svmuu News According to Politico: Fed Chair nominee Warsh will firmly commit to maintaining strict independence on interest rate issues.
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Binance's life market cap has reached a new all-time high, now reported at $530 million. 2. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $664 million yesterday, marking four consecutive days of net
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Polymarket Launches "When Will Powell Step Down as Fed Chair" Market, June 6-12 Probability Currently at 20%
Monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that Polymarket has launched a new market titled "When will Powell step down as Fed Chair". Currently, the probability for June 6-12 is the highest at 20%; t
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Yi Lihua: Remains bullish on this rebound phase, sees no reason to take profits for now; 2. Iranian Parliament Speaker: All 7 of Trump's social media statements are "untrue"; 3. DeepSeek Seeks Firs
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Fed's Daly: May Keep Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News Fed's Daly stated that interest rates may be kept unchanged; if inflation accelerates, rate hikes will be necessary; if conflicts end quickly, rate cuts may be possible. Maintaining the cur
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Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts Heat Up, Probability of June Cut Rises to 7.1%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5% (unchanged from t
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The market expects the probability of a Fed rate cut by December to be around 60%
Svmuu News According to federal funds futures prices, the market now expects the probability of a Fed rate cut by December to be around 60%. (Jin10)
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Markets expect increased likelihood of Fed rate cuts in 2026
Svmuu News U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose, with markets expecting an increased likelihood of Fed rate cuts in 2026. (Jin10)
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Fed Rate Cut Pricing Reappears: 15 Basis Points Cut Expected by December
Svmuu News: The interest rate swap market indicates a dovish shift, now pricing in a 15 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve by December. (Jin10)
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Analysis: Bitcoin Approaches $76,000 but Market Sentiment Remains in "Extreme Fear"
Svmuu News Despite Bitcoin briefly rising to $76,300 this week, market sentiment remains subdued. The Fear & Greed Index is still at 21, in the "Extreme Fear" zone, indicating a significant divergence
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U.S. Senator: Warsh is the First Unethical Federal Reserve Chair Nominee During Trump's Current Term
Svmuu News After Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh submitted documents to the Senate disclosing his assets, U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren pointed out that he did not fully reveal his wealth st
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Arthur Hayes: Expects a surge in Hyperliquid trading volume, bullish on HYPE rising above $150; 2. Polymarket launches new market "When will Israel and Hezbollah reach a permanent peace agreement";
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UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year
Svmuu News UBS A research report notes that Federal Reserve remains on track for further easing. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently downplayed the need to tighten monetary policy due to risi
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Fed's Williams: Due to energy prices, inflation is expected to reach 2.75%-3% this year
Svmuu News Fed's Williams: Due to energy prices, inflation is expected to reach 2.75%-3% this year. Fed's Williams: GDP growth is expected to be 2%-2.5% in 2026. (Jin10)
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Possibly influenced by the difficulty of Warsh's Senate confirmation, Polymarket shows only a 2% probability of Powell stepping down as Fed Chair after his term expires
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that although Powell's term as Chair ends on May 15th, the probability on Polymarket of Powell stepping down as Fed Chair after his term expires (May 14th) is only
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Fed Chair nominee Warsh may struggle to secure congressional approval before May 15; 2. Machi Big Brother adds to BTC and HYPE long positions, with total portfolio value now exceeding $56.5 million
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Fed Chair Nominee Warsh May Struggle to Secure Congressional Approval by May 15
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Powell are set to face off over a key question: whether the incumbent Powell has the right to remain in his position if Trump fails to secure
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Bessent: Believes Warsh Can Assume Fed Chair as Scheduled
Svmuu News U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent expressed optimism on Wednesday local time regarding the timely confirmation of Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair. "He will face a h
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Fed Beige Book: War Heightens Uncertainty, U.S. Businesses Adopt Wait-and-See Approach
Svmuu News The Federal Reserve indicated that economic activity continued to expand at a modest to slight pace across most of the United States, as the war with Iran introduced new uncertainties and d
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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Current Status of BUSD (Binance USD): Issuance Halted, Orderly Wind-Down Underway
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