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Federal Reserve
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Probability of Fed keeping rates unchanged in June stands at 97.6% before CPI release
SvmuuNews According to CME's "FedWatch": As of June, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged is 97.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut
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Gate Ventures: Tech Stocks Hit New Highs Amid Inflationary Pressure, Crypto Market Risk Appetite Recovers
SvmuuNews According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, global markets continued to strengthen last week, driven by the technology sector. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq index hit new rec
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Wintermute: BTC’s Recent Rally Clearly Driven by Leverage, Open Interest Surges While Spot Volume Slumps
Svmuu reported that Wintermute’s weekly market report indicates Bitcoin recently broke through $80,000 and briefly touched around $83,000, while also reclaiming the 200-day moving average for the firs
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Arthur Hayes: US-China AI Arms Race Combined with War Inflation Makes BTC’s Return to $126,000 Inevitable
Svmuu reports that Arthur Hayes has published his latest article "The Butterfly Touch," stating that the crypto bull market officially began after the US launched military action against Iran on Febru
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Hassett: Fed Chair Powell May Choose to Leave After Inspector General's Report is Released
Svmuu reported that when asked how long Powell would remain as a Fed Governor after Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed Chair, White House National Economic Council Director Hassett said during an interview
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Hassett: I will not comment on interest rates Federal Reserve
Svmuu: White House National Economic Council Director Hassett stated that he will not comment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy. (Jin Shi)
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Analysis: Bitcoin long-term holders are accumulating heavily, institutional buying drives price back above $80,000
Svmuu reports that the latest Bitfinex Alpha report indicates that as May began, BTC successfully navigated through the dense sell-off zone between $78,000 and $79,000, briefly approaching $83,000. Th
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Analysis: Bitcoin may face correction pressure, market sentiment cautious ahead of CPI release
Svmuureports Market analysis indicates that with the US April CPI data set to be released on May 12, Bitcoin may face greater correction pressure. The latest forecast from the Cleveland Fed suggests t
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1.A whale bought 143,674 HYPE within 12 hours, valued at $6.26 million; 2.UBS increased its holdings in MSTR to 6.31 million shares, with a position value of approximately $1.12 billion; 3.Follow-up o
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The market expects the Federal Reserve to maintain a prolonged pause on rate hikes, with the first rate cut potentially delayed until December 2027
Svmuu reports that the market has already priced in expectations of an extended pause in rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, with no rate cuts anticipated before December 2027. (Cointelegraph)
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Bank of America: Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates Before 2027
Svmuu’s latest forecast indicates that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts until the second half of 2027, primarily due to relatively high inflation levels and robust job growth. Bank of
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“Cathie Wood”: Innovation-driven deflationary forces are building, and inflation could be lower than expected over the next 6 to 9 months
Svmuu reported that “Cathie Wood” posted on platform X, stating that despite the rise in oil prices over the past three months, the yield curve continues to flatten, and the Federal Reserve has not mo
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Federal Reserve Gursby: Federal Reserves should always consider all options
Svmuu: Fed's Goolsbee says the Fed should always consider all options. The Fed must focus on inflation conditions, and does not believe inflation pressure comes solely from energy. What is most concer
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Analysis: The Fed Will Not Reconsider Its Stance That It Is "Not Yet Prepared to Tighten Rates"
SvmuuCFRA Research Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall stated that I view this employment report as positive, as it confirms the labor market remains solid, which can give consumers a certain leve
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Hassett: We'll see interest rate cuts this year because of Federal Reserve Chair nominee Warsh
Svmuu reported that White House National Economic Council Director Hassett said, "I think we will see interest rate cuts this year, as Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh is supportive." (Jin Shi)
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Kevin Hassett: There are no signs that inflation is spiraling out of control; the Fed does not need to raise interest rates
Svmuu reported that Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that employment data over the past two months has been strong, and the job market is "hot." People should lev
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Federal funds futures pricing indicates that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year
Svmuu reported that according to CME's "FedWatch" data, federal funds futures still indicate that investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged for a considerable period in
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“Fed Whisperer”: Nonfarm payrolls mean Fed’s focus will shift from employment to inflation
Svmuu reported that “Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos said four months ago, a major issue facing the Federal Reserve was whether it needed to continue cutting interest rates to support the seemingly falte
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Nonfarm payroll data shows limited change in expectations for the Fed's near-term interest rate decisions
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 94.9% (96.9% before the release), and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-poi
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Nonfarm payroll data did not put pressure on rate cuts, U.S. Treasury yields fell instead of rising
SvmuuNews: Despite higher-than-expected U.S. nonfarm employment growth and Trump downplaying renewed tensions with Iran as "a small matter," U.S. Treasury yields still declined. The unemployment rate
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Analysis: Nonfarm Data Supports Current Market Positioning, Reducing Urgency for Further Fed Tightening
Svmuu News Capital.com Senior Market Analyst Daniela Hathorn stated that the latest U.S. employment report adds an interesting dimension to the current market backdrop. On the surface, nonfarm payroll
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Analysis: Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Make It Harder for the Fed to Cut Rates
According to Svmuu, interest rate strategist Ira Jersey commented that stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data highlights that the US is far from a recession. It is difficult to see the Fed choosi
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Analysis: US April nonfarm payrolls add 115,000, beating expectations for the second consecutive month
Svmuu reported that data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed the U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, surpassing Wall Street expectations for the second consecutive m
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U.S. interest rate futures indicate a slight decline in the probability of a rate hike in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. interest rate futures show a slight decrease in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. (Jin 10)
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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Current Status and Future Outlook of IMX in Blockchain Gaming
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What is OCEAN? Ocean Protocol Mechanism, Token, and Risk Analysis
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
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What is Bee Network? The Relationship and Current Status of Bee Network and Pi Network
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Samsung Electronics fell 5.85% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩205,250.
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What is BIMP Coin? An Analysis of BIMP Coin's Project Background and Current Market Status
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