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Federal Reserve
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The probability of a Fed rate hike in December rose to 63%
Svmuu reported that data from U.S. interest rate futures show the probability of a Fed rate hike in December has risen from 48% to 63%. (Jinshi)
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Analyst: The nonfarm payrolls report has undoubtedly completely undermined the case for a rate cut at Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Institutional analyst Anstey comments on US nonfarm payrolls: This will undoubtedly completely overturn any rationale for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the coming months. If
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Nonfarm payroll data release leads market to price in further Fed tightening
Svmuu reports that following the release of nonfarm payroll data, the market has priced in further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. (Jin Shi)
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Before the non-farm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in June was 96.4%
According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.4%, with a 3.6% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut. The probability of
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Moody's Warns: Federal Reserves May Be Forced to Raise Interest Rates as Inflation Expectations Soar
Svmuu News: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, pointed out that although U.S. GDP has risen this year and the economy appears resilient, warning signs are already flashing. Under the leadership o
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Federal Reserve Study: With the Logic of Monetary Policy Being Reshaped, the Dilemma Faced by Oil Price Shocks Is Easing, Allowing Prioritization of Inflation Control
Svmuureports that the Boston Federal Reserve released a new study on Thursday stating that fundamental changes in the U.S. energy structure have completely altered the transmission path of oil price s
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“Wall Street Oracle” Warns: Market “Digestion” Period Approaches, Major Moves Expected After US Midterm Elections
Svmuu reported that Fundstrat strategist Tom Lee stated in a CNBC interview that the current market is in a cycle that could be divided into three phases, with the second phase potentially seeing a co
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The first nonfarm payrolls report of the "Warsh era" will be released tonight at 8:30 p.m., and the market is expected to experience significant volatility at that time.
Svmuu News: The U.S. May nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release tonight at 8:30 p.m. The market anticipates a slight decline. This will be the first nonfarm payrolls report since the appoint
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International Monetary Fund: Market Has Begun to Bet on Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu reports that the International Monetary Fund stated the expected timeline for the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target return has been pushed back to the end of 2027, compared to a previous for
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World Gold Council: Fed rate hikes may unexpectedly benefit gold
Svmuu reported that the World Gold Council stated in its gold market commentary report released on June 4 that looking ahead, as inflationary pressures rise, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inte
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Moomoo Partners with Kalshi to Launch Regulated Prediction Market Contracts on Its Platform
Svmuu News Digital trading platform Moomoo has announced a partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to offer eligible users access to event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures
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Federal Reserve Beige Book: Prices Rise at a Moderate to Strong Pace, with Middle East Conflict-Related Pressures as the Main Driver
According to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall, prices rose at a moderate to strong pace, with most districts reporting a higher rate of inflation than in the previous report. Districts noted
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Federal Reserve's Logan: The Fed May Need to Raise Interest Rates This Year to Curb Prices
SvmuuNews, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year to bring inflation down to the 2% target level. She noted that the U.S. labor market is "l
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ADP data suggests the US labor market may still be accelerating
According to Svmuu, U.S. companies added the highest number of new jobs in May since January 2025, indicating that the labor market may still be accelerating despite rising energy costs due to the war
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Goldman Sachs CEO: Greed outweighs fear in the market
Svmuureports that Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that the stock market's boom is driven by a desire for profit, which outweighs concerns about economic turmoil and inflation risks. Solomon sai
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh Appoints Two Advisors, Both Conservatives
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh has hired two external individuals as advisors to assist him in the early stages of his tenure. One of them previously contributed to drafting a conservative po
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Federal Reserve's Hammack: Fed May Need to Act Quickly to Address High Inflation
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated, given the many uncertainties in the economic outlook, keeping interest rates unchanged is currently reasonable, but officials may need to act quic
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Polymarket has a new prediction market: "June world is peaceful and uneventful," with the probability of nothing happening currently reported at 86%
Svmuu Seer Channel monitors that Polymarket has launched a new prediction market titled "June world is peaceful and uneventful." Currently, the probability of something major happening (Something) sta
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Apollo Chief Economist Warns Wash's Rate Cut Hopes Dampened: AI Infrastructure Boom Will Initially Fuel Inflation
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, Inc., has warned that the initial phase of the AI infrastructure boom will fuel inflation, making it difficult for new Federal Reserve Chairm
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Traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks
Svmuu reports that traders expect the US dollar to rise in the coming weeks, supported by factors including persistent uncertainties in US-Iran negotiations and an AI-driven rally in US stocks. The US
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Traders Raise Fed Rate Hike Expectations, 50% Probability of Rate Hike as Early as October
Svmuu News Due to signs of a deadlock in peace negotiations between the United States and Iran, U.S. Treasury prices fell as concerns grow that high energy costs will exacerbate inflation and prompt t
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. In 18 days, loracle.hl erased 10 months of $42.2 million in perpetual contract profits and incurred an additional loss of $5.19 million. 2. Arthur Hayes: Before this market cycle ends, HYPE should
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Powell Issues Warning on Federal Reserve Independence
According to an article by Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Whisperer," in a speech on Sunday evening, former Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that if any administration seeks a pretext t
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: The Adoption of Stablecoins Will Amplify the Impact of Policy Federal Reserve
Svmuu News In a panel discussion at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that the global adoption of stablecoins could amplify the influence of Federal Reserv
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock Drops 13% Despite Reporting Record Q2 Revenue of $1.2B (+40% YoY) and EPS of $0.12 (+50%)
SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) reported record second-quarter results, with adjusted net revenue increasing 40% year-over-year to $1.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $0.
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The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times since September 2025, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate to 3.75%; the real estate market has responded positively, with three related ETFs posting strong performance, including the Hoya Capital High Dividend Yield ETF (RIET), which has yielded nearly 10.5%.
Since September 2025, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times, lowering the upper limit of the federal funds rate target to 3.75%. As a result, the real estate market has been active. T
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U.S. President Donald Trump has once again criticized the Federal Reserve, saying its board is “highly politicized” and that interest rates should be lowered.
U.S. President Donald Trump once again publicly criticized the Federal Reserve this week, calling its board members “highly politicized” and stating that interest rates should be lowered. Donald Trump
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh Considers Reducing Policy Meetings, Raising Concerns Over Market Volatility
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is reportedly considering reducing the number of Federal Reserve policy meetings. This potential move has drawn concern from economists and market strategists, who
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Synchrony Bank Offers 4.15% APY on 14-Month CD, Topping Today's Best Rates
Synchrony Bank is offering a 4.15% annual percentage yield (APY) on its 14-month certificate of deposit (CD), marking the highest CD rate available as of Saturday, August 1, 2026. This comes after the
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve
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Billionaire investor Chase Coleman’s Tiger Global fund disclosed in its latest 13F filing that its top five growth stocks are all focused on AI infrastructure, including TSMC, NVIDIA, Amazon, Meta, and Google.
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Liquidity Crunch in Cryptocurrency Mining: Causes and Analysis of the Current Situation in 2026
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Microsoft It is up 3.02% today and is currently trading at $464.720
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Federal Appeals Court Rejects Bid to Block Trump’s Mail Voting Restrictions
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The analysis points out that Iran’s overlapping centers of power complicate efforts to end the war with the United States, and that the Revolutionary Guards possess significant operational autonomy.
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India’s Kerala Struggles to Care for Aging Population with Low Fertility Rate
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Donald Trump TRUMP (TRUMP) 2026 Outlook: Analysis of Price Trends and Key Influencing Factors
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Israeli West Bank Settler Tells BBC Attacks on Palestinians Are Justified as Revenge, Equating One Jewish Life to "10 Million" Palestinians
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