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Capital Economics: The Rally in U.S. Treasuries Is Expected to Lose Momentum
Svmuu News: Thomas Mathews, Head of Asia-Pacific Markets at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the rally in U.S. Treasuries—which had previously driven yields lower—is expected to lose momentu
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Citi: Raises Target for 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield, but Remains Bullish on the Bond Market
Svmuu News: Citigroup interest rate strategists said in a report that they have slightly raised their year-end forecast for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 3.9%, up from their previous target of 3.
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Yi Lihua: Bitcoin This cycle may be heading into its final major downturn; July and August may be the best time to buy the dip.
Svmuu News: Jack Yi (Yi Lihua), founder of Liquid Capital, posted on X stating that this is the third downtrend since 1011. According to Elliott Wave Theory and cyclical patterns, Bitcoin this is the
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: In last week’s dot plot projections, nearly half of the officials expected at least one more rate hike this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Official Kashkari stated, “I am concerned about inflation; this is not just related to the situation in the Middle East, but is a manifestation of broader inflationary press
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: Expects One Rate Hike in 2026 and No Change in Interest Rates in 2027
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Kashkari said he expects one rate hike in 2026 and that rates will remain unchanged in 2027, noting that it remains to be seen how the absence of forward guidance will play
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell as inflation concerns eased
Svmuu News: As oil prices fell more than 3% and the market reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rates, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. CME Group(CME) Federal Reserve’s monitoring too
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has appointed two senior in-house economists as advisors
Svmuu News: Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has appointed two senior in-house economists to serve as his advisors: Daniel Covitz, Deputy Director of the Bureau of Research and Statistics
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Michael Saylor: Will buy Bitcoin during every market dip; 2. JAN3 CEO: Strategy should enter into a $1.5 billion over-the-counter BTC trade with BSTR—a win-win for both parties; 3. Deutsche Bank: L
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Federal Reserve: No action is expected this year; the firm maintains its forecast of an average gold price of $4,600 for the year.
Svmuu News: BMI Commodities Research, a research arm of Fitch, remains bullish on gold and has maintained its forecast of an average gold price of $4,600 per ounce for 2026. The firm also believes tha
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Federal Reserve Williams: The current monetary policy stance will help bring inflation back to 2%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that the current monetary policy stance is well-positioned to bring inflation back to Federal Reserve the 2% target, while also acknowledging that risks rema
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Federal Reserve The ruling in the Cook case is expected to be announced next week.
Svmuu News: According to market sources, with the Supreme Court having completed drafting its opinion, the ruling in the Federal Reserve. v. Cook case is expected to be announced next week. (Jin Shi)
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Pre-Market Highlights for U.S. Stocks: Short Bets on SpaceX Continue to Rise; NVIDIA's In-House 800V HVDC Cabinet
Svmuu News: Here are the key U.S. stock market financial headlines investors should focus on today: 1. Futures for the three major U.S. stock indices are all trading higher. Dow Jones futures are up 0
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Financial markets are betting on an interest rate hike as early as September, followed by a possible second hike
Svmuu News: Driven by rising energy prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East, U.S. inflation continued to climb in May, with the annual PCE inflation rate surpassing the 4% threshold for
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U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data came in largely in line with expectations
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data largely met expectations, bolstering market hopes that the Federal Reserve would not adopt an over
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The U.S. core PCE annual rate rose slightly to 3.4%, in line with market expectations.
Svmuu News: The U.S. core PCE price index for May came in at 3.4% year-over-year, in line with market expectations, marking its highest level since October 2023. The U.S. core PCE price index for May
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Ahead of the PCE data release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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Bitcoin Panic in the derivatives market is mounting; core PCE may become a key catalyst for market movements
Svmuu News: Currently, Bitcoin risk appetite in the derivatives market has weakened significantly; investors are paying high premiums to hedge against downside risks, and overall market sentiment has
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Opinion: If U.S. PCE comes in stronger than expected, it could reverse the optimism sparked by Micron’s earnings report
Svmuu News: Ipek Ozkadskaya, senior market analyst at Ruixin Bank, said, “If the PCE data comes in stronger than expected, it could further encourage Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish stance and reve
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Analysis: A rebound in tech stocks has boosted risk sentiment, and the Bitcoin has rebounded slightly after hitting a recent low.
Svmuu News: Following Micron’s release of optimistic financial results and Qualcomm’s positive earnings outlook, sentiment in the tech sector has clearly improved, driving a rebound in market risk app
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Danske Bank expects Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at least twice
Svmuu News: In a report, Danske Bank Senior Analyst Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen and Chief Analyst Jens Peter Sorensen stated thatFederal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates twice, in December 2026
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10x Research: Ethereum—If the $1,600 support level is breached, the price could drop to $1,200
Svmuu News: 10x Research posted on X stating that Ethereum is currently at the $1,600 support level; if this support is breached, the next target is $1,200, which has been the range of price fluctuati
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U.S. Congress Discusses "Federal Reserve" to "Streamline Primary Accounts," Evaluating Whether Crypto and Fintech Companies Can Connect Directly to Central Bank Payment Systems
Svmuu News: The U.S. House Financial Services Committee held a hearing on Wednesday to discuss the evolving roles of banks and fintech companies. One of the key topics was the “skinny master account”
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Polymarket Launches New “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, Polymarket has launched a prediction event titled “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026.” Looking at the interest rate path, the ma
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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WTI crude oil is up 2.54% from its previous close, currently trading at $90.764.
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Samsung Electronics fell 9.98% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩181,400.
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SK hynix fell 12.42% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,107,000.
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How is OPCT (Opacity)? Current Status and Risks of the Privacy Cloud Storage Token
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