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Federal Reserve
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In June, the New York Fed's 1-year inflation forecast stood at 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously.
Svmuu News: The New York Fed’s one-year inflation forecast for June was 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously. The New York Fed’s three-year inflation forecast for June rose to 3.3%, reaching its highest le
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Federal Reserve Williams: We Expect to Continue Seeing Strong Investment in AI
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that strong investment in artificial intelligence is expected to continue, risks in the labor market are relatively balanced, the outlook for inflation has b
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: Expectations for Interest Rate Hikes Are Cooling; Technical Analysis Will Fully Take Over Market Trends
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, pointed out during a live online broadcast titled “Interest Rate Hike Expectations Cool: Technical Analysis Takes Over the Trend” that global fina
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Core PCE inflation may be revised downward by 0.2 percentage points; the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will adjust some of the methods used to calculate the PCE index
Svmuu News: The U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced that it will adjust certain calculation methods for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.3%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.7%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Institution: U.S. Earnings Season Is About to Begin; Investors Are Watching How High Oil Prices Will Affect Corporate Costs and Profit Margins
Svmuu News: Investment firm Summit Place Financial Advisors stated that the market expects companies’ second-quarter earnings to be generally strong, but investors will focus on the impact of high oil
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: Federal Reserve Will Not Deliberately Maintain Low Interest Rates
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Board Member Waller stated that Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve would not deliberately maintain low interest rates to help the U.S. government finance its budget deficit
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Federal Reserve Waller put forward “two considerations” regarding monetary policy: initial conditions and forward guidance determine the effectiveness of transmission.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Waller presented “two points of consideration” regarding the monetary policy transmission mechanism, emphasizing that the effectiveness of policy depends on initial conditio
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As oil prices fell, U.S. Treasury yields were mixed and the dollar strengthened
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, the U.S. Dollar Index is currently up 0.2%. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note stands at 4.459%, higher than last Thursday’s closing yield of 4.447%. The y
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Analysis: Bitcoin Bullish sentiment is supported by easing inflation expectations; the market is focused on July’s CPI data
Svmuu News: The crypto market continues to stabilize, with the Bitcoin rising nearly 7% in the week ending July 5, marking its strongest weekly performance since March. This rally was primarily driven
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Bank of New York Mellon: Federal Reserve The urgency for further monetary tightening has eased; 2. SK Hynix: Plans to raise $28.06 billion through an ADR offering; 3. JPMorgan Chase Maintains “Over
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Bank of New York Mellon: Federal Reserve—The urgency for further tightening has diminished
Svmuu News: Jeff, a senior macro strategist at Bank of New York Mellon, pointed out that softer U.S. labor market data and improving inflation figures have reduced the urgency for the Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 77%
Svmuu News: Data shows that, according to Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25
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U.S. M2 Exceeds $23 Trillion, Setting a New Record and Sparking Debate Over a “Liquidity-Driven Bubble”
Svmuu News: The latest data from the U.S. Federal Reserve shows that in May, the seasonally adjusted broad money supply (M2) rose to $23.05 trillion, surpassing the $23 trillion mark for the first tim
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BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve—The likelihood of action in July has decreased
Svmuu News: Isabelle Mateos i Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, said, “If the July nonfarm payrolls figure is very strong—nearing or exceeding 130,000—then I think the July meeting will be full of
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“Federal Reserve”: Donald Trump Sets the Tone, Federal Reserve Enters a New Era of “Forward-Looking Guidance”
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, a “Federal Reserve” correspondent, posted on X: Donald Trump stated that he believes Federal Reserve Chairman Wash is a dovish voice within the Federal Open Market Committee
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Allianz Analyst: Federal Reserve May Have to Raise Interest Rates in September
Svmuu News: Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz, said, “The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was actually weak, but I still believe inflation will peak above 3.7%, and that artificial intelligence, f
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Markets stabilized ahead of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, with Bitcoin. holding steady at $61,000
Svmuu News: On the eve of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, sentiment in the crypto market gradually stabilized, with Bitcoin holding above $61,000 and Ethereum climbing above $1,700, continuing the
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. A wallet believed to be associated with Tim Draper deposited 1,000 BTC, worth $61.82 million, into Coinbase; 2. Spot gold and silver prices rose in the short term, with silver gaining over 1% intra
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Bank Santander: Despite Weak June Employment Data, Federal Reserves Will Continue to Focus on Inflation
Svmuu News: Evercore ISI stated, “Employment data has returned to normal, and the Federal Reserve will continue to focus on inflation.” Economists believe the Federal Reserve will view the weak June e
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U.S. Senator Warren sent a letter to Federal Reserve Board Member Waller, calling for a halt to the push for regional Fed reform proposals
Svmuu News: U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has called on Federal Reserve Board Member Christopher Waller to halt his efforts to reform Federal Reserve the operational structure of the 12 regional branc
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Analysis: Nonfarm Payrolls Data Weakens but Still Shows Growth; Federal Reserve’s Decision to Hold Rates Is Reassessed
Svmuu News: Analyst Eric Merlis said, “June’s nonfarm payrolls fell significantly short of expectations, in sharp contrast to the string of upward surprises earlier this year, but the labor market con
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Hassett: Expresses Concern Over the Motivation Behind Jerome Powell's Decision to Retain Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that it is highly unusual that Jerome Powell has still not left Federal Reserve. He expressed concern about the motiv
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Federal Reserve Daley emphasized that the dual mandate would remain unchanged, but expressed a desire to evaluate the economy using new methods.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Daly said inflation should begin to slow, but there is significant uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook.Speaking Thursday at a Bank of Spain event in Santander, Spai
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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OpenAI is in preliminary discussions with investors for a new private funding round, potentially valuing the company at over $1.2 trillion.
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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NVIDIA VP: Vera Rubin Platform Achieves 30x Throughput Increase on Agentic AI Workloads
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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NVIDIA VP: Agentic AI to Boost Computing Power Demand 100-fold, Altering Traditional Scheduling Models
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Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300bn of AI exposure off balance sheets, with Wall Street facilitating cheaper funding
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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