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Federal Reserve
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There is an 88.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “FedWatch” data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 88.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Federal Reserve Governor Cook: Ready to Take Action If Inflation Doesn't Slow Down Soon
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Cook said Wednesday that it would be prudent to wait for inflation to ease for a while, but that the Fed is prepared to take action if inflation does not slow down
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Warsh said that Donald Trump had no impact on the Fed's policy
Svmuu News: When asked if he had spoken with Donald Trump, Federal Reserve Chair Warsh said he had “no comment” and did not wish to share the details of their conversation. He said that President Dona
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Federal Reserve Chair: AI Is Expected to Drive Up Observable Price Levels Over the Next 12 Months
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash, testifying before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs at a hearing on the “Federal Reserve’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report,” stated
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Warsh: Recent inflation data do not fully reflect underlying inflation trends
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated that recent inflation data do not perfectly reflect underlying inflation trends. (Jin Shi)
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Fed's Williams: Inflation Remains Too High; Expected to Return to 2% Target in 2028
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve’s Williams stated that inflation is undoubtedly still too high at around 4%, and that efforts must continue to bring it back down to the 2% target; the current monetary pol
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U.S. CPI Fell 0.4% Month-Over-Month in June; BTC Rose to $64,900
Svmuu News: U.S. CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month in June, marking the largest monthly decline since April 2020; the year-over-year rate dropped from 4.2% in May to 3.5%, below the expected 3.8%. Core C
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Director of the White House National Economic Council: Data Shows the Federal Reserve Has No Reason to Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that the data shows the Federal Reserve has no reason to raise interest rates; he believes Warsh will guide the Feder
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Analyst: If Oil Prices Stabilize, the U.S. Tech Sector May Benefit
Svmuu News: Patrick Munnelly of Tickmill Group noted in a report that the U.S. technology sector could benefit if oil prices stabilize and investors scale back their expectations for Federal Reserve i
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. U.S. June unadjusted CPI annual rate: 3.5%, vs. expectations of 3.8% and a previous reading of 4.20%; 2. Changxin Technology: Offering price set at 8.66 yuan per share; online and offline subscript
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CICC: We maintain our baseline forecast that the Fed will not raise interest rates this year, but the threshold for a rate hike has already been lowered.
Svmuu News CICC: According to a research report, the U.S. CPI for June fell 0.4% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis, while the year-over-year increase slowed to 3.5%; core CPI showed zero
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Federal Reserve Governor: The Fed Should Not Overly Interfere with Banks’ Adoption of New Technologies Such as AI
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that lenders have a better understanding of the risks posed by innovation and should be allowed to decide for themselves when to adopt new technologi
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Kevin Warsh: The Federal Reserve Is Reluctant to Bail Out Cryptocurrencies or Stablecoins
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on July 14 that the Fed has no intention of providing a bailout if a run occurs in the cryptocur
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Will Firmly Support the 2% Inflation Target
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh said he will firmly support the 2% inflation target. (Jin Shi)
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June CPI data support the market view that the likelihood of a Fed rate hike is overestimated
Svmuu News: Tony Welch of SignatureFD said the market has overestimated the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike. Following weak CPI inflation data in June, the futures market has priced in a low
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Don’t assume everything is fine just because today’s CPI report is out
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated that today’s data does not mean “the job is done.” We should not assume that everything is fine just because today’s CPI report has been released. Artifi
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Warsh: The two aspects of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate—price stability and maximum employment—are not in conflict with each other
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh outlined his views on the economy. Warsh stated that economic conditions are robust and financial markets appear to be functioning well, but the housing market
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Warsh: The Federal Reserve can start seriously considering when to begin purchasing Treasury debt
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated, “The Fed can begin to seriously consider when to purchase Treasury debt; I don’t think we can return to the 2006 level of our balance sheet.” (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Chair: Does Not Want to Get Involved in Bailouts
Svmuu News: When asked whether he would bail out cryptocurrencies or stablecoins, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said he did not want to get involved in bailouts and hoped to be in a position wh
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Warsh Emphasizes Monetary Policy Independence and Reaffirms Commitment to the 2% Inflation Target
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh reiterated his commitment not to provide forward guidance on interest rates during a hearing on Tuesday, with his testimony making almost no mention of interest
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Federal Reserve Chair: Any Changes to Balance Sheet Policy Will Be Announced in Advance
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated at a House hearing that the Federal Reserve has the commitment, the capability, and the responsibility to fulfill the mandate entrusted to it by the Commi
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Will Re-examine Inflation Framework; Inflation Target Set at 2%
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh testified at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on the “Federal Reserve’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report,” stating that he hopes for broader econom
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U.S. CPI Falls to 3.5% in June; Bitcoins Rebound to Nearly $64,000
Svmuu News: U.S. CPI for June fell to 3.5% year-over-year, below market expectations of 3.8% and down from 4.2% in May.Following the release of the data, the Bitcoin rebounded intraday to nearly $64,0
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Hassett: Core Inflation Momentum in the U.S. Is Approaching the Fed’s Target
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that the momentum of core inflation in the U.S. is approaching the Federal Reserve’s target, and the latest inflation
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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2
Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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OpenAI is in preliminary discussions with investors for a new private funding round, potentially valuing the company at over $1.2 trillion.
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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NVIDIA VP: Vera Rubin Platform Achieves 30x Throughput Increase on Agentic AI Workloads
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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NVIDIA VP: Agentic AI to Boost Computing Power Demand 100-fold, Altering Traditional Scheduling Models
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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Ed Sheeran calls Gaza situation 'catastrophic,' 'unjustifiable,' and 'disproportionate' as US tour resumes
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