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Trump Pauses Iran Strikes, Leading to Drop in Yields, Dollar, and Oil Prices
President Trump paused planned strikes on Iran, causing global bond yields, the U.S. dollar, and oil prices to fall. This action eased fears of a wider Middle East conflict, with the 10-year U.S. Trea
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U.S. Bond Market Sends Signal to the Fed: "Hawkish" Rhetoric Alone Is Not Enough; Market Expects Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation
The U.S. Treasury market is sending a clear signal to Federal Reserve Chair Wash that strong anti-inflation rhetoric alone is not enough to reassure investors, as the market strongly anticipates inter
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Bitcoin ETFs End Inflow Streak Amid Fed Rate Concerns
US-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced heavy outflows late last week, ending their recent streak of inflows. This development highlights the fragility of Bitcoin's recent recovery,
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Analysis: Bitcoin’s Rebound Faces Four Sources of Pressure; Rising U.S. Treasury Yields Exacerbate Market Risks
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler released a weekly report stating that the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has recently risen to about 4.7%, approaching the upper end of its five-year range. The
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Analyst: Oil Prices Approach the 100-Yuan Mark Again; Alarm Bells Ring Once More as Global Central Banks Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Central banks around the world are grappling with how to respond to oil prices returning to around $100 per barrel. The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) ma
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Wise plans to resubmit its application for a U.S. National Trust Bank license under the GENIUS Act
Svmuu News: According to a research report by William Blair, cross-border payment company Wise plans to resubmit its application for a national trust bank license under the U.S. “GENIUS Act” stablecoi
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Coinbase Institutional Maintains a Neutral Outlook on the Crypto Market for Q3 2026
Svmuu News Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have jointly released a market report maintaining a neutral outlook on the crypto market for the third quarter of 2026.In the second quarter, the total
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Morgan Stanley: The Fed is expected to hold rates steady next week
Svmuu News: Morgan Stanley strategists said in a report that recent data suggests the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising rates at its July meeting and is likely to keep rates unchanged for the r
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Analysis: The Fed Could Raise Rates as Early as Next Week; U.S. Treasury Yields Rise to Year-to-Date Highs
Svmuu News: As the threat of an escalation of the war in Iran pushed up oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields rose to their highest levels of the year, with the market anticipating that the Federal Reserve
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"The Fed's Voice": The July Policy Meeting Has Become One of the Most Unpredictable in Recent Years
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote in a post on July 23 (local time) that the Fed’s July policy meeting will be one of the most difficult to predict in recent years.Risi
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Analysis: U.S. initial jobless claims fell sharply last week, and the job market remains stable.
Svmuu News: The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell sharply last week, indicating that the U.S. job market remains stable and that Federal Reserve officials need to continue focusing on
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Head of Research at Grayscale: If the Fed Stops Raising Interest Rates, Bitcoin's Price May Have Already Bottomed Out
Svmuu News: Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, wrote that there are currently two main views on when the Bitcoin bear market will end: one follows the “four-year cycle,” and the other views Bi
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: To Build a High-Win-Rate Trading Framework for Gold, It Is Necessary to Combine Data from CME and CFTC Open Interest Reports, Among Other Sources
Svmuu News: Recently, Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, shared advanced strategies for trading gold. He pointed out that to develop a high-win-rate gold trading strategy, traders must look bey
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Semiconductor Stocks Face Several Key Events Over the Next Two Weeks, with AI Capital Expenditures Taking Center Stage
Svmuu News: Paradis Labs posted on X stating that it is currently difficult to determine whether semiconductor stocks have bottomed out. Most AI infrastructure-related stocks rose that day, with SIVE,
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Yields on 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit two-month highs as rising oil prices fuel inflation concerns
Svmuu News: The U.S. Treasury market fell, with yields on 10-year and 30-year Treasuries rising to their highest levels in about two months. Surging crude oil prices fueled market concerns that inflat
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All 104 economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%.
Svmuu News: According to a Reuters survey, all 104 economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% on July 29. Of the 104 economists, 78 (compared with 78
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Bitcoin Probability of Bitcoin Reaching $67,500 in July Rises to 70%; Spot ETFs See Net Inflows for 5 Consecutive Days
Svmuu News: Polymarket traders have raised the probability that Bitcoin will reach $67,500 in July to 70%, up from approximately 56% earlier this week.The current market probability of Bitcoin reachin
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Analysis: The U.S. Treasury yield curve may invert
Svmuu News: The yield spread between 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds is expected to narrow further in the coming months, according to Capital Economics, which noted that escalating tensions in
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QCP Market: Oil Prices and Fed Expectations Weigh on Risk Assets; BTC Trades in a Narrow Range
Svmuu News: QCP Market reports that global market sentiment has shifted toward risk aversion due to the situation in the Middle East and expectations of a hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve.Followi
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WEEX Labs: This Week, U.S. Stocks Will Focus on Q2 Earnings Reports and Fed Expectations; Macroeconomic Data Is Relatively Limited
Svmuu News: This week, the focus of the U.S. stock market will shift to the second-quarter earnings reports from tech giants such as Alphabet, Tesla, and Intel. At the same time, attention will be on
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The President of the Cleveland Fed Hints at the Need for Rate Hikes to Combat Inflation; Markets See a 65% Probability of a Rate Hike in September
Svmuu News: Hamack, President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, recently hinted that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to curb persistently high inflation. Currently, interest
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U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Rises to 54.4; Declining Inflation Expectations Offer Relief to the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Samuel Tombs of Pantheon noted that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 54.4 from 49.5 in June, exceeding economists’ expectations of 50.5 but remaining below last
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The cost of hedging against the U.S. dollar has fallen to its lowest level this year, as the market bets that risks to the reserve currency are limited in the short term
Svmuu News: As the market assesses a lower likelihood of a major shock to the U.S. dollar in the short term, the cost for investors to hedge against dollar volatility has fallen to its lowest level th
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Fed’s Hamak: There Is No Conflict Between the Fed’s Dual Mandates
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Hammack stated that there is no conflict between the Fed’s dual mandates. Persistently high inflation is the greater cause for concern. The labor market is nearing
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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USD/KRW is up 1.16% from its previous close, currently trading at 1,356.9045
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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WTI crude oil is up 2.54% from its previous close, currently trading at $90.764.
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