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HSBC said Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, prompting markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.
HSBC states that Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, driving markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. The bank anticipates another set of soft in
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Gold prices hit over two-month highs, with spot gold at $4407.79/ounce, influenced by Strait of Hormuz negotiations and attention on US inflation data.
Spot gold (XAU/USD) rose 0.4% to $4407.79 per ounce, and gold futures increased 1.1% to $4467.59. This followed an unexpected decline in US July non-farm payroll data, which propelled gold prices to j
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MUFG Bank warns dollar at risk of falling due to Fed's unclear rate path amid Middle East energy shock, despite DXY rising 0.1% to 99.895
MUFG Bank’s Derek Halpenny stated that the dollar is at risk of falling given the lack of confidence in how the Federal Reserve will respond to the energy-price shock driven by the Middle East conflic
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could raise interest rates using two nontraditional methods: removing forward guidance and deleveraging the Fed's balance sheet.
The Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and policymakers have two methods to influence interest rates without adjusting the federal funds target rate. First, Warsh has already removed forward-looking gu
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South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics up about 5%, as sentiment in the tech sector stabilized; oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive day, rekindling inflation concerns, while gold fell 0.3% to $4376/ounce.
Driven by relatively optimistic sentiment in the technology sector, South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics gaining approximately 5%, boosted by expectations of shareh
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Most inflation forecasters expect July core CPI to round down to 0.2%
Nick Timiraos, a Federal Reserve correspondent, noted that given recent Fedspeak, the core PCE inflation measure in the next few months could be important in determining whether policymakers maintain
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Cleveland Fed President Hamack: Inflation will not fall back on its own; current interest rates are not restrictive enough, and multiple rate hikes may be needed.
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hamack said on Monday that multiple interest rate hikes may be needed to bring inflation down to the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but she did not want to preju
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Mercatus Center Senior Research Fellow Honig stated that the Federal Reserve is currently taking a wait-and-see approach, and upcoming inflation data will be a key determinant of its future policy.
Thomas Hoenig, a senior fellow at the Mercatus Center, stated that the Federal Reserve is currently maintaining a cautious wait-and-see approach, awaiting the upcoming inflation reports, including the
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Trump spoke to Federal Reserve's Warsh a couple days ago
Trump spoke to Federal Reserve's Warsh a couple days ago
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Cleveland Fed's Hammack: More than one interest rate hike will be needed to bring down inflation
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack stated on Monday that she anticipates multiple interest rate hikes will be required to rein in what she describes as broadening inflation. Hammack, who
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The Japanese Yen rose to 158.93 against the US Dollar, a new high for the month, after joint intervention by Japan and the United States failed to prevent the Yen from weakening.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) rose to 158.93 against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, reaching a new high for the month, after Japan and the United States jointly conducted their first coordinated intervention
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CFRA raises 12-month S&P 500 target to 8,650
CFRA has increased its 12-month S&P 500 target to 8,650 from 7,730, which implies nearly 12% upside from August 7. The firm also lifted its 2026 year-end target to 8,050. Strategist Sam Stovall noted
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist: The Federal Reserve's Future Policy Decisions Will Focus More on Inflation Data Than Employment, Expects Further Cooling of Inflation
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated on August 7 that the Federal Reserve might prioritize inflation data over employment data in future policy decisions. He believes that June's inflation
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Goldman Sachs co-head of global banking and markets Ashok Varadhan advised investors to stay invested, expecting the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates this year, oil prices to fall below $70/barrel, and the economy to benefit from AI.
Goldman Sachs co-head of global banking and markets Ashok Varadhan advised investors to stay invested, expecting the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates this year, oil prices to fall below $70
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Former IMF economist Robin Brooks argues Bitcoin is not a safe haven like gold, citing its underperformance during debasement cycle
Brooks, a prominent macro voice, posted on X that Bitcoin "isn't part of the debasement trade," noting gold's 10% gain in the past ten days while Bitcoin did not follow. He traces the debasement trade
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Kalshi traders price July CPI at 3.3% ahead of Wednesday's release; September Fed hike odds fall to 46% from 67% after weak payrolls
Kalshi traders price July CPI at 3.3% ahead of Wednesday's release; September Fed hike odds fall to 46% from 67% after weak payrolls
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Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh Completes Required Divestments
According to a government ethics filing, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has sold all remaining financial holdings he pledged to divest upon taking office in May. He had already disposed of most ass
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has maintained interest rates unchanged for two consecutive meetings since taking office in 2026, and analysts believe his cautious approach may lead the Federal Reserve to postpone interest rate hikes.
Since taking office in May this year, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has opted to maintain interest rates at two consecutive Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. Warsh has adopted a cauti
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State Street Investment Management President and CEO Yie-Hsin Hung says the Federal Reserve should not raise interest rates this year.
Hung added that gold and private markets are anchoring many portfolios, noting the US economy is in good shape.
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Bitmine's Ethereum purchases slowed to a year-low last week, as capital was redirected to stock buybacks
Bitmine Immersion (BMNR), the largest holder of Ethereum, purchased 7,391 Ethereum last week, valued at approximately $14.2 million, bringing its total holdings to over 5.8 million Ethereum, which acc
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Silver (SI=F) September futures rose to $64.03/ounce by 8:34 a.m. ET on Monday, having opened up 0.5% at $63.80/ounce.
Silver prices have continued to rally since Friday's weak jobs report, leading many investors to reduce expectations of a rate increase next month. However, two key inflation reports later this week w
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Fed September Rate Hike of 25 Basis Points Looks 'Virtually Certain' Amid 3.8% CPI and Rising Treasury Yields
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recently hit 3.8%, marking the sharpest increase in three years and significantly exceeding the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Concurrently, 30-year Treasury yields have r
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Analysis points out a paradox in the Federal Reserve's policy: tightening credit for the private sector while remaining tolerant of expanding government deficits.
Wallstreetcn.com analysis points out that the Federal Reserve has failed to achieve its dual mandate over the past five years, with inflation consistently deviating from the 2% target, and small and m
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S&P 500 hits record high as weak jobs report boosts Federal Reserve pause expectations; Iran nuclear deal talks stall, oil prices rise
U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as investors weighed the S&P 500's record high and uncertainty surrounding a resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict. S&P 500 futures rose 0.12%, and Nasda
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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