Federal Reserve
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Analysis indicates that the market currently anticipates a 53% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September, and recommends FDRR, a dividend fund designed to navigate a rising rate environment.
According to Yahoo Finance analysis, the market currently anticipates a 53% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its September meeting (Polymarket data), while futures markets
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The Motley Fool Analyst Predicts Gold Will Rebound to Over $5,000 Per Ounce Before Year-End
Analyst David Jagielski believes gold will return to its record highs, citing concerns about the stock market, potential interest rate hikes by the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh, ongoing U.S.-Iran deal ch
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MarketWatch analysis: Fed's rate hike decision hinges on July CPI report
According to MarketWatch analysis, the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision will largely depend on the July consumer-price index (CPI) report, which is due out Wednesday. While a surprisi
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Dimon warns investors: Inflation may not decline due to strong spending in AI sector
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated that strong spending in artificial intelligence (AI) could prevent inflation from falling and might prompt Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to raise interest
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Silver futures opened 1% higher on Tuesday at $65.94/ounce, breaking above $65 for the first time since June, influenced by employment data and the situation in Iran.
Silver September futures reached $65.45 at 8:00 AM ET on Tuesday. The surge was primarily driven by last week's employment report, which reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in Septem
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Laura Cooper, global investment strategist at Nuveen, believes the Federal Reserve will take a wait-and-see approach to interest rates.
Nuveen Global Investment Strategist Laura Cooper discussed the rise in real yields and the Federal Reserve's rationale for tightening policy on Bloomberg, and expressed the above views in this context
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid calls inflation his primary concern, advocates for tighter policy; US 30-year fixed mortgage rate rises to 6.69%
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated in an August 4 speech that inflation is his primary concern, deeming it "too high" and requiring "tighter policy" to bring it back to the Feder
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Fidelity's Director of Global Macro, Timmer, warns: Rising US Treasury yields are competing for funds with risk assets like stocks and Bitcoin, and history shows market corrections are often painful.
CoinDesk cited an analysis by Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity Investments' director of global macro, pointing out that U.S. government bond yields (the risk-free rate in financial markets) are rising again,
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HSBC said Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, prompting markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes.
HSBC states that Wednesday's US CPI report could be the next dovish catalyst, driving markets to further reduce expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. The bank anticipates another set of soft in
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Gold prices hit over two-month highs, with spot gold at $4407.79/ounce, influenced by Strait of Hormuz negotiations and attention on US inflation data.
Spot gold (XAU/USD) rose 0.4% to $4407.79 per ounce, and gold futures increased 1.1% to $4467.59. This followed an unexpected decline in US July non-farm payroll data, which propelled gold prices to j
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MUFG Bank warns dollar at risk of falling due to Fed's unclear rate path amid Middle East energy shock, despite DXY rising 0.1% to 99.895
MUFG Bank’s Derek Halpenny stated that the dollar is at risk of falling given the lack of confidence in how the Federal Reserve will respond to the energy-price shock driven by the Middle East conflic
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could raise interest rates using two nontraditional methods: removing forward guidance and deleveraging the Fed's balance sheet.
The Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and policymakers have two methods to influence interest rates without adjusting the federal funds target rate. First, Warsh has already removed forward-looking gu
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South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics up about 5%, as sentiment in the tech sector stabilized; oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive day, rekindling inflation concerns, while gold fell 0.3% to $4376/ounce.
Driven by relatively optimistic sentiment in the technology sector, South Korea's Kospi index rose 1.2% on Tuesday, with Samsung Electronics gaining approximately 5%, boosted by expectations of shareh
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Most inflation forecasters expect July core CPI to round down to 0.2%
Nick Timiraos, a Federal Reserve correspondent, noted that given recent Fedspeak, the core PCE inflation measure in the next few months could be important in determining whether policymakers maintain
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Cleveland Fed President Hamack: Inflation will not fall back on its own; current interest rates are not restrictive enough, and multiple rate hikes may be needed.
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hamack said on Monday that multiple interest rate hikes may be needed to bring inflation down to the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but she did not want to preju
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Mercatus Center Senior Research Fellow Honig stated that the Federal Reserve is currently taking a wait-and-see approach, and upcoming inflation data will be a key determinant of its future policy.
Thomas Hoenig, a senior fellow at the Mercatus Center, stated that the Federal Reserve is currently maintaining a cautious wait-and-see approach, awaiting the upcoming inflation reports, including the
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Trump spoke to Federal Reserve's Warsh a couple days ago
Trump spoke to Federal Reserve's Warsh a couple days ago
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Cleveland Fed's Hammack: More than one interest rate hike will be needed to bring down inflation
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack stated on Monday that she anticipates multiple interest rate hikes will be required to rein in what she describes as broadening inflation. Hammack, who
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The Japanese Yen rose to 158.93 against the US Dollar, a new high for the month, after joint intervention by Japan and the United States failed to prevent the Yen from weakening.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) rose to 158.93 against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, reaching a new high for the month, after Japan and the United States jointly conducted their first coordinated intervention
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CFRA raises 12-month S&P 500 target to 8,650
CFRA has increased its 12-month S&P 500 target to 8,650 from 7,730, which implies nearly 12% upside from August 7. The firm also lifted its 2026 year-end target to 8,050. Strategist Sam Stovall noted
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Goldman Sachs Chief Economist: The Federal Reserve's Future Policy Decisions Will Focus More on Inflation Data Than Employment, Expects Further Cooling of Inflation
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated on August 7 that the Federal Reserve might prioritize inflation data over employment data in future policy decisions. He believes that June's inflation
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Goldman Sachs co-head of global banking and markets Ashok Varadhan advised investors to stay invested, expecting the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates this year, oil prices to fall below $70/barrel, and the economy to benefit from AI.
Goldman Sachs co-head of global banking and markets Ashok Varadhan advised investors to stay invested, expecting the Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates this year, oil prices to fall below $70
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Former IMF economist Robin Brooks argues Bitcoin is not a safe haven like gold, citing its underperformance during debasement cycle
Brooks, a prominent macro voice, posted on X that Bitcoin "isn't part of the debasement trade," noting gold's 10% gain in the past ten days while Bitcoin did not follow. He traces the debasement trade
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Kalshi traders price July CPI at 3.3% ahead of Wednesday's release; September Fed hike odds fall to 46% from 67% after weak payrolls
Kalshi traders price July CPI at 3.3% ahead of Wednesday's release; September Fed hike odds fall to 46% from 67% after weak payrolls
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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2
ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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USD/KRW is up 1.16% from its previous close, currently trading at 1,356.9045
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WTI crude oil is up 2.54% from its previous close, currently trading at $90.764.
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