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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rose above 5.31% on Monday, reaching its highest level since June 2007.
Previously, the U.S. Treasury completed an auction of $25 billion in 30-year bonds at a yield of 5.216%, the highest rate for a similar auction since 2001. Deep-seated market concerns about expanding
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An economist at the SF Fed estimates the medium-run neutral rate to be around 1.5%, suggesting current monetary policy is accommodative if underlying inflation is at least 2.5%.
An economist at the SF Fed estimates the medium-run neutral rate to be around 1.5%, suggesting current monetary policy is accommodative if underlying inflation is at least 2.5%.
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RBC Capital Markets' Lori Calvasina Sees S&P 500 Upside Despite Fed Policy Uncertainty and Rate Hike Risks
Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, believes that concerns over Federal Reserve policy uncertainty, potential rate hikes, and valuation may not be enough to derail the c
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Man Group Chief Market Strategist Kristina Hooper Says Inflation Will Persistently Stay Above Fed's Target
Man Group Chief Market Strategist Kristina Hooper Says Inflation Will Persistently Stay Above Fed's Target
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Citadel Securities says spiking yields reflect Fed policy risk, as the Fed's reluctance to tighten keeps long-term bond yields at multiyear highs
Citadel Securities says spiking yields reflect Fed policy risk, as the Fed's reluctance to tighten keeps long-term bond yields at multiyear highs
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U.S. government bond yields rise, as market focuses on Federal Reserve meeting minutes and Jackson Hole Symposium
U.S. government bond yields rise, as market focuses on Federal Reserve meeting minutes and Jackson Hole Symposium
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Silver (SI=F) September futures opened at $65.06 per ounce on Monday, down 0.1% from Friday's close, then rose to $65.32 by 9:05 a.m. ET, supported by softening consumer spending data.
The precious metal has gained 17.1% over the past month. Signs of declining retail sales and consumer sentiment, reported last week, are seen as lowering the immediate risk of Federal Reserve rate inc
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Wells Fargo Investment Institute reverses forecast, now expects the Fed to hike rates by 25 bps in 2026 and another 25 bps in 2027, taking the federal funds rate to 4.00%–4.25%.
Wells Fargo Investment Institute reverses forecast, now expects the Fed to hike rates by 25 bps in 2026 and another 25 bps in 2027, taking the federal funds rate to 4.00%–4.25%.
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BNY Investments Newton's Gude Expects Fed to Keep Rates The Same
Ella Gude, BNY Investments Newton Head of Fixed Income & Co-Head of Real Return, outlined her expectations for the Fed’s near-term rate policy on Bloomberg's "Bloomberg Brief" program.
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U.S. stock futures were broadly lower on Monday, with Dow Jones Industrial Average futures down 0.2% and S&P 500 futures down 0.17%, after the S&P 500 index hit a record high last week.
U.S. equity futures were broadly lower early Monday, after the S&P 500 posted its third consecutive weekly gain and closed at a record high last week. Market sentiment was boosted by a strong second-q
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An investor more than triples their holdings in high-yield stock PennantPark Floating Rate Capital (PFLT), which has a 13.2% dividend yield.
Investor Sean Williams states that his holdings in the business development company (BDC) PennantPark Floating Rate Capital (PFLT) have grown by 242% since the beginning of the year. He believes that
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US stock futures waver ahead of retail earnings; Dow slips 0.1%, Nasdaq rises 0.4%, S&P 500 flat
Investors are weighing the Federal Reserve's next policy move and awaiting a slate of retail earnings this week, including Walmart, Target, Lowe's, and Home Depot. Traders have pulled back the odds of
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Treasury Yields Fall as Investors Await Latest FOMC Minutes; 10-Year Yield Drops Over 2 Bps to 4.6743%
On Monday, Treasury yields moved lower as traders looked ahead to the latest FOMC minutes, which are due to be released on Wednesday. The 10-year Treasury note yield fell over 2 basis points to 4.6743
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EU Crypto Operators Face Sunday Deadline to Cease Trading With 14 Designated Crypto Platforms
EU crypto operators face a Sunday deadline to cease transactions with 14 designated crypto platforms, marking the clearest regulatory milestone this week. Additionally, the market this week will focus
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Goldman Sachs Says September Fed Interest-Rate Increase Is 'Very Unlikely' Due to Soft Economic Data
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius told clients that the firm lowered the odds of a September Federal Reserve interest-rate increase in response to a string of soft economic data, specifically
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U.S. government bond yields fell as investors lowered their expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike after weak retail sales data for July.
Investors lowered their expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes after weak retail sales data in July, leading to lower U.S. government bond yields.
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Emerging-market currency gauge hits record high of 1,906.98, up 0.2%, as Fed hike bets cool
The rise was supported by a weaker dollar, as softer US data reduced expectations for Federal Reserve tightening, spurring demand for risk assets.
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Goldman Sachs says market bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes are still too aggressive given cooling inflation in the world's largest economy
Goldman Sachs says market bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes are still too aggressive given cooling inflation in the world's largest economy
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U.S. stock futures little changed as investors ponder the Fed’s next move
U.S. stock futures little changed as investors ponder the Fed’s next move
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The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes will reveal internal interest rate debates, with three officials supporting a 25 basis point hike.
The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes will reveal internal interest rate debates, with three officials supporting a 25 basis point hike. Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, exp
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Global interest rate hikes pose a greater threat to bonds than the Federal Reserve, as markets anticipate faster rate increases in multiple countries compared to the US.
Global markets are bracing for further policy tightening, putting pressure on bond markets, as investors debate whether and when the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. Traders expect borrowing
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Investigative journalist Bethany McLean: S&P 500 index funds have become a concentrated AI bet, not diversified investments.
Veteran investigative journalist Bethany McLean states that S&P 500 index funds are heavily skewed towards "hyperscale companies," making them a concentrated bet on the AI economy rather than offering
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Gold's volatile 2026 ride may continue, driven by Fed expectations and central bank buying
Gold has seen significant swings this year, hitting a record high of approximately $5,589 an ounce on January 28 before falling over 18%. The metal recently posted its best week since January, gaining
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: Recent inflation data is encouraging, but I want to see more sustained evidence of cooling to confirm inflation is steadily returning to the 2% target.
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee said on Friday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings this summer have made him optimistic, showing that a series of price disturbances, such as
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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