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US July PCE Price Index rises 0.2% M/M and 3.7% Y/Y, both exceeding estimates; Core PCE matches expectations at 0.2% M/M and 3.3% Y/Y
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for July increased by 0.2% month-over-month, surpassing the estimated 0.1% rise. Annually, the PCE Price Index climbed 3.7%, also above the 3
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Gold price pulls back from morning high of $4,730.90 to $4,674.60 as of 7:51 a.m. ET on Wednesday
Gold December futures opened at $4,715.70 per troy ounce on Wednesday, up 0.5% from Tuesday's close, and briefly touched $4,730.90 in early trading. The precious metal has rallied following the U.S. T
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Four Fed regional bank boards sought rate hike before July 2026 hold, minutes show internal divisions
Discount rate minutes released Tuesday revealed that directors at four Federal Reserve regional banks (Cleveland, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and Dallas) voted to increase the primary credit rate by a q
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US stock index futures flat before PCE data and NVIDIA earnings, oil prices fall
U.S. stock index futures showed a subdued performance on Wednesday, as investors awaited the release of the U.S. July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index and NVIDIA's second-quarter ea
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NatWest revives US expansion plans, receiving Fed approval to open a representative office in Connecticut – FT report
According to the Financial Times, NatWest is seeking to rebuild its position in the US, marking its first notable expansion effort there since the financial crisis. This move is supported by recent ch
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A Reuters poll shows Wall Street expects the S&P 500 index to rise to 7,900 points by the end of 2026, about 3% higher than current levels.
Optimism is primarily supported by strong corporate earnings, booming artificial intelligence investments, and the potential easing of tensions between the US and Iran. However, strategists warn that
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CoinDesk identifies three key catalysts that could influence Bitcoin's next move this week, including US July PCE data, Nvidia's Q2 earnings, and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.
CoinDesk's 'Daybook' newsletter highlights these macro events as crucial for Bitcoin's price action. The US July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflat
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U.S. July PCE inflation data will be released tonight, with core and overall inflation rates expected to remain above 3%.
The U.S. will release July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data later on Wednesday (26th). The market expects annualized core and headline inflation rates to remain above 3%, far exc
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Economist MacAdam from Capital Economics: European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Schnabel emphasizes need for further rate hikes to tackle inflation risks
Simon MacAdam, Deputy Chief Global Economist at Capital Economics, stated on Bloomberg that European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Isabel Schnabel emphasized the need for further interes
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Treasuries Edge Lower Before PCE Data With Fed Risks in Focus
Treasuries Edge Lower Before PCE Data With Fed Risks in Focus
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Trump administration demands Fed Governor Lisa Cook respond by Wednesday to removal case, citing a mortgage document misstatement as cause
The White House is pursuing Cook's removal, arguing a misstatement on a mortgage document years ago constitutes adequate cause. Cook, appointed by former President Joe Biden, calls the effort a pretex
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U.S. stock futures hold steady ahead of key inflation data and NVIDIA earnings, core PCE expected to remain at 3.3%
Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 index futures were largely flat in pre-market trading, while Nasdaq100 index futures fell 0.2%. Investors are awaiting the release of personal consumption expe
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The policy objectives of the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve are now clearly diverging, and the market is focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole this Friday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced last week that the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks would at least double, an attempt to suppress continuously rising long-end yields, but with limi
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US PCE inflation data due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, with headline PCE expected to ease to 3.6% and core PCE forecast to remain at 3.3%
US PCE inflation data due today at 8:30 a.m. ET, with headline PCE expected to ease to 3.6% and core PCE forecast to remain at 3.3%. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge could shape interes
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Bitcoin's rally loses momentum around $80,000, up 22% since Aug. 20, as traders await US inflation data and Fed signals
Bitcoin's rally loses momentum around $80,000, up 22% since Aug. 20, as traders await US inflation data and Fed signals. Strong ETF inflows have supported the rally, but profit-taking and overbought c
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Fundstrat's Tom Lee says S&P 500 needs to clear three hurdles this week to rally towards 7,900-8,000
Fundstrat managing partner and research head Tom Lee believes the S&P 500 benchmark could rally towards the 7,900 to 8,000 level if the market successfully navigates three major events this week. Thes
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DXY edged higher, as markets await the US July PCE data and the Jackson Hole Symposium.
The DXY (US Dollar Index) rose 0.1% to 98.997, as the market closely watches the US July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, to be released a
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Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, will speak for the first time this Friday at the Jackson Hole conference, with the market focusing on policy coordination with the Treasury on long-end yields.
Kevin Warsh's speech was his first public statement since the controversial July interest rate decision. Previously, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent directly intervened in the market last week by
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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Analyst Louis Navellier stated before the NVIDIA earnings report that despite NVIDIA's potential to dominate the market for over 20 years, its stock rating is a "C," with an estimated price of $500 by the end of this decade.
Navellier noted that NVIDIA is increasingly vertically integrating data center development, which will ensure its market dominance. However, its stock rating is "C" due to factors including lower earn
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The Federal Reserve's voting member next year, Barkin, warns: US national debt surpasses $40 trillion, debt expansion may lead investors to sell US bonds.
Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin (a 2027 FOMC voting member) stated that the continuous expansion of U.S. government debt could eventually lead to bond buyers exiting the market. He de
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Democratic Lawmakers Urge Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to Maintain 8 FOMC Meetings Annually, Fearing Weakened Policy Responsiveness
Democratic Lawmakers Urge Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to Maintain 8 FOMC Meetings Annually, Fearing Weakened Policy Responsiveness
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Abby Joseph Cohen Warns Uneven Consumer Spending Signals US Economic Issues, AI Investing May Not Be Sustainable
Abby Joseph Cohen, a Columbia Business School professor and former partner at Goldman Sachs, stated that recent consumer spending patterns indicate problems with the U.S. economy. Speaking on "Bloombe
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Four of 12 Fed Banks Voted to Increase Discount Rate in July, Fed Minutes Show
Four of 12 Fed Banks Voted to Increase Discount Rate in July, Fed Minutes Show
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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