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Federal Reserve
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Analysis indicates a shift in market expectations for the Federal Reserve's 2026 interest rates, with CME FedWatch showing most traders anticipate a rate hike in October or December.
Previously, market expectations were for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026, but due to factors such as tariffs, rising inflation, geopolitical conflicts, and an economic slowdown, curr
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Traders now see a September Fed rate hike more likely than a continued hold
Traders now see a September Fed rate hike more likely than a continued hold
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Markets sharply repriced September Fed decision after Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with 25bp hike odds jumping from 30% to 49%
Markets sharply repriced September Fed decision after Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with 25bp hike odds jumping from 30% to 49%
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US stocks rose in early trading on Friday, with the Dow up 0.1%, as investors focused on comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and other major stock indexes rose in early trading on Friday, as investors prepared for a key speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole confe
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The Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh: Must be confident that underlying inflation is moving towards the target, otherwise 'we still have work to do.'
The Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh: Must be confident that underlying inflation is moving towards the target, otherwise 'we still have work to do.'
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Former Kansas City Fed President George: Warsh needs to respond to inflation because it is not developing in the direction the Federal Reserve expects.
Former Kansas City Fed President Esther George said former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh will face pressure to show how the Federal Reserve will respond to inflation, as inflation has stopped c
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Gold prices hold steady at $4,650.90/ounce on Friday, August 28, after opening down 0.2% at $4,656, as markets await Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech.
Gold December futures opened at $4,656 per troy ounce, down 0.2% from Thursday's closing price. The precious metal's price remains consistent this morning ahead of new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's pivotal
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FED'S HAMMACK: INFLATION WILL END YEAR AROUND 3%, NOT MEETING TARGET
FED'S HAMMACK: INFLATION WILL END YEAR AROUND 3%, NOT MEETING TARGET
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Japan intervened in the foreign exchange market with a record $96.4 billion over the past month, receiving rare endorsement from the United States.
Data released by Japan's Ministry of Finance on Friday showed that the government spent a cumulative 15.4 trillion yen (approximately $96.4 billion) to intervene in the foreign exchange market between
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Silver September futures rise to $71.13/ounce today, up from $69.35 open, ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech
Silver September futures opened at $69.35 per ounce on Friday, August 28, down 0.1% from Thursday's close, but moved higher to reach $71.13 as of 7:57 a.m. ET. Investors are closely watching the marke
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Economist Sahm Says Fed Should Start Raising Rates Amid Shifting US Inflation Picture
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, stated on Bloomberg Surveillance that it would be “most appropriate” for the Federal Reserve to start raising rates, citing a “shifting in the in
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Markets are focused on gaining clarity on inflation ahead of Federal Reserve Chair's speech at Jackson Hole
Bloomberg's Vonnie Quinn discussed with a strategist what markets are looking for from the Federal Reserve Chair's speech at Jackson Hole.
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Academy Securities' Peter Tchir says US Treasury market dynamics are driven by supply and demand, not bond vigilantes, ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.
Academy Securities' Peter Tchir says US Treasury market dynamics are driven by supply and demand, not bond vigilantes, ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech.
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Global Bond Yields Rise, with Germany's 10-Year Bund Yield Hitting a 15-Year High Ahead of Fed's Warsh Speech
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Friday ahead of a keenly awaited speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole symposium. Eurozone bonds remained vulnerable to elevated energy prices
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BofA strategists say Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech could flatten US yield curve, boost risk appetite and dollar
Bank of America Corp. strategists believe that if Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's upcoming Jackson Hole speech is successful, it could flatten the US yield curve, bolster risk appetite, and suppor
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Global Market Risks Converge in September: the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), and Bank of Japan (BOJ) to Hold Intensive Policy Meetings; Anthropic's Hundred-Billion-Dollar IPO May Test the AI Sector
As the holiday season concludes, markets are bracing for a high-risk September. The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), and Bank of Japan (BOJ) will hold their monetary policy meetings conse
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Former Reserve Bank of India Governor Rajan: The Federal Reserve Should Hike Rates to Curb Accelerating Inflation
Former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan said the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates to curb accelerating inflation. Rajan, who is also a member of a task force reviewing the Fede
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UBS: Gold's upward logic has shifted from "interest rate trade" to "dollar depreciation trade," with medium-to-long-term upside risks rising but 2026 target price lowered.
UBS noted in its precious metals research report on August 27 that gold has seen a strong rebound of 17% so far in August, with its driving logic fundamentally shifting from the traditional "interest
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The Nikkei Index rose 0.4% to 66378.90 points, led by IT services stocks, driven by the overnight rally in US technology stocks.
The Nikkei 225 rose 0.4% to 66378.90 points, led by IT services stocks, driven by the overnight rally in US tech stocks. Fujitsu gained 4.2%, and NEC Corporation rose 3.8%. Investors are awaiting rema
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Seoul stocks open lower, KOSPI down 0.95% to 6,846.54, despite US rally as investors await Fed clues
Seoul stocks opened lower Friday, with the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) falling 0.95% to 6,846.54, bucking overnight gains on Wall Street. Major US indexes closed higher, with t
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Asian Stocks Set to Edge Lower as Investors Brace for Fed Chair's Jackson Hole Speech
Asian stocks were set to open mildly lower Friday as investors braced for Federal Reserve Chair's speech in Jackson Hole, where some expect a hawkish tone.
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Bloomberg Opinion Columnist Kathryn Anne Edwards Criticizes Fed Chair Warsh's Data Task Force as a 'Missed Opportunity and Step Backward'
Edwards' comments come after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh announced the formation of a data task force last month, which she views as a detrimental move for jobs data.
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JPMorgan Chase strategist Jack Manley expects that Federal Reserve's Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole will not provide clear information on the interest rate path.
Jack Manley, a global market strategist at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management, stated that he does not believe Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole will provide any information r
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Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Kelley Gerrity expects market to be disappointed by Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech
Morgan Stanley Investment Management's Kelley Gerrity expects market to be disappointed by Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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