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Federal Reserve
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Prediction market Kalshi shows a low probability of Federal Reserve Chair Warsh mentioning "bond market" or "rate cuts" at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.
As of Thursday afternoon, prediction market traders put the probability of Warsh mentioning "bond market" at the Jackson Hole annual meeting early Friday at just 16%, "yield curve" at 8%, and "rate cu
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid warns: Payment innovation will be "highly disruptive" and could impact financial stability
Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid stated in an interview ahead of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium that innovations such as stablecoins, blockchain, and instant payments will bring "highly disr
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Federal Reserve Board issues consent prohibition order against former Banco Popular de Puerto Rico employee Gadiel Rosario-Alvarado for misappropriation of customer funds
Federal Reserve Board issues consent prohibition order against former Banco Popular de Puerto Rico employee Gadiel Rosario-Alvarado for misappropriation of customer funds
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Fed's Hammack says 'now is the time to act' on raising interest rates
Fed's Hammack says 'now is the time to act' on raising interest rates
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Crypto traders await Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech; one analyst expects a tough stance on inflation but no rate hikes until after November mid-terms
Crypto traders await Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech; one analyst expects a tough stance on inflation but no rate hikes until after November mid-terms
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Silver September futures opened at $68.09/ounce on Thursday, up 0.1% after inflation report, reaching $68.99
Silver September futures opened at $68.09 per ounce on Thursday, August 27, 2026, up 0.1% from Wednesday's closing price, and reached $68.99 by 8:17 a.m. ET. This followed the Personal Consumption Exp
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Fed's Goolsbee says three-month inflation 'doesn't look terrible'
Fed's Goolsbee says three-month inflation 'doesn't look terrible'
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The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee: The biggest short-term concern is inflation not being under control
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee: The biggest short-term concern is inflation not being under control
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The dollar recovered some losses after Kansas City Fed President Schmid stated that current interest rates remain accommodative.
DXY rose about 0.3% to 99.158 on Thursday, recouping some of last week's losses, as investors focused on the Federal Reserve's policy path ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium. This followed data showi
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Fed's Goolsbee says political pressure on Fed 'puts me on edge'
Fed's Goolsbee says political pressure on Fed 'puts me on edge'
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid: Current interest rates may still be too accommodative; midterm elections will not affect October's decision.
Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid stated at Jackson Hole on August 27 that given inflation remains significantly above the 2% target (the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge rose 3.7% year
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid on Kevin Warsh's First Jackson Hole Meeting
Kansas City Fed President and CEO Schmid said in an interview that markets will be closely watching new Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's Friday speech at this year's Jackson Hole conference for signs of
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Fed's Schmid: Energy Shock Is Leaking Into Economy
Fed's Schmid: Energy Shock Is Leaking Into Economy
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Federal Reserve official Schmid stated that inflation is stubborn and sticky.
Federal Reserve official Schmid stated that inflation is stubborn and sticky.
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Traders increased hedges against a potentially larger rebound in the dollar following Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech on Friday.
Currency traders are increasing hedges against further dollar gains ahead of a key speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday.
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US government bond yields edged lower, with the 10-year yield falling 2 basis points to 4.645%, as the market focused on employment data and remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh.
On Thursday, US government bond yields edged lower, with the benchmark 10-year government bond yield falling 2 basis points to 4.645%, the 30-year government bond yield dropping 2 basis points to 5.16
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Bitcoin dips below $79,000, XRP leads losses as traders increase bets on a Fed rate hike
Bitcoin fell almost 1% to just under $79,000 in Asian morning hours Thursday, after briefly trading above $80,000 for the first time since May. XRP saw the largest decline among major tokens, dropping
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Fed Governor Lisa Cook denies mortgage fraud allegations, stating Trump has no grounds to remove her from office
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook on Wednesday denied White House allegations that she had committed mortgage fraud. Cook's attorney, Abbe Lowell, stated that an inadvertent error is not fraud, addin
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Lawyers for Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook Push Back on Donald Trump's Renewed Threat to Fire Her, Calling Mortgage Fraud Allegations "Baseless and Untrue"
Lawyers for Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook sent a letter to the White House on Wednesday, refuting Donald Trump's renewed efforts to fire her. The lawyers stated that the mortgage fraud allegation
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Gold prices consolidate above $4,600 as investors weigh the Federal Reserve's interest rate path
Gold prices consolidated above $4,600 as investors weighed the Federal Reserve's handling of stubborn inflation ahead of the annual Jackson Hole meeting.
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US July PCE rose 3.7% year-on-year, higher than expected, while core PCE remained flat at 3.3%, showing no signs of cooling. Market expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve have risen to approximately 40%.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Wednesday showed that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, higher than market expectations of 3.6
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced an expansion of the long-term US Treasury buyback program, which analysts say could challenge Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently announced that the Treasury will expand its long-term bond buyback program from approximately $2 billion to at least $4 billion per month, aiming to alle
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U.S. July PCE Price Index Rose 0.2% MoM and 3.7% YoY, Both Slightly Higher Than Expected
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, increased by a seasonally adjusted 0.2% month-over-month and 3.7% year-over-year in July. Both
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
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