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Bitcoin and Gold Fall After Fed Chair Warsh's Hawkish Speech; BTC's Correlation to Gold Rises Above 50% While Nasdaq Link Weakens
Bitcoin and Gold Fall After Fed Chair Warsh's Hawkish Speech; BTC's Correlation to Gold Rises Above 50% While Nasdaq Link Weakens
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Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Ferguson expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates twice more, warning that failing to meet the inflation target for five years could damage its credibility.
Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates twice more in the remainder of 2026 and early 2027, warning that the Fed has "missed its inflation target
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Barclays forecasts two Fed rate hikes in September and December, reversing prior view, after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech
Barclays now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September and December meetings, reversing its previous forecast of no changes for the rest of the year. This
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MUFG's Goncalves sees no urgency for Fed to hike despite Warsh's hawkish remarks
George Goncalves of MUFG discussed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks, stating that upcoming jobs and CPI data will be key for the outlook on inflation and interest rates. He also ex
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Silver opens 1.4% lower at $66.80 per ounce on Monday, August 31, amid rising rate-hike expectations
The precious metal's price decline comes as expectations for a Fed rate increase rise. This follows Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's reiteration on Friday of the Fed's mandate for lowering prices, stating the
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Analysts warn of S&P 500 September volatility despite historical gains, citing Fed hawkishness and market complacency
The S&P 500 has remained within 2% of its record high above 7,800 throughout August, with year-to-date gains of 12.72%. While September typically sees stock weakness, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick notes
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Fed Chair Warsh's Hawkish Shift Boosts Market Expectations for Rate Hike to Nearly 60% Next Month, Analyst Predicts September or October Increase
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's August 28 speech at Jackson Hole displayed a noticeable hawkish shift, emphasizing the need to monitor inflation and stating "We have work to do." This immediate
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US stock futures fall amid Federal Reserve concerns and US-Iran attack tensions.
US stock futures fall amid Federal Reserve concerns and US-Iran attack tensions.
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CNBC analyst Santoli warns investors to be on high alert heading into September, citing key market metrics nearing consequential thresholds
Mike Santoli points out that the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) has slipped below 15, moving towards "eerie complacency" territory. Additionally, the 10-year Treasury yield has nudged back above
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U.S. Dollar and Treasury Yields Decline, Reversing Friday's Gains Triggered by Fed Chair Warsh's Inflation Warning
The DXY dollar index fell 0.2% to 99.525, while the two-year Treasury yield dropped 2.3 basis points to 4.325% and the 10-year yield fell 1 basis point to 4.710%. This comes after Federal Reserve Chai
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US 2-year government bond yield fell 2.3 basis points to 4.325%, 10-year yield fell 1 basis point to 4.710%, and the DXY (US Dollar Index) fell 0.2%.
U.S. government bond yields and the dollar fell, reversing some of Friday's gains, after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned of inflation risks. Meanwhile, the Eurozone's 10-year German government b
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Bitcoin holds steady despite U.S. strikes on Iran, on track for best month since November 2024 with 24% gain
Bitcoin is holding around the $78,000 level, showing resilience even as the first U.S. strikes against Iran in weeks sent oil prices higher and stocks lower. The cryptocurrency has gained over 24% in
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US PCE inflation reached 3.7% in July, exceeding Fed's 2% target for 65th consecutive month; futures traders now bet on two more rate hikes in 2026
The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, measured 3.7% in July 2026. This marks the 65th straight month that PCE inflation has exceeded
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J Safra Sarasin Strategist Wolf von Rotberg Says Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Didn't Change Firm's US Equity Outlook, Already Positioned for Sept & Dec Rate Hikes
J Safra Sarasin Strategist Wolf von Rotberg Says Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Didn't Change Firm's US Equity Outlook, Already Positioned for Sept & Dec Rate Hikes
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Bitcoin held steady below $78,000 as August drew to a close, while the Japanese Yen broke past 160 against the US Dollar, as Federal Reserve rate hike expectations bolstered the greenback.
Bitcoin traded below $78,000 during Monday's Asian morning hours, down less than 1% in 24 hours but up about 1% for the week, according to CoinDesk data. Solana and Dogecoin led the declines, both fal
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South Korean stocks closed higher on Monday, with tech shares rebounding despite hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh; the KOSPI index rose 0.46% to 6,820 points.
South Korean stocks closed higher on Monday, with technology shares rebounding despite hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh; the KOSPI index rose 0.46% to 6,820.02 points.
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September Fed rate hike fears appear overblown as probability stands at just 58%, not 90%
Despite Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish speech on Friday, the odds of a rate hike in September remain below 60%, with observers downplaying fears of tightening.
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L&G Strategist Ben Bennett Calls Fed Chair Warsh's Latest Speech "Pragmatic," Says Inflation Control Will Benefit US Economic Growth
L&G Asia Head of Investment Strategy Ben Bennett describes Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's latest Jackson Hole speech as "pragmatic," noting that controlling inflation will benefit US economic expansion. He s
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Japan's benchmark bond yields rise to 2.95%, a 30-year high, and yen weakens after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks
Japan's benchmark bond yields touched a 30-year high on Monday, with the yen showing renewed signs of weakness, as markets interpreted U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's August 28 Jackson Hole r
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China's 10-year bond yield falls to 1.692% on Monday, near one-year low, diverging from US Treasuries as Fed Chair Warsh strikes hawkish tone
The yield on China's 10-year government bond traded at 1.692% on Monday, approaching its lowest in a year after July economic figures trailed analysts' estimates. This divergence from the US bond mark
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Gold rose about 10% in August, but investors are betting more cautiously.
According to Bloomberg, gold has risen by approximately 10% in August, poised for its largest monthly gain since January this year. However, compared to the frenzy at the beginning of the year, invest
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Morgan Stanley predicts the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction could exceed $1.5 trillion next year, suggesting that market pricing for rate hikes following Kevin Warsh's speech might be overlooking the impact of quantitative tightening.
Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist, noted in his latest report that after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh reiterated his commitment to bringing inflation back to 2% at Jackson Hole
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The Nikkei 225 fell 2.2% to 64,930.03 points, dragged down by chip stocks, as comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh on Friday increased the prospect of a US interest rate hike.
Chip-related stocks led the decline, with Advantest falling 7.8%, SoftBank Group down 4.2%, and Tokyo Electron dropping 3.8%. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY rose to 160.00. Investors are closely monitoring th
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Gold steadies after tumbling over 3% on Friday as former Fed Governor Warsh's remarks spur rate-hike bets
Gold prices stabilized after falling more than 3% on Friday. This came as former US Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's pledge to fight inflation boosted expectations that the US central bank will
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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