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Bloomberg: Bitcoin's rally fades as it fails to decisively break $80,000, with fluctuating US demand and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance weighing on momentum.
Bitcoin's recent rally has faltered after failing to decisively break the $80,000 mark, with fluctuating demand from US investors and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance dampening its momentum, accor
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Global bond yields have risen to their highest since 2008, with 30-year US Treasury yields touching 5%, after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced increased bond buybacks and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh delivered hawkish remarks.
Global bond yields have risen to their highest levels since 2008, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly touching 5%. This follows an unexpected announcement by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bes
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Bitcoin climbs above $77,500, XRP leads major tokens; Fed's September rate hike probability rises to 66%, 10-year Treasury yield hits new high since 2023
Bitcoin recovered above $77,600 in early Asian trading on Thursday, up approximately 1.5% in 24 hours. XRP led major tokens with a nearly 3% gain, reaching $1.36, while BNB rose almost 2% to $692, and
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fold Pressure
The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fol
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Bank of America: Expects August Nonfarm Payrolls to Add Only 40,000 Jobs, Far Below Market Consensus; September Federal Reserve Rate Hike Hinges on CPI
Bank of America, in its latest report published on September 2, projected that August non-farm payrolls would increase by only 40,000 (35,000 in the private sector), significantly below market consens
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WSJ analysis: Four key forces are pressuring bond markets, with war being the primary driver
According to The Wall Street Journal's analysis, the recent climb in bond yields is being driven by four main forces. War is identified as the number one factor, alongside fiscal worries, the appointm
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White analyzed that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of T-bill financing is making its function akin to a "shadow central bank," which could undermine the Federal Reserve's independence and push up inflation.
Simon White points out that the U.S. Treasury's continued expansion of T-bill financing has pushed T-bills to 22.7% of outstanding U.S. debt, exceeding the Treasury's informal 20% cap. He believes thi
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New York Fed President John Williams said he is more open to interest-rate hikes, questioning if current monetary policy is sufficient to bring inflation to target.
New York Fed President John Williams, a leading advocate of the central bank’s “hold and wait” strategy on interest rates, stated in a television appearance Wednesday that there is “no clear science”
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IMPAX Asset Management says the Federal Reserve's September decision is a "real coin toss."
IMPAX Asset Management says the Federal Reserve's September decision is a "real coin toss."
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Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh outlined his interpretation of key U.S. economic data points at the Jackson Hole conference, offering new insights into policymaking.
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh delivered a keynote speech last week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, detailing some of the key data points he uses to assess the U.S. economy, offering markets new insig
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S&P 500 Steadies After Three-Day Skid as Oil Prices Halt Advance
US stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, as the halt in oil price advances eased inflation concerns. Traders are now weighing the Federal Reserve’s potential path for interest-rate hikes.
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U.S. 10-year government bond yields hit a new high since November 2023, and oil prices approaching $95/barrel sparked market concerns about a Federal Reserve rate hike.
U.S. long-term government bond yields remained elevated on Wednesday, with the 10-year yield hitting its highest level since November 2023. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered around $95 per barrel, intensi
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Federal Reserve's No. 3 Official Williams: Inflation Slowing Gradually, Current Interest Rates at a "Good Level," Emphasizes Need for More Data
New York Fed President John Williams stated on Wednesday that inflation is slowly declining and current interest rate levels are in a "good place," emphasizing the need to accumulate more data before
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Sell-off and Prospects of Federal Reserve Rate Hikes May Push Up Living Costs for Americans
The Wall Street Journal's analysis indicates that concerns about a prolonged conflict with Iran, ballooning fiscal deficits, and Federal Reserve interest rate hikes are roiling global bond markets. U.
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New York Fed President Williams: Strong US Economy, Driven by AI Investment, is Pushing Bond Yields Higher
John Williams stated that rising long-term bond yields reflect a robust U.S. economy, rather than growing inflation fears. He specifically cited heavy investment in AI, data centers, and technology as
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State Street strategist Seder stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, the market will react poorly.
Cayla Seder, Macro Multi-Asset Strategist at State Street, discussed her concerns about higher government bond yields and looked ahead to the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting dec
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Silver prices fell further on Wednesday, trading at $64.24 an ounce at 6:48 a.m. ET, after the U.S. launched a second wave of attacks on Iran.
Silver December futures opened at $64.69 per ounce on Wednesday, down 1.0% from Tuesday's closing price and hitting a two-week low. This decline occurred after the U.S. military launched its second wa
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Gold prices fell further on Wednesday, trading at $4357.50/oz at 6:31 AM ET, due to escalating military actions between the US and Iran.
Gold futures for December delivery opened at $4377.20 per ounce on Wednesday (September 2), down 0.4% from Tuesday's closing price. Subsequently, gold prices fell further due to additional US strikes
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The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.8% on Wednesday, a new high for 2023, as surging energy prices fueled inflation concerns.
A new round of attacks in the Iran war this week sent energy prices soaring again, intensifying the sell-off in global bond markets and pushing up government borrowing costs. Investors are bracing for
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Elon Musk's Grok AI Predicts Ethereum (ETH) to Trade in $2,600-$3,000 Range by January 1, 2027, with a Point Estimate of $2,800
Elon Musk's Grok AI Predicts Ethereum (ETH) to Trade in $2,600-$3,000 Range by January 1, 2027, with a Point Estimate of $2,800. The AI model's forecast implies modest net gains from current levels ($
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent holds a differing view, arguing that interest rate hikes should not be used to counter the current supply shock.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent believes that the current shock is inherently a supply shock and should not be addressed by raising interest rates unless "second or third-order effects" emerge,
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JPMorgan Chase: 30,000 to 70,000 new US jobs is the market's "sweet spot"; the CPI report will have a greater impact on the market than the employment report.
JPMorgan Chase believes that an ideal range for the upcoming US non-farm payrolls report would be between 30,000 and 70,000 new jobs. The bank noted that stronger hiring data could push bond yields hi
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Deutsche Bank: Gold selling pressure is about to be exhausted, with the next rally potentially driven by active funds. CTA selling trigger is at $4315/oz.
Deutsche Bank's latest research indicates that systematic trading funds (CTA) buying, which has been driving the current gold rally, is nearing its end, while market selling pressure is also close to
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Nick Timiraos: A war that won't end is complicating the Fed's next move
Nick Timiraos: A war that won't end is complicating the Fed's next move
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Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
Oaktree's Howard Marks Prefers Less Fed Communication, Citing Chair Warsh's Efforts to Curtail Guidance
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Bitcoin this week withstood the dual impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the failure of the Clarity Act, with market analysts stating that it is independent of Washington, and the SEC has introduced "innovation exemptions."
Despite widespread market expectations that a Federal Reserve rate hike and the failure of the CLARITY Act in the Senate would trigger a broad sell-off in crypto markets, Bitcoin showed resilience thi
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China's LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has remained unchanged for 16 consecutive months, with the 1-year LPR at 3.0% and the over-5-year LPR at 3.5%. A publication overseen by the central bank stated that "the necessity of directly lowering policy interest rates is not high."
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) on September 20. The one-year LPR is 3.0%, and the over-five-year LPR
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Musk retweeted a post, quoting economist Friedman's view that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
Musk retweeted a post from FinanceLancelot, which quoted economist Milton Friedman's views on the Great Depression of 1929, stating that the Federal Reserve "deliberately caused the Great Depression."
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Bitcoin's price has recovered above $80,000, following a decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and the stalled CLEAR Act.
Bitcoin's price fell from the low $80,000 range to approximately $75,000 at the beginning of the month, influenced by the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023 (a 25 basis point increa
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Hedge funds are bullish on the JPY for the first time since July 2025, holding approximately $1.6 billion in positions, according to CFTC data.
Leveraged traders have unwound their previous short positions in the Japanese Yen and started building bullish positions, now holding approximately JPY 251 billion (about $1.6 billion) in long Yen pos
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On-chain data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF has not experienced outflows this month, having purchased $51.5 million in BTC over the past 20 trading days.
On-chain intelligence platform Arkham data shows that Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT) has not recorded any outflows this month, accumulating $51.5 million in Bitcoin purchases over the past 20 tra
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WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
WSJ analysis suggests healthy economy and reduced tech issuance could support corporate bonds, advising against counting them out despite Fed rate hikes.
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Citibank Analysis: The Bank of Japan's dovish dissent and the Federal Reserve's rate hikes will accelerate its rate-hiking process, bringing forward the terminal rate achievement to July 2027.
Citibank Japan economist Sosuke Nakamura released a report stating that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its policy rate from 1.00% to 1.25% at its September meeting as expected, but two dovish dissenti
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Analysis suggests Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is steering decision-making logic towards monetarism, abandoning the neutral interest rate anchor.
Analysts point out that Warsh's characterization of the neutral rate as a purely academic discussion is akin to dismantling the Federal Reserve's policy positioning system, which has been in operation
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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U.S. manufacturing output unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the first decline this year, with capacity utilization dropping to a five-month low.
U.S. manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August, far below economists' forecast of a 0.3% increase and the first decline this year, data from the Federal Reserve showed on Friday. Factory capacity utili
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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Federal Reserve Board terminates enforcement action against SNB Bancshares and Bank of Eufaula
The Federal Reserve Board announced on Friday the termination of a written agreement with SNB Bancshares, Inc. and Bank of Eufaula, Oklahoma, which was originally dated August 7, 2024, and officially
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The Federal Reserve has taken enforcement actions against three former bank employees for misappropriation of customer funds, misuse of funds, and check fraud.
The Federal Reserve Board announced at 11:00 AM ET on Friday that it has taken enforcement actions against Charles Alan Wright, a former employee of Northstar Bank (alleged misappropriation of custome
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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