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Federal Reserve
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Timiraos: Rising long-term U.S. Treasury yields reflect a market re-evaluation of future inflation and the Federal Reserve's policy credibility.
Nick Timiraos also pointed out that the recent rise in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to over 5%, near its highest level in 20 years, cannot be simply attributed to Federal Reserve rate hikes. Invest
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"New Fed News Agency" Nick Timiraos: Energy Shocks and AI Investment Are Changing the Inflation Landscape
Nick Timiraos, a reporter for The Wall Street Journal, noted that this rate hike reflects a changed inflation environment for the Federal Reserve. He believes that rising energy prices due to the war
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HKMA raises base rate by a quarter point to 4.25%, the first increase since 2023
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) increased the city’s base rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.25% on Thursday. This marks the first rate hike since 2023, following the US Federal Rese
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CNBC commentator Cramer warns: Buying stocks after the Federal Reserve's rate hike means "fighting the Fed."
CNBC commentator Jim Cramer said Wednesday that the range of stocks worth buying is narrowing after the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He noted that the Federal R
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh did not submit his dot plot interest rate projections for the second consecutive time, stating that they were unhelpful for policy execution and that he would conduct a comprehensive review of policy communication tools, including the dot plot.
In the latest dot plot released on September 16, only 18 dots appeared out of 19 seats again, leading to widespread speculation that Warsh's projection was once again absent. This move has raised mark
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Trump: Still have confidence in Fed Chair Warsh
Trump: Still have confidence in Fed Chair Warsh
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Trump: I want Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to remain independent.
Trump: I want Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh to remain independent.
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Trump: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has a hostile board.
Trump: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has a hostile board.
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Fed Chair Warsh: No Need to Sacrifice Jobs to Lower Inflation, AI Policy Decisions Do Not Belong to the Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he does not believe it is necessary to harm the labor market to achieve inflation targets, and that the current US unemployment rate is largely consistent wi
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Fed Chairman Warsh: Long-term U.S. Treasury yields rise due to stronger economy, capital competition, and geopolitics
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh analyzed the reasons for the significant rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields in recent months at a press conference, attributing it to three main factors: a stronger
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Allspring Global Investments executive Boraiah: Federal Reserve rate hikes are "necessary," recommends diversifying portfolios through "direct indexing."
Manju Boraiah, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Systematic Fixed Income at Allspring Global Investments, commented that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on Wednesday was "necessary" fundam
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US Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 bps to 3.75%-4%, first hike in over three years
The Federal Reserve unanimously voted on Wednesday to increase interest rates from 3.5%-3.75% to 3.75%-4%, marking the first rate hike in more than three years. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated the decisi
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JPM Asset Management Strategist Aliaga: AI Buildout Significantly Impacts Inflation, Slowing AI Frontier to Boost Productivity
Stephanie Aliaga, Global Market Strategist at JPM Asset Management, believes that while oil prices are a long-term driver of inflation, the AI buildout is also having a significant impact. Her comment
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Trump demands Fed slash interest rates to 1% or lower after central bank's first hike since 2023
President Donald Trump on Wednesday demanded the Federal Reserve slash interest rates to 1% "or less," hours after the central bank, led by Chairman Kevin Warsh, announced its first rate hike since 20
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Bitcoin and Ether Swing After Unanimous Quarter-Point Fed Rate Hike, Warsh Takes Aim at Inflation
Bitcoin and Ether Swing After Unanimous Quarter-Point Fed Rate Hike, Warsh Takes Aim at Inflation
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US stocks gave back gains and turned lower after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and signaled further tightening, with the S&P 500 falling 0.43% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 1.17%.
U.S. stocks gave back earlier gains and turned lower after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in more than three years and signaled further policy tightening. The S&P 500 fel
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DoubleLine founder Gundlach: The Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates by 50 basis points to combat inflation
The renowned bond investor stated in a Wednesday interview with CNBC that the Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates by 50 basis points instead of 25 basis points to better combat inflation
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White House Calls Federal Reserve Rate Hikes "Unfortunate"
White House Calls Federal Reserve Rate Hikes "Unfortunate"
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Wednesday's rate hike aims to align financial and credit conditions more closely with ultimate goals
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that the Federal Reserve "has unwound some of the accommodation" to bring financial and credit conditions more in line with the Fed's ultimate goals. He rejected
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DoubleLine CEO Gundlach: Virtually no chance current Fed funds rate is the peak
DoubleLine CEO Gundlach: Virtually no chance current Fed funds rate is the peak
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh explained the Fed's shift to interest rate hikes, citing a stronger economy and labor market, insufficient improvement in inflation, and a change in geopolitical risk assessment as key factors.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that three major developments have altered the Federal Reserve's outlook since July: a stronger economy and labor market, insufficient improvement in inflation, a
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Fed Chair Warsh: Seen little info to suggest inflation trends passing the test
Fed Chair Warsh: Seen little info to suggest inflation trends passing the test
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After the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points, credit card borrowers' interest expenses will quickly increase.
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday decided to raise short-term interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, which will quickly increase interest expenses for credit card borrowers. Credit card deb
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Fed Chair Warsh: Not going to prejudge any future decisions
Fed Chair Warsh: Not going to prejudge any future decisions
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Traders price in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027 as bitcoin slides below $83,000
Traders are pricing in four quarter-point rate hikes by the Federal Reserve by June 2027, which would bring the federal funds rate to a 4.75% to 5% range. This comes as U.S. Treasury yields across the
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CoinDesk analysis: Bitcoin shows near-zero long-term correlation with rising bond yields, but short-term volatility could dampen sentiment
CoinDesk analysis indicates that over most of Bitcoin's history, the asset has shown little to no consistent correlation with bond yields, with 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year correlations with the U.S. 1
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New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
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JPMorgan Chase analysts say the stock market's "fracture threshold" may have risen to the 5.5% to 6% range, driven by structural forces.
JPMorgan Chase analysts noted that structural forces, such as artificial intelligence, healthcare, and the services sector, have significantly weakened the constraints of traditional interest rate tra
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Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%
Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%. Rising yields are straining public finances.
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Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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U.S. Treasury Market Faces "Perfect Storm": 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges 14 Basis Points to 5.113%, a New High Since 2007
The U.S. Treasury market experienced its worst single-day sell-off in nearly 18 months on Wednesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield surging approximately 14 basis points to close at 5.113%, breaking
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Analysts point out that a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve will result in US credit card borrowers paying an additional $2 billion in interest over the next 12 months, with young and low-income households being more significantly affected.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate at the conclusion of its September meeting and hinted at another potential rate hike this year. Analysts noted that this 25-basis-point increase
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Hassett states Warsh is managing an unusually partisan Federal Reserve
Hassett states Warsh is managing an unusually partisan Federal Reserve
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Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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Stablecoins hold nearly $200 billion in US debt, while money market funds absorbed 85% of the $550 billion new bill supply in July-August
Deputy Treasury Secretary Francis Brooke disclosed on September 22 that money market mutual funds absorbed approximately 85% of the over $550 billion in new Treasury bill supply issued by the US gover
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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The U.S. dollar recorded a seasonal gain in the last week of September due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
Data from the past decade shows that the last week of September is the strongest performing week for the U.S. dollar, and the current rally in the dollar suggests this trend will continue this year.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Euro Hits Two-Month Low Against Dollar as Options Traders Bet on Further Weakness After Fed Rate Hike
The euro fell to its lowest in nearly two months versus the dollar, as options traders stepped up bets on further weakness following the Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate increase.
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Copper Retreats From Near Record as Traders Weigh Fed Outlook
Industrial metals also fell, with traders assessing the outlook for US interest rates amid shifting oil prices and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
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Gold prices held steady at $4,360 an ounce, as progress in US-Iran negotiations eased market concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Gold prices fluctuated around $4,360/oz on Tuesday, ultimately closing up 0.4%. This followed U.S. President Donald Trump's statement that U.S. officials held a "very successful" meeting with Iranian
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Fed's Perli: The Federal Reserve's bond purchases will be adjusted based on market conditions, focusing on signs of funding stress to maintain ample reserves.
Roberto Perli, an official at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, stated on Tuesday that the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasury bills are not on a preset path and will be adjusted in the future based
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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Prediction market Kalshi denies it is under CFTC investigation for trading activity, stating that unusual patterns stemmed from a liquidity incentive program.
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