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Federal Reserve
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Fed Chair Warsh: Not in the forward guidance business
Fed Chair Warsh: Not in the forward guidance business
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Fed Chair Warsh: Inflation is too high and has been for too long
Fed Chair Warsh: Inflation is too high and has been for too long
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Fed Chair Warsh: "We removed a dose of accommodation."
Fed Chair Warsh: "We removed a dose of accommodation."
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The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%-4%.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%-4%.
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The Federal Reserve's FOMC unanimously voted to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4%.
The Federal Reserve's FOMC unanimously voted to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the target range to 3.75%-4%.
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Fed revises up headline PCE inflation to 3.7% for 2026, core PCE to 3.4%
The Federal Reserve revised up its projection for headline PCE inflation by a tenth to 3.7% for 2026, and core PCE inflation by a tenth to 3.4% for 2026. The Fed stated that the rate hike will support
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FOMC members see median federal funds rate at 4.1% by end-2026, longer-run rate revised up to 3.2%
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members project the median federal funds rate at 4.1% by end-2026, 4.1% by end-2027, and 3.9% by end-2028. The median longer-run federal funds rate was revised
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Fed unanimously raises benchmark rate by 25 bps to 3.75%-4% range
Fed unanimously raises benchmark rate by 25 bps to 3.75%-4% range
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FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
FOMC median forecast shows one additional 25 bps hike in 2026
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 Growth Estimate Surges to 5.1%, Up From 4.42%
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimate for Q3 growth jumped to 5.1% from 4.42%, largely driven by stronger consumer spending following today's retail sales data. Real consumption is now expected to contrib
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Deutsche Bank corrects Fed hike forecast, now expects two hikes this year and one in 2027
The bank clarified that it added a hike in 2027, not a third hike for 2026 as an earlier version of its forecast incorrectly stated.
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Wall Street's major banks widely expect Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's speech today to emphasize economic growth and inflation issues.
Against the backdrop of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike today, several major Wall Street banks, including Barclays, BMO, Bank of America, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Nomu
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Global Stocks Rise Ahead of Fed Rate Decision; S&P 500 Gains 0.26%, Nasdaq 0.60%, 10-Year Treasury Yield Retreats to 4.963%, Brent Oil Falls 2.4%
Global stocks moved higher ahead of the Fed's rate decision, with markets pricing more than a 90% chance of a 25 basis point hike. The S&P 500 gained 0.26% and Nasdaq 0.60%, while the 10-year Treasury
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Goldman Sachs Chief US Economist David Mericle stated that the US economy is not overheating, inflation pressures are manageable, and the labor market is healthy.
Mericle believes the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates without committing to further action, but rising oil prices could complicate the Fed's policy path.
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Analysts warn: The Federal Reserve is over 92% likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but a dovish stance from Chair Warsh could trigger a sell-off in long-term US Treasuries.
Wallstreetcn.com cited analysts' views that the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, bringing the benchmark rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range,
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Goldman Sachs Partner Bobby Molavi: AI regulatory disputes, oil prices breaking $100, US Treasury yields surpassing 5%, and Federal Reserve rate hike expectations are disrupting markets.
Goldman Sachs partner Bobby Molavi noted in his latest market commentary that while the S&P 500 index shows limited surface volatility, the market is undergoing a dramatic revaluation internally. He b
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Dell Rises 5% to $568.52, Super Micro Climbs 3% to $36.87, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Ticks Up, Despite Silver Lake's Fresh Share Sale Filings
Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) shares are up 5% to $568.52, extending a 356% year-to-date advance, while Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) stock gains 3% to $36.87, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYS
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, the US 10-year government bond yield fell below 5%; Intel rose over 1%, and SK Hynix gained 3%.
The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points after its policy meeting on Wednesday. Brent crude futures fell to $107 per barrel, influenced by a pullback in
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Consumer-linked stocks like Walmart face pressure as Fed rate hike looms on Wednesday
Stocks closely tied to the health of the US consumer have significantly underperformed the broader market this year. A potential Federal Reserve interest-rate hike on Wednesday may further stress this
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JPMorgan Chase Predicts: Fed's Warsh Speech to Determine S&P 500 Trajectory, Potentially Volatile by 1% to 2%
JPMorgan Chase analysts note that while the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, Chairman Kevin Warsh's rhetoric regarding this action wil
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Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards, who previously believed inflation was controllable, now thinks the Federal Reserve may pursue aggressive rate hikes due to the widening divergence between crude oil and refined energy prices.
Societe Generale global strategist Albert Edwards previously advocated for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at their current level of 3.5% to 3.75%. He stated that he is starting to feel
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Traders are betting Trump may soon turn on Fed chair Kevin Warsh as interest-rate hikes loom
Traders are betting Trump may soon turn on Fed chair Kevin Warsh as interest-rate hikes loom
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Reuters Breakingviews Analysis: Markets May Be Overestimating Rate Hikes by the Federal Reserve, ECB, and Bank of England
Reuters Breakingviews notes that markets currently anticipate the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates four times over the next year, each by 25 basis points, bringing the rate to approximately 4
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Dow Rises Ahead Of Likely Fed Hike And Warsh Comments; Intel, SK Hynix Jump
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other major stock indexes traded higher Wednesday as Wall Street braced for a likely Federal Reserve rate hike and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's press confer
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Traders price in 4 Fed rate hikes by June 2027 as bitcoin slides below $83,000
Traders are pricing in four quarter-point rate hikes by the Federal Reserve by June 2027, which would bring the federal funds rate to a 4.75% to 5% range. This comes as U.S. Treasury yields across the
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CoinDesk analysis: Bitcoin shows near-zero long-term correlation with rising bond yields, but short-term volatility could dampen sentiment
CoinDesk analysis indicates that over most of Bitcoin's history, the asset has shown little to no consistent correlation with bond yields, with 90-day, 180-day, and 1-year correlations with the U.S. 1
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New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
New York Fed President Williams: Market expectations for another rate hike by year-end are "reasonable"; the AI boom is a demand shock that could make inflation more persistent.
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JPMorgan Chase analysts say the stock market's "fracture threshold" may have risen to the 5.5% to 6% range, driven by structural forces.
JPMorgan Chase analysts noted that structural forces, such as artificial intelligence, healthcare, and the services sector, have significantly weakened the constraints of traditional interest rate tra
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Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%
Global bond sell-off deepens as oil holds above $100, with Fed October rate hike expectations at ~70%. Rising yields are straining public finances.
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Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold maintained its decline as rising oil prices and strong US data intensified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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U.S. Treasury Market Faces "Perfect Storm": 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges 14 Basis Points to 5.113%, a New High Since 2007
The U.S. Treasury market experienced its worst single-day sell-off in nearly 18 months on Wednesday, with the 10-year Treasury yield surging approximately 14 basis points to close at 5.113%, breaking
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Analysts point out that a 25 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve will result in US credit card borrowers paying an additional $2 billion in interest over the next 12 months, with young and low-income households being more significantly affected.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate at the conclusion of its September meeting and hinted at another potential rate hike this year. Analysts noted that this 25-basis-point increase
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Hassett states Warsh is managing an unusually partisan Federal Reserve
Hassett states Warsh is managing an unusually partisan Federal Reserve
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Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
Former White House economic advisor Hassett questions the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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Stablecoins hold nearly $200 billion in US debt, while money market funds absorbed 85% of the $550 billion new bill supply in July-August
Deputy Treasury Secretary Francis Brooke disclosed on September 22 that money market mutual funds absorbed approximately 85% of the over $550 billion in new Treasury bill supply issued by the US gover
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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The U.S. dollar recorded a seasonal gain in the last week of September due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
Data from the past decade shows that the last week of September is the strongest performing week for the U.S. dollar, and the current rally in the dollar suggests this trend will continue this year.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
Dollar hits 8-week high, DXY at 100.862, as Fed hike bets surge; markets price 53% chance of Oct 25bp hike and fully price Dec hike
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Euro Hits Two-Month Low Against Dollar as Options Traders Bet on Further Weakness After Fed Rate Hike
The euro fell to its lowest in nearly two months versus the dollar, as options traders stepped up bets on further weakness following the Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate increase.
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Copper Retreats From Near Record as Traders Weigh Fed Outlook
Industrial metals also fell, with traders assessing the outlook for US interest rates amid shifting oil prices and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
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Gold prices held steady at $4,360 an ounce, as progress in US-Iran negotiations eased market concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Gold prices fluctuated around $4,360/oz on Tuesday, ultimately closing up 0.4%. This followed U.S. President Donald Trump's statement that U.S. officials held a "very successful" meeting with Iranian
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Fed's Perli: The Federal Reserve's bond purchases will be adjusted based on market conditions, focusing on signs of funding stress to maintain ample reserves.
Roberto Perli, an official at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, stated on Tuesday that the Fed's purchases of U.S. Treasury bills are not on a preset path and will be adjusted in the future based
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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