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Federal Reserve
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Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, are rethinking the 'one-and-done' Fed hike after the hawkish September meeting, with many now expecting another 25bp hike
Following the Federal Reserve's hawkish September meeting, several banks, such as NatWest, Rabobank, Swedbank, and Commerzbank, are now forecasting an additional rate hike or fewer rate cuts. The medi
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Dynex Capital Co-CEO Popenoe analyzed the drivers of mortgage rates and the Federal Reserve's policy.
Smriti Popenoe, Co-CEO of Dynex Capital, stated on Bloomberg that mortgage rates are currently hovering around 7%. She explained that government bond yields, government borrowing, and hyperscale corpo
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US initial jobless claims fell to 196,000 last week, the lowest level since 1969.
U.S. Department of Labor data shows that initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell to 196,000 for the week ending September 12, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week, marking one of the lowest lev
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: Federal Reserve Rate Hikes to Worsen Private Equity Market Woes
The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates on Wednesday is expected to exacerbate problems within private equity funds' portfolios. Investors are rushing to withdraw capital from a record
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Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf Mocks US Interest Rate Hike, Fed Raises Rates by 25bps Citing Iran Conflict
Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf posted on X, citing the Taylor equation to mock US interest rates and claiming Iran sets the Strait of Hormuz risk premium. Hours later, the US Fede
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ECRI COO Lakshman Achuthan stated that inflationary pressures remain in a "cyclical upswing."
ECRI Chief Operating Officer and co-founder Lakshman Achuthan stated that inflationary pressures are still in a "cyclical upswing" after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, and commented on the situation
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US stocks and bonds rose as markets remained optimistic about the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation, following the Fed's rate hike and hints of further tightening.
U.S. stocks and bonds both rose a day after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates and signaled further monetary policy tightening. Falling oil prices supported market optimism that inflation is und
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Standard Chartered expects the US Fed to deliver a 25 bp rate hike in December 2026, revising its prior forecast of no policy change this year
Standard Chartered expects the US Fed to deliver a 25 bp rate hike in December 2026, revising its prior forecast of no policy change this year
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The cryptocurrency market rebounded after the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike since 2023, with major crypto assets and altcoins leading the charge.
Decrypt's analysis indicates that despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and the failure of the Transparency Act to pass, the cryptocurrency market has shown resilience, with major crypto a
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USD/JPY falls below 156. The probability of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting reaches 98.2%.
Expectations for an widening of the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential have resurfaced after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points and delivered hawkish signals, causing USD/
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The Federal Reserve's Warsh and colleagues unanimously voted to raise interest rates, signaling further hikes; U.S. stock futures rose and long-term bonds were sought after as the market digested the "hawkish rate hike."
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh and his colleagues unanimously voted to raise interest rates at Wednesday's meeting, signaling more hikes to come. After Warsh's press conference, markets were ini
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Hong Kong's major banks maintained their prime rates unchanged on Thursday, despite the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point interest rate hike, temporarily sparing the property market from direct impact.
Despite the Federal Reserve raising its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday (ET), HSBC and other major Hong Kong banks on Thursday opted to keep their prime rates unchanged, tempor
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Traders applaud Fed Chair Warsh’s fight against inflation, saying he has bolstered his credibility as stocks and bonds rally
Traders applaud Fed Chair Warsh’s fight against inflation, saying he has bolstered his credibility as stocks and bonds rally
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Citi Research: The Federal Reserve's hawkish rate hike in September exceeded expectations, with the DXY technically confirming a double bottom pointing to 101.15.
Citi Research noted that the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting sent a strong hawkish signal, leading the market to price in another rate hike of approximately 13 basis points in October. The DX
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Investors worry rising food prices could become a fresh inflation risk for global bonds after this year's energy-driven selloff
Investors are concerned that factors such as a "Super" El Niño, tight fertilizer supplies, shipping attacks, and the fallout from Europe's record hot summer could drive up the cost of everyday staples
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S&P 500 could still advance after a Fed hike, according to a Jefferies strategist
A Jefferies strategist believes the S&P 500 is poised to advance, citing expectations for a less aggressive tightening cycle by the Federal Reserve and strong earnings. The investment bank expects the
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U.S. equity futures rose, with Nasdaq 100 futures up nearly 1%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield falling below 5%.
Investors shook off post-Federal Reserve rate hike jitters, with U.S. stock futures rising. Nasdaq 100 futures gained nearly 1%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell back below 5%. Brent crude oil
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US equity futures rose and the 10-year Treasury yield fell below 5%, as declining oil prices boosted market sentiment.
U.S. equity futures rose in early European trading, and the 10-year Treasury yield fell back below 5%, as market sentiment was boosted by falling oil prices following the Federal Reserve's rate hike o
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CoinDesk analysis: Bitcoin's current drawdown mirrors 2022 pre-Fed hike, raising possibility of relief rally before further losses
CoinDesk analysis points out that Bitcoin's current ~40% drawdown from its October high of $126,000 parallels its position before the Fed's first rate hike in March 2022. Following that 2022 hike, Bit
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Analysis: If the Bank of Japan delivers a "dovish rate hike" on Friday, USD/JPY may break below 158 and retest 160.
The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate hike and hints of further tightening are expected to keep the US-Japan interest rate differential high for an extended period, limiting the Bank of Japan's a
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Fundstrat's Tom Lee says the 'face-ripping' rally he predicted is merely delayed, putting a positive spin on the Fed's rate decision
Fundstrat's Tom Lee says the 'face-ripping' rally he predicted is merely delayed, putting a positive spin on the Fed's rate decision
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Seoul Stocks Close Almost Flat Thursday, KOSPI Down 0.04% to 6,715.41, as Investors Weigh Fed's First Rate Hike in 3 Yrs
The benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) closed down 2.56 points, or 0.04 percent, to 6,715.41. The Korean won fell against the US dollar, as investors digested the Federal Reserve's de
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U.S. diesel prices surged to a record high of $6.29 per gallon, and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4% on Thursday.
The average price of diesel in the U.S. reached a record $6.29 per gallon this week, up nearly 80% year-to-date, exacerbating inflation concerns. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates b
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Asian Bonds Decline, Dollar Jumps As Fed Hikes
Asian Bonds Decline, Dollar Jumps As Fed Hikes
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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