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Polymarket's "Iran-Israel/US Conflict Ends Before April 15" Probability Drops to 47%, Down 22% in 24 Hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability for the Polymarket contract "Iran-Israel/US Conflict Ends Before April 15" has dropped to 47%, down 22% in 24 hours; the probability for "Iran-
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Ethereum Treasury Company The Ether Machine Terminates $1.6 Billion SPAC Merger with Dynamix
Svmuu News: The Ether Machine, an Ethereum treasury company, and Dynamix Corporation (NASDAQ: DYNX), a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), announced on Friday that they have mutually agreed to
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Machi Big Brother's 13-Win Streak Broken, Closes BTC Long Position with $192K Loss
Svmuu News According to Lookonchain monitoring, Machi Big Brother's (@machibigbrother) 13-win streak has been broken. Due to the market downturn, he just closed his BTC long position, incurring a loss
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Iran reports progress in negotiations, success depends on US sincerity; 2. The whale nemorino.eth, who established a position 5 days ago, sold 2,950 ETH, making a profit of $267,000; 3. A whale hel
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nemorino.eth sells 2950 ETH, making a profit of $267,000
Svmuu News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, 4 hours ago, nemorino.eth (0x8Ae...0E0D) sold 2950 ETH at $2304.4, valued at $6.798 million. This batch of ETH was acquired between April 7
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SpaceX Reports Nearly $5 Billion Loss in 2025, Still Holds $603 Million Worth of Bitcoin
Svmuu News: According to Arkham data and a report published by The Information on Friday evening, SpaceX currently holds 8,285 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $603 million, in a Coinbase Prime custod
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Whale Controlling 59% of NOM's Circulating Supply Transfers Final 278 Million NOM to Binance
Svmuu News According to on-chain analyst Yu Jian's monitoring, one hour ago, a whale or institution controlling 59% of NOM's circulating supply transferred the final 278 million NOM it held on-chain t
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A whale sold 64.7 WBTC after holding for 15 hours, incurring a loss of $12,000
According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a whale established a position in WBTC worth $4.7 million at a cost of $72,720.78 per coin. After holding for 15 hours, the whale liquidated and sold
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A trader used 5x leverage to long $58.4 million worth of HYPE 4 months ago, currently floating profit exceeds $5 million
Svmuu News According to Lookonchain monitoring, a trader entered the market 4 months ago at an entry price of $38.68, using 5x leverage to long 1.38 million HYPE, valued at $58.4 million, making it th
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Arthur Hayes Buys Another $1.1 Million Worth of HYPE, Total Holdings Reach $10.44 Million with Unrealized Gains Exceeding $2.5 Million
Svmuu News: According to monitoring by Lookonchain, after nearly 3 months, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) has purchased another 26,000 HYPE tokens, valued at $1.1 million. He currently
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Iranian media: Iran's red lines include the Strait of Hormuz, war reparations, the unfreezing of frozen assets, and a ceasefire across the entire region; 2. Iranian government spokesperson: Iran wi
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A whale withdrew 265,100 LINK from Binance, valued at $2.38 million
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, 3 hours ago, a whale withdrew 265,100 LINK from Binance, valued at $2.38 million.
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TD Cowen Analyst Lowers MSTR Target Price to $350 and Maintains Buy Rating
Svmuu News: Lance Vitanza, an analyst at the $15 billion investment bank TD Cowen, has lowered the target price for Bitcoin reserve company MicroStrategy (MSTR) from $440 to $350, while maintaining a
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Polymarket's "Rory McIlroy Wins the 2026 US Masters" Probability Rises to 70%, Up 46% in 24 Hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability for "Rory McIlroy wins the 2026 US Masters" on Polymarket has risen to 70%, a 46% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for
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Bitwise Submits Second Revised Filing, Hyperliquid ETF Expected to Launch Soon
Svmuu News Bitwise has submitted its second revised filing for its spot Hyperliquid ETF to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The filing adds the trading ticker BHYP and sets the management
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RAVE Breaks Through $2.1, Surges Over 100% in a Day, and Over 700% in 3 Days
According to market data, RAVE has broken through $2.1 and is currently trading at $2.09, surging over 100% in a day and over 700% in 3 days.
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Suspected Selini Capital Withdraws $5.64 Million Worth of WLD from Binance in the Past 24 Hours
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, an address suspected to belong to Selini Capital (0x82E...1db8) has cumulatively withdrawn 20 million WLD from Binance over the past 24 hours, valued a
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Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $64.9489 million yesterday, with BlackRock's ETHA leading with a net inflow of $53.6982 million
According to data from SoSoValue, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $64.9489 million yesterday (Eastern Time, April 10). The Ethereum spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow ye
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U.S. SOL Spot ETF Records Single-Day Total Net Inflow of $11.453 Million
Svmuu News According to SoSoValue data, yesterday (April 10, Eastern Time), the SOL spot ETF recorded a single-day total net inflow of $11.453 million. Yesterday, only the Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (
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The Kingdom of Bhutan Reduces Bitcoin Holdings by 70% Within 18 Months, May Have Ceased Bitcoin Mining Activities
Svmuu News The Bhutanese government transferred approximately 319.7 Bitcoin (worth $22.68 million) to two addresses on Thursday, with 250 Bitcoin routed to a wallet that had previously sent funds to G
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Whale Controlling 59% of NOM's Circulating Supply Has Transferred a Cumulative 1.442 Billion NOM to Binance
According to on-chain analyst Yu Jian, within the past half hour, the whale or institution controlling 59% of NOM's circulating supply continued to transfer 768 million NOM, valued at $3.73 million, t
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Arthur Hayes: Anticipating a "Massive Crisis" to Trigger Fed Rescue
Svmuu News BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes posted on the X platform, expressing anticipation for a "massive crisis" that would prompt the Federal Reserve to launch a new round of liquidity rescue measu
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An address received 5 million UNI from the Uni Timelock contract, worth $15.8 million
Svmuu News According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, an address has once again received 5 million UNI from the Uni Timelock contract after three months, valued at $15.8 million. This address h
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Due to the shrinking market value, cryptocurrency exchange Gemini is considering converting the Winklevoss brothers' loan into equity
Svmuu News Cryptocurrency exchange Gemini's market value has shrunk by over 50% this year, and it has laid off 30% of its staff. Internally, discussions are underway to request founders Tyler Winklevo
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Gold is poised for its biggest weekly gain since August, driven by the U.S. midterm elections weighing on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields.
Gold is poised for its biggest weekly gain since August, driven by the U.S. midterm elections weighing on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields.
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Hedge Fund Adviser LB Macro Sees US Midterms Boosting the Dollar
Hedge Fund Adviser LB Macro Sees US Midterms Boosting the Dollar
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WSJ: New York gold futures rose 2.3% in early European trading to $4,032.90 per troy ounce.
According to The Wall Street Journal, New York gold futures rose 2.3% to $4,032.90 per troy ounce in early European trading on Wednesday. The report attributed the rally to a weaker U.S. dollar, decli
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The DXY rose with Treasury yields, as markets focused on the situation in Iran over the midterm elections.
The DXY rose with Treasury yields, as markets focused on the situation in Iran over the midterm elections.
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Reuters Poll: FX Strategists Cut Near-Term Euro Forecasts, Signaling Stronger Dollar
Reuters polls show foreign exchange strategists have lowered their near-term forecasts for the euro, signaling a stronger dollar. The EUR/USD is predicted to be $1.13 in three months (previously $1.15
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USD/CHF is down 0.72% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.8185.
USD/CHF is down 0.72% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.8185.
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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South Korean won sharply weakens against US dollar to 1,343.8, down 9.5 won
The South Korean won sharply weakened against the U.S. dollar on Monday, quoted at 1,343.8 won per dollar at 3:30 p.m., down 9.5 won from the previous close. This marks the first time since Oct. 15 th
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Binance Restores USD Withdrawals
Binance has restored USD withdrawals as its post-hack reopening expands. The exchange stated that all 15 initial crypto network groups have reopened, though withdrawals for several other tokens remain
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Deutsche Bank warns that an AI-driven stock market sell-off could undermine the dollar's traditional safe-haven status.
Deutsche Bank strategist George Saravelos noted that foreign investors hold over $20 trillion in U.S. equities, with approximately 90% of that value attributed to price appreciation. He believes that
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced the schedule for its U.S. dollar funding operations from November 2026 to March 2027.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced the schedule for its U.S. dollar funding operations from November 2026 to March 2027.
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) maintained interest rates, with the Japanese Yen holding steady against the US Dollar, and stated for the first time that price trends have reached its 2% target.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) maintained interest rates, with the Japanese Yen holding steady against the US Dollar, and stated for the first time that price trends have reached its 2% target.
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Singapore dollar strengthens against the US dollar, influenced by falling US Treasury yields.
Singapore dollar strengthens against the US dollar, influenced by falling US Treasury yields.
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Dollar’s Rate-Fueled Rally Set to Ride Out US Midterm Gridlock
The dollar’s rally may have enough momentum to shrug off the US midterm election, with high interest rates and a surge in AI-related spending drawing capital even if the vote delivers political gridlo
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The euro fell 0.31% after the European Central Bank's decision, now trading at $1.1118.
The euro fell 0.31% after the European Central Bank's decision, now trading at $1.1118.
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John Greenwood, architect of Hong Kong's Linked Exchange Rate System: Narrowing the HKD-USD trading band could alleviate speculation
John Greenwood, architect of Hong Kong's Linked Exchange Rate System: Narrowing the HKD-USD trading band could alleviate speculation
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent says Iran is unable to obtain dollars, and funding for its proxies is decreasing.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent says Iran is unable to obtain dollars, and funding for its proxies is decreasing.
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USD/KRW is up 1.13% from its previous close, now trading at 1,341.2526.
USD/KRW is up 1.13% from its previous close, now trading at 1,341.2526.
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The Korean won significantly weakened against the US dollar on Wednesday, at one point falling to 1,342.3 won per dollar, as foreigners bought dollar futures and closed out short positions.
The Korean won significantly weakened against the US dollar on Wednesday, at one point falling to 1,342.3 won per dollar, as foreigners bought dollar futures and closed out short positions.
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The dollar’s rebound is good news for shares in European exporters, just as companies enter the busiest stretch of the third-quarter reporting season.
The dollar’s rebound is good news for shares in European exporters, just as companies enter the busiest stretch of the third-quarter reporting season.
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Barclays strategists expect Group-of-10 currency volatility to rise and remain elevated as the dollar strengthens and interest-rate swings increase.
Barclays strategists expect Group-of-10 currency volatility to rise and remain elevated as the dollar strengthens and interest-rate swings increase.
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U.S. Treasury Secretary: Digital Assets Could Strengthen Dollar's Global Dominance
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated at Ripple's Swell conference on Tuesday that digital assets could strengthen the U.S. dollar's global dominance, as technological leadership increasingly u
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Brazil's benchmark stock index futures rose 0.25%, reversing Monday's sharp sell-off; the Brazilian real gained 0.4% against the U.S. dollar.
Brazil's benchmark stock index futures rose 0.25%, reversing Monday's sharp sell-off; the Brazilian real gained 0.4% against the U.S. dollar.
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Bitcoin, Libra, and the US Dollar: Deconstructing the Complex Relationship Between Digital and Fiat Currencies
Bitcoin, as decentralized "digital gold," and the centralized US dollar represent two fundamentally different monetary paradigms, and their historical correlation is undergoing structural changes. The Libra project, initiated by Meta (formerly Facebook) and later renamed Diem, attempted to create a global stablecoin pegged to fiat currencies like the US dollar but was ultimately terminated due to regulatory pressure, reflecting the cautious attitude of the traditional financial system towards the challenges posed by digital currency innovation. The US dollar, as the world's primary reserve currency, faces challenges and evolution in its dominance from these emerging forces in the digital age.
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Bitcoin and the US Dollar: Shifting Correlations, Policy Impacts, and a New Market Landscape
Bitcoin's historical negative correlation with the US dollar shifted in 2026, with JPMorgan Chase confirming its transition to a positive correlation. The US government, particularly the current Trump administration, is actively promoting the United States as a "cryptocurrency capital" and plans to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Institutional capital continues to flow into spot Bitcoin ETFs, and the US dollar-pegged stablecoin market is also growing. These factors collectively shape the new dynamic between Bitcoin and the US dollar, but market volatility risks persist.
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Why is Bitcoin thriving but struggling to replace the US dollar's global dominance?
Bitcoin, as a decentralized digital asset, thrives on its scarcity, anti-inflationary potential, global payment efficiency, and increasing institutional adoption. However, its extreme price volatility, deflationary risks stemming from a fixed money supply, limited transaction processing capacity, and the strong control governments exert over fiat currencies make it difficult for Bitcoin to challenge the U.S. dollar's status as the global reserve currency and primary medium of exchange. The U.S. dollar, backed by its deep network externalities and central bank support, continues to hold an unshakeable central position in the global financial system.
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How to Buy USDT with USD on Major Global Platforms? An Analysis of the Regulatory Landscape in Mainland China
This article aims to analyze the mainstream cryptocurrency exchanges that support USD purchases of USDT globally and clarify the latest regulatory policies regarding virtual currency trading in mainland China. Given that mainland China has completely banned virtual currency transactions, there are no legal and compliant trading platforms within its borders. For global users, well-known platforms such as Coinbase, Kraken, Binance, and OKX offer various methods for USD deposits and USDT purchases, but users must comply with the regulations of their respective jurisdictions and complete necessary identity verification.
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Gold, USD, and Bitcoin: The Battle for Safe Haven and Store of Value
In a global market characterized by economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures, the performance and positioning of gold, the US dollar, and Bitcoin as primary stores of value and safe-haven assets are under close scrutiny. This article delves into the similarities and differences among these three in terms of scarcity, stability, volatility, and market correlation. Combining the latest market dynamics of 2026, it explores their respective advantages and challenges and summarizes expert views on diversified asset allocation.
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Why is Bitcoin thriving but struggling to replace the US dollar?
Bitcoin has achieved significant growth and widespread acceptance globally, thanks to its decentralization, scarcity, censorship resistance, and its narrative as "digital gold" for value storage. However, its inherent drastic price volatility, transaction speed limitations, lack of universal fiat currency status, and governments' control over monetary policy make it difficult to become a stable everyday transaction medium and global reserve currency like the US dollar. Bitcoin and the US dollar each play different roles, and it is difficult for them to replace each other in the short term.
U.S. dollar
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