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Forecasting the market
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On Polymarket, the probability of the "76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship" has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week.
According to PPP’s prediction market tracking, the probability of the 76ers winning the 2027 NBA Championship on Polymarket has risen to 14%, up 7% from the previous week; the Thunder’s probability of
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From the pinnacle to the depths of despair: predict.fun currently puts the probability of “NIP defeating LNG in the third stage of the LPL” at 56%.
According to PPP’s prediction market tool, the probability of NIP defeating LNG in the “LPL Stage 3: NIP vs. LNG” prediction event on predict.fun is currently reported at 56%. At 3:00 p.m. Beijing Tim
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Kalshi has accused Netflix of defamation and is demanding that the trailer for the documentary about prediction markets be taken down
Svmuu News: On July 24, prediction market operator Kalshi sent a cease-and-desist letter to Netflix, alleging that the trailer for its new documentary *Instadocs: The Prediction Games* constitutes def
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Robinhood in Talks to Integrate Crypto.com's Prediction Market
Svmuu News: Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership in the prediction markets business. If the partnership is finalized, the prediction markets provided by Crypto.com will be int
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Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership on prediction markets
Svmuu News: Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership in the prediction markets business. If the partnership is finalized, the prediction markets provided by Crypto.com will be int
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With Several Executive Changes, Coinbase Accelerates Its Transition to a Full-Category Trading Platform
Svmuu News Coinbase is undergoing its largest executive reshuffle in recent years. Chief Talent Officer Lawrence Brock has stepped down and transitioned to an advisory role, while Greg Tusar, co-head
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On Polymarket, the probability that WTI crude oil will break through $95 per barrel in July has dropped to 53%, down 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “WTI Crude Oil Price in July,” the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95 per barrel has dropped t
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Bitcoin There is a 13% probability that it will rise to $70,000 in July
Svmuu News: According to prediction market data, there is a 13% probability that Bitcoin will rise to $70,000 in July. Additionally, there is a 1% probability that it will rise to $75,000 and a 14% pr
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Donald Trump Controversy Over Cryptocurrency Interests Holds Up the CLARITY Act; Prospects for Passage This Year Diminish
Svmuu News: The CLARITY Act—the long-awaited digital asset regulatory bill in the U.S. crypto industry—has hit a snag. Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that the Senate is not expected to pass
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On Polymarket, the probability that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP prediction market tools, the probability on Polymarket that “SpaceX’s Starship will conduct its 13th test flight on July 24” has risen to 77%, up 16% over the past 24 hours; The proba
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Wisconsin Warns That Those Who Trade Election Contracts May Lose Their Right to Vote in the Same Election; Kalshi Calls It Voter Suppression
Svmuu News: The Wisconsin Election Commission has stated that residents who purchase contracts related to a specific election on Kalshi or Polymarket may lose their eligibility to vote in that same el
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On Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. and Iran reaching a "two-week ceasefire" by August 31 is currently reported at 51%, down 3% from the previous week.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the prediction event on Polymarket titled “When will the U.S. and Iran reach a two-week ceasefire?”, the probability for August 14 is currently report
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Perpetual and prediction market fees rose 22% against the trend, while on-chain protocol fees fell 33% year-over-year in Q2
Svmuu News: Crypto venture capital firm 1kx reported that on-chain protocol fees fell 33% year-over-year in the second quarter, with DEX fees falling by $625 million, a 57% decline, driven primarily b
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HedgeEye Joins the Prediction Market ETF Race, Launching Democratic and Republican Prediction ETFs
Svmuu News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X that HedgeEye has entered the prediction market ETF race by launching Democratic and Republican prediction ETFs. Each ETF will continuously
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The TownSquare Sonar public offering has been oversubscribed, and the pre-market price is already 25% above the public offering price.
Svmuu News: TownSquare’s public offering on Sonar has been oversubscribed, with the pre-market price already exceeding the offering price by 25%. As of this writing, TownSquare’s public offering on So
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Polymarket Will Challenge the Nationwide Website Blockade in France
Svmuu News: Polymarket has announced it will challenge France’s site-wide block against it, noting that the platform has disabled trading functions in France since November 2024. French regulators sta
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Polymarket reports a preliminary probability of 61% that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026,” up 51% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026” is currently reported at 61% on Polymarket, up 51% over the past 24
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Kalshi and Polymarket's combined trading volume exceeded $44 billion in 2025
Svmuu News: Kalshi and Polymarket processed a combined trading volume of over $44 billion in 2025. As of April 2026, the two platforms’ combined monthly trading volume had risen to $24 billion, exceed
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A "smart money" investor bought $30,000 worth of LPL Stage 3 after JDG defeated AL
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “LPL Stage 3: JDG vs. AL,” “smart money” with profits exceeding $470,000 (0xe405483ff60ab58ce973479d3317045549fec67e
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Bin was substituted out; predict.fun currently reports an 89% probability that "BLG will defeat TT in the third stage of the LPL."
According to PPP’s prediction market tool, the probability of BLG defeating TT in the “LPL Stage 3: BLG vs. TT” prediction event on predict.fun is currently reported at 89%. At 7:00 p.m. tonight, the
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K25.ai Completes Series A Funding Round; Amber Group Provides Strategic Support
Svmuu News: K25.ai has announced the completion of its Series A funding round, with strategic support from Amber Group, bringing its post-investment valuation to $200 million. This funding will be use
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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On Polymarket, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” has dropped to 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026” on Polymarket is currently reported at 38%, down 9% over the past 24 hours. Alth
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A "smart money" investor has bet over $190,000 on a South Korean professional soccer match, predicting that Seoul FC will defeat Pohang Steelers.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event for the “South Korean professional soccer match between Seoul FC and Pohang Steelers,” smart money accounts (address
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
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Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
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SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
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Kalshi becomes the first prediction market to stream full order books via DoubleZero Edge.
Prediction market platform Kalshi announced that it has become the first prediction market to distribute real-time, full order book data through its DoubleZero Edge service. This move will allow insti
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FlightAware drops lawsuit against Kalshi one day after filing
The flight tracker previously claimed that Kalshi improperly used its data and trademark to run prediction markets on flight cancellations.
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CFTC orders prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State after the state filed a lawsuit seeking to block its services
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced that it has used its "emergency powers" to order prediction market operator Kalshi to continue operating in New York State. This follows
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US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
US-Iran nuclear deal odds hit new lows on Kalshi, with traders pricing just a 40% chance before 2028 and 50% before Jan. 20, 2029, with contracts sharply down from spring highs.
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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