prediction market
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NFL Joins Opposition to Federal Regulation of Prediction Markets, Calls for Supreme Court Intervention
The National Football League (NFL) has filed documents with the U.S. Supreme Court, joining states, former regulator Gary Gensler, and Chris Dodd, one of the authors of the Dodd-Frank Act, in opposing
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Decrypt Money Accounts launched on Solana, supporting Earn, Swaps, Predictions, and perpetual contracts.
Decrypt Money Accounts are now live on Solana, offering users a single self-custodial balance that can be used across all financial tools built on the platform, including Earn, Swaps, Predictions, and
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Polymarket CEO Coplan stops short of mentioning a token at TOKEN2049
Traders had interpreted a Sunday post by Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan as a tease for a Polymarket token (POLY). However, at the TOKEN2049 conference, Coplan only described an on-chain asset tied to th
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Polymarket Protocol V2 upgrade will not automatically migrate existing bets to new contracts.
The Polymarket Protocol V2 upgrade will not automatically migrate existing bets under the old Conditional Token Framework (CTF) to the new contract. Its migration guide requires trading integrators to
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Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan: Chasing 100x tokens is a game of "irrational exuberance"; traders are seeking more predictable prediction market opportunities.
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan: Chasing 100x tokens is a game of "irrational exuberance"; traders are seeking more predictable prediction market opportunities.
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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong retweeted a Coinbase post announcing the launch of real-time cryptocurrency price markets on prediction markets.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong retweeted a Coinbase post announcing the launch of real-time cryptocurrency price markets on prediction markets.
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Kalshi launches election contract transparency features ahead of midterms, including low-volume market indicators and prediction accuracy metrics.
Kalshi has launched several transparency features for its election contracts ahead of the midterm elections, including flagging low-liquidity markets with less than $10,000 in trading volume, a Brier
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CNBC: Prediction market portfolio contracts are driving up trading volume, accounting for over 50% of Kalshi's notional trading volume last month, but less than 13% of actual trade counts.
CNBC: Prediction market portfolio contracts are driving up trading volume, accounting for over 50% of Kalshi's notional trading volume last month, but less than 13% of actual trade counts.
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Altius CEO: Crypto's future is pricing existing assets, not creating new ones
Altius co-founder and CEO Annabelle Huang argues that the future of crypto may depend less on creating novel assets and more on building the infrastructure required to price a growing universe of exis
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Edge Markets launches new infrastructure aimed at reducing liquidation risk from margin calls in prediction markets.
Edge Markets has launched new infrastructure aimed at reducing liquidation risk from margin calls in prediction markets. Seni Thomas, founder and CEO of the company, stated that the system will suppor
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Trump Teases “Midterm Surprise” Amid Democratic Lead in Power Index
Trump Teases “Midterm Surprise” Amid Democratic Lead in Power Index President Trump stated that Republicans are “flipping races all over the place,” citing surging rally enthusiasm and hinting at a “M
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Polymarket Unveils Protocol V2, Targeting Full Mainnet Switchover on Nov 2
Polymarket Head of Protocol Rajath Alex announced Protocol V2, which replaces its legacy 2019 Gnosis CTF foundation. V2 unifies the system around a single ERC-1155 position contract, pUSD collateral,
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House Democrat Don Davis introduces bill to ban federal candidates from trading on own election prediction markets
The "No Betting on Your Own Race Act" seeks to formalize existing platform rules, imposing a fine of $10,000 or three times the net financial gain for violations. This follows his Republican opponent
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NEXTPredict Conference to Explore Prediction Market Development, Two CFTC Directors to Attend
The NEXTPredict conference will be held in New York from October 22-23, aiming to bring prediction markets to a wider audience. Two directors from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC),
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Polymarket CEO Hints at Crypto Token Launch at Token2049
Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan has fueled speculation about the prediction market launching its own token, teasing "a little something to say" at the upcoming Token2049 event in Singapore on October 7-8
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WSJ investigation reveals Polymarket's repeated compliance failures and fraud attacks
A Wall Street Journal investigation found repeated compliance failures, fraud attacks, and software glitches within Polymarket, a high-flying prediction market company. This included a major fraud att
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Gen-Z-founded Alcedine Technologies emerges as top-10 prediction market trader, begins raising capital
Alcedine Technologies, founded in 2024 by Zack Chroman and Tanner Hoke, has quickly become a top-10 trader across U.S. regulated prediction exchanges like Kalshi. These upstart Gen-Z trading firms are
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Galaxy Research Report: 69.2% of retail investor accounts on Polymarket International Platform are losing money, with total losses amounting to $338.9 million.
The analysis, based on Stork's on-chain settlement data, found that 69.2% of approximately 2.9 million "manually operated" retail investor accounts on the Polymarket international platform ultimately
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CBS News partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction-market data into its 2026 midterm coverage, joining CNN, Fox News, and NBC News
CBS News partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction-market data into its 2026 midterm coverage, joining CNN, Fox News, and NBC News
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has prematurely terminated its volume incentive program and launched a new rewards program.
Prediction market platform Kalshi has terminated its Volume Incentive Program nearly a year ahead of schedule. The program, originally set to conclude on October 1, 2027, will now end no earlier than
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The U.S. CFTC submitted two rules to the White House, aiming to define event contracts as swaps and exclude gambling attributes, to counter state governments' claims of betting.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has submitted two related rules to the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for review. One rule aims to include event contracts withi
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CFTC Investigating Former Congressman Adam Kinzinger Over Kalshi Bets on His Own Pardon
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is reportedly investigating former Republican Representative Adam Kinzinger for placing bets on prediction market platform Kalshi regarding his own pres
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Robinhood Announces Plans for 24/7 Stock Trading and Earnings Contracts
Robinhood plans to upgrade its existing "24/5" stock trading service to true 24/7 trading, covering weekends, pending regulatory approval. Concurrently, the company will launch binary options contract
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FVT Coin: Finance.Vote Project Positioning, Market Status, and Risk Analysis
FVT is the native token of Finance.Vote, a decentralized finance (DeFi) governance platform that aims to advance decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) through quadratic voting and prediction market mechanisms. Despite the project's clear positioning in governance and price discovery, the FVT token currently exhibits extremely low market activity, with 24-hour trading volumes typically only in the hundreds of dollars, and a relatively small circulating market capitalization. Its historical price has been highly volatile, reaching an all-time high in March 2021, but recent prices have fallen sharply and remained at low levels for an extended period. Investors should be fully aware of its high risk and illiquid status.
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Kalshi: Non-Trading Viewers Outnumbered Traders by Five to One During US Midterm Elections
Kalshi: Non-trading viewers on prediction markets outnumbered traders by more than five times during the US midterm elections. Total trading volume on the platform exceeded $2.5 billion for the midter
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CNBC: Probability of Anthropic announcing IPO before December drops to 57% on Kalshi within a week
According to a CNBC report on November 6, the probability wagered on Kalshi of Anthropic announcing an IPO before December dropped from nearly 90% to 57% over the past week; meanwhile, the probability
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Merkley and Raskin Propose Legislation to Ban U.S. Exchanges from Offering Election and Sports Contract Trading
Merkley and Raskin have proposed legislation to ban U.S. exchanges from offering trading in election and sports contracts. Introduced on March 26, the bill also extends restrictions to U.S. government
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According to The Wall Street Journal, driven by the AI stock sell-off, Anthropic's IPO valuation could drop to $1 trillion.
According to The Wall Street Journal, Anthropic's IPO valuation could drop to $1 trillion amid the AI stock sell-off. Investors told the outlet that the previous $1.5 trillion target now appears too h
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Coinbase, Robinhood, and Circle earnings reports show new businesses struggle to avoid crypto market cyclicality
Earnings reports from Coinbase, Robinhood, and Circle show that new business lines struggle to escape crypto market cyclicality. According to CoinDesk, despite expansion into diversified services such
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Crypto industry critic Elizabeth Warren is expected to assume the chair of the US Senate Committee on Banking in January, with her focus likely shifting toward crypto regulation
According to The Wall Street Journal, Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren, a long-time advocate for stricter crypto industry regulation, is expected to assume the chairmanship of the U.S. Senate Banki
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California tribe wins court order blocking Kalshi from offering sports contracts on its land
California tribe wins court order blocking Kalshi from offering sports contracts on its land; Kalshi must report compliance steps within 21 days after the tribe challenged the effectiveness of its vol
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Hollywood Studios Quietly Ban Staff From Betting on Prediction Markets
Hollywood Studios Quietly Ban Staff From Betting on Prediction Markets
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Hit by the tech stock sell-off, the probability of Anthropic going public in 2026 on Kalshi has dropped below 60%.
Driven by the tech stock sell-off, the probability of Anthropic going public in 2026 on Kalshi has dropped below 60%, after approaching 90% ahead of the midterm elections. According to reports, invest
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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Arkansas Sues Prediction Market Platform Kalshi for Illegal Gambling
The State of Arkansas is suing prediction market platform Kalshi, accusing it of operating illegal gambling and seeking restitution, unpaid taxes, and civil penalties. Kalshi is currently engaged in o
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US State of Arkansas Sues Prediction Market Platform Kalshi, Alleging Illegal Gambling
The state of Arkansas has filed a lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi, accusing it of operating illegal gambling. Previously, Utah and several other U.S. states had also initiated crimin
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Hudson River Trading Joins Wall Street’s Prediction Market Shift
Hudson River Trading Joins Wall Street’s Prediction Market Shift
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CBS: Trump is reportedly discussing replacing Defense Secretary Hegseth in private, and prediction markets show his odds of leaving have skyrocketed
According to CBS reports, following the Republican midterm election defeats, US President Donald Trump is privately discussing replacing Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, though no final decision has
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Prediction markets show the probability of Donald Trump facing impeachment by the House of Representatives has soared to 64% following the US midterms.
Prediction markets show the probability of Donald Trump facing impeachment by the House of Representatives has soared to 64% following the US midterms.
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US Second Circuit Court of Appeals denies Coinbase and Kalshi's request for temporary injunction on state prediction market enforcement
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit has denied Coinbase and Kalshi's motion for an emergency injunction pending appeal against prediction market enforcement actions in Connecticut and New
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Polymarket data shows the probability of a "Democratic sweep" in the 2026 midterm elections has hit 100%
According to trading data from the on-chain prediction market Polymarket as of November 3, 2026, the implied probability of a "Democrats Sweep" in the 2026 midterm elections has reached 100%, indicati
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Former Senator Sherrod Brown defeated Jon Husted in Ohio to return to Congress, as the crypto super PAC Fairshake failed in its blocking effort.
Former Senator Sherrod Brown defeated Jon Husted in Ohio to return to Congress, as the crypto super PAC Fairshake failed in its efforts to block him. On Tuesday evening, Democrat Sherrod Brown defeate
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Deltaone retweeted a post from Kalshi stating that the probability of the Democrats controlling the Senate after the midterms is 81%.
Deltaone retweeted a post from Kalshi stating that the probability of the Democrats controlling the Senate after the midterms is 81%.
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Bloomberg: Trading on the 2026 midterm elections on Kalshi and Polymarket lags, failing to replicate the prediction market boom
Bloomberg reports that while the 2024 U.S. presidential election was a significant moment for prediction markets, and their forecasts for the 2026 midterm elections are also garnering attention two ye
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Kalshi's Midterm Election Index has been settled based on Pyth data.
Kalshi's Midterm Election Index has been settled based on Pyth data. The index combined 13 election events, with payouts tied to time-weighted index readings rather than election outcomes.
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Ackman stated that more liquid prediction markets could offer better predictive signals.
Ackman stated that more liquid prediction markets could offer better predictive signals.
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Prediction markets show a 73% probability of Democrats controlling both chambers of Congress, as Wall Street institutions issue warnings about the impact of the midterm elections.
Prediction markets show a 73% probability of Democrats controlling both chambers of Congress in the midterm elections, and Wall Street institutions are preparing for this outcome. Standard Chartered w
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Prediction markets have repeatedly failed in election forecasting. Will the midterm elections be a repeat of this?
Prediction markets failed to accurately predict the outcomes in recent elections in Brazil, Serbia, and Wisconsin, as "dark horse" candidates unexpectedly won, once again bringing voting data into foc
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THALES Token Value and Current Status Analysis: How is the Prediction Market Protocol Token Performing?
An in-depth analysis of the fundamentals, tokenomics, and market performance of the Thales protocol. As an Ethereum-based liquidity and settlement layer protocol for prediction markets, THALES is currently trading in the range of approximately $0.186 to $0.201, with a market capitalization of around $1.25 million. This article reviews its operational mechanisms and market analysis perspectives.
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Is PULSE (Pulse Markets Governance Token) a Good Investment? Future Outlook and Risk Analysis
PULSE refers to the governance token associated with the Pulse Markets prediction market platform. Public information indicates it is used for governance, incentives, liquidity, and betting collateral. Market data shows its price is approximately $0.0093 with extremely low trading volume, classifying it as a small-cap, low-liquidity asset. Its future prospects depend on platform adoption, oracle reliability, and liquidity improvements, and it should be evaluated within a high-risk asset framework.
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How is the YF-DAI coin? An analysis of YF-DAI coin's future development prospects and application scenarios
An in-depth analysis of the latest market dynamics and development prospects of the YF-DAI coin. Driven by the growth in prediction market trading volume and the rebound in risk appetite, YF-DAI's liquidity value in application scenarios such as prediction and high-frequency arbitrage has attracted industry attention.
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CFTC Accuses Polymarket of Insider Trading: $1.2 Million in Illegal Gains Reveals Regulatory Storm in Prediction Markets
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has recently taken multiple enforcement actions against the prediction market platform Polymarket and its users. Following a fine imposed on Polymarket in 2022, the CFTC and the U.S. Department of Justice filed lawsuits against two individuals in 2026, accusing them of illegally profiting approximately $1.2 million and over $400,000, respectively, by trading event contracts on Polymarket using insider information. These cases, coupled with the CFTC's re-examination of Polymarket's compliance this month, highlight regulators' growing concern over insider trading and platform compliance in prediction markets, signaling stricter legal scrutiny for the sector.
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ZTG (Zeitgeist) Trading Status and Exchange Information Analysis
ZTG is the native token of Zeitgeist, a decentralized prediction market platform, used for governance, market settlement, and network fee payments. However, current data shows extremely low trading activity, with multiple mainstream data platforms reporting its 24-hour trading volume as zero or only a few thousand dollars. Price information varies significantly across different platforms, and market cap estimations are contradictory. This article outlines the basic facts of the Zeitgeist project and analyzes its market status based on publicly available data.
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2026 World Cup Review: How Polymarket Prediction Data Reflected Market Expectations and Outcomes
The 2026 FIFA World Cup concluded on July 19, with Spain ultimately claiming the championship. On Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market, the "World Cup Winner" event saw trading volume exceed $4.3 billion, making it the largest single sports event. Before the tournament, France and Spain were favorites, but on the eve of the final, Polymarket data showed Spain's probability of winning surged to 58%, which ultimately aligned with the outcome. This article will review how Polymarket data revealed the market's collective expectations for the event.
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What is GNO Coin? An Analysis of the Gnosis Ecosystem and Tokenomics
GNO is the native token of the Gnosis ecosystem, which originated as a decentralized prediction market and has since evolved into a platform encompassing diverse DeFi tools such as Gnosis Safe, CowSwap, and Gnosis Chain. GNO tokens are used for staking on the Gnosis Beacon Chain and serve as the governance token for GnosisDAO, granting holders voting rights over ecosystem development and fund allocation. As of early October 2026, the real-time price of GNO is approximately $120.55, with a circulating market capitalization of around $318 million and a total supply of 3 million tokens, securing its position in the cryptocurrency market.
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FVT Coin: Finance.Vote Project Positioning, Market Status, and Risk Analysis
FVT is the native token of Finance.Vote, a decentralized finance (DeFi) governance platform that aims to advance decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) through quadratic voting and prediction market mechanisms. Despite the project's clear positioning in governance and price discovery, the FVT token currently exhibits extremely low market activity, with 24-hour trading volumes typically only in the hundreds of dollars, and a relatively small circulating market capitalization. Its historical price has been highly volatile, reaching an all-time high in March 2021, but recent prices have fallen sharply and remained at low levels for an extended period. Investors should be fully aware of its high risk and illiquid status.
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TRUE Coin Analysis: Overview of True (TRUE) and TrueFi (TRU) Projects and Trading Channels
"TRUE coin" may refer to multiple projects in the cryptocurrency market. This article primarily focuses on two main entities: first, True (TRUE), a decentralized prediction market platform operating on the Base blockchain that allows users to trade predictions on real-world events; and second, TrueFi (TRU), a decentralized finance credit protocol designed to provide transparent crypto lending services, with its native token TRU used for governance and rewards. The article will detail the core functionalities, tokenomics, and currently available trading channels for both projects.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Delphy (DPY) Token Analysis: Prediction Market Project Status and Risk Assessment
Delphy (DPY) is a decentralized prediction market project based on Ethereum, created by the Bo Wang team in 2017. Its token, DPY, once reached an all-time high of $4.78, but its current price is extremely low, with recent 24-hour trading volume near zero, and a market capitalization displayed as $0, indicating extremely low market activity. Multiple data sources show discrepancies regarding its circulating supply and current price, but the general market sentiment is pessimistic. Given its current market performance and lack of liquidity, DPY is widely considered a high-risk asset with no active investment value.
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US SEC Delays Prediction Market ETF, CFTC Partners with NHL: What's the Compliance Path for New Sectors?
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has recently postponed the approval of several prediction market ETFs multiple times, raising widespread market concerns about the compliance path for these innovative financial products. Meanwhile, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has actively signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with the National Hockey League (NHL) to enhance the integrity and transparency of event contract markets related to sports. Although prediction markets are regulated by the CFTC at the federal level, conflicts with state laws, jurisdictional disputes between regulatory agencies, and the lack of a unified digital asset regulatory framework continue to pose challenges for the compliance journey of this emerging sector. Its future development will require ongoing exploration and coordination among all parties.
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Polymarket Prediction Market Plagued by Insider Trading: Regulatory Challenges Highlighted by Maduro Ousting Bets
Crypto prediction market Polymarket has recently drawn significant attention due to multiple insider trading allegations. In one instance, a U.S. Army sergeant allegedly used classified military operation information to accurately bet on the ousting of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, profiting over $400,000. This has led to criminal and civil lawsuits from the U.S. Department of Justice and the CFTC. Additionally, the platform has been involved in several other cases of trading based on internal information, highlighting the regulatory gaps and integrity challenges faced by prediction markets in their rapid development.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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ECN Coin Analysis: Current Status and Market Liquidity of Ecosystem Coin Network
ECN typically refers to Ecosystem Coin Network, an ERC-20 token based on Ethereum, designed to build decentralized prediction markets. However, as of September 17, 2026, the token's market performance is extremely sluggish, with public data showing its circulating supply and 24-hour trading volume are both close to zero, resulting in an actual market capitalization of zero. Although it has had higher prices historically, the current market lacks active trading, and investors should be wary of its extremely low liquidity risk.
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GUA Token: A Review of Price Volatility, Security Incidents, and Short Squeezes in an AI Prediction Market Project
GUA is the native token of SUPERFORTUNE, an AI-powered InfoFi platform that combines blockchain analytics with Eastern metaphysics for market predictions. In May 2026, the GUA token experienced a significant price surge, reaching an all-time high of $1.68, partly due to a short squeeze. However, the project subsequently suffered a major security incident (the airdrop contract was stolen), leading to a sharp price correction. It has since fallen close to its initial offering price, with low market liquidity.
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Reviewing the World Cup's Impact on Crypto: Bitcoin's Historical Performance and 2026 prediction market Highlights
The impact of the World Cup on the cryptocurrency market has always been a focal point of industry attention. Historical data shows that during the past three World Cups, Bitcoin prices generally performed weakly, but this often coincided with broader market bear trends and major industry events (such as the FTX collapse). However, in the long run, Bitcoin's price at the start of each World Cup has been significantly higher than the previous one. Notably, during the 2026 World Cup, cryptocurrency prediction markets have shown unprecedented activity, with a surge in trading volume, becoming a major highlight of the event and attracting a large number of user participations.
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Gemini Exchange: The Path to Regulatory Compliance and Strategic Transformation
Founded in 2014 by the Winklevoss twins, the Gemini exchange is known for its strict regulatory compliance, holding a NYDFS trust charter and CFTC derivatives license. In 2025, Gemini filed for an IPO, and in 2026, it announced its "Gemini 2.0" strategy, shifting its focus to prediction markets and event contracts, while also adjusting its international market presence. Despite facing the Gemini Earn controversy and SEC charges, customer compensation has been completed. The platform is renowned for its security, but users have expressed negative feedback regarding its customer service and account issues.
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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