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Inflation
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Donald Trump: Overall inflation in June saw the largest single-month decline in six years
According to Svmuu News (Donald Trump), today’s report from the Department of Labor shows that the year-over-year inflation rate for June was 3.5%, while the seasonally adjusted month-over-month CPI w
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CPI Data Comes in Below Expectations; Odds of a Fed Rate Hike in July Drop to 20%
Svmuu News: As consumer price data came in below expectations, traders pulled back on their bets on a Fed rate hike, driving U.S. Treasury prices sharply higher. The yield on the two-year Treasury not
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Cautious About the AI Boom
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh is optimistic about the overall economic situation. He believes the labor market is generally stable, with virtually no layoffs, and that nominal wages have als
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Warsh: The Federal Reserve's top priority is to get monetary policy right
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated that the Fed’s top priority is to get monetary policy right—or as close to right as possible. If we choose the right policy, the surge in inflation over
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U.S. CPI Falls for the First Time Since 2020, Easing Pressure on the Fed to Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: U.S. consumer prices fell in June for the first time in six years, and a key measure of underlying inflation remained largely unchanged, which has somewhat eased pressure on the Federal Re
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh: Monitoring the Impact of AI on Inflation and the Labor Market
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated that the opportunities presented by AI pose challenges for policymakers and that the Fed is monitoring the impact of AI on inflation and the labor market
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Traders Have Significantly Reduced Their Bets on a Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Following the release of U.S. inflation data for June, U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply, and traders significantly scaled back their bets on a Fed rate hike.
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U.S. CPI Fell 0.4% Month-Over-Month in June; BTC Rose to $63,400
Svmuu News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June fell 0.4% month-over-month, compared with economists’ expectations of a 0.1% decline; in May, it rose 0.5%; year-over-year, it rose 3.5%, compa
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Warsh: The Fed Has Zero Tolerance for Persistently High Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Warsh stated that the Fed has zero tolerance for persistently high inflation, that the labor market remains generally stable, that nominal wage growth is robust, and
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U.S. unadjusted CPI for June came in at 3.5% year-over-year, compared with an expected 3.8% and a previous reading of 4.20%.
Svmuu News: The U.S. unadjusted CPI for June came in at 3.5% year-over-year, compared to an expected 3.8% and a previous reading of 4.20%. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Small Business Confidence Rebounds in June, but Inflation Remains the Top Concern
Svmuu News: Small business confidence in the U.S. improved in June, but the percentage of business owners who view inflation as the “single most important issue” rose to its highest level in nearly tw
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Analyst: U.S. CPI may post a month-over-month decline, which would ease market concerns about an imminent Fed rate hike
Svmuu News: Analyst Matthew Weller said that whether inflation has peaked is the market’s top concern ahead of the June CPI report.For the first time in three months, the Strait of Hormuz was partiall
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Jack Mallers Says the Dollar Needs to Depreciate and Debt Needs to Be Monetized; BTC Sellers Have Been Exhausted
Svmuu News: Jack Mallers explains why now is the time to buy Bitcoin, stating that the U.S. dollar must depreciate, debt must be monetized, and inflation must begin. He advises against feeling fear or
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HSBC: South Korea's Central Bank Expected to Raise Rates by 25 Basis Points This Week as a Precautionary Measure
Svmuu News: Jin Choi, an economist at HSBC, said the market widely expects the Bank of Korea to implement a preemptive 25-basis-point rate hike this week. Although there have been recent localized con
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The Bank of Korea is expected to raise interest rates this week for the first time in more than three years.
Svmuu News: Economists expect the Bank of Korea to raise interest rates on Thursday for the first time in more than three years, with another hike expected before the end of the year. South Korea’s in
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller favors setting the inflation target within the 1.5%–2.5% range
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he favors setting an inflation target as a range rather than the current single target of 2 percent, and personally prefers a range of 1.5 perce
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Waller Sets the Tone for Tuesday’s CPI Report: High Inflation Will Support Near-Term Rate Hikes
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller said Monday that if future data indicate inflation remains well above the 2% target, the Fed may need to raise interest rates “in the near term.” He said cu
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: If core inflation continues to decline—which remains a plausible scenario—he would support keeping interest rates unchanged
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that if core inflation continues to decline—which remains a reasonable scenario—he will continue to support keeping interest rates unchanged. He expe
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Bitcoin Three Major Causes of the Bear Market Revealed, but Industry Experts Predict a Rebound to $100,000 by Year-End
Svmuu News Bitcoin has been on a steady decline since last October, with the price currently hovering around half of its all-time high of $126,000, and the market remains in a deep bear market.Several
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Mitsubishi UFJ: Upcoming U.S. inflation data may curb the dollar's strength
Svmuu News: Lee Hardman, an analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ, said in a report that the U.S. dollar could weaken if data released on Tuesday shows that core inflation pressures in the U.S. remained moderate
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Fed Chair Warsh May Face the Decision of Whether to Reverse Last Year's Rate Cuts
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote that last month, Warsh presided over his first meeting as Fed Chair, during which the Fed unanimously decided to keep interest rates u
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Fox Business Crypto Reporter: This week, we’ll be watching CPI, PPI, Fed remarks, and progress on the Clarity Act
Svmuu News: A Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X, noting that this week will see a flurry of economic data, Fed remarks, and further clarity on the status of the Clarity Act. Key items to watch
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Survey: Economists Forecast U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation at 3.4% This Year, Up from 3.2% in the April Survey
Svmuu News: According to a Wall Street Journal survey, economists expect U.S. consumer price index (CPI) inflation to reach 3.4% this year, up from 3.2% in the April survey.
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Eni CEO: If the conflict in the Middle East persists, the oil market could break out of its current range in early 2027
Svmuu News: Claudio Descalzi, CEO of Italy’s state-controlled Eni Group, said that if the conflict in the Middle East continues, the global oil market will break out of its current range of approximat
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Asian Stocks, Bonds Set to Decline Thursday on Inflation Jitters
The decline tracks Wall Street losses as an oil rally and stronger-than-expected US economic data fueled inflation concerns and bets on further interest-rate hikes. The yen, near a three-week low, wil
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US Treasury yields soar, with 10-year note hitting 5.125% and 2-year note topping 4.9%, threatening higher borrowing costs for consumers
Government debt costs leaped higher on Wednesday, driven by factors including a report showing increased inflation pressures, surging expectations for an October Fed rate hike, and weak demand at a 5-
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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