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Inflation
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Mohamed El-Erian says 30-year Treasury yield at 5.27% signals a structural shift that will make America more expensive
The former PIMCO CEO stated in his latest opinion piece for The New York Times that this is not an ordinary bond-market sell-off, but could mark the beginning of a structural economic shift more endur
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The World Bank expects Lebanon's economy to shrink by 6.4% in 2026, with inflation accelerating to 17.5%.
Lebanon's economy has shifted from a brief post-crisis recovery to a sharp decline due to ongoing conflict, with real GDP projected to contract by 6.4% in 2026, the World Bank stated. The report noted
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SNB's Tschudin Says AI Could Push Up Inflation in the Short Term Due to Chip Shortages, Though Long-Term Impact Remains Unclear
Swiss National Bank (SNB) governing board member Petra Tschudin stated in an interview published on Friday that artificial intelligence (AI) could drive inflation higher in the short term, citing pote
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TD Securities expects that the Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh may bring moderate comfort to the market at next week's Jackson Hole Symposium.
TD Securities analysts noted that markets will focus on signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh regarding his policy approach and a reaffirmation of his commitment to fighting inflation. The fi
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ECB Survey: Eurozone Consumer Inflation Expectations for Next 12 Months Fall to 2.9% in July, Economic Growth Outlook Improves Slightly
The European Central Bank's (ECB) Consumer Expectations Survey for July 2026 revealed that median expectations for inflation over the next 12 months decreased to 2.9% from 3.0% in June. Similarly, inf
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Goldman Sachs: Slower Inflation Is the Best Path to Lower US Government Bond Yields
Goldman Sachs: Slower Inflation Is the Best Path to Lower US Government Bond Yields
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Japan's headline inflation hit 1.9% in July, highest this year, driven by energy prices due to the Iran war
Core inflation, which excludes fresh food but includes energy, rose 1.8%, in line with expectations. Wholesale inflation also surged to 7.2% in July, with electricity charges being the largest contrib
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The S&P 500 index delivered a total return of 10.2% in the first half of 2026, and analysis indicates that historically, such performance usually presages positive returns in the second half of the year.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that since 1927, in 30 years where the S&P 500 index gained more than 10% in the first half, 23 of those years also recorded positive returns in the second half, a win
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Analysts expect a 3.4% increase in the U.S. Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2027, the largest increase in four years.
Independent Social Security and Medicare analyst Mary Johnson predicts that U.S. Social Security recipients will receive a 3.4% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) in 2027, which would be the largest inc
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Fund Managers Hold Highest Equity Allocation Since Nov 2021 Despite Bond Yield Concerns
Bank of America's latest survey shows global fund managers have 56% of their portfolios in equities, the highest proportion since November 2021. This bullishness persists even as the survey identifies
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Analysts: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent's plan to increase long-term debt buybacks is, at best, a "circuit breaker" for the global bond sell-off.
Analysts noted that US Treasury Secretary Besant's plan to increase long-term debt buybacks triggered a global bond rally, but given concerns about fiscal distress and persistent global inflation, the
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WSJ analysis suggests U.S. Treasury market's coveted safe-haven status is fading
The upward trend in bond yields this year, driven by persistent inflation and heavy AI-linked corporate borrowing, indicates that Treasurys are appearing less safe. Their yields are no longer as low r
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The average bond yield in G7 countries rose to its highest level since 2008 in mid-August, as investors demanded higher compensation.
The average bond yield in G7 countries rose to its highest level since 2008 in mid-August, as investors demanded higher compensation. Reasons for investors to exit long-term sovereign debt include inc
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The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes show that officials believe interest rate hikes may be necessary if inflation does not cool down.
The Federal Reserve's July 28-29 policy meeting minutes, released on Wednesday, indicated that several officials assessed that further policy tightening might be necessary if inflation did not decline
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RBI Policymakers Opted to Wait for More Clarity on Inflation Before Changing Interest Rates, Though One Member Saw a Case for a Hike Later This Year, Minutes Showed
RBI Policymakers Opted to Wait for More Clarity on Inflation Before Changing Interest Rates, Though One Member Saw a Case for a Hike Later This Year, Minutes Showed
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UK Inflation Accelerates as Energy Bills Surge
UK Inflation Accelerates as Energy Bills Surge
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Australia's RBA Deputy Governor Hauser Says Rates Will Need to Rise If Prices Fail to Ease
Australia's RBA Deputy Governor Hauser Says Rates Will Need to Rise If Prices Fail to Ease
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The U.S. 30-year government bond yield surpassed 5.3% during intraday trading, reaching a new high since 2007. Wall Street analysts suggest that the bond market may be bidding farewell to the ultra-low interest rate environment.
On August 18, the US 30-year government bond yield briefly surpassed 5.3% during intraday trading, reaching its highest level since 2007; the 10-year yield also approached its early 2025 high. Wall St
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Uruguay's central bank held interest rates steady for the fourth consecutive policy meeting, citing inflation below its target.
Uruguay's central bank held interest rates steady for the fourth consecutive policy meeting, citing inflation below its target.
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Mortgage Rates Rise Slightly, With 7% Rates Back on Table Amid Bond Selloff
Mortgage rates rose slightly on Tuesday due to a deepening bond market selloff. Investors are offloading Treasurys amid concerns over the expanding U.S. debt load, government borrowing needs, and moun
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U.S. diesel refining margins surge to record $102/barrel amid global supply crunch, with inventories at lowest late-August level since 1996
U.S. diesel refining margins surge to record $102/barrel amid global supply crunch, with inventories at lowest late-August level since 1996. Supply disruptions linked to the U.S.-Iran war, Strait of H
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Cleveland Fed Survey: Business Executives Expect CPI Inflation of 3.3% in Coming Year, Down From 3.7% in Q2
Business executives surveyed by the Cleveland Fed also anticipate little change in wage growth (2.8% for the coming year, vs 2.9% in last year's survey) and employment levels. Anticipated R&D spending
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US July Import Prices Fell 0.4% Month-over-Month, Export Prices Dropped 1.3%
US import prices for July decreased by 0.4% month-over-month, falling short of the estimated 0.1% increase. Export prices also saw a significant decline, dropping 1.3% month-over-month, which was belo
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ECB's Lane: Euro zone inflation one percentage point above ECB's 2% target is a lot
ECB's Lane: Euro zone inflation one percentage point above ECB's 2% target is a lot
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
24H Trending
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Anthropic's potential $2 trillion IPO fuels nearly $80 million in crypto derivatives bets
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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VICA Token: Ethereum-Based "Noflation" Concept Token and Its Market Status
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What is Shiba Inu (SHIB)? An Analysis of Shiba Inu's Current Status and Trading Channels
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The US, Denmark, and Greenland have reached a security agreement to expand the US military presence in Greenland, expected to be signed next week.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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ODMCoin (ODMC) Project Review: A Blockchain Attempt at Oil and Gas Waste Treatment
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ATMOS Coin Analysis: Market Status and Historical Performance of Novusphere's Native Token
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Decentralized Applications (DApps) Explained: Reshaping the Foundation of the Web3 Ecosystem
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