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Inflation
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UK CPI 3.1%, prior 3%
CPI: 3.1%, Previous: 3% Release Time: 2026-09-04 08:30 UTC
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World's Biggest Money Managers Are Rebuilding Gold Positions, Betting on Long-Term Drivers Despite Fed's Assertive Stance
Some of the world’s biggest money managers have rebuilt their gold holdings after prices dropped, betting that long-term drivers of the precious metal will endure even as the US Federal Reserve takes
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Philippine August Inflation Eases to 6.1%, Marking Fourth Straight Month of Deceleration
Philippine August inflation eased to 6.1%, marking the fourth straight month of deceleration, though remaining above the central bank’s target due to slower increases in utility rates and food prices.
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U.S. 30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.71%, a new high in over a year. The Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller stated that a rate hike in September might not be necessary.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the U.S. rose to 6.71% this week, up from 6.66% last week, reaching its highest level since July 2025, according to data released by Fred
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UBS Wealth Management France CIO Discusses Soaring Global Bond Yields and ECB Rate Hike Expectations
Claudia Panseri, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Wealth Management France, discussed the surge in global bond yields driven by inflation concerns, market expectations for European Central Bank rate hi
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BNP Paribas' Meghan Robson Says They Are Closely Watching CPI Next Week
BNP Paribas' Meghan Robson Says They Are Closely Watching CPI Next Week
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Brent crude oil surpassed $97 per barrel on Thursday, and the average price of diesel reached a new high of $5.78 per gallon since 2022.
International benchmark Brent crude rose for a fourth consecutive trading day on Thursday, breaking above $97 per barrel during the session, with a cumulative gain of over 7% this week. The average pr
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WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
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US major stock indexes rose over 1% during the trading session, with the Nasdaq Composite up 1.35%. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 4.75%. The Federal Reserve's Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
At midday Eastern Time on September 3, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.35% to 26,572 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.20% to 53,699 points, and the S&P 500 Index rose 1.01% to 7,744 p
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh publicly criticized his predecessor Jerome Powell for 65 consecutive months of inflation above target during his tenure; the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to a one-year high of 4.79%.
Warsh, the current Chairman of the Federal Reserve, publicly criticized his predecessor, Jerome Powell, stating that inflation exceeded the target for 65 consecutive months during Powell's tenure, a s
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Reuters Poll: Majority of Economists Expect ECB to Hike by 25 bps on September 10, Deposit Rate to Reach 2.50%, Signaling Potential Peak of Tightening Cycle
All 65 economists surveyed by Reuters from August 31 to September 3 expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10. Economists generally b
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US ISM Services PMI 55.4, expected 54.3, previous 54.1
ISM Services PMI: 55.4, expected 54.3, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 55.4, expected 54.2, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index: 72.6, prior 70.3 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Index
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Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
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FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller: If August inflation data continues to move towards 2%, I would favor holding interest rates steady; if the data is too hot, I would consider a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that while there has been no fundamental change in his monetary policy stance since July, his inclination has shifted from concern and a bias towards
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Switzerland's August inflation rate rose to 0.8%, reversing several months of cooling, as the Middle East situation pushed up energy costs.
Switzerland's August inflation rate rose to 0.8%, reversing several months of cooling, as the Middle East situation pushed up energy costs.
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US Retail Diesel Prices Hit Four-Year High, Topping Iran War Peak and Approaching Record as Global Supply Strains Persist
US Retail Diesel Prices Hit Four-Year High, Topping Iran War Peak and Approaching Record as Global Supply Strains Persist
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Malaysia Extends Rate Pause, Drops ‘Appropriate’ Language
Malaysia's central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged, citing the economy's continued modest inflation and rapid growth. The bank also tweaked its monetary policy statement by removing a refere
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The Philippines is reconsidering its plan to issue a large five-year bond later this month due to high inflation and a weak peso.
The Philippines is reconsidering its plan to issue a large five-year bond later this month due to high inflation and a weak peso.
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fold Pressure
The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fol
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Vietnam's Trade Deficit Narrows to $113 Million, Inflation at 4.9%
Vietnam recorded a trade deficit for the ninth consecutive month, as factories continue to import machinery and materials to expand production, aiming to achieve the country's double-digit growth targ
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Natixis Investment Managers Raises Japan Stocks Allocation, Cuts US Equity Exposure
The firm's strategists told Bloomberg in a recent interview that the move is a bet that Japan’s economic growth momentum will endure as inflationary pressures push government bond yields higher.
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Federal Reserve Governor Barr supports further interest rate hikes, S&P Global's inflation indicator hits a new high since October 2022, and market expectations for a Fed rate hike in October rise to 71%.
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that policymakers may need to further adjust policy to ensure inflation returns to target in a timely manner. On the same day, S&P Global's fl
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ECB's Lane: Eurozone HICP inflation is projected at 3.0% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027.
In a speech in Geneva, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, unveiled the ECB's September macroeconomic projections, forecasting HICP inflation for the Eurozone a
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McDonald's CEO expects high inflation and flat traffic to persist in restaurant industry
McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski stated on Wednesday that the company does not anticipate a change in these conditions, viewing them as the new operating environment. He noted that in the most recent
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Fed Governor Barr: AI Boom, Tariffs, and Energy Prices Fueling Inflation; Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated that the AI boom and price pressures related to tariffs and energy have contributed to “upward price pressures.” He added that given rising inflation risks
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U.S. September PMI data surged to a five-year high, with input costs reaching their highest since 2022, intensifying inflation concerns.
U.S. business activity accelerated significantly in September, with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rising to 57.0, the Services PMI to 58.7, and the Composite PMI to 58.4. All figures substantially
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Germany's largest trade union, IG Metall, is seeking a 5% wage increase for 3.7 million workers, putting new pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again.
Germany's IG Metall union will launch a new round of wage negotiations in October, demanding a 5% pay raise for approximately 3.7 million workers in the metal and electrical components industries to c
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Eastmoney Securities Research Institute Report: The world has not yet entered a phase of full tightening, and there is room to increase allocation to US Treasury bonds.
Eastmoney Securities Research Institute released a macro special report on September 23, outlining the characteristics and patterns of ten global synchronized tightening cycles since the 1970s. The re
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh responded to Donald Trump's demand for interest rate cuts to 1%, emphasizing that inflation has exceeded targets for five consecutive years and that rate hikes were unanimously approved by the committee.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated clearly at the press conference that inflation has exceeded the target for over five consecutive years, and this 25 basis point rate hike to the 3.75%-4% range al
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Analysts conclude their longest upgrade cycle in five years, holding a net negative view on U.S. corporate earnings prospects for the first time.
For the first time in months, equity analysts have turned net negative on the outlook for U.S. corporate earnings, reflecting concerns about the impact of inflation and high interest rates on company
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Hong Kong's August overall consumer prices rose 1.7% YoY, underlying inflation 1.9%
Hong Kong's overall consumer prices rose by 1.7% year-on-year in August, matching July's figure. The underlying inflation rate, which excludes one-off government relief measures, also remained unchang
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Nomura economists say Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's new inflation tracking method lacks predictive power
Economists at Nomura state that the new method Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh uses to gauge underlying inflation does not have better predictive power than core readings. Warsh revealed this method
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U.S. Treasury yields held steady in early trading, oil prices fluctuated, and the market focused on speeches by Federal Reserve officials.
U.S. Treasury yields were largely stable in early trading on Wednesday, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield at 4.963%, the 2-year Treasury yield at 4.771%, and the 30-year Treasury yield at 5.3%
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Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks warns: Out-of-control US fiscal discipline is the fundamental reason for rising interest rates, with the current deficit at about 6% of GDP.
Oaktree Capital co-founder Howard Marks stated in his latest memo on Tuesday that the uncontrolled fiscal discipline in the U.S. is the fundamental reason for rising long-term interest rates, and that
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Boston Fed President Collins warns inflation could remain 'notably' above 2% target
Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins stated that there is "an increased likelihood" of inflation staying "notably" above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. She explained her reasoning for back
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Singapore Core Inflation Rises Third Month to 2.2% in August, Highest Since 2024
Singapore's core inflation, which excludes housing and private transportation costs, accelerated to 2.2% year-on-year in August, marking the third consecutive monthly increase and reaching its highest
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Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day.
Soaring diesel prices are costing European drivers an extra €203 million per day, with the cost of filling up a tank increasing by 40% since the beginning of the year.
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ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
ADB Warns: Asian Inflationary Pressures to Persist Until 2027
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market focused on ADP employment data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that all Iranian airlines would be shut down starting Wednesday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 4.943%, the 2-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 4.741%, and the 30-year yield declined 2 basis points to 5.272%. Investors are awaiting th
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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