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Inflation
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Canada CPI YoY 3%, expected 3%, prior 3%, in line with expectations
CPI YoY: 3%, expected 3%, previous 3%, in line with expectations Release Time: 2026-09-14 12:30 UTC
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Canada's August inflation rate holds at 3.0% year-over-year, matching estimates
Canada's August inflation rate holds at 3.0% year-over-year, matching estimates
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Wall Street News: Middle East energy shocks are forcing global central banks to re-examine the "transitory inflation" logic, with multiple central banks potentially raising interest rates in sync.
The article points out that the six-month-long energy shock in the Middle East is leading to market concerns about a resurgence in inflation expectations, narrowing the policy space for central banks
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Pakistan Keeps Benchmark Interest Rate Steady at 11.5% for Third Straight Meeting
The State Bank of Pakistan held its target rate unchanged, as policymakers balance the need to support growth against mounting inflation risks from the Middle East conflict. The move was predicted by
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India's August inflation rises to 4.82%, marginally exceeding forecasts and marking tenth straight monthly acceleration
India's consumer price inflation rose to 4.82% in August from 4.45% in July, marginally exceeding economists' expectations for a 4.80% rise. This marks the tenth consecutive month of acceleration, fue
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Despite market pricing 85-90% odds of a Fed rate hike this week, some economists and former Fed officials argue the central bank might hold steady.
Former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and economist Adam Posen suggest the Federal Reserve's decision on a rate hike this week could be a closer call than market expectations. Posen notes that
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ECB's Schnabel: September staff projections show Eurozone HICP inflation returning to around 2% by 2027 under a benign scenario.
Isabel Schnabel, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB), cited ECB staff projections from September 2026 at the second BMWE European Competitiveness Workshop, stating that un
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US markets focus on oil, geopolitics, Treasury yields, and Fed positioning amid light data calendar
With a light US economic data calendar, market attention shifts to oil prices, Middle East geopolitics, Treasury yields, and the Federal Reserve's stance. Key events include Canada's CPI release at 8:
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Protests erupt across Syria after government raises fuel prices by up to 40%
Demonstrators burned tyres and blocked highways in several Syrian cities on Monday, protesting the government's decision on Sunday to increase diesel prices by up to 40% and petrol prices by 28%. The
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Financial Times: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh Faces Pressure to Raise Rates, Potentially Leading to Policy Conflict with President Donald Trump
According to the Financial Times, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is facing market pressure to act on his inflation warnings, with investors broadly expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rate
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Copper Slips as Inflation Data Raises Bets on Fed Hiking Rates
Copper Slips as Inflation Data Raises Bets on Fed Hiking Rates
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Asian equities were under pressure on Monday as slowing AI development and soaring oil prices rekindled inflation concerns, with SK Hynix falling over 5% and SoftBank plummeting 11%.
Asian equities broadly opened lower on Monday, impacted by AI giants' calls to slow the pace of frontier model development and renewed inflation concerns fueled by soaring oil prices. South Korea's KO
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Nikkei Asia: BOJ Governor Ueda and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh will face tough tests this week as markets pressure interest rates.
With renewed inflation concerns and a global bond sell-off, investors are increasing pressure on policymakers to get ahead of inflation and convince markets they can keep pace with evolving expectatio
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Jim Cramer Says Diesel Price Hike Acts Like a 25% Surtax on Consumer Goods, Unvoted by Congress
On CNBC's Squawk on the Street Thursday (September 10), Jim Cramer argued that surging diesel prices function as a 25% surtax on nearly all physical goods, which consumers cannot avoid. This comes as
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Constellation Brands reaffirms full-year outlook, refines beer strategy with focus on mature brands and Modelo expansion
Constellation Brands is refining its beer strategy by tailoring brand-specific marketing to consumer occasions, with a greater focus on sustaining mature brands like Corona while continuing to expand
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Prices of nearly all dinner table items are climbing simultaneously, drawing Wall Street's attention
Rising crop prices are exacerbating the current inflation problem, extending beyond just oil and the Iran war. For investors, this signals a return to the real-asset trade, while for U.S. consumers an
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Economist says Fed rate hike is about Wall Street, not inflation
An economist argues that the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate hike next week is primarily driven by Wall Street concerns rather than inflation. This comes as Goldman Sachs late Friday became the las
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Al Jazeera: Iran's annual inflation rate reached 89% in August, with food inflation exceeding 127%; the rial hit a new low against the US dollar last week.
Al Jazeera reports that the Iranian economy faces severe challenges due to US wars, sanctions, and a naval blockade. Data from the Statistical Center of Iran shows that as of the end of August, Iran's
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The European Central Bank hiked rates for the second time last Thursday, and while the Bank of England is expected to hold steady this Thursday, hawkish signals should not be ignored.
The European Central Bank (ECB) was the first to tighten monetary policy last Thursday, marking its second rate hike since the outbreak of the Iran conflict. The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to k
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Citi Research Report: Current macro environment shows increased similarity to the 1988-1989 Federal Reserve tightening cycle; models increase exposure to risk assets and favor the US dollar.
Citigroup Research analysts Alex Saunders and Vinh Vo noted in their quantitative macro strategy report published on September 11 that although their macro model remains broadly in the "normal" range,
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Top Economist Komal Sri-Kumar Urges Fed to Hike Rates 50 Bps Next Week, Citing Bond Market Nearing 'Danger Zone'
Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, told CNBC on Friday, September 11, that the Federal Reserve should raise its policy rate by 50 basis points at its meeting next week. He note
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent acknowledges Americans' frustration with economy due to price level changes, but notes consumer spending remains resilient
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking at the Economic Club of New York, acknowledged that Americans' frustration with the economy is understandable due to accumulated price increases and pre
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Several Wall Street banks have raised their forecasts for US August Core PCE, with Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and others expecting it to reach 0.26% or higher.
Wall Street economists have raised their forecasts for the US August Core PCE after the latest CPI data release. Currently, predictions are generally above 0.20%, with Goldman Sachs expecting 0.26%, B
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Canada Imposes Retaliatory Tariffs of 15-50% on $20 Billion US Imports, Testing Consumers' 'Buy Canadian' Commitment Amid Trade War Escalation
Canada has imposed a new round of retaliatory tariffs, ranging from 15% to 50%, on approximately $20 billion worth of US imports, including steel, aluminum, dairy, appliances, clothing, and cosmetics.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Japan's core inflation rate for August was 1.7% year-on-year, below the expected 1.8% and the previous value of 1.8%.
Japan's core inflation rate for August was 1.7% year-on-year, below the expected 1.8% and the previous value of 1.8%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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Oracle's $18 billion AI loan is struggling to sell, with banks quoting prices down to 89-91 cents on the dollar, signaling emerging pressure in the AI financing chain.
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Vals AI seeks to become the gold standard for AI benchmarking, raising $40 million in Series A funding led by Andreessen Horowitz.
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