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Inflation
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US CBO report: Iran war to increase inflation by 0.5% in Q1 2027, has cost $38B, and will take up to 5 years to replenish munitions
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a report on Tuesday, finding that the six-month war on Iran has cost $38 billion, with an expected increase of $3 billion per month. The conf
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Oaktree's Danielle Poli says markets may continue to see upward pressure on yields because investors do not yet believe inflation will be fully tamed.
Oaktree's Danielle Poli says markets may continue to see upward pressure on yields because investors do not yet believe inflation will be fully tamed.
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Japanese households boost in-game purchases despite inflation squeeze
Japanese households are spending more on digital purchases within video games even as inflation pushes them to rein in other expenditures.
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CBO Says the War in Iran Cost the U.S. $38 Billion in the First Five Months, and Its Annual PCE Inflation Projection Is Now 0.5 Percentage Point Higher for Q1 2027
CBO Says the War in Iran Cost the U.S. $38 Billion in the First Five Months, and Its Annual PCE Inflation Projection Is Now 0.5 Percentage Point Higher for Q1 2027
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MarketWatch Analysis: Gold's movement is starting to be influenced by factors such as the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just inflation.
MarketWatch analysis suggests that gold is currently weighing the Federal Reserve's credibility, rather than just traditional price drivers such as inflation and interest rates. The US August Consumer
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Auxier Asset Management is bullish on Kroger (KR) in its Q2 investor letter, stating that its stock is undervalued and the new CEO is expected to bring positive changes.
Auxier Asset Management noted in its Q2 2026 investor letter that despite the consumer staples sector's underperformance due to inflation and high interest rates, Kroger (KR)'s new CEO, Greg Foran, is
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Japan's central bank considers rate hikes to combat inflation, while markets fear impact on long-term yields
Some Bank of Japan officials are focused on controlling upside inflation risks, while market participants are preparing for a higher terminal rate than previously expected.
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Fed Chairman Warsh and Treasury Secretary Bessent Face Credibility Tests as 10-Year Treasury Yield Holds Near 5%
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is tasked with fighting inflation, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent serves as the nation's top bond salesman. With the 10-year Treasury yield holding near 5%
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U.S. gasoline prices rose 16.2 cents weekly to $4.319/gallon, with diesel surging 31.8 cents to $6.285/gallon, adding fresh pressure on consumers and inflation.
The sharp increase in U.S. fuel prices, with regular gasoline now $1.151 higher than a year ago and diesel up $2.546 year-over-year, could reinforce inflation concerns ahead of upcoming Federal Reserv
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German Chancellor Merz to Respond to Surging Prices as 'Breaking Point' Reached
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated that his coalition government will take action against "price gouging" amidst increasing calls to alleviate the burden on German consumers caused by surging fue
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Bloomberg Markets: California Becomes Bellwether for U.S. Fuel Demand as Prices Soar
Bloomberg Markets reports that while gasoline and diesel purchases have not yet collapsed, long-term behavioral shifts could accelerate if costs do not ease soon.
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Bill Bengen, creator of the "4% retirement withdrawal rule" in the U.S., suggests raising the withdrawal rate to 5.5%, stating it is more realistic.
Bill Bengen, creator of the "4% retirement withdrawal rule" in the US, stated that retirees' initial withdrawal rate should be raised from 4% to 5.5% under current, more realistic market conditions. E
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CNBC survey: Majority of respondents now forecast the Fed will hike rates at least twice over the next year
The survey indicates a significant shift from last month, when only 46% expected a hike. Approximately three quarters of respondents believe the inflation problem is broader than just energy prices, w
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Treasury Secretary Bessent to testify before Congress, touting Iran war success and facing questions on rising energy prices, 10-year Treasury yield hitting 5%
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is scheduled to appear before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday for his annual testimony. He is expected to highlight the success of the Iran war and r
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China and India's LNG Demand Expected to Surge When Prices Normalize, Industry Executives Say
Industry executives at the Gastech conference stated that depressed LNG demand in China and India is a result of spiking prices due to the Middle East conflict. They anticipate consumption in these ke
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Standard Chartered Bank's report predicts the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its September FOMC meeting, contrary to the market's 88% expectation of a 25 basis point hike.
Standard Chartered Bank released a report on September 14, explicitly stating its judgment that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, deeming the
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Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a new round of attacks on Saudi Arabia, prompting the Kingdom to shut down its East-West Pipeline, which handles about 4% of global oil supply. Brent crude rose to $106.96 per barrel.
The attack led Saudi Arabia to shut down its East-West oil pipeline, exacerbating market concerns about persistent inflation and heightened geopolitical instability, thereby supporting gold's safe-hav
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Financial Times: US Manufacturers Face New Wave of Supply Chain Cost Inflation, Impacted by Donald Trump's Iran War, Tariffs, and AI Boom
US manufacturers are reportedly being hit by a new wave of supply chain cost inflation. This is primarily due to Donald Trump's Iran war and tariffs driving up input prices, while the AI boom has also
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Oil and US 10-year Treasury yields correlation hits 7-year high of 0.96, signaling market pressure amid inflation shock
The one-month rolling correlation between front-month West Texas Intermediate crude and the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 0.96, the strongest positive relationship since June 2019, according t
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China's CPI rose 0.8% year-on-year in August, an increase of 0.3 percentage points; core CPI rose 1.0% year-on-year.
China's National Bureau of Statistics announced that the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.8% year-on-year in August, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month; on a mon
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Oil prices rose on Tuesday, with Brent crude futures up 1.25% to $107 per barrel, following Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and Iranian attacks on vessels in the Gulf region.
International benchmark Brent crude futures for November rose 1.25% to $107.00 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for October gained 1.27% to $102.68 per barrel. This f
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Musk claims AI data centers are lowering consumer electricity prices, but Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that U.S. electricity prices have risen 4.1% over the past year and are higher than inflation.
Musk stated on Monday that AI data centers are leading to lower consumer electricity prices, citing Georgia Power's claim of $180 in annual savings for customers. However, a Yahoo Finance analysis poi
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield surpassed the 5% mark on Monday, reaching a new high for 2023.
U.S. Treasuries faced a new round of aggressive selling, with the 10-year yield hitting a high of 5.01%. Steven Barrow, Head of G10 Strategy at Standard Bank, warned that the sell-off is far from over
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Costco rations Kirkland Signature motor oil and raises price to $57.99, citing global lubricant shortage and rising crude oil prices
The retailer has limited purchases to two units per customer per week for its Kirkland Signature full-synthetic motor oil, which jumped from approximately $30 to $57.99 per 10-quart case. This move co
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Japan's core inflation rate for August was 1.7% year-on-year, below the expected 1.8% and the previous value of 1.8%.
Japan's core inflation rate for August was 1.7% year-on-year, below the expected 1.8% and the previous value of 1.8%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
24H Trending
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Anthropic's potential $2 trillion IPO fuels nearly $80 million in crypto derivatives bets
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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Oracle's $18 billion AI loan is struggling to sell, with banks quoting prices down to 89-91 cents on the dollar, signaling emerging pressure in the AI financing chain.
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DPEX Exchange Analysis: Decentralized Perpetual Contract Platform Overview
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VICA Token: Ethereum-Based "Noflation" Concept Token and Its Market Status
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Axelar (AXL) In-depth Analysis: The Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol Connecting the Multi-Chain World
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FWG Coin: Fantasy World Gold Project Status and Market Analysis
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Cheelee (CHEEL) and Metal Blockchain Ecosystem: New Dynamics in the Cryptocurrency Space
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Chainlink (LINK) Token Issuance and Circulation Analysis
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