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Inflation
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IMF calls for restrictive policies, while BOK chief emphasizes exchange-rate stability amid inflation uncertainty
During the International Monetary Fund and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, IMF called for restrictive policies to navigate inflation uncertainty. Separately, Bank of Korea Governor Shin Hyun-so
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Nikkei 225 rose 0.3%, as investors may be adjusting positions ahead of the release of US CPI data.
The Nikkei 225 rose 0.3%, as investors may be adjusting positions ahead of the release of US CPI data, seeking clues on the Federal Reserve's rate hike path.
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Singapore's Q3 GDP grew by 5.4%, lower than the previous quarter's four-year high but above expectations.
Singapore's Q3 GDP grew 5.4% year-on-year, lower than the four-year high set in the previous quarter but exceeding the 5% expected by economists polled by Reuters. The Monetary Authority of Singapore
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Net interest income for the three largest US banks totaled $56.5 billion in Q3, marking a fifth consecutive quarter of record highs, though net interest margins are under pressure and trading and underwriting activities have cooled.
According to Wall Street Insights, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo collectively reported $56.5 billion in net interest income for the third quarter, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of
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Fed's No. 3 official Williams: One more rate hike possible this year, no rate hikes expected in 2027
New York Fed President Williams stated in an in-depth interview with Bloomberg that despite the AI infrastructure boom and energy shocks posing new inflationary variables in the short term, the U.S. e
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CNBC analysis: TIPS yields at multi-decade highs, making them attractive for inflation hedging alongside commodities and infrastructure funds
CNBC analysis: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are becoming attractive for inflation hedging, with 10-year TIPS yields recently hitting 2.87% (after closing at 2.951% on Oct. 5), levels
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Cleveland Fed's Nowcast for Inflation: US Core CPI MoM Rises 0.20%, Largely in Line with Wall Street Expectations
The Cleveland Fed's Nowcast inflation forecast indicates that the US core Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to rise by 0.20% month-over-month, closely aligning with analysts' median forecast of 0
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Forecasters anticipate a big rise in energy prices for US September CPI, driving up headline inflation but with a tamer core reading.
Forecasters anticipate a big rise in energy prices for US September CPI, driving up headline inflation but with a tamer core reading.
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Chilean pension funds face billions in US rate swap losses
Chilean pension funds, used by millions, are racing to close out US interest rate swap bets that backfired following the Iran war, which unleashed a global inflation shock and exposed them to billions
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Economists expect the US September CPI to accelerate to 0.6% month-on-month and rise by 3.6% year-on-year.
Economists expect the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) to rise by 0.6% month-over-month in September and 3.6% year-over-year, indicating an accelerating pace of price growth and further deviation from th
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Federal Reserve's Williams stated that the economy is not overheating, there are no inflationary pressures in the labor market, and disinflationary forces are still at play.
Federal Reserve's Williams stated that the economy is not overheating, there are no inflationary pressures in the labor market, and disinflationary forces are still at play.
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Fed's Barkin: 2% Inflation Not Out of Reach, It's Achievable
Fed's Barkin: 2% Inflation Not Out of Reach, It's Achievable
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Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, believes interest rates have "returned to normal" rather than "staying higher for longer."
Despite yields in the U.S. and other developed economies rising to multi-decade highs and the market widely expecting the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates, Ed Yardeni, president of Yard
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IMF forecasts show the world economy is running hotter than expected, with higher growth and worse inflation
A statistical history of the IMF’s forecasts reveals a picture of higher growth and worse inflation.
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Hassett: Fed May See Inflation Slowdown as Reason to Hold Rates
Hassett: Fed May See Inflation Slowdown as Reason to Hold Rates
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HASSETT: FED TO KEEP INFLATION IN CONTROL, NOT KILL THE ECONOMY.
HASSETT: FED TO KEEP INFLATION IN CONTROL, NOT KILL THE ECONOMY.
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Fed Governor Waller: Surging U.S. bond yields driven by growth, not inflation
Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that strong economic growth and AI investment are pushing Treasury yields higher, while inflation expectations remain anchored. He warned that weaker safe-haven
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warns: Despite a strong US economy, interest rates, inflation, deficits, and geopolitical tensions pose increasing risks.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated that the U.S. economy remains solid, supported by business investment and consumer spending. However, he warned that rising interest rates, stubborn inflation, ma
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Bitcoin is fluctuating between $81,000 and $84,000, while altcoins are generally down.
Bitcoin experienced a $3,000 fluctuation in the past 24 hours, briefly dropping to $81,000 in early trading before rebounding above $84,000, and was trading around $83,500 early on Tuesday. Altcoins s
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Kalshi's Top Inflation Trader: A Former Theater Director Beats Wall Street Banks From His Garage
A former theater director found an unexpected and lucrative niche on the Kalshi platform, beating out Wall Street banks to become the platform's top inflation trader.
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Report: BOJ officials believe there is no need for consecutive rate hikes in October, with a December hike still under consideration.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials believe there is no need for a consecutive rate hike in October, as upside risks to inflation have not significantly intensified, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. Offi
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: Rising yields are curbing demand by tightening financial conditions, acting as a partial tightening.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Tuesday at the Bloomberg New Economy Forum summit in New Delhi that the sustained rise in long-term U.S. government bond yields is "doing some of th
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Wallstreetcn Analysis: The US stock bull market has cumulatively risen 131% over four years, but market breadth has narrowed to historical lows, with interest rate pressure and concentration becoming major risks.
Wallstreetcn analysis indicates that since its bottom in October 2022, the S&P 500 has delivered a cumulative total return of 131% in the current US stock bull market. However, data from Ned Davis Res
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U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board on Tuesday, with the 10-year yield dropping over 5 basis points to 5.1937%, due to a pullback in energy prices.
U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board on Tuesday, with the 10-year yield dropping over 5 basis points to 5.1937% due to a pullback in energy prices. The 30-year Treasury yield fell 4 basis points
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Canada and Bank of Canada Renew Policy Framework to Focus on 2% Inflation Target
Canada and the Bank of Canada have renewed their policy framework, narrowing its focus on price stability and confirming that hitting its 2% inflation target is its most important priority.
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Reform UK leader Farage fears Trump will continue attacking Iran after the US midterm elections.
Reform UK leader and British Member of Parliament Nigel Farage has expressed concern that his political ally, US President Donald Trump, might launch further attacks on Iran following a defeat in the
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ECB President Lagarde: Energy shocks and AI are pulling the current situation in opposite directions
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that energy shocks and artificial intelligence are pulling the current economic situation in opposite directions, making it difficult to disent
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi: Little Substantive Change Expected in US Economic Policy After Midterm Landslide for Democrats
Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Zandi said that following the Democrats' landslide victory in the midterm elections, he expects no changes to U.S. economic policy; policies such as tariffs, trade po
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Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
Yardeni: US 10-year Treasury yields attractive at 5% amid cooling inflation
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Philippines' October inflation rate rises to 7.8%, nearing four-year high
The Philippines' inflation rate rose to 7.8% in October, marking the fastest pace in nearly four years. This was primarily driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict, which pushed up fuel, electricity
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Bloomberg: Macklem Says Carney's Fiscal Plan Has Not Added to Bank of Canada's Inflation Fight Difficulty
According to Bloomberg, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that Prime Minister Carney’s fiscal plan has not yet made it more difficult for the central bank to control inflation. Macklem told
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Former Republican Congressional Staffer Warns: War with Iran Could Cost Republicans Politically
Former Republican congressional staffer John Feehery said that President Donald Trump needs to end the war with Iran to allow the American public to "return to affordability," otherwise the Republican
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. 2026 midterm elections begin, control of both chambers hangs in the balance.
Voting for the U.S. 2026 midterm elections began on November 3, with control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate hanging in the balance. The Democratic Party aims to reclaim control of
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The Wall Street Journal: Health Insurance Is an Overlooked Inflation Issue Ahead of U.S. Midterm Elections
The Wall Street Journal reported that while food and energy prices garner significant attention, health insurance is another source of inflation that American voters are focused on ahead of the midter
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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