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Inflation
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ECB holds interest rates steady, warns of rising inflation risks
The European Central Bank (ECB) kept all three key interest rates unchanged, in line with expectations, with the Deposit Facility at 2.50%, Main Refinancing Rate at 2.65%, and Marginal Lending Facilit
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US Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding expectations, while the core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above expectations.
U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, above market expectations of 3.2% and the previous quarter's 2.2%. Meanwhile, the Q3 core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above the ex
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"Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos: US September Core PCE Services (Excluding Housing) Prices Rose to 3.6% YoY, Core Goods Prices Also Remained Firm
According to a tweet by "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos, U.S. September core PCE services (excluding housing) prices rose 0.37% month-over-month, pushing the 12-month change to 3.6%, matching the highes
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The White House released a promotional document highlighting the Trump administration's achievements and warned that Democratic policies would lead to economic recession and high inflation.
The White House issued a press release reviewing the achievements of the Donald Trump administration, including delivering the largest working-class tax cuts in American history for families, the bigg
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US Q3 GDP initial estimate rose 3.4%, exceeding expectations; the market anticipates September PCE inflation year-on-year to accelerate to 3.7%.
U.S. Q3 GDP grew at an annualized 3.4% in its initial estimate, exceeding market expectations. Meanwhile, according to Dow Jones consensus, the market anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month increase in t
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U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth exceeded expectations at 3.4%, while inflation accelerated, with Q3 core PCE rising to 2.5%.
U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding market expectations of 3.2% and accelerating from Q2's 2.2%. Meanwhile, inflation data also showed signs of acceleration, with the Q3 core PCE price i
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US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations
US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations
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Economists expect September core PCE prices to have increased 0.34% (4.2% annualized, 3.1% year-over-year), which would be the highest monthly reading since January's 0.40% print.
Economists expect September core PCE prices to have increased 0.34% (4.2% annualized, 3.1% year-over-year), which would be the highest monthly reading since January's 0.40% print.
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CNBC Analysis: Fed Chair Warsh Leans Towards Rate Hikes, but Retains Flexibility to Adjust Policy Based on Data
CNBC analysis indicates that Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh clearly expressed his inclination to raise interest rates at Wednesday's press conference, while also emphasizing that the Fed has not set a
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Iran's September consumer prices surged 90% year-on-year, as the Economy Minister apologized for the soaring cost of living.
Iranian households are facing increasing cost-of-living pressures, exacerbated by eight months of war with the United States, Al Jazeera reported. Official data shows that consumer prices rose by appr
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China issues fade in US midterm elections as voters prioritize inflation and cost of living
China issues have sharply declined in campaign ads ahead of November's US midterm elections, with both Republican and Democratic parties shifting focus to affordability and the economy. Polls indicate
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ECB survey shows: Young Europeans' wealth is only one-eighth that of the elderly, and households under 35 account for only 2.8% of total wealth.
According to Al Jazeera, citing data from the European Central Bank's (ECB) 2023 Household Finance and Consumption Survey, there is a significant wealth gap in Europe (Eurozone and two other European
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Bitcoin Faces New Pressure After Fed Hawks Maintain Rates, Analysts Say
Analysts note that Bitcoin faces renewed downward pressure after the Federal Reserve maintained a hawkish stance on interest rates. Traders are currently pricing in a 78% probability of a Fed rate hik
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The Federal Reserve maintained its key interest rate at 3.75%-4.00%, with a 10-2 vote; Chairman Warsh called inflation "too high."
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged in the 3.75%-4.00% range, following a 25 basis point hike last month. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ap
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The Federal Reserve will reduce the number of monetary policy meetings from eight to seven next year, breaking with decades of tradition.
The Federal Reserve has voted to maintain interest rates, despite rising inflation. Additionally, the Federal Reserve will reduce the number of monetary policy meetings next year from eight to seven,
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The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.75%-4.00%, but upgraded its economic assessment to "strong" and hinted at potential future rate hikes.
The Federal Reserve voted 10-2 to maintain the benchmark interest rate in the 3.75%-4.00% range. Nevertheless, the Fed acknowledged that inflation "remains elevated," upgraded its assessment of the U.
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Nikkei: Japan to See New Round of Food Price Hikes as Middle East Turmoil Drives Up Tanker Shipping Costs
Nikkei Asia reported that Japan may face a second wave of food price hikes. Ongoing Middle East instability has driven up prices for naphtha-derived container materials and crude oil tanker freight ra
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U.S. stocks rose slightly and Treasury yields were mixed after the Federal Reserve held rates steady despite elevated inflation, leaving the door open for a December hike.
U.S. stocks rose slightly and Treasury yields were mixed after the Federal Reserve held rates steady despite elevated inflation, leaving the door open for a December hike.
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: Believes we are facing an energy supply shock, and the Federal Reserve should remain open-minded.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: Believes we are facing an energy supply shock, and the Federal Reserve should remain open-minded.
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Bessent stated that the Federal Reserve is highly focused on the long-term prospect of inflation targets remaining above expectations.
Bessent stated that the Federal Reserve is highly focused on the long-term prospect of inflation targets remaining above expectations.
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The Federal Reserve voted to maintain interest rates at 3.75%-4%, despite persistent inflation in the United States.
The Federal Reserve voted to maintain interest rates at 3.75%-4%, despite persistent inflation in the United States. The decision passed with a vote of 10 to 2, aligning with market expectations. In i
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Bitcoin Bull Tim Draper Predicts "Seismic Shift" Towards Bitcoin Adoption, Warning of Bank Runs as Fiat Currencies are Abandoned
Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper has predicted a seismic shift toward Bitcoin adoption, warning that the eventual abandonment of fiat currencies could trigger widespread bank runs. Draper emp
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Japan's construction orders see first post-COVID drop in April-September half, driven by soaring costs
Japan's construction orders saw their first year-over-year decline in the April-September half since 2020, according to data released Wednesday by an industry group. Soaring construction costs have de
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Bond investor Jeff Gundlach: The Federal Reserve should raise interest rates by 50 basis points in September, concerned that inflation is not being taken seriously enough.
DoubleLine founder Jeff Gundlach stated that the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting, rather than gradually, after the Fed's decision on Wednesday t
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US Vice President JD Vance blamed the Republican midterm election defeats on the Iran war.
US Vice President JD Vance stated that the Republican Party's defeat in the midterms was due to voters who supported Donald Trump in 2024 shifting toward the Democrats, noting that internal polling sh
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
Citing analysis from Negar Mortazavi, a senior researcher at the Center for International Policy, Al Jazeera's live updates noted that the US midterm election results indicate the US president cannot
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Discontent with Donald Trump's Policies and the War with Iran
Political analyst Rami Khouri stated that the results of the U.S. midterm elections reflect widespread public dissatisfaction with Donald Trump's policies, noting that the war with Iran has highlighte
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Political Analysts: US Midterm Election Results Reflect Public Protests Against Trump's Iran War and Economic Consequences
Political analyst Yousef Munayyer said in an interview with Al Jazeera that the U.S. midterm election results reflect widespread public anger over Donald Trump's war with Iran and its ensuing economic
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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Bloomberg: Private Survey Shows Unexpected Slowdown in China's Services Sector as Firms Cut Prices
According to Bloomberg, a private survey showed that growth in China's services sector unexpectedly slowed, hitting its first deceleration since July. Business confidence weakened, and firms lowered t
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White House: Prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in over 60 years under the Trump administration, with a cumulative drop of 4.5% in 2026.
The White House stated that under President Donald Trump, prescription drug prices are falling at their fastest pace in decades, providing millions of Americans with tangible and measurable financial
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JetBlue raises checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs
JetBlue has raised its checked bag fees for the third time in a year due to rising fuel costs. For off-peak travel, the fee for a first checked bag purchased more than 24 hours in advance by economy p
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Bloomberg: Macklem Says Carney's Fiscal Plan Has Not Added to Bank of Canada's Inflation Fight Difficulty
According to Bloomberg, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that Prime Minister Carney’s fiscal plan has not yet made it more difficult for the central bank to control inflation. Macklem told
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Former Republican Congressional Staffer Warns: War with Iran Could Cost Republicans Politically
Former Republican congressional staffer John Feehery said that President Donald Trump needs to end the war with Iran to allow the American public to "return to affordability," otherwise the Republican
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. 2026 midterm elections begin, control of both chambers hangs in the balance.
Voting for the U.S. 2026 midterm elections began on November 3, with control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate hanging in the balance. The Democratic Party aims to reclaim control of
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The Wall Street Journal: Health Insurance Is an Overlooked Inflation Issue Ahead of U.S. Midterm Elections
The Wall Street Journal reported that while food and energy prices garner significant attention, health insurance is another source of inflation that American voters are focused on ahead of the midter
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its benchmark interest rate to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation driven by AI investments and energy costs.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its benchmark interest rate to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation driven by AI investments and energy costs.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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Bank of Korea expects November inflation to remain in the upper 2% range.
According to The Korea Herald, Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Lee Ji-ho stated at a meeting reviewing inflation trends that the inflation rate in November is expected to remain in the upper 2% range, i
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Gold stabilized after posting its biggest two-month gain on Monday, boosted by hopes of peace talks between the US and Iran.
Gold stabilized after posting its biggest gain in two months on Monday, boosted by hopes for peace talks between the US and Iran. Market optimism about a breakthrough in negotiations sent oil prices t
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South Korea's CPI rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, remaining in the 2% range for the second consecutive month.
South Korea's consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, slowing from 2.9% in September and 3.1% in August, according to data released by Statistics Korea on Tuesday. While agricult
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US I bond interest rates have risen to 5.51%, the highest level since November 2022.
The annual interest rate on U.S. Treasury-issued I bonds (inflation-protected savings bonds) has risen to 5.51%, the highest level since November 2022. The new rate applies to bonds purchased through
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Michigan Senate candidate Rogers states that Donald Trump will end the war in Iran, expecting prices to fall as a result.
Michigan State Senate candidate Mike Rogers said he would tell Republicans who are dissatisfied with Donald Trump's record on cost of living and the economy to wait for the war with Iran to end soon.
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FT Poll Shows Majority of US Voters Disapprove of Donald Trump's Handling of Inflation Ahead of Midterm Elections
FT Poll Shows Majority of US Voters Disapprove of Donald Trump's Handling of Inflation Ahead of Midterm Elections
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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The New York Times estimates: U.S. oil companies profited over $130 billion during the Iran War, while consumers paid an additional $150 billion.
The New York Times estimates that during the Iran War (April to September 2026), U.S. oil companies profited over $130 billion, while American consumers paid an additional $150 billion for gasoline an
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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