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Geopolitics
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US Central Command Denies Damage to Fifth Fleet Headquarters, Claims Interception of Iranian Missiles and Drones
Svmuu reported that the U.S. Central Command stated there are currently no reports of U.S. personnel being injured, and denied Iran's claims of damaging the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters located in Ba
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Iranian media: Thick smoke rises from the headquarters of the U.S. Fifth Fleet
Svmuu: According to a report by Iran's Tasnim News Agency on June 6, thick smoke billowed from the headquarters of the U.S. Navy's Fifth Fleet in Bahrain. (Xinhua)
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Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps Claims Missile Strikes on US Military Bases
Svmuureports, citing Iran's Tasnim News Agency, that the Public Relations Department of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that in response to the aggressive actions of the US military on th
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Trump says he will quickly end the Iran war
Svmuu reported that US President Trump said at a campaign rally in Wisconsin on the 5th that he will quickly end the war with Iran, thereby eliminating a key factor contributing to high prices. As the
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US Media: Trump Envoy Secretly Meets with Nuclear Experts in Tennessee to Prepare for Role in Iran Nuclear Talks
Svmuu reported that, according to AXIOS, US Middle East Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner traveled on Thursday to the Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee to consult with a team of technical
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Iran's Supreme Leader Advisor: US-Iran Talks Stall Over Frozen Assets, Denies Possible Meeting Between Supreme Leader and Trump
According to CNN, a senior Iranian official said on Friday that any potential peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran hinges on the Trump administration agreeing to unfreeze $24 billion in Iranian a
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Foreign Media: Potential U.S.-Iran Agreement Depends on Whether the U.S. Agrees to Release $24 Billion in Frozen Iranian Assets
Svmuu reported that, according to CNN, a potential U.S.-Iran agreement depends on whether the U.S. agrees to release $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets. (Jin Shi)
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Fox News: After the Iran conflict ends, the U.S. will replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve with 40 million barrels of crude oil
Svmuu News: According to Fox News, U.S. Energy Secretary Wright stated that after the Iran conflict concludes, the U.S. will replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve with 40 million barrels of crude
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伊朗 denies agreeing to transfer some enriched uranium to a third country
According to a report by Svmuu on the 5th, citing Iran's Fars News Agency, a source close to the Iranian negotiating team stated that reports from Saudi Arabian media claiming Iran has agreed to trans
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Iranian Media: Iranian Navy Fired Warning Shots at US Destroyer in Gulf of Oman
Svmuu reported that according to Iranian state media, the Iranian Navy stated that it fired warning shots at a US destroyer in the Gulf of Oman. (Jin10)
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SpaceX IPO Plans to Exclude Chinese and Hong Kong Investors
Svmuu News, sources say that underwriters for SpaceX's IPO, valued at approximately $75 billion, have been instructed not to accept subscriptions from investors in Mainland China and Hong Kong (includ
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Moody's Warns: Federal Reserves May Be Forced to Raise Interest Rates as Inflation Expectations Soar
Svmuu News: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, pointed out that although U.S. GDP has risen this year and the economy appears resilient, warning signs are already flashing. Under the leadership o
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Iran accepts transferring part of its uranium stockpile to an agreed third country
Svmuu News Market news: Iran has informed Pakistan that it accepts transferring part of its uranium stockpile to an agreed third country. (Jinshi)
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The first nonfarm payrolls report of the "Warsh era" will be released tonight at 8:30 p.m., and the market is expected to experience significant volatility at that time.
Svmuu News: The U.S. May nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release tonight at 8:30 p.m. The market anticipates a slight decline. This will be the first nonfarm payrolls report since the appoint
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Maritime Analysis Firm: Kharg Island Resumes Crude Oil Loading Operations, Iran Actively Restoring Crude Export Capacity
Svmuu reported that the UK-based maritime analysis firm Windward released a report on the 4th, stating that satellite images show Iran's key oil export hub, Kharg Island, has resumed loading operation
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Zelenskyy sends open letter to Putin proposing a meeting
Svmuu News, local time on the 4th, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy sent an open letter to Russian President Vladimir Putin, proposing a direct meeting between the two leaders "to bring an end
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普京: Need to convince Ukraine that Russia agrees to compromise
Svmuu reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin, during a meeting with heads of major global news agencies in St. Petersburg on the 4th, stated that Russia agrees to make compromises on the Ukrai
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Fitch: Strait of Hormuz closure has lasted 14 weeks, raising Brent crude oil average price forecast to $87 per barrel
Svmuu reported that Fitch noted the Strait of Hormuz closure has been ongoing for 14 weeks. Assuming it will not begin reopening until July, the agency has raised its 2026 average Brent crude oil pric
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Donald Trump: The U.S. is engaged in final negotiations to end the war in Iran
Svmuu: U.S. President Trump: The United States is in final negotiations to end the war in Iran. (Jinshi)
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Arthur Hayes: Closed all HYPE and NEAR positions, will explain reasons next Tuesday
Arthur Hayes posted on X platform saying he has closed all his HYPE and NEAR positions and will explain the reasons in his article "Reality Test" to be released next Tuesday. Arthur Hayes stated that
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Lebanese state media: Israel has launched an attack on Lebanon
Svmuu: According to Lebanon's state media, Israel launched attacks on Lebanon after both sides had agreed to a conditional ceasefire. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Media: As Long as Iran Does Not Cause U.S. Military Casualties Donald Trump, the U.S. Is Willing to Tolerate Sporadic Clashes
Svmuu reported that US officials have revealed that President Trump has privately informed his aides that he would consider ending the ceasefire with Iran if Tehran causes the death of American soldie
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Iran Media: Iran Outlines Four-Stage Plan for Reaching Agreement with the US
According to Iranian media Fars News, Iran has outlined a four-stage plan for reaching an agreement with the United States. The first phase focuses on a comprehensive cessation of military operations
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Federal Reserve Beige Book: Prices Rise at a Moderate to Strong Pace, with Middle East Conflict-Related Pressures as the Main Driver
According to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall, prices rose at a moderate to strong pace, with most districts reporting a higher rate of inflation than in the previous report. Districts noted
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Trump Says Agreement with Iran Imminent, Talks to Resume Monday
US President Donald Trump announced that an agreement with Iran is imminent, with negotiations scheduled to begin on Monday. Meanwhile, Tehran urged the United States to honor its Memorandum of Unders
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Former US hostage and diplomat John Limbert says Washington's 'iron fist' approach is ineffective with Iran
John Limbert, a former US hostage in Tehran and former US deputy assistant secretary of state for Iran, argues that Washington "can't bomb and assassinate its way to a better relationship" with Iran.
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Ukraine claims hitting major Russian oil refinery and Engels airfield 600km deep, as Russia reports 8 deaths and attacks Ukrainian ports
Ukraine stated it conducted overnight strikes deep inside Russia, hitting a major oil refinery and the Engels airfield in the Saratov region, approximately 600km (373 miles) from the border. President
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U.S.-Iran War Fuels Short-Term Oil Market Gains, But Experts Warn Against Long-Term Holding as WTI Crude Forecasted to $60
The U.S.-Iran war has significantly boosted short-term profits for major energy companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron, with Exxon's profits doubling to $14.5 billion and Chevron's net income surging n
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Former US Ambassador to Israel Nides: No Lasting Military Solution for Iran Conflict, Urges Negotiations
Former US Ambassador to Israel Tom Nides stated that there is no lasting military solution to the conflict with Iran. He argued that renewed negotiations, involving regional allies, offer the only rea
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US President Trump cancels planned military strike on Iran, citing 'deal perimeters' reached
US President Donald Trump announced he has cancelled a planned large-scale military attack on Iran, claiming that the “perimeters of a deal” have been agreed upon. Trump stated the decision, announced
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Saudi Crown Prince Salman has reportedly expressed concern over Donald Trump's plan to strike Iran
Bloomberg, citing a report by Axios, said that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed concern during a phone call with U.S. President Donald Donald Trump about U.S. plans for a new round of
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Sanctioned Russian Ship "Mikhail Britnev" Reportedly Delivered Military Vehicles to Mali, Defying US Sanctions
The sanctioned Russian cargo ship "Mikhail Britnev" reportedly delivered a large number of military vehicles, including armoured personnel carriers and trucks, to Mali, according to BBC Verify. Satell
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Former U.S. Ambassador Bill Taylor: Ukraine Is Maintaining Momentum on the Battlefield, and Putin Is Under Pressure
Former U.S. Ambassador Bill Taylor said on a Bloomberg TV program that Ukraine is maintaining its momentum on the battlefield despite intensified Russian missile attacks. Taylor explained that Russia’
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OPEC+ may decide Sunday to lift oil output quotas for a sixth straight month; analysts warn exports could be problematic amid broadening Iran war
OPEC+ may decide Sunday to lift oil output quotas for a sixth straight month; analysts warn exports could be problematic amid broadening Iran war
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Tensions Escalate in the Middle East: Oil Tanker Attacked Near Oman; Iran Threatens to Close Key Shipping Lanes, Including the Strait of Hormuz
According to reports, an oil tanker was struck by an “unidentified projectile” 11 nautical miles northeast of Oman, causing damage to the engine room; another oil tanker reported an explosion in the v
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Iranian Kurdish Parties in Iraq Face Intense Iranian Attacks, Deny US Military Aid
Iranian Kurdish opposition parties based in Iraq are facing a delicate balance as their bases have been heavily attacked by Iranian drones and missiles since the US-Israel strikes on Iran began on Feb
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The analysis points out that Iran’s overlapping centers of power complicate efforts to end the war with the United States, and that the Revolutionary Guards possess significant operational autonomy.
CNBC analysis notes that Iran’s overlapping power structures—including the Supreme Leader, the Revolutionary Guards, and the civilian government—complicate efforts to end the war with the United State
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Israeli West Bank Settler Tells BBC Attacks on Palestinians Are Justified as Revenge, Equating One Jewish Life to "10 Million" Palestinians
An Israeli settler in the West Bank, Yehuda Shimon, told the BBC that recent attacks on Palestinian villages were justified as revenge for the killing of an Israeli security guard. Shimon, a lawyer re
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Yemen's Houthis Deny Plan to Charge Ships for Red Sea Transit, State Passage Remains Free
Yemen's Houthi rebels have denied reports of plans to charge ships for passing through the Red Sea, stating that passage through the waterway remains free. The Houthi-run Humanitarian Operations Coord
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Trump: Iran's Missile Capability Weakened, Production 'Almost Completely Disappeared'
Former U.S. President Donald Trump stated that Iran's missile capability has weakened significantly, with the country possessing "far fewer" missiles than four to five months ago. Trump added that Ira
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Iran Names South Korea-Built UAE Nuclear Plant as Potential Target
Iran has included the Barakah nuclear power plant in Abu Dhabi, which is South Korea’s first overseas nuclear project, in a list of potential targets.
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BCA Research has turned bullish on gold, believing the recent sell-off is nearing its end
BCA Research, a macroeconomic research firm, says now is the time to buy gold, noting that the recent sell-off in gold is nearing its end as resistance caused by rising real yields is subsiding. The f
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US Strategic Petroleum Reserve Won’t Be Tapped to Ease Prices in War’s New Phase
The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve will not be tapped to ease rising fuel prices, despite the ongoing "war's new phase" in the Hormuz crisis.
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Iran claims to have attacked U.S. military targets in Kuwait in retaliation for previous U.S. airstrikes against Iran
The Iranian military announced Friday that it had used drones to strike U.S. military facilities at the Ahmed Jaber Air Base in Kuwait, targeting hangars and satellite communication systems. Iran said
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Iran's IRGC stopped two tankers in Strait of Hormuz, Fars reports
Iran's Fars news agency reported that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stopped two tankers from passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Following this, four other tankers reportedly changed
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Six Saudi Oil Tankers Divert from Red Sea, Opting for Longer Africa Route Due to Houthi Threats
Six Saudi oil tankers are diverting from the Red Sea's critical Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint, embarking on an unusual, longer journey around Africa. This rerouting is a direct response to persistent threa
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Israeli Forces Strike Hezbollah Tunnel Network in Southern Lebanon
Israeli forces struck towns near Beaufort Castle in southern Lebanon, stating they used 700 tonnes of explosives to destroy parts of a Hezbollah tunnel network. This action follows Israel's agreement
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Oil Prices Poised for Largest Monthly Gain Since March Amid US-Iran War Escalation
Oil prices are on track for their largest monthly gain since March, following a volatile week. This surge is attributed to the escalation of the US-Iran war.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
Geopolitics
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