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Geopolitics
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Fesharaki, Chairman Emeritus of FGE NexantECA: Iran can only withstand the loss of revenue from a Strait of Hormuz conflict for a few months; the US is in a favorable position and can wait for a better deal.
Fereidun Fesharaki, chairman of FGE NexantECA, told Bloomberg Television that Iran could only withstand a few months of lost revenue due to a conflict in the Strait of Hormuz. He added that the U.S. m
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Iran is considering targeting US military assets in Europe if Trump escalates war, according to insiders
Proposals to retaliate against US assets beyond the Middle East are being discussed as many in Tehran view renewed conflict as inevitable.
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South Korea cuts short joint military exercises with the U.S. after President Trump condemned them as "costly" and "hostile" toward North Korea
South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff announced the decision, days after President Donald Trump's remarks. The annual drills are set to conclude this Friday.
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Iranian academic Maryam Tahmasebi accuses US of 'bloodline punishment' over family's detention and green card revocation
Tahmasebi, a US permanent resident, stated in The Nation magazine that she, her husband, and their son have been detained since April. The US State Department revoked their immigration status due to h
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Swiss Voters Expected to Reject Stricter Neutrality in Upcoming Ballot
Swiss voters are set to reject an initiative to strengthen the country’s neutrality in a ballot next month. Russia has attempted to sway the vote with jibes about Switzerland’s actions during World Wa
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US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee calls Israeli settler violence 'terror'
US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee stated that Israeli settler violence in the occupied West Bank meets the definition of 'terror'. His comments represent a rare rebuke and follow a days-long siege
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The UAE announces the suspension of all trade, commercial, and financial transactions with Iran.
The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced in the early hours of August 19 that, in light of the continuous escalation of regional tensions, it has decided to suspend all trade, commercial, and fin
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Donald Trump Takes Hard Line on Strait of Hormuz Tensions
US President Donald Trump has taken a tough stance on the Strait of Hormuz tensions, characterizing the current situation as the "new normal" and insisting that there have been no negotiations with Ir
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Gold holds losses as bond selloff, Strait of Hormuz standoff weigh on outlook
Gold held declines after an initial upward trend was interrupted by a bond market sell-off and a standoff in the Strait of Hormuz.
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Oil rises for fourth consecutive day as US-Iran conflict shows no progress toward resolution after almost six months.
Oil rises for fourth consecutive day as US-Iran conflict shows no progress toward resolution after almost six months.
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Ukraine’s ousted defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov calls for wartime election, posing a major challenge to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Ukraine’s ousted defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov calls for wartime election, posing a major challenge to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
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Trump says no talks planned with Iran, insists Strait of Hormuz remains open amid frustration over Iran-Oman deal
US President Donald Trump asserted that the United States is not engaged in talks with Iran and has not scheduled any, despite previously claiming back-channel conversations. His remarks on Tuesday ap
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Israeli strike reportedly kills at least six in Gaza City amid stalled ceasefire efforts
The attack on Tuesday hit a crowded cafe in Gaza City's port, which has been turned into a displacement camp, injuring 14 others. The Israeli army stated it was targeting Hamas commanders, but provide
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At least five grain ships struck near Russian Black Sea ports of Novorossiysk and Tuapse amid heightened Ukrainian strikes
At least five grain ships struck near Russian Black Sea ports of Novorossiysk and Tuapse amid heightened Ukrainian strikes
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The Donald Trump administration announced new sanctions against the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC) and a senior lawyer.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated that the sanctions target ICC President Tomoko Akane (Japanese) and senior trial lawyer Abdoulaye Seye (Senegalese), representing the latest escalation in th
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Iran's Foreign Minister says Tehran rejected ceasefire proposals, insists war must end, not pause
Iran's Foreign Minister says Tehran rejected ceasefire proposals, insists war must end, not pause
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U.S. diesel refining margins surge to record $102/barrel amid global supply crunch, with inventories at lowest late-August level since 1996
U.S. diesel refining margins surge to record $102/barrel amid global supply crunch, with inventories at lowest late-August level since 1996. Supply disruptions linked to the U.S.-Iran war, Strait of H
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Applied Optoelectronics Expands U.S. Laser Capacity to Meet AI Data Center Demand, Targeting 650,000 Transceiver Units Monthly by Year-End
Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ:AAOI) is expanding its automated U.S. manufacturing capabilities to capitalize on growing demand for AI data centers and co-packaged optics, according to CFO and CSO St
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US crude futures rise by more than $1 as hopes of US-Iran peace deal fade
US crude futures rise by more than $1 as hopes of US-Iran peace deal fade
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Pentagon considers reducing Persian Gulf troop presence
The U.S. Pentagon is considering reducing its troop presence in the Persian Gulf following the Iran war, as repeated Iranian strikes exposed vulnerabilities at major American bases. Options include sh
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UAE Defense Ministry announced on X that its air defense systems detected a missile threat.
UAE Defense Ministry announced on X that its air defense systems detected a missile threat.
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Russia's Oil Exports Extend Slump for Fifth Week, With No Crude Loading From Novorossiysk Terminal in Week to Aug. 16 Amid Ukrainian Drone Strikes
Russia's oil exports have fallen for a fifth consecutive week, with no crude oil loaded from the key Novorossiysk oil terminal in the seven days leading up to August 16. This extended slump comes amid
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Trump says all mines were removed or detonated in Hormuz Strait
Trump says all mines were removed or detonated in Hormuz Strait
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Qatar rejects Iran's claims of holding three missing pilots, stating Iranian planes violated its sovereignty and were dealt with according to law
Qatar's Foreign Affairs spokesman Majed al-Ansari denied Iran's accusations as "completely baseless, false and illogical," reiterating that Qatar handed over the remains of one pilot in April. Iranian
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The U.S. has once again launched strikes against Iran's Qeshm Island, and Donald Trump has confirmed the operation.
The U.S. has once again launched strikes against Iran's Qeshm Island, and Donald Trump has confirmed the operation.
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Oil prices stabilize as Donald Trump downplays new strikes on Iran, Brent crude currently trades at $98.35 per barrel
Oil prices stabilized after Donald Trump played down the prospect of new strikes against Iran. Brent crude currently trades at $98.35 a barrel, while U.S. WTI crude rose 0.5% to $91.30 a barrel. Previ
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Saudi Civil Defense issues and lifts alert over potential hazard in Riyadh following Houthi attack on Saudi Aramco building
Saudi Civil Defense issues and lifts alert over potential hazard in Riyadh following Houthi attack on Saudi Aramco building
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Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
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Estonia Accuses Russia of State-Sponsored Terrorism via Hybrid Attacks
Estonia has accused Russia of state-sponsored terrorism through hybrid attacks, following investigations by European nations into the mastermind behind last week's cyberattacks targeting supermarket r
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Former US Secretary of State Pompeo downplays Trump's decision to cut military aid to Israel
Former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo played down the Trump administration's decision to cut $4 billion in military aid to Israel, stating that the deep relationship between the U.S. and Israel w
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IRGC states that oil smuggling in the Strait of Hormuz has "completely ceased"
An Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) official told Iran's state broadcaster IRIB that after destroying enemy navigation aids on rocks in the southern Strait of Hormuz, no violating vessels were
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: Americans are growing weary of Israel dragging them into an endless war
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept the proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz for two days.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi urged the United States to accept Tehran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days, warning that any new attacks would spell "dire consequences.
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Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
Donald Trump stated there is no reason to further escalate the war with Iran, noting that the Strait of Hormuz remains open.
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Trump stated that the US military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand the blockade of Iran on land and in the Caspian Sea
Donald Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force has become operational and will expand land and Caspian Sea blockades against Iran. U.S. Central Command stated that the 20-person u
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Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments
Bilateral tensions between Malaysia and Taiwan could threaten future chip investments. According to *Nikkei Asia*, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar's remarks regarding the "One China" policy have drawn
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Senior Advisor to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: Iran is reverse-engineering captured US military equipment
Ali Balali, an adviser to the Aerospace Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), stated that Iran is conducting reverse engineering on captured U.S. and hostile military equipment, and t
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Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
Donald Trump will hold a closed-door meeting at the White House with the Prime of Qatar to discuss the Iran nuclear issue and conflict mediation.
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Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
Donald Trump stated that he will meet with the leaders of China and Russia at the APEC summit next week to discuss ending the Iran war and denuclearization.
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US Secretary of State Rubio defends military action against Iran, stating that countering the "nuclear threat" is unpopular yet necessary
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Florida that he defended Donald Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, stating that the president recognized and addressed the real threat of a "n
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According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
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IRGC: Three Oil Tankers Catch Fire in Strait of Hormuz Since Early Hours of Nov 8
According to a live broadcast by Al Jazeera on November 8, the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran stated in a Telegram statement that day that since the early morning, three
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Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Dawn of Yemen" military operation across multiple locations, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or withdrawals.
The Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Yemeni Dawn" military operation across multiple regions, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or retreats. Colonel Majeed Al-Nazili, the militar
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According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor gas field in Iraqi Kurdistan, slashing power generation by about 2.8 gigawatts
Omid Ahmed, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Electricity in the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq, stated that a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas field in Iraq has resulted in a reduction of nea
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Iranian state media reports that the U.S. military launched "projectiles" at Qeshm Island
Citing Al Jazeera and Iranian state media reports, the U.S. military fired "projectiles" at Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday evening local time. The Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) p
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Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force is now fully operational, working in coordination with the maritime blockade to deter Iran.
Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Task Force Iron Gate" is now fully operational, working in coordination with a naval blockade to curb Iran; U.S. President Donald Trump posted on social media th
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor natural gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan region
A drone attack hit the Khor Mor gas field—one of the largest natural gas fields in the region—located in the Sulaymaniyah Governorate of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. The party responsible for the attac
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
Geopolitical crises are the ultimate litmus test for asset attributes. Looking back at events such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and the escalation of US-Iran tensions in 2026, Bitcoin's (BTC) performance exhibits a recurring pattern: during the initial outbreak of a crisis, market panic and liquidity squeezes often trigger "flash crashes," with intraday drops reaching 8%–10%. However, once sentiment is released, prices tend to stage a rapid "V-shaped recovery," regaining lost ground or even hitting new highs within days or weeks. This short-term high volatility makes it behave more like a risk asset, while its long-term "digital gold" narrative of resisting inflation and decentralization—coupled with institutional capital inflows that frequently follow crises—endows it with certain hedging characteristics. This article reviews key historical case studies to explore Bitcoin's dual identity in turbulent environments.
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May 2026 Crypto Market Review: Bitcoin Fluctuates Around $77,000 Amid Continuous ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Impacts
In May 2026, the crypto market experienced a correction after the Bitcoin price surpassed $80,000, leading to a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around $77,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows for several consecutive days, totaling over $1.5 billion, while Ethereum ETFs also faced capital pressure. The escalation of geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran was considered one of the main drivers of cautious market sentiment and capital outflows. Despite the complex macroeconomic environment, venture capital funding in the crypto space rebounded significantly in May, demonstrating the industry's internal resilience and development.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
Geopolitics
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