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Geopolitics
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Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine, killing at least 3 people and cutting power to nearly 100,000 residents in the Chernihiv region.
Ukrainian officials stated that Russian forces launched a large-scale attack on industrial facilities and critical energy infrastructure in multiple regions of Ukraine, killing at least three people a
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Two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran claimed to have received intelligence that the US was planning new attacks.
The UK Maritime Trade Operations agency reported on Monday that two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. This came a day after Iran stated it had received intelligence that the United St
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Pakistan, Iran Discuss Regional Peace; Islamabad Seeks to Revive Stalled US-Iran Talks
Pakistan’s Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi met his Iranian counterpart Eskandar Momeni in Tehran to discuss regional peace and stability, as Islamabad continues diplomatic efforts to revive stalled tal
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European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip R. Lane expects energy shocks to persist longer, with inflation potentially higher and more prolonged, targeting mid-2027.
Philip R. Lane, Chief Economist of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated in an interview with Le Temps that after a second wave of energy price increases, the energy shock is expected to last longer
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UK to provide air-to-air refuelling for Saudi jets to counter Houthi attacks, PM Burnham confirms
British Prime Minister Andy Burnham stated on Monday that the Royal Air Force will provide "defensive" air-to-air refuelling for Saudi planes. This agreement, which is time-limited and under review, c
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Iran's IRGC says US, Israel 'must accept withdrawal' from region
Iran's IRGC says US, Israel 'must accept withdrawal' from region
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Brent crude oil fell below $100/barrel, hitting an 11-day low, and the US 10-year government bond yield dropped below 5%.
Brent crude futures fell below $100 per barrel on Monday, reaching a new low since September 9, and closed at $100.34 per barrel. Meanwhile, the benchmark US 10-year government bond yield fell below t
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Russia's ruling United Russia party won a supermajority in parliamentary elections, solidifying Putin's power.
Al Jazeera reported that President Putin's United Russia party secured a record supermajority in tightly controlled parliamentary elections, with almost all genuine opposition excluded, according to n
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Saudi Aramco loaded 14 million barrels of crude oil from Gulf terminals on Sunday, increasing exports through the Strait of Hormuz.
Shipping data shows Saudi Aramco loaded 14 million barrels of crude oil onto seven very large crude carriers (VLCCs) from Gulf terminals on Sunday, increasing exports through the Strait of Hormuz. Sat
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Trump reportedly halted airstrikes against Houthis after attacks on Saudi oil facilities.
According to US officials, US President Donald Trump temporarily halted airstrikes against Yemen's Houthi rebels at noon on September 20 local time, after US military aircraft had already completed mu
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U.S. diesel prices surged to a record $6.51, as Republicans weigh a diesel export ban and a gas tax holiday.
Republicans are weighing a ban on diesel exports and a gas tax holiday ahead of the midterm elections, as soaring fuel costs pressure consumers and farmers, the Wall Street Journal reported. Congressi
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Yemen conflict escalates, displacing over 120,000 as Houthis and Saudi-backed forces clash near Red Sea strait
The BBC reports that more than 3,000 refugees have arrived in Djibouti in recent days, with the UN estimating over 120,000 Yemenis displaced by the sudden surge in fighting along Yemen's Red Sea coast
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The Iranian government announced several energy-saving measures to address fuel shortages, including adjusting government office hours to 1 PM and promoting public transportation.
In response to severe fuel shortages and economic challenges, the Iranian government announced that from September 23 until the end of March 2027, government office hours will be adjusted to 8 AM to 1
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Russia Set to Extend Diesel Export Ban Beyond End of September
Russia is set to extend a ban on most diesel exports beyond the end of September as Ukraine continues to attack its refineries, according to people familiar with the matter.
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The Israeli army arrested at least 53 Palestinians in the town of Biddu in the West Bank.
The raid marks the third incursion into the area since a Palestinian man from the town was arrested on Sunday for allegedly shooting an Israeli settler. The Jerusalem Governorate stated that the arres
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that U.S. interest rates should decline after the conflict in the Middle East concludes.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that U.S. interest rates should decline after the conflict in the Middle East concludes.
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent states Iran issue discussed with China.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent states Iran issue discussed with China.
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent: All Iranian airlines will be shut down worldwide on Sept 23
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: All Iranian airlines will be shut down worldwide on Sept 23
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he could not say how long the conflict with Iran would last.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he could not say how long the conflict with Iran would last.
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Iran's IRGC Spokesperson Warns of New Weapons and Unattacked Enemy Targets
An Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) spokesperson reportedly stated that the world has “not yet seen the power and precision” of Iran’s new weapons. The spokesperson also claimed Iran has addit
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Iran’s GDP shrank 10.1% in Q1 (March 21-June 20) amid US-Israel war, with oil and gas sector contracting 26.4%
Official data from the Statistical Center of Iran shows the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 10.1% year-on-year during the first quarter of the Persian calendar (March 21 to June 2
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Trump presses Zelenskyy to stop hitting Russian refineries, citing 'diesel, diesel, diesel' concerns
Trump presses Zelenskyy to stop hitting Russian refineries, citing 'diesel, diesel, diesel' concerns
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The Strait of Hormuz blockade enters its seventh month, with Middle East oil export freight rates soaring to a record high of over $30 per barrel.
Middle Eastern oil producers are maintaining oil exports through a high-cost ship-to-ship (STS) transfer system, with benchmark freight rates for very large crude carriers (VLCCs) transporting Persian
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Russia's ruling United Russia party is leading the State Duma elections with 57.5% of the votes, with over 71% of ballots counted.
With over 71% of the ballots counted, Russia's ruling United Russia party is leading with 57.5% of the votes, according to data from the Russian Central Election Commission, and is poised for an easy
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US Secretary of State Rubio defends military action against Iran, stating that countering the "nuclear threat" is unpopular yet necessary
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in Florida that he defended Donald Trump's decision to go to war with Iran, stating that the president recognized and addressed the real threat of a "n
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According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
According to Al Jazeera on November 9, over 70% of the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq experienced power outages following a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas facility.
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IRGC: Three Oil Tankers Catch Fire in Strait of Hormuz Since Early Hours of Nov 8
According to a live broadcast by Al Jazeera on November 8, the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) of Iran stated in a Telegram statement that day that since the early morning, three
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Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Dawn of Yemen" military operation across multiple locations, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or withdrawals.
The Yemeni government forces announced the launch of the "Yemeni Dawn" military operation across multiple regions, resulting in 267 Houthi casualties or retreats. Colonel Majeed Al-Nazili, the militar
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According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
According to Deltaone, Rubio stated that the negotiations have yielded no results, and the demands put forward by Iran are "completely unacceptable."
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor gas field in Iraqi Kurdistan, slashing power generation by about 2.8 gigawatts
Omid Ahmed, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Electricity in the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq, stated that a drone attack on the Khor Mor gas field in Iraq has resulted in a reduction of nea
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Iranian state media reports that the U.S. military launched "projectiles" at Qeshm Island
Citing Al Jazeera and Iranian state media reports, the U.S. military fired "projectiles" at Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday evening local time. The Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) p
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Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Iron Gate" Task Force is now fully operational, working in coordination with the maritime blockade to deter Iran.
Trump stated that the U.S. military's "Task Force Iron Gate" is now fully operational, working in coordination with a naval blockade to curb Iran; U.S. President Donald Trump posted on social media th
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Drone attack hits Khor Mor natural gas field in Iraq's Kurdistan region
A drone attack hit the Khor Mor gas field—one of the largest natural gas fields in the region—located in the Sulaymaniyah Governorate of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. The party responsible for the attac
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Iraqi Kurdistan Region President Meets Iranian Delegation to Discuss Security Cooperation and Regional Stability
The President of the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq met with an Iranian delegation, with both sides discussing ways to improve security cooperation and mechanisms for maintaining regional stabi
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Houthis Claim Saudi-Led Coalition Carried Out 91 Airstrikes and Missile Attacks in Yemen Over Past 24 Hours
The Houthis stated that the Saudi-led coalition carried out 91 airstrikes and missile attacks in Yemen over the past 24 hours, affecting six Yemeni provinces and causing civilian casualties. The group
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According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), explosions were heard on Iran's Qeshm Island, though there has been no official confirmation yet.
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Saudi-led coalition says it destroyed a Houthi missile launcher in Sanaa, Yemen.
The Saudi-led coalition announced that it has destroyed a missile launcher belonging to the Houthis in Sana'a, Yemen. Coalition spokesman Turki al-Maliki stated that the launcher had previously been u
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: US election results have led to the suspension of mediators' work
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: US election results have led to the suspension of mediators' work
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Florida Governor-elect Byron Donalds: Conflict with Iran "is coming to an end"
In an interview with NBC News, Byron Donalds, the newly elected Republican Governor of Florida and a close ally of Donald Trump, stated that the conflict with Iran is "coming to an end" and that gasol
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that negotiations to end hostility with the United States have not yet made progress, and they are waiting for the situation to become clearer following the U.S. midterm elections.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that negotiations to end hostility with the United States have not yet made progress, and they are awaiting clarification of the situation following the
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Israeli Prime Minister-designate Eisenkot stated that he is open to including Benjamin Netanyahu in the ruling coalition.
Israel's designated government-forming candidate Gadi Eisenkot stated that he is open to including Benjamin Netanyahu in a coalition government. Speaking at a ceremony at the President's Residence in
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Trump: Further strikes against Iran will be "highly unlikely" if progress is made on nuclear and Strait of Hormuz negotiations
Trump: Further strikes against Iran will be "highly unlikely" if progress is made on nuclear and Strait of Hormuz negotiations
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Adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader: US Midterm Election Results Will Not Change Tehran's Stance Toward the US
Mohammad Mokhber, an advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader, stated on X that a Democratic victory in the US midterm elections will not change Tehran's stance toward Washington. He wrote, "It is naive to ti
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warns: If the situation escalates, Tehran will "unleash hellfire"
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned in a post on X that U.S. voters have made their choice, and the White House must now make its own; if hostilities resume, Iran will "unleash hellfire." A
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Reform UK leader Farage predicts a surge in military action against Iran after the US midterms
In an interview with the BBC, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage predicted that following the US midterm election results, he "expects to see a very sharp increase in military action against Iran." Farage
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned that US targets in the region could be within range of strikes.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has warned that Iran "will not hesitate" in its stance toward the United States, pointing out that certain U.S. targets in the region located outside military b
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Saudi coalition destroys two Houthi missile launchers in Saada, Yemen
The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen announced that it had destroyed two ballistic missile launchers in Saada, northwestern Yemen. A coalition spokesperson stated that the Houthi movement had previously u
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Iranian Foreign Ministry Condemns Saudi Military Operations in Yemen, Calls for Immediate Ceasefire and Bilateral Dialogue
The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned Saudi Arabia's "military aggression" in Yemen, calling for an immediate halt to military attacks, a full lifting of the blockade, and respect for the
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
Geopolitical crises are the ultimate litmus test for asset attributes. Looking back at events such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and the escalation of US-Iran tensions in 2026, Bitcoin's (BTC) performance exhibits a recurring pattern: during the initial outbreak of a crisis, market panic and liquidity squeezes often trigger "flash crashes," with intraday drops reaching 8%–10%. However, once sentiment is released, prices tend to stage a rapid "V-shaped recovery," regaining lost ground or even hitting new highs within days or weeks. This short-term high volatility makes it behave more like a risk asset, while its long-term "digital gold" narrative of resisting inflation and decentralization—coupled with institutional capital inflows that frequently follow crises—endows it with certain hedging characteristics. This article reviews key historical case studies to explore Bitcoin's dual identity in turbulent environments.
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May 2026 Crypto Market Review: Bitcoin Fluctuates Around $77,000 Amid Continuous ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Impacts
In May 2026, the crypto market experienced a correction after the Bitcoin price surpassed $80,000, leading to a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around $77,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows for several consecutive days, totaling over $1.5 billion, while Ethereum ETFs also faced capital pressure. The escalation of geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran was considered one of the main drivers of cautious market sentiment and capital outflows. Despite the complex macroeconomic environment, venture capital funding in the crypto space rebounded significantly in May, demonstrating the industry's internal resilience and development.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
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