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Interest rate hike
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Goldman Sachs: Fed's Decision Today Could Be Largest 'Surprise' Since 1997
Goldman Sachs stated that whatever the U.S. Federal Reserve decides today will mark the largest "surprise" at a non-rate-cut meeting since 1997. This assessment comes as interest-rate futures markets
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Silver prices hold steady amid renewed Middle East airstrikes and pending Fed rate decision
Silver September futures opened 0.3% lower on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, at $57.38 per ounce, but prices are holding steady this morning. This stability comes amidst renewed airstrikes in the Middle Ea
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Bitcoin steadies above $64,000 as crypto market awaits US Federal Reserve interest rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $64,000, up 0.75%, as the broader crypto market shows mixed performance ahead of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later today. US inflation at 4.1% keeps
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Markets Brace for Highly Uncertain Fed Decision; Some Investors Expect Rate Hike
Financial markets are preparing for the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, which is being described as one of the most uncertain in years. A chorus of investors suggests that a rate hi
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Markets Split Ahead of Fed Rate Decision: Kalshi Traders Favor Hold, Citadel Securities Expects Hike
Ahead of today's Federal Reserve rate decision, Kalshi traders assign a 77% probability to the Fed holding rates steady and a 23% chance of a surprise 25 basis point hike. However, Citadel Securities
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Fed Expected to Hold Rates at 3.5%-3.75%; Markets See 1/3 Chance of Surprise Hike, Focus on Chair Warsh's Message
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain its federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% in its upcoming decision. However, markets still price in roughly a one-in-three chance of a surprise rate hi
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Bitcoin With the price breaking through $64,000, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged, but some institutions are warning of the risk of an unexpected rate hike.
Bitcoin It broke through the $64,000 mark during the Asian trading session, rising 1% on the day, while major cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, and XRP also saw widespread gains. The market widely ex
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Market expectations for the Fed’s interest rate decision tonight are divided, with analysts saying uncertainty is at a 20-year high
The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest interest rate decision at 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on July 30. Although a Reuters survey showed that all economists polled expect the Fed to keep r
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting, Timiraos of New Fed News analyzes three key points: a possible pause in rate hikes, Chair Warsh’s strategic intentions, and policy explanations
Nick Timiraos, a Wall Street Journal reporter (often referred to as the “New Fed Correspondent”), wrote that tonight’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is one of the hardest to predict in
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Gold edges lower ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate decision
Gold edged lower as traders assessed the prospects for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike ahead of its decision due later Wednesday.
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Fed Chair Warsh Faces Pressure to Hike Rates Amid Stubborn Inflation, Despite Expected Pause This Week
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged this week, but Chair Kevin Warsh is under increasing pressure to hike rates soon to combat persistent inflation. Several Fed off
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Bitcoin and Ethereum prices slide ahead of US Federal Reserve meeting
Bitcoin and Ethereum prices slid on Tuesday, July 28, ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting. Bitcoin opened 2.5% lower at $63,706.66, and Ethereum opened 3.2% lower at $1,890.67.
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The market faces multiple risk events this week: the Fed’s decision, earnings reports from tech giants, and oil price volatility, all at the same time.
Global markets will face multiple risk events this week, including the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, a flurry of earnings reports from tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazo
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BofA Expects Fed to Hold Rates in July, Citing Unprecedented Nature of Hike Below 60% Odds
Bank of America (BofA) expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in July, despite markets pricing in a small chance of a hike. The bank states that a July increase would be "unpreced
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Analysis: Surprise Fed Rate Hike Cannot Be Ruled Out
An analysis suggests that a surprise interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve cannot be ruled out. The analysis also explores its potential implications for the S&P 500.
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World Stocks Hit One-Month Low as Chip Rout Worsens Amid AI Funding Concerns and Rate Hike Bets
Global stocks fell to a one-month low on Tuesday, driven by a significant sell-off in chipmakers due to concerns over Chinese competition and the funding of the AI boom. Rising odds of a U.S. interest
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US Dollar Nears Four-Week Peak as Markets Eye Potential Fed Rate Hike This Week
The U.S. dollar held steady near a four-week high on Tuesday, with the dollar index hovering around 101.50, as traders assessed the possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week. Marke
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Fed Dissent Levels Eyed for September Rate Hike Clues
Investors are closely monitoring this week's US Federal Reserve (Fed) vote for indications on future interest rate movements. A 10-2 split is anticipated, with two officials expected to back a 25 basi
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Taiwan Five-Year Yield Jumps to Highest Since 2008 on Rate Bets
Taiwan’s five-year bond yield climbed to its highest level since 2008. This surge was driven by a disappointing 20-year bond sale last week and increasing expectations for an interest-rate hike by the
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Bitcoin Weakens in Asia Trading Ahead of Fed Rate Decision
Bitcoin declined in early Asia trading on Tuesday as investors fretted about the prospect of higher interest rates.
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Citadel Securities expects surprise Fed rate hike this week
Citadel Securities expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week. This would be a surprise move, which Citadel Securities believes would strengthen Chairman Kevin Warsh’s credibility i
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Citi Traders Bet Fed Will Hold Rates This Week
Citigroup Inc. traders are betting the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged this week. This expectation comes even as swap markets currently assign a more than one-in-three chance of a
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US Treasuries Rise, Oil Softens After US Pauses Iran Strikes; Fed Rate Hike Chance Eyed
US Treasuries edged higher as oil prices softened after the US paused its nearly two-week campaign of strikes against Iran. Meanwhile, traders are eyeing a roughly one-in-three chance of a Federal Res
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Federal Reserve Chair Warsh May Follow Greenspan's Lead and Consider Raising Interest Rates to Suppress Long-Term Rates
The new Federal Reserve Chair, Warsh, is facing a policy choice: whether to raise interest rates to suppress long-term rates in an effort to lower borrowing costs for the real economy, such as mortgag
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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