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Interest rate hike
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Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
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JPMorgan Chase Asset Management's Aronov says rate hikes are expected if inflation continues to climb
Oksana Aronov, head of alternative fixed income strategies at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management, said in a Bloomberg interview that central banks are expected to raise interest rates if inflation contin
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EY-Parthenon expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged through year-end, citing a stable labor market despite Wall Street's payroll expectations.
EY-Parthenon believes the labor market remains stable and is unlikely to shift the Fed's focus, even after Friday's jobs report. The firm states that only broader, more persistent inflation or a meani
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AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%
AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%. Bearish sentiment fell 4.1 percentage points to 38.0%, while neutra
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated the central bank has "no tolerance" for persistently elevated inflation, leading to an 840-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, presiding over his second meeting, maintained current interest rates. He reiterated in a session with Congress that he and his committee "have no tolerance for persistently elev
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Hong Kong raises guaranteed coupon rate for its latest batch of Silver Bonds to 4.25%, up from 3.85% last year, with up to HK$50 billion (US$6.4 billion) on offer.
The 11th batch of three-year Silver Bonds, aimed at senior citizens, will go on sale from August 21, amid market expectations that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this year.
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Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar w
Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar with his th
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Fed Governor Lisa Cook voted to hold rates steady last week, citing potential for reduced price pressures, but warns she is "prepared to act" if disinflation signs don't continue soon.
Cook stated that given several years of above-target inflation, the Federal Reserve does not have the luxury to wait longer in the current environment, suggesting a low bar for future rate hikes.
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Market and Wall Street's outlook on the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision is divided, with Kalshi showing the probabilities of a pause and a 25 basis point hike both close to 50%.
Specifically, data from the prediction platform Kalshi shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 49%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 47%
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Bank of America CEO Moynihan Reiterates Forecast for Three Fed Rate Hikes in September, October, and December
Brian Moynihan stated that the bank's forecast is based on a strong labor market and the need for inflation to ease further. He also highlighted that spending patterns between higher- and lower-income
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari says 'now is the time to start slowly moving' rates up, advocating a gradual approach potentially starting in September.
Kashkari believes higher interest rates are needed to curb inflation and prevent more drastic increases later. He was one of three dissenters at last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting who f
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DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
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Analysis points out that the DXY is in a delicate intermediate state at the 100 mark, with insufficient downward momentum in the short term or limited rebound.
Wall Street Insights analysis points out that after the Japanese Yen intervention shakeout, the DXY has returned to the 100 mark. Currently, based on FX option positions, the US-non-US interest rate d
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid (non-voter) states tighter policy is needed to bring inflation to 2%, becoming the fifth Fed president to express desire for rate hikes since last week's mee
Schmid believes the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, "given the strength of demand and investment," and that a tighter policy will be required to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation objec
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Markets view Fed's inflation credibility with skepticism, seeing "all hat, no cattle" as 30-year Treasury yield hits highest since 2007
Despite Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's recent pledge to deliver 2% inflation and "not a whisper more," markets responded with a clear warning, pushing long-dated bond yields higher. The 30-yea
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US ISM manufacturing index hits 4-year high of 55.6, S&P 500 profit margins reach record 16.7% in Q2 2026, fueling speculation Fed could raise rates in 2026
The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index climbed to 55.6, its highest reading since May 2022 and the seventh consecutive month of expansion. Concurrently, S&P 500 net profit mar
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
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Treasuries Rose on Tuesday as Falling Oil Prices Trimmed Expectations for More Than One Fed Rate Hike in the Coming Year
Oil prices fell due to signs of progress toward a diplomatic resolution of the Iran war, which in turn curbed expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
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Gold Holds Steady as Middle East Talks Weigh on Fed Rate Hike Outlook
Gold moved in a narrow range as traders monitored talks in the Middle East for signs of progress that would ease pressure on the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
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10x Research: Bitcoin May Hit Bear Market Bottom in August, But Rising US Treasury Yields May Force the Federal Reserve to Hike Rates in September
Crypto research firm 10x Research points out that Bitcoin might confirm a bear market bottom in August, even though rising US government bond yields could force the Federal Reserve to hike interest ra
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BNP Paribas Expects U.S. Treasury Yields to Rise, Forecasts Three Fed Hikes Starting in December
The bank argues investors will continue to question the Fed's credibility after last week's decision to hold rates steady despite three dissenting votes for a hike.
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Short-Dated JGBs Fall on Growing BOJ Rate-Increase Expectations
Short-dated Japanese government bonds (JGBs) fell in price terms, driven by growing market expectations for an interest rate increase by the Bank of Japan.
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Analysis Suggests Bitcoin Could Drop to $58,281 in August, Historically Its Weakest Month
An analysis by Yahoo Finance indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) could fall to $58,281 by the end of August, based on its historical median August loss of 7.49%. Bitcoin has closed August in the red in nine
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Driven by rebounding oil prices and a rate hike by the Bank of England, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading around $79,600.
Driven by rising oil prices and the Bank of England's rate hike, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading near $79,600. Early Thursday morning Eastern Time, Bitcoin fluctuated in a narr
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike to 4%, marking its first rate increase in over three years. This widely anticipated move represents the central bank's first rate rise
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GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
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Bank of Japan September Meeting Minutes: Voted 7-2 to Raise Rates to Around 1.25% at the Time
According to the minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting held on September 17–18, 2026, released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on November 5, the board decided by a 7-2 majority to raise the policy rate b
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Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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