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Interest rate hike
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BlackRock's Rick Rieder: July US employment report makes Fed rate hike 'not make sense right now', rate cut still possible this year
Rick Rieder, CIO of global fixed income at BlackRock, stated on Bloomberg that the July US employment report likely takes a Federal Reserve rate hike off the table. He added that a rate cut is still p
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Nick Timiraos: July employment report is complex for Fed to interpret; evidence of non-reaccelerating labor market could temper next month's rate hike case, but inflation data remains key.
Nick Timiraos comments that the July employment report presents a complex picture for the Federal Reserve, noting that new evidence of a non-reaccelerating labor market could weaken the argument for a
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US Treasuries Rally After Employers Unexpectedly Cut Jobs in July, Trimming Fed Rate-Hike Bets
US Treasuries Rally After Employers Unexpectedly Cut Jobs in July, Trimming Fed Rate-Hike Bets
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JPMorgan Chase: Bank of Japan (BOJ) September Rate Hike Risk Significantly Higher, Maintaining October Baseline Forecast and Raising 2027 Rate Hikes to Three
JPMorgan Chase released a report on August 7, stating that the Japanese government's push for tax cuts and expanded fiscal support will increase pressure on the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to tighten monetary
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The U.S. Department of Labor will release its July employment report today. Economists expect 83,000 new jobs to have been added, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. U.S. stock futures are trading higher.
The U.S. Department of Labor is set to release its July employment report today at 8:30 AM ET. The market generally expects the U.S. economy to have added 83,000 jobs in July, up from 57,000 in June,
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Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
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JPMorgan Chase Asset Management's Aronov says rate hikes are expected if inflation continues to climb
Oksana Aronov, head of alternative fixed income strategies at JPMorgan Chase Asset Management, said in a Bloomberg interview that central banks are expected to raise interest rates if inflation contin
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EY-Parthenon expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged through year-end, citing a stable labor market despite Wall Street's payroll expectations.
EY-Parthenon believes the labor market remains stable and is unlikely to shift the Fed's focus, even after Friday's jobs report. The firm states that only broader, more persistent inflation or a meani
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AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%
AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%. Bearish sentiment fell 4.1 percentage points to 38.0%, while neutra
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated the central bank has "no tolerance" for persistently elevated inflation, leading to an 840-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, presiding over his second meeting, maintained current interest rates. He reiterated in a session with Congress that he and his committee "have no tolerance for persistently elev
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Hong Kong raises guaranteed coupon rate for its latest batch of Silver Bonds to 4.25%, up from 3.85% last year, with up to HK$50 billion (US$6.4 billion) on offer.
The 11th batch of three-year Silver Bonds, aimed at senior citizens, will go on sale from August 21, amid market expectations that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this year.
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Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar w
Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is open to a September rate hike if upcoming inflation data comes in hot and markets increase expectations for higher borrowing costs, according to people familiar with his th
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Fed Governor Lisa Cook voted to hold rates steady last week, citing potential for reduced price pressures, but warns she is "prepared to act" if disinflation signs don't continue soon.
Cook stated that given several years of above-target inflation, the Federal Reserve does not have the luxury to wait longer in the current environment, suggesting a low bar for future rate hikes.
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Market and Wall Street's outlook on the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision is divided, with Kalshi showing the probabilities of a pause and a 25 basis point hike both close to 50%.
Specifically, data from the prediction platform Kalshi shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 49%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 47%
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Bank of America CEO Moynihan Reiterates Forecast for Three Fed Rate Hikes in September, October, and December
Brian Moynihan stated that the bank's forecast is based on a strong labor market and the need for inflation to ease further. He also highlighted that spending patterns between higher- and lower-income
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari says 'now is the time to start slowly moving' rates up, advocating a gradual approach potentially starting in September.
Kashkari believes higher interest rates are needed to curb inflation and prevent more drastic increases later. He was one of three dissenters at last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting who f
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DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
DeItaone reports: Fed's Kashkari says he is not calling for a dramatic increase in rates
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Analysis points out that the DXY is in a delicate intermediate state at the 100 mark, with insufficient downward momentum in the short term or limited rebound.
Wall Street Insights analysis points out that after the Japanese Yen intervention shakeout, the DXY has returned to the 100 mark. Currently, based on FX option positions, the US-non-US interest rate d
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Kansas City Fed President Schmid (non-voter) states tighter policy is needed to bring inflation to 2%, becoming the fifth Fed president to express desire for rate hikes since last week's mee
Schmid believes the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, "given the strength of demand and investment," and that a tighter policy will be required to achieve the Fed's 2% inflation objec
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Markets view Fed's inflation credibility with skepticism, seeing "all hat, no cattle" as 30-year Treasury yield hits highest since 2007
Despite Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's recent pledge to deliver 2% inflation and "not a whisper more," markets responded with a clear warning, pushing long-dated bond yields higher. The 30-yea
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US ISM manufacturing index hits 4-year high of 55.6, S&P 500 profit margins reach record 16.7% in Q2 2026, fueling speculation Fed could raise rates in 2026
The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index climbed to 55.6, its highest reading since May 2022 and the seventh consecutive month of expansion. Concurrently, S&P 500 net profit mar
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
Fed insider Nick Timiraos relayed: Bessent's monetary policy stance has shifted from favoring "rate cuts" in January to favoring "no rate hikes" in August.
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Treasuries Rose on Tuesday as Falling Oil Prices Trimmed Expectations for More Than One Fed Rate Hike in the Coming Year
Oil prices fell due to signs of progress toward a diplomatic resolution of the Iran war, which in turn curbed expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes.
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Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
Bank of Korea meeting minutes show the majority of members supported further rate hikes, as inflation, growth threats, and financial stability risks continue to accumulate.
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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