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Kalshi
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Blockchain prediction market Polymarket targets $20 billion valuation in new funding round, months after closing a $15 billion round that included a $600 million investment from Intercontine
The move comes as competition intensifies in the prediction market sector, with rival Kalshi reportedly seeking new capital at a $40 billion valuation.
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New York Judge Denies CFTC Motion to Stay Enforcement Action Against Prediction Market Platform Kalshi
The ruling preserves New York State’s case against Kalshi while allowing the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to refile its request before Judge Victor Marrero.
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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour invoked Nasdaq, Uber, and Airbnb in his defense against a New York lawsuit
Mansour stated during a CNBC interview that the lawsuit could be 'copy and pasted' and filed against Nasdaq, implying the suit's broad applicability.
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Kalshi and Polymarket's Combined Volume Reaches All-Time High in July, Surpassing $50 Billion
Notably, Polymarket US's volume rose 54% in July, while the main Polymarket platform's volume fell 26% compared to June.
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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New York State Sues Kalshi for $36 Billion Over Alleged Illegal Gambling
New York State has filed a lawsuit against Kalshi, alleging the platform operates an illegal gambling enterprise and seeking at least $36 billion in compensatory damages.
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Markets Split Ahead of Fed Rate Decision: Kalshi Traders Favor Hold, Citadel Securities Expects Hike
Ahead of today's Federal Reserve rate decision, Kalshi traders assign a 77% probability to the Fed holding rates steady and a 23% chance of a surprise 25 basis point hike. However, Citadel Securities
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Trump Teleprompter Operator Accused of Kalshi Betting Misconduct Leaves Government
Gabriel Perez, a former teleprompter operator for President Donald Trump, is no longer employed by the U.S. federal government. Perez had been accused of profiting from bets placed on Kalshi, an event
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Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, a Win for Kalshi and Polymarket
A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction on Monday, blocking the U.S. state of Minnesota from enforcing its new law banning prediction markets. This decision marks a win for prediction market p
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US Judge Temporarily Blocks Minnesota Prediction Market Ban
A US judge has issued a preliminary injunction, temporarily blocking Minnesota's ban on prediction markets. This ruling allows prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket US to continue operatin
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Federal Judge Pauses Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Citing Likely Conflict with Commodity Exchange Act
A federal judge has paused Minnesota's law criminalizing prediction markets, ruling that it would likely violate the federal Commodity Exchange Act. This decision comes after prediction market platfor
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Kalshi has accused Netflix of defamation and is demanding that the trailer for the documentary about prediction markets be taken down
Svmuu News: On July 24, prediction market operator Kalshi sent a cease-and-desist letter to Netflix, alleging that the trailer for its new documentary *Instadocs: The Prediction Games* constitutes def
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Polymarket data showing nearly $9 million in open interest indicates that traders assign a 17% probability to Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026.
Svmuu News: On Polymarket, the trading volume for the “Will Ethereum Reach $1,000 or $3,000 First?” contract was $95,300,with traders pricing the $1,000 outcome at 54 cents and the $3,000 outcome at 5
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Robinhood in Talks to Integrate Crypto.com's Prediction Market
Svmuu News: Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership in the prediction markets business. If the partnership is finalized, the prediction markets provided by Crypto.com will be int
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Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership on prediction markets
Svmuu News: Robinhood is in talks with Crypto.com regarding a partnership in the prediction markets business. If the partnership is finalized, the prediction markets provided by Crypto.com will be int
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Wisconsin Warns That Those Who Trade Election Contracts May Lose Their Right to Vote in the Same Election; Kalshi Calls It Voter Suppression
Svmuu News: The Wisconsin Election Commission has stated that residents who purchase contracts related to a specific election on Kalshi or Polymarket may lose their eligibility to vote in that same el
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DraftKings Co-Founder Questions Kalshi's $22 Billion Valuation and Financial Credibility
Svmuu News: Matt Kalish, CEO of HARDSCOPE and co-founder of DraftKings, posted on X, using the sudden departure of Kalshi’s CFO as an opportunity to satirize and question the company’s $22 billion val
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Kalshi and Polymarket's combined trading volume exceeded $44 billion in 2025
Svmuu News: Kalshi and Polymarket processed a combined trading volume of over $44 billion in 2025. As of April 2026, the two platforms’ combined monthly trading volume had risen to $24 billion, exceed
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Kalshi Launches Midterm Election Hub, Showing Real-Time Odds for U.S. Congressional Races
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Kalshi has launched the Midterms Hub to display real-time market odds for each U.S. Senate and House of Representatives district. The page aggregates real-time t
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Prediction Market Reports $113.8 Billion in Nominal Trading Volume for the Second Quarter; Talos Integrates Kalshi Trading
Svmuu News: Talos, an institutional crypto trading platform, has integrated with prediction market operator Kalshi, allowing select clients to trade Kalshi’s event contracts and crypto perpetual contr
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The CLARITY Act May Help the CFTC Address Prediction Markets
Svmuu News: The U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Agriculture’s Subcommittee on Commodity Markets, Digital Assets, and Rural Development held a hearing on how the Commodity Futures Trading Co
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Kalshi Files Application with the U.S. CFTC to Launch Gold-Backed Perpetual Futures
Svmuu News: According to market reports, the prediction market platform Kalshi has filed an application with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission to launch gold-linked perpetual futures.
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Prediction Market Kalshi Sees Trading Volume Soar to $24.2 Billion During the World Cup
Svmuu News: The U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi experienced explosive growth during the 2026 World Cup, with the platform’s trading volume surging from $6.67 billion on June 22 to $24.2 billion
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Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
Prediction market Kalshi now puts Democrats at 51% vs. Republicans at 49% in the race for Senate control, as the battle remains a true toss-up heading into November.
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Prediction market traders expect U.S. gas prices to hit new highs for the year, with a 71% chance of surpassing $4.60/gallon
Traders on Kalshi also place 57% odds that prices will top $4.80 a gallon, and just over a 40% chance that they cross $5.00. This comes as U.S. oil prices are again above $100 per barrel, driven by es
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Prediction Market Kalshi Plans to Offer U.S. Single-Stock Perpetual Futures and Agriculture Commodities Trading
Kalshi, a prediction market, plans to allow customers to trade single-stock perpetual futures contracts in the U.S., including those linked to major U.S. stocks like Tesla and Nvidia. The company is a
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Prediction-market operator Kalshi plans to seek U.S. approval for 24/7 Tesla and Nvidia perpetual contracts
The move would expand one of crypto's biggest trading products into equities, amid ongoing regulatory disputes on Wall Street over such instruments. Kalshi intends to seek approval for approximately 6
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Prediction market company Kalshi launches gold and silver perpetual contracts after CFTC approval.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) this week approved prediction market company Kalshi to list perpetual contracts linked to precious metals gold and silver, with the new market goin
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Coinbase Adopts ION's Real-Time Trading Tech to Bolster Kalshi Prediction Market Infrastructure
The XTP for Event Contracts solution will enable real-time execution and processing, automated 24/7 operations, and the onboarding of tens of thousands of accounts per day for its event-contract clear
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UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
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New Jersey petitions Supreme Court to hear prediction market case, raising stakes for industry
New Jersey last week filed a petition for a writ of certiorari with the U.S. Supreme Court, asking the high court to decide whether prediction markets' sports-related contracts are gambling products r
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Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
Kalshi's US Web Traffic Soars 1,500%, Trading Volume Grows Even Faster Amid Mounting Regulatory Pressure
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American Gaming Association Analysis Finds Underage Bettors Wagered Over $5 Billion on Kalshi Due to Sportsbook Restrictions
A new analysis by the American Gaming Association reveals that individuals under 21, who are restricted from most sportsbooks, have instead wagered over $5 billion on prediction market Kalshi.
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Michigan Court Orders Kalshi to Continue Blocking Sports Prediction Markets, Citing Violations of State Betting Law
A Michigan state court has issued a preliminary injunction requiring prediction markets platform Kalshi to continue blocking state residents from accessing sports-related event contracts. The order, i
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Kalshi to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures
Kalshi is preparing to seek U.S. regulatory approval for WTI crude oil perpetual futures, potentially as early as next week. If approved by the CFTC, Kalshi could launch the first oil-linked perpetual
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Prediction Market Traders See 50-50 Odds for U.S. Economy Adding Over 50,000 Jobs in August
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket assign roughly 50% likelihood to the U.S. economy adding more than 50,000 jobs in August. This outlook implies a slightly lower job cr
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Kalshi reports nearly $13.7 billion in perpetual futures volume over past three weeks, almost double July's total
Prediction market platform Kalshi stated that its perpetual futures volume reached nearly $13.7 billion over the past three weeks, which is almost double the full-month volume recorded in July. The co
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Prediction market startup Kalshi permanently bans ex-US lawmaker George Santos from trading, imposes $71,356 penalty
Kalshi cited insider trading as the reason for the ban and penalty. The company had previously reported Santos to the U.S. Department of Justice in June after detecting suspicious trading activity fro
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Prediction Market Platform Kalshi Partners with Brokerage Alpaca to Expand Event Contracts to Global Investors
The partnership aims to bring Kalshi's event contracts to an international audience by leveraging Alpaca's financial infrastructure, which serves 14 million brokerage accounts globally through over 30
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Kalshi becomes exclusive prediction market partner of US Open, reportedly barring rival platforms from advertising at tournament and on ESPN broadcasts
Kalshi has signed an exclusive deal with the U.S. Tennis Association (USTA) for the US Open tennis tournament, whose main draw began Sunday. The agreement, which went into effect immediately, reported
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US Appeals Court Rules Kalshi Sports Prediction Contracts Are Sports Gambling, Not Federal Commodity Law Swaps
The U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled on August 28, local time, that prediction contracts on sports events offered by prediction market company Kalshi are essentially sports betting, not swap
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Prediction market Kalshi shows a low probability of Federal Reserve Chair Warsh mentioning "bond market" or "rate cuts" at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.
As of Thursday afternoon, prediction market traders put the probability of Warsh mentioning "bond market" at the Jackson Hole annual meeting early Friday at just 16%, "yield curve" at 8%, and "rate cu
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Donald Trump Jr. advised Republican state attorneys general not to fight prediction markets, NYT reports
The New York Times reported on Thursday that Donald Trump Jr., an advisor to two major prediction market platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket), told Republican attorneys general in March to back off the i
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Kalshi and The Weather Co. Join Forces on Climate Trades
The trading platform Kalshi is now getting input from The Weather Co., which operates a leading weather app, to verify increasingly popular climate-prediction markets. The partnership aims to broaden
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Connecticut sues Kalshi over sports event contracts
The lawsuit is part of a months-long legal feud. Kalshi's Head of Litigation, Jovy Dedaj, called the move "arbitrary and inconsistent enforcement," noting that other platforms continue to operate in t
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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