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U.S. Treasuries
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Analysis indicates that the 30-year US Treasury yield has surged by approximately 10 basis points from its low last Friday, with half of that increase occurring on Monday, now approaching 5.27%. This rise is primarily driven by an increase in real yields, rather than inflation expectations.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned last Friday at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation remains too high, but analysis suggests that long-term inflation expectations have barely changed, and t
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: The Treasury's bond buyback program has impacted market expectations, with the 10-year US Treasury yield trading at 4.73% on Monday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explained that the Treasury's announcement of an expanded bond buyback program may have already had an effect, as the Treasury has not yet purchased any bonds und
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10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Month High, Challenging Treasury Secretary Bessent's Efforts to Control Long-Term Bond Yields
The 10-year Treasury yield reached a 19-month high on Monday morning, posing a challenge to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's initiatives aimed at asserting control over long-term government bond yie
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Treasury Secretary Bessent Defends U.S. Bond Intervention Against Druckenmiller's Criticism
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent defended his U.S. bond-market intervention after criticism from veteran investor Stanley Druckenmiller. Bessent suggested Druckenmiller "lost money" around the ti
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent: US bond market is the best performing, 30-year yield is down
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: US bond market is the best performing, 30-year yield is down
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Bessent: Don't believe I can change equilibrium price in U.S. bond market
Bessent: Don't believe I can change equilibrium price in U.S. bond market
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US 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.75%, HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2025
US 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.75%, HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2025
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Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok warns that whether AI successfully brings disinflation or fails and triggers risk aversion, U.S. Treasury yields will decline by 2027.
In his latest report on August 31, Torsten Slok pointed out that if AI commercialization succeeds, trillions of dollars in revenue for tech companies will generate a large-scale deflationary effect, p
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Topdown Charts: US equities have outperformed US Treasuries by an average of 15 percentage points annually over the past decade, but warns that stocks appear expensive relative to bonds.
Topdown Charts, an analysis firm, noted that over the past decade, the S&P 500's inflation-adjusted annualized total return was approximately 12%, while U.S. Treasuries yielded about negative 3%. This
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Nikkei Asia Review: Japan should not use foreign exchange reserves to finance food tax cuts, as this could push up US Treasury yields and weaken the yen.
Nikkei Asia Review: Japan should not use foreign exchange reserves to finance food tax cuts, as this could push up US Treasury yields and weaken the yen.
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White warns: US fiscal fundamentals are more fragile than France's, and US Treasuries face a greater test.
Simon White points out that while France's budget crisis is escalating and its sovereign bond spreads are widening, the US's fiscal fundamentals are actually more fragile. Data shows that the US gover
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Wall Street institutions anticipate that the U.S. Treasury Department may shift towards issuing short-term bonds and reducing long-term bonds in its November debt issuance plan, in order to alleviate pressure on long-term yields.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (Scott Bessent) has upended the predictability of the U.S. bond market by adopting a more proactive debt management strategy, including the "Treasury Twist" bond
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced an expansion of the long-term US Treasury buyback program, which analysts say could challenge Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently announced that the Treasury will expand its long-term bond buyback program from approximately $2 billion to at least $4 billion per month, aiming to alle
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U.S. July inflation was slightly higher than expected, with a 1.2% increase in financial services and insurance fees being the main driver.
The US July inflation report showed that overall inflation was slightly higher than Wall Street expectations, mainly driven by a 1.2% increase in financial services and insurance fees, which was the l
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U.S. July PCE inflation remained at 3.7% year-on-year, while core PCE was flat at 3.3% month-on-month. The Treasury Department announced it would double the size of long-term bond buybacks starting next month.
The U.S. Department of Commerce reported on Wednesday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 3.7% year-on-year in July, remaining flat with June and still well above the
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Moody's economist Mark Zandi warns: Conditions for a US economic crisis are forming, with debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 100%.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, stated in a recent podcast that the United States is facing an economic "reckoning day," with all necessary conditions forming. He pointed out that th
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The policy objectives of the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve are now clearly diverging, and the market is focused on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole this Friday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced last week that the scale of long-term Treasury buybacks would at least double, an attempt to suppress continuously rising long-end yields, but with limi
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Analysis claims US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent may be orchestrating a US Treasury short squeeze, aiming to push 10-year yields to 4.3% before the midterm elections.
Fox Business reporter Charlie Gasparino, citing informed Wall Street executives, stated that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is attempting to artificially trigger a massive short squeeze by util
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Prominent investor Druckenmiller criticizes US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent for using Treasury buybacks to suppress yields, stating that market prices are the only fiscal discipline
Prominent investor Stanley Druckenmiller, via a retweet from Nick Timiraos, expressed his displeasure with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's use of Treasury buybacks to combat higher yields in a
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Wall Street institutions pour cold water on the U.S. Treasury's use of the trillion-dollar Treasury General Account (TGA) to buy back U.S. bonds: "It's difficult to suppress long-term bond yields."
CNBC reported that the U.S. Treasury Department is considering using funds from its nearly $1 trillion Treasury General Account (TGA) to support Treasury bond buybacks. In response, Deutsche Bank beli
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Citadel Securities Warns: U.S. Treasury's Expanded Buybacks of Treasuries Constitute "Financial Repression," Risk Shifting Pressure to Exchange Rates and Fueling Inflation
Citadel Securities, a top Wall Street market maker, stated in a client report that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of 10-year to 30-year Treasury buybacks aims to lower long-term borrowing costs, but th
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US stocks midday: Dow up 0.27% to 53,419.17 points, Nasdaq Composite down 0.44% due to weak chip stocks, gold price up 1.20%
As of 11:37 AM ET on August 24, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.27%, outperforming the S&P 500's 0.23% decline and the Nasdaq Composite's 0.44% drop, as tech sector volatility offset blue-chip
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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The U.S. Treasury General Account balance has increased to approximately $950 billion, which will be used to fund an expanded bond buyback program. The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose to 5.23%, a new high since 2007.
The U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) balance has quietly surged to approximately $950 billion, nearly double the Biden administration's target of $550-600 billion. According to informed officials,
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Markets are cautiously optimistic ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, with U.S. Treasuries slightly stronger, crude oil gains narrowing, and equity index futures holding steady.
The market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points later on Wednesday. Driven by this expectation, U.S. Treasury bonds saw a slight strengthening, crude
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Analyst: A 5% yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is unlikely to cause a "meltdown" in the short term, but if sustained for 12-18 months, refinancing pressure will impact housing, commercial real estate, and highly leveraged companies.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield has reached its highest level since 2007. Jack Ablin, Chief Investment Officer at Cresset Capital, noted that a 5% yield itself won't immediately cause damage, b
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Goldman Sachs and Nomura share a consensus view: energy, not AI, is the key driver of the market, with oil prices determining the direction of US Treasuries.
Goldman Sachs analyst Rich Privorotsky and Nomura strategist Charlie McElligott both point out that oil prices, not the AI narrative, are the dominant factor in the current market. They believe that o
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent supports the $5,000 check proposal, stating it would not increase the deficit; 10-year US Treasury yield rises above 5% to a near 20-year high.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testified before Congress on Tuesday, expressing support for a proposal to issue $5,000 checks to American adults. He downplayed concerns about the fiscal cost, s
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"Extreme" bearish positions in the U.S. Treasury market bet on Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Bond traders have built up significant bearish positions ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, betting that the sell-off in U.S. Treasuries will continue, pushing yields to their highest level
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CNBC Analysis: Soaring US Treasury Yields Unsettle Investors, But Market May Be Nearing "Escape Velocity"
CNBC analysis indicates that market sentiment was rattled as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpassed 5% on Tuesday, reaching a new high since 2007. However, the surge from zero rates since the pande
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For the first time, the US's net interest expense for the current fiscal year has exceeded $1 trillion, an 8.9% year-over-year increase, casting doubt on Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's "grow out of debt" vision.
Economists predict U.S. GDP growth will fall far short of Scott Bessent's 3% target, according to Bloomberg, and the 10-year Treasury yield has surpassed 5%, a level rarely seen since the early 2000s.
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BofA Survey: "Long Global Semiconductors" remains the most crowded trade among fund managers, followed by "Short US Treasuries."
Bank of America's September Global Fund Manager Survey shows that "long global semiconductors" remains the most crowded trade for the second consecutive time at 53%, followed by "short US Treasuries"
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The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 5.01%, hitting a new 365-day high.
The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 5.01%, hitting a new 365-day high.
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Bloomberg Analysis: Bullish View on US Treasuries Is a Contrarian Bet
Bloomberg Analysis: Bullish View on US Treasuries Is a Contrarian Bet
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Global bond markets face a "perfect storm": 10-year US Treasury yields break 5% to hit a new high since 2007, Japanese and South Korean stock markets fall collectively, and Brent crude rises nearly 2% again.
On Tuesday, the U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose by as much as 4 basis points to 5.02%, touching this level for the first time since 2007, triggering a global bond market sell-off. Japan's 30-y
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 5.025%, a new high since 2007.
The benchmark yield rose over 6 basis points on Tuesday, as the sell-off in U.S. government bonds intensified ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
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Oil and US 10-year Treasury yields correlation hits 7-year high of 0.96, signaling market pressure amid inflation shock
The one-month rolling correlation between front-month West Texas Intermediate crude and the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 0.96, the strongest positive relationship since June 2019, according t
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The Wall Street Journal: Hedge Funds Fill Void as Pension Funds Exit Treasuries, Becoming an "Uncertain Factor" Monitored by the New York Fed for Potential Risks
The Wall Street Journal: Hedge Funds Fill Void as Pension Funds Exit Treasuries, Becoming an "Uncertain Factor" Monitored by the New York Fed for Potential Risks
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield surpassed the 5% mark on Monday, reaching a new high for 2023.
U.S. Treasuries faced a new round of aggressive selling, with the 10-year yield hitting a high of 5.01%. Steven Barrow, Head of G10 Strategy at Standard Bank, warned that the sell-off is far from over
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WSJ Opinion: U.S. Treasury's Bond Strategy Harms Taxpayers, Citing Flawed Justification for Doubling Long-Term Bond Purchases
WSJ Opinion: U.S. Treasury's Bond Strategy Harms Taxpayers, Citing Flawed Justification for Doubling Long-Term Bond Purchases
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The U.S. dollar saw its largest single-day gain since June as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpassed 5%.
The dollar rose on Monday, poised for its best single-day performance since June, primarily driven by the U.S. 10-year government bond yield breaking above 5%.
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Yahoo Finance Analysis: Despite 10-year Treasury yields nearing 5%, analysts still favor PepsiCo as a source of passive income.
Analysis indicates that the current 10-year US Treasury yield has reached 4.8%, nearing its multi-year high of 5% in 2023. In comparison, PepsiCo's (NASDAQ: PEP) forward dividend yield is 4.3%. Despit
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MarketWatch Analysis: The 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields have risen by approximately 50 and 45 basis points, respectively, since late June, climbing back to their highest levels since 2007. The bond market is pushing for higher rates, even though Federal Reserve rate hikes may not lower gasoline prices.
MarketWatch analysis indicates that long-term U.S. Treasury yields have risen to their highest levels since 2007, increasing borrowing costs for households, businesses, and the U.S. government.
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The US 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97%, a new high for 2023 and approaching 5%, exacerbating commercial real estate financing risks.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield closed at 4.97% last weekend, rising 19 basis points during the week to reach its highest level since 2023, nearing the high seen in 2007. This trend has once ag
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Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September, October, and December, for a total of three hikes, pushing the federal funds rate to 4.25%-4.5%.
Ian Lyngen, head of US rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates by 25 basis points this month, followed by additional hikes at the October and December meeting
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U.S. Treasury: The deficit for the first 11 months of fiscal year 2026 reached $1.97 trillion, with net interest expenses exceeding $1 trillion for the first time, and long-term U.S. Treasury yields rising to multi-year highs.
Data released by the U.S. Treasury Department on Friday showed that the federal budget deficit reached $1.97 trillion in the first 11 months of fiscal year 2026 (through August), one of the highest le
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CNBC analyst Mike Khouw: Long-term U.S. Treasury yields have surpassed their 2023 highs, and the options market is betting on a decline in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT).
CNBC analyst Mike Khouw noted that the 30-year U.S. government bond yield has clearly surpassed its 2023 high in recent weeks, rising another 7.6 basis points on September 11. As a result, options tra
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Yahoo Finance Analysis: The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has fallen 4.35% year-to-date, while the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) has risen 2.53%.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that while both hold U.S. Treasuries, TLT has fallen 4.35% year-to-date, whereas SGOV has risen 2.53%, due to differences in duration. TLT holds U.S. Treasury bonds wi
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