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HSBC's Chief Economist warns: Asia's core risk has shifted from financial fragility during the 1997 crisis to dependence on US AI hardware demand.
Frederick Neumann, Chief Asia Economist at HSBC, noted in an August 31 research report that despite numerous similarities between the current macro environment and the period preceding the 1997 Asian
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Steven Major, Macro Advisor at Tradition Dubai: Global bond market sell-off driven by interest rate expectations, U.S. Treasury market functioning normally.
Steven Major, Global Head of Fixed Income Research at HSBC, stated that the global bond sell-off is primarily driven by changes in interest rate expectations, rather than a dysfunction in the U.S. Tre
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Deutsche Bank Report: Global long-term bond yields surged in August, with the US 30-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level since 2007.
Deutsche Bank reported that global long-term government bond yields rose sharply in August, with the US 30-year government bond yield reaching 5.31% on August 17, its highest since 2007. The German 30
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The yield gap between US and Chinese 10-year government bonds is nearing a historical high due to intensified selling of US Treasuries.
The yield gap between US and Chinese 10-year government bonds is nearing a historical high due to intensified selling of US Treasuries.
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U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to 4.797% on Tuesday, Highest Since January 2025
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises to 4.797% on Tuesday, Highest Since January 2025
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Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon: US Faces Dilemma of Accelerating Growth or Cutting Spending, AI Expected to Boost Future Growth
Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon stated on Monday at the G20 Finance Ministers' Meeting that the U.S. economy is currently performing well with strong consumer resilience. However, given c
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U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield Surges to 5.286%, Highest Since August 18, Erasing Treasury Secretary Bessent's Intervention Drop
The 30-year Treasury yield surged as high as 5.286%, marking its highest level since August 18. This rise brings yields near levels seen before U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond-market inte
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Bloomberg: $1 Trillion in Corporate Bonds Show 'Dislocation' With Spreads Doubling Since Year-Start
According to Bloomberg data, the amount of corporate debt trading at spreads unusually wide for its credit rating has more than doubled since the start of the year. This includes approximately $580 bi
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Japanese 30-year bond yield hits historical high, while UK 10-year gilt yield reaches highest since June 2008 and German 10-year bund yield highest since 2011, as US bonds tumble.
Japanese 30-year bond yield hits historical high, while UK 10-year gilt yield reaches highest since June 2008 and German 10-year bund yield highest since 2011, as US bonds tumble.
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has hit its longest streak of elevated levels since 2006, closing above 5% for 55 consecutive trading days as of this Monday.
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield remains under pressure due to a confluence of factors, including persistent high U.S. fiscal deficits, a surge in corporate bond issuance, and rising expectations for F
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Bloomberg analyst Anthony Stephens stated that rising oil prices are pushing up short-term U.S. Treasury yields and strengthening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Bloomberg analyst Anthony Stephens stated that rising oil prices are pushing up short-term U.S. Treasury yields and strengthening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose above 4.76% on Monday ET, reaching a new 20-month high, driven by hawkish comments from Warsh and a rebound in crude oil prices. The probability of a September rate hike climbed to 64%.
U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 5-year yield climbing to its highest level since early 2025. This followed Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's distinctly hawkish remarks at the Jacks
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Analysis indicates that the 30-year US Treasury yield has surged by approximately 10 basis points from its low last Friday, with half of that increase occurring on Monday, now approaching 5.27%. This rise is primarily driven by an increase in real yields, rather than inflation expectations.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned last Friday at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation remains too high, but analysis suggests that long-term inflation expectations have barely changed, and t
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: The Treasury's bond buyback program has impacted market expectations, with the 10-year US Treasury yield trading at 4.73% on Monday.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explained that the Treasury's announcement of an expanded bond buyback program may have already had an effect, as the Treasury has not yet purchased any bonds und
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10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Month High, Challenging Treasury Secretary Bessent's Efforts to Control Long-Term Bond Yields
The 10-year Treasury yield reached a 19-month high on Monday morning, posing a challenge to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's initiatives aimed at asserting control over long-term government bond yie
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Treasury Secretary Bessent Defends U.S. Bond Intervention Against Druckenmiller's Criticism
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent defended his U.S. bond-market intervention after criticism from veteran investor Stanley Druckenmiller. Bessent suggested Druckenmiller "lost money" around the ti
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent: US bond market is the best performing, 30-year yield is down
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: US bond market is the best performing, 30-year yield is down
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Bessent: Don't believe I can change equilibrium price in U.S. bond market
Bessent: Don't believe I can change equilibrium price in U.S. bond market
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US 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.75%, HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2025
US 10-YEAR YIELD RISES TO 4.75%, HIGHEST SINCE JANUARY 2025
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Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok warns that whether AI successfully brings disinflation or fails and triggers risk aversion, U.S. Treasury yields will decline by 2027.
In his latest report on August 31, Torsten Slok pointed out that if AI commercialization succeeds, trillions of dollars in revenue for tech companies will generate a large-scale deflationary effect, p
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Topdown Charts: US equities have outperformed US Treasuries by an average of 15 percentage points annually over the past decade, but warns that stocks appear expensive relative to bonds.
Topdown Charts, an analysis firm, noted that over the past decade, the S&P 500's inflation-adjusted annualized total return was approximately 12%, while U.S. Treasuries yielded about negative 3%. This
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Nikkei Asia Review: Japan should not use foreign exchange reserves to finance food tax cuts, as this could push up US Treasury yields and weaken the yen.
Nikkei Asia Review: Japan should not use foreign exchange reserves to finance food tax cuts, as this could push up US Treasury yields and weaken the yen.
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White warns: US fiscal fundamentals are more fragile than France's, and US Treasuries face a greater test.
Simon White points out that while France's budget crisis is escalating and its sovereign bond spreads are widening, the US's fiscal fundamentals are actually more fragile. Data shows that the US gover
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Wall Street institutions anticipate that the U.S. Treasury Department may shift towards issuing short-term bonds and reducing long-term bonds in its November debt issuance plan, in order to alleviate pressure on long-term yields.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (Scott Bessent) has upended the predictability of the U.S. bond market by adopting a more proactive debt management strategy, including the "Treasury Twist" bond
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The Wall Street Journal: Hedge Funds Fill Void as Pension Funds Exit Treasuries, Becoming an "Uncertain Factor" Monitored by the New York Fed for Potential Risks
The Wall Street Journal: Hedge Funds Fill Void as Pension Funds Exit Treasuries, Becoming an "Uncertain Factor" Monitored by the New York Fed for Potential Risks
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield surpassed the 5% mark on Monday, reaching a new high for 2023.
U.S. Treasuries faced a new round of aggressive selling, with the 10-year yield hitting a high of 5.01%. Steven Barrow, Head of G10 Strategy at Standard Bank, warned that the sell-off is far from over
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WSJ Opinion: U.S. Treasury's Bond Strategy Harms Taxpayers, Citing Flawed Justification for Doubling Long-Term Bond Purchases
WSJ Opinion: U.S. Treasury's Bond Strategy Harms Taxpayers, Citing Flawed Justification for Doubling Long-Term Bond Purchases
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The U.S. dollar saw its largest single-day gain since June as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surpassed 5%.
The dollar rose on Monday, poised for its best single-day performance since June, primarily driven by the U.S. 10-year government bond yield breaking above 5%.
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Yahoo Finance Analysis: Despite 10-year Treasury yields nearing 5%, analysts still favor PepsiCo as a source of passive income.
Analysis indicates that the current 10-year US Treasury yield has reached 4.8%, nearing its multi-year high of 5% in 2023. In comparison, PepsiCo's (NASDAQ: PEP) forward dividend yield is 4.3%. Despit
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MarketWatch Analysis: The 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields have risen by approximately 50 and 45 basis points, respectively, since late June, climbing back to their highest levels since 2007. The bond market is pushing for higher rates, even though Federal Reserve rate hikes may not lower gasoline prices.
MarketWatch analysis indicates that long-term U.S. Treasury yields have risen to their highest levels since 2007, increasing borrowing costs for households, businesses, and the U.S. government.
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The US 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97%, a new high for 2023 and approaching 5%, exacerbating commercial real estate financing risks.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield closed at 4.97% last weekend, rising 19 basis points during the week to reach its highest level since 2023, nearing the high seen in 2007. This trend has once ag
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Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September, October, and December, for a total of three hikes, pushing the federal funds rate to 4.25%-4.5%.
Ian Lyngen, head of US rates strategy at BMO Capital Markets, expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates by 25 basis points this month, followed by additional hikes at the October and December meeting
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U.S. Treasury: The deficit for the first 11 months of fiscal year 2026 reached $1.97 trillion, with net interest expenses exceeding $1 trillion for the first time, and long-term U.S. Treasury yields rising to multi-year highs.
Data released by the U.S. Treasury Department on Friday showed that the federal budget deficit reached $1.97 trillion in the first 11 months of fiscal year 2026 (through August), one of the highest le
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CNBC analyst Mike Khouw: Long-term U.S. Treasury yields have surpassed their 2023 highs, and the options market is betting on a decline in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT).
CNBC analyst Mike Khouw noted that the 30-year U.S. government bond yield has clearly surpassed its 2023 high in recent weeks, rising another 7.6 basis points on September 11. As a result, options tra
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Yahoo Finance Analysis: The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has fallen 4.35% year-to-date, while the iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF (SGOV) has risen 2.53%.
Yahoo Finance analysis indicates that while both hold U.S. Treasuries, TLT has fallen 4.35% year-to-date, whereas SGOV has risen 2.53%, due to differences in duration. TLT holds U.S. Treasury bonds wi
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Wallstreetcn: US Treasury Yields Approach 5%, Rising Oil Prices and VIX Spike Signal a "Nightmare Scenario" Gradually Becoming Reality
Wallstreetcn analysis indicates that the US bond market is flashing continuous warnings, with the 10-year Treasury yield approaching the critical 5% mark. Rising oil prices are fueling inflation expec
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Japan’s bond yields rise as oil concerns fuel global selloff
Japan’s government bonds slumped on Friday, tracking a selloff in the US bond market after escalating Middle East tensions drove up oil prices.
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Multiple negative factors have triggered a "stock and bond sell-off" in the US financial market: soaring oil prices, US Treasury Secretary's buyback falling short of expectations, and Donald Trump's trillion-dollar "money-printing" promise have collectively led to a sharp rise across the board in US Treasury yields, with the 30-year yield hitting a 19-year high of 5.37%, while the stock market simultaneously declined.
On Thursday, the U.S. financial markets experienced a rare shock as multiple negative factors converged, leading to a sharp rise across the board in Treasury yields. The 30-year Treasury yield jumped
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Jim Cramer says the 30-year Treasury yield, climbing to roughly 5.3%, is the key force driving stocks right now
CNBC's Jim Cramer said on Thursday that investors should pay close attention to the 30-year Treasury yield, which has climbed to roughly 5.3%, as it is the key force currently driving stocks. He expla
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The yield on 30-year US municipal bonds surged 14 basis points to 4.89% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since February 2011, driven by a sell-off in US Treasuries and a surge in supply.
The U.S. municipal bond market is experiencing a significant sell-off, driven by persistently rising Treasury yields and a surge in U.S. state and local government bond issuance. According to Bloomber
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Large options trades have been observed in the US Treasury market, with investors paying $14 million in premiums to bet on the 10-year yield breaking above 5%.
According to Bloomberg, a notable options trade emerged in the US Treasury market on Thursday, betting that the 10-year US government bond yield will break above the 5% threshold. The transaction invo
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The U.S. Treasury's $6 billion long-bond buyback concluded on Thursday, with the scale below expectations. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly rose to 4.94%, a new high since October 2023.
On Thursday, September 10, Eastern Time, the U.S. Treasury confirmed that the maximum size of its long-term bond buyback operation for the day was $6 billion. Although this amount was three times larg
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The U.S. 2-year government bond yield rose 10 basis points to 4.53% today.
The U.S. 2-year government bond yield rose 10 basis points to 4.53% today.
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US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
US Bond Yields Extend Climb to Fresh Multiyear Highs as Oil Advance Stokes Rate-Hike Bets for Fed Hike as Soon as Next Week
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by approximately 8 basis points today, now at 4.92%.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by approximately 8 basis points today, now at 4.92%.
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China-US 10-Year Yield Gap Widens to Largest on Record
The yield gap between Chinese and US 10-year sovereign bonds widened to its largest level on record following a surge in Treasury yields, raising the threat of accelerated capital outflows and a weake
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The Japanese Yen strengthened after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned against shorting the currency, but his expansion of US Treasury buybacks to $6 billion failed to prevent the 10-year US Treasury yield from rising to 4.836%, a new high since October 2023.
The U.S. Treasury Department announced on Wednesday (September 9) that it would raise the single-transaction long-term Treasury buyback limit to $6 billion, tripling the original size planned for last
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The U.S. Treasury expanded its buyback cap to $6 billion, but this failed to curb the sell-off, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hitting a three-year high and auction yields reaching a record high.
The U.S. Treasury announced on Wednesday that it would increase the single-transaction limit for long-term Treasury buybacks to $6 billion, tripling the original scale set last month. However, this fa
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U.S. Treasuries
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