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Polymarket
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A smart money address purchased $820,000 worth of bets on the Knicks defeating the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 3
Monitoring by Svmuu Seer shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Finals Game 3: Spurs vs. Knicks" prediction event, a smart money address (0xbddf61af533ff524d27154e589d2d7a81510c684) that made over $4.3 mil
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Polymarket: Probability of Mbappé Winning 2026 World Cup Golden Boot Stands at 18%, Ranking First
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of Mbappé winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot is currently reported at 18%, ranking first. The probability of Kane w
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Gate Predictions Market Launches World Cup Zone, with Match Calendar and Reminder Features Now Available
SvmuuNews Gate Predictions Market has officially launched a World Cup zone. Centered around the globally anticipated World Cup, it integrates three core sections: match schedule, standings, and event
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Svmuu Noon News
1. "New Stock God" Serenity Calls Again for Harmonic Drive: Stock price still severely undervalued, but I cannot predict short-term fluctuations; 2. Arthur Hayes: Did not repurchase HYPE; 3. Bitwise C
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Polymarket's total historical fee revenue has exceeded $83 million, with cumulative profits reaching approximately $54.43 million
According to Defillama data, Polymarket's total historical fee revenue has exceeded $83 million, and after deducting liquidity subsidy expenditures, its cumulative profits amount to approximately $54.
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A smart money address purchased $150,000 worth of Spurs over Knicks for NBA Finals Game 2
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Finals G2 Spurs vs. Knicks" prediction event, a smart money address (0x93abbc022ce98d6f45d4444b594791cc4b7a9723), which earned over $1.6 million
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Polymarket Exposed for Paying Influencers at Least $350,000 to Promote Its Prediction Market, with Some Content Not Disclosing Commercial Partnerships
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Polymarket's Chief Marketing Officer, Matthew Modabber, was reportedly found to have paid content creators at least $350,000 through his personal PayPal account
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South Korean police are investigating local Polymarket users for illegal gambling
Svmuu News: South Korean police are investigating local users of the prediction market platform Polymarket on suspicion of illegal gambling. Polymarket is classified as private gambling in South Korea
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New address purchases $7,500 on Biden's son becoming 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, probability surges 3x
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a new address on Polymarket bought $7,500 on Hunter Biden becoming the 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, with an average purchase price of 0.7¢. Possibly
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Polymarket's "HYPE will rise to $80 this year" probability drops to 65%, down 17% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket's "HYPE will rise to $80 this year" probability has dropped to 65%, down 17% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of "HYPE will fall t
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A wallet believed to be linked to Arca suffered a $100,000 loss on Polymarket
Svmuu reported that according to Arkham monitoring, this morning, a wallet suspected to be associated with Arca lost $100,000 on Polymarket. This Polymarket wallet had received deposits from an Arca w
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Polymarket new market: "Who will attend the White House UFC 250 Gala"
Monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "Who will attend the White House UFC 250 Gala (UFC Freedom 250)". The UFC 250 Freedom Gala, dubbed "UFC
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Polymarket's "o1.exchange will TGE before June 30" probability rises to 90%, up 29% in 24H
The Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitors that Polymarket's "o1.exchange will TGE before June 30" event probability has risen to 90%, a 29% increase in 24 hours. This morning, o1.exchange founder Jerry
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Polymarket's "Anthropic to IPO before September 30" probability drops to 30%, down 37% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Anthropic to IPO before September 30" on Polymarket has dropped to 30%, a 24-hour decline of 37%. Additionally, the probability of
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Polymarket Finalizes "Strategy Sold BTC in May" Outcome as No
Monitoring from the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that, despite market rumors suggesting Strategy had sold its BTC holdings, and without any official statement, the outcome of the prediction market "Strate
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A smart money address purchased over $810,000 on Flavio Cobolli defeating Zachary Svajda in the 4th Round of the 2026 French Open Men's Singles
Monitoring by Svmuu Seer shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "2026 French Open Men's Singles 4th Round - Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda", a smart money address (0xf8831548531d56ad6a433149
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Polymarket Executive: Perpetual Contract Testing Launched, No New Testers for Now
Svmuu reported that Josh, Vice President of DeFi Engineering at prediction market Polymarket, posted on platform X, stating that the perpetual contract testing on the platform has been opened. Users a
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Polymarket Actively Reported Both Insider Trading Cases in Prediction Markets
SvmuuNews: The US Department of Justice recently prosecuted Google software engineer Michele Spagnuolo, accusing him of using confidential internal Google information to trade on Polymarket's predicti
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Polymarket may launch a streak prediction feature
Svmuu reported that according to community user @Caneleo55, the Polymarket deployer wallet has deployed multiple contracts, and may launch a streak prediction (where all matches must be predicted corr
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, and Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, just 3 basis points shy of the 5% threshold, while the 30-year Treasury yield hovered at 5.35%. Brent crude prices climbed to $107 per barrel,
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Prediction markets are becoming more professionalized, making it harder for traders to profit, experts say
Experts note that the institutionalization of prediction markets is eroding the edge of skilled traders. According to an academic paper analyzing $13.76 billion in Polymarket trades, roughly 27% of do
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A Cluster of Polymarket Accounts Won ~$22,000 on Companies Audited by KPMG, Per Bubblemaps Analysis
A mysterious Polymarket user earned approximately $22,000 through a series of nearly perfect bets on the quarterly earnings of 18 companies audited by KPMG, including Wells Fargo, Home Depot, and Door
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Polymarket, a crypto prediction market, has appointed Warren Jenson, former Amazon CFO, as its first Chief Financial Officer.
Polymarket announced the appointment of veteran executive Warren Jenson as its first Chief Financial Officer. Jenson previously served as CFO at Amazon and currently sits on the boards of companies su
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Adobe reports Q3 earnings after market close, with prediction markets betting on CEO Narayen's key phrases
Polymarket traders give Adobe roughly a 92% chance of beating the market's $6.08 non-GAAP EPS benchmark. On Kalshi, traders are betting on specific words CEO Shantanu Narayen and his team will say on
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Anthropic's IPO is still most likely to occur in October, with Polymarket data indicating a delay in the roadshow.
Polymarket data indicates that Anthropic's IPO is most likely to occur in October, with an implied probability of 63%, despite reports of a delayed roadshow. The roadshow is not expected to begin befo
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Micron (MU) stock surged 256% in 2026, with analysts raising consensus target to $1,513 and FY2027 EPS estimates from $103 to $155.
Micron Technology's stock closed Friday at $1,016.59, driven by record DRAM pricing and AI datacenter memory demand. The company reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $41.46 billion, up 345.7% year-over-
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UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
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LeBron James teases Polymarket partnership in new social media video, six weeks after his free agency decision generated $273 million in prediction market volume
Philadelphia 76ers forward LeBron James posted a 14-second video on X and Instagram showing him entering a stylized Polymarket office with the caption "Welcome to Polymarket HQ. Coming soon," and "In
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Prediction market Polymarket launches cryptocurrency perpetual contracts, offering 20x leverage.
Prediction market Polymarket has launched perpetual futures contracts covering 10 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, offering investors up to 20x leverage. Users can open long or short
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Polymarket Launches Perpetual Oil Futures in 24/7 Trading Push
The move sees Polymarket stepping into a market that rival Kalshi Inc. is also seeking to enter, as trading venues compete to offer round-the-clock access to the commodity.
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Donald Trump's son's co-owned fund, 1789 Capital, led Polymarket's $1 billion funding round, valuing the latter at $21 billion.
1789 Capital, a venture capital fund co-founded by Donald Trump's son, is leading a funding round of approximately $1 billion for prediction market platform Polymarket, with the fund contributing arou
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Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to about $21 billion.
Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to ab
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Anthropic IPO Process Accelerates: Plans to Allow Early Shareholders to Cash Out and Extend Lock-up Period; Prospectus Expected After US Labor Day on September 7, with Listing as Early as Late September
AI startup Anthropic is considering allowing existing shareholders to sell some shares in its IPO, while also exploring a lock-up period exceeding 180 days to balance the monetization needs of early i
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Donald Trump Jr. advised Republican state attorneys general not to fight prediction markets, NYT reports
The New York Times reported on Thursday that Donald Trump Jr., an advisor to two major prediction market platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket), told Republican attorneys general in March to back off the i
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Ahead of NVIDIA's earnings report, prediction market traders are betting on the company to beat earnings expectations, with a 97% probability of success.
Traders on the online prediction market Polymarket believe there’s a 97% chance NVIDIA will beat Wall Street’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expectations when it reports earnings after market clos
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Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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Analysts believe Salesforce (CRM) stock is poised for a rally after its earnings release on August 26, driven by strong AI business growth and Polymarket's prediction of a 91% probability of an earnings beat.
Analysis indicates that Salesforce (CRM) stock performs well ahead of its Q2 FY2027 earnings report on August 26, citing reasons such as its Agentforce annual recurring revenue (ARR) surpassing $1 bil
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Prediction markets show Anthropic is poised to surpass Elon Musk's SpaceX as the largest IPO in 2026.
According to Polymarket data, prediction markets show that AI company Anthropic is rapidly closing the gap with SpaceX, with the potential to become the largest initial public offering (IPO) of 2026 a
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Polymarket
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