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Polymarket
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$310,000 profit in one week; purchased for $240,000; no wins in Austrian regular-season games
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Round of 16: Spain vs. Austria,” an address that had earned $310,000 in one week purchased $240,000 worth
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $112,000 bet on Spain to win the World Cup Round of 16 match.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Spain vs. Austria,” smart money generated total profits of nearly $163,000 (Address: 0x
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Investigative Reporter: Polymarket’s Official Startup Narrative Is False; It Has Deep Ties to Peter Thiel and Israeli Interests
Svmuu News: Investigative journalist Whitney Webb has published a series of investigative articles on Polymarket’s origins and growth ambitions, casting doubt on the company’s official founding narrat
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After losing over $3 million, a top contrarian trader bought $180,000 worth of Senegal shares, which failed to win during regular time.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Round of 16: Belgium vs. Senegal,” the address 0x224a89db28ac7a407d9c634a6e4c426c428c242f purchased 180,0
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Newly established in 9 days with $620,000 in profits; "smart money" buys $280,000; Bosnia and Herzegovina takes the 1.5-goal handicap against the U.S.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket “World Cup Round of 16: USA vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina” handicap prediction event, the account hot2trot (address: 0xb61b2079b95f6b747
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Svmuu Noon News
1. CRCL has been removed from several Russell growth indices, including the Russell 1000 and Russell 3000; 2. dYdX may be set to launch a new product; its token price rose by over 35% at one point; 3.
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On Polymarket, the probability of "James staying with the team" has dropped to 1%; the Warriors, Cavaliers, and Heat are the top contenders to sign him
According to monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool, in the multiple-choice prediction event on Polymarket titled “Which team will LeBron James play for next season?”, the probability of
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $145,000 bet that France would not win in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: France vs. Sweden,” the account BreakTheBank (address: 0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $450,000 bet that Norway would not win in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to monitoring data from the PPP prediction market tool, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Norway vs. Ivory Coast,” the account “lighthousefamily” (address: 0x98
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$6.2 million in profits in 5 days; a certain address achieved a 93% win rate on Polymarket’s World Cup trading
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain’s monitoring, an address created a new wallet five days ago and deposited $1.5 million into Polymarket, after which it began trading on World Cup matches. Currentl
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The U.S. CFTC has launched a broad investigation into Polymarket, covering social media activities and fictitious trades
Svmuu News: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is conducting a broad investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, covering various aspects of its business, including
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $116,000 bet on the Netherlands to defeat Morocco in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Netherlands vs. Morocco,” total profits exceeded $229,000 from “smart money” (Address:
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A "smart money" investor bet $160,000 that Brazil would not win in the World Cup Round of 16.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Round of 16: Brazil vs. Japan,” the account ChinesePro (address: 0x37e053beabee77acc15e641dfe8e395b2
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Prizes totaling up to $2 million! Polymarket Launches “World Cup Knockout Stage Perfect Prediction Contest” in Select U.S. Regions
Svmuu News: Polymarket has officially announced the launch of the “World Cup Knockout Stage Perfect Prediction Contest,” with a total prize pool of $2 million. This contest is open to legal residents
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A "smart money" investor bet $106,000 that France would win the World Cup
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in Polymarket’s “2026 World Cup Winner” prediction event, the probability of winning is 48% Smart money (address: 0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226ecc
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U.S. Senator Urges CFTC to Investigate Polymarket for Fraudulent Marketing
Svmuu News: On Thursday, Republican Senator John Curtis and Democratic Senator Adam Schiff sent a letter to Mike Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, urging the agency to
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Zuckerberg: Instructs Meta to Explore Partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi
Svmuu News: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has urged his team to explore partnerships with prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi. Meanwhile, Meta is developing a prediction market-style app called Arena.
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Several U.S. lawmakers have called for an investigation into Polymarket over allegations of misleading advertising
Svmuu News: Several U.S. lawmakers have called for an investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, citing allegations that its advertising may contain misleading content. According to
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $178,000 bet that France will defeat Norway in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Group Stage, Group I, Matchday 3: France vs. Norway,” smart money generated profits exceeding $14.
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"Smart Money" Bets on the World Cup: U.S. Fails to Beat Turkey, Profits Exceed $1.3 Million
According to the PPP prediction market tool, the result of the prediction event on Polymarket for the “World Cup Group D Final Match: USA vs. Turkey,” which began at 10:00 a.m. this morning, has been
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A "smart money" investor bet $650,000 on Germany to defeat Ecuador in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group E, Matchday 3: Germany vs. Ecuador,” the account “surfandturf” (address: 0x9f2
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Polymarket has added a new question: “What provisions will the U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement, to be reached by December 31, 2026, include?”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, Polymarket has added a new prediction event titled “What provisions will be included in a U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement by December 31, 2026
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World Cup Sparks Prediction Markets: Polymarket Sees 300% Increase in Trading Volume; Kalshi Hits Record $1.16 Billion in Open Interest
Svmuu News: In the ten days leading up to the World Cup, trading volume in Polymarket’s soccer category exceeded $2 billion, a 300% increase compared to the previous ten days, with average daily tradi
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A "smart money" investor bought $100,000 worth of bets on Japan failing to defeat Sweden in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for the “World Cup Group F final match between Japan and Sweden,” accounts with total profits exceeding $11.48 mil
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Polymarket Resumes Trading and Announces Payout Plan: Users with Losses Under $10,000 Will Be Automatically Refunded by October 30
Polymarket announced it has fully restored trading and removed the compromised third-party vendor. Affected wallets have been identified on-chain, and users with losses under $10,000 will automaticall
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Polymarket launches 15-minute gold and silver betting in partnership with Chainlink
Polymarket has launched 15-minute gold and silver betting in partnership with Chainlink. These contracts use opening and closing spot prices, with U.S. participants paying approximately $1.74 per 100
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Senators Warren and Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election Trading Safeguards
Senators Elizabeth Warren and Katie Britt have pressed prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket for information on their election trading safeguards. The senators have set a November 3 deadli
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Bubblemaps tracked a Polymarket exploit that led to $2.7 million in outflows. The platform's trading has resumed, and it has pledged full compensation.
Blockchain analytics firm Bubblemaps has tracked $2.7 million in outflows from prediction market Polymarket following a previous security vulnerability incident. Polymarket's platform trading has now
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Prediction market Polymarket suffered a large-scale hack, with nearly 1,000 accounts compromised and over $2.6 million stolen.
Prediction market Polymarket has suffered a major security breach, with nearly 1,000 accounts compromised and over $2.6 million lost. Blockchain analyst Conor Grogan disclosed that a total of 995 acco
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Polymarket International Platform Suspends Trading Due to Third-Party Provider Hack
Prediction market platform Polymarket stated that its international platform is currently experiencing an outage due to a hack at an unnamed third-party provider. Traders first reported unauthorized w
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Binance founder CZ comments on Polymarket attack, stating it appears to be a front-end injection attack
Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) commented on the Polymarket security incident, stating that it appears to be a front-end injection attack that injects incorrect transactions but shows a valid tran
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Polymarket confirmed that a third-party provider was compromised, has suspended trading, and pledged full refunds. The alleged attacker's wallet holds approximately $2.65 million in POL.
Polymarket confirmed that a third-party provider was compromised, has suspended trading, and pledged full refunds. The alleged attacker's wallet holds approximately $2.65 million in POL.
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Polymarket has suspended trading and interrupted its relay service after a trader reported an $800,000 account theft.
Polymarket has suspended trading and interrupted its relay service after a trader reported an $800,000 account theft.
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Polymarket confirmed that user funds were stolen due to a compromise of a third-party service provider, and has suspended trading and referred the matter to law enforcement, pledging full compensation.
Wu Blockchain reports that multiple Polymarket users have reported unauthorized fund transfers, with losses totaling hundreds of thousands of dollars. Polymarket stated it has identified and fixed the
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Polymarket Launches Ultra-Short-Term Crypto Prediction Markets on US Platform Amid CFTC Compliance Review
Polymarket has launched new Up/Down ultra-short-term crypto contracts on its U.S. platform. This move comes as the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) reviews Polymarket's compliance with
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Polymarket is investigating suspicious trades in the Israeli elections, raising concerns about potential insider trading in prediction markets.
Polymarket is investigating suspicious trades in the Israeli elections, raising concerns about potential insider trading in prediction markets.
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Polymarket generated $14 billion in trading volume from sports betting in the US within 30 days, while facing CFTC scrutiny.
According to DeFi Rate data, prediction market Polymarket's US platform recorded approximately $13.7 billion in notional trading volume in the 30 days ending October 26, with sports betting accounting
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Polymarket has added five-minute crypto contracts to its U.S. application, covering BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. These contracts are settled using CF Benchmarks prices and incur separate taker fees.
Polymarket has added five-minute crypto contracts to its U.S. application, covering BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. These contracts are settled using CF Benchmarks prices and incur separate taker fees.
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CFTC Investigates Polymarket for Alleged Violation of Settlement Agreement
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating whether Polymarket violated its 2022 settlement agreement by failing to adequately block U.S. users from accessing its offshore pl
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NEXTPredict conference discusses prediction market expansion and applications
The NEXTPredict conference, held in New York from October 22nd to 23rd, brought together major prediction market exchanges, trading firms, and policymakers. JB Mackenzie, Vice President at Robinhood,
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Polymarket investigated dozens of midterm-election bets for possible insider trading and manipulation
Shana Bautista, Head of Global Intelligence and Investigations at prediction market platform Polymarket, told NPR that the company has investigated dozens of midterm election market bets involving pot
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Decrypt reported that experts pointed out that prediction markets severely misjudged the outcome of the Brazilian presidential election
Decrypt reported that experts pointed out that prediction markets severely misjudged the outcome of the Brazilian presidential election. Polymarket predicted Lula's chances of winning were only 20% be
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The National Basketball Association (NBA) has secured a prediction markets agreement with the U.S. derivatives regulator
The National Basketball Association (NBA) has secured a prediction markets agreement with the U.S. derivatives regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and partnered with leading fi
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The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received the same preferred designation.
The NBA has designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges. This agreement will provide Kalshi with official league data and NBA branding, while Polymarket has also received
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Bitcoin price bets drive record $2.7 billion weekly trading volume on crypto prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket
Weekly notional trading volume for crypto-related contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket reached a record $2.7 billion last week, Bloomberg reported, citing Dune Analytics data. This surge was primarily d
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, has fired its Head of Marketing, Matthew Modabber, according to the New York Post.
Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, has fired its Chief Marketing Officer, Matthew Modabber, according to the New York Post. Modabber is also a close friend of the company's CEO, S
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CFTC Accuses Polymarket of Insider Trading: $1.2 Million in Illegal Gains Reveals Regulatory Storm in Prediction Markets
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has recently taken multiple enforcement actions against the prediction market platform Polymarket and its users. Following a fine imposed on Polymarket in 2022, the CFTC and the U.S. Department of Justice filed lawsuits against two individuals in 2026, accusing them of illegally profiting approximately $1.2 million and over $400,000, respectively, by trading event contracts on Polymarket using insider information. These cases, coupled with the CFTC's re-examination of Polymarket's compliance this month, highlight regulators' growing concern over insider trading and platform compliance in prediction markets, signaling stricter legal scrutiny for the sector.
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2026 World Cup Review: How Polymarket Prediction Data Reflected Market Expectations and Outcomes
The 2026 FIFA World Cup concluded on July 19, with Spain ultimately claiming the championship. On Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market, the "World Cup Winner" event saw trading volume exceed $4.3 billion, making it the largest single sports event. Before the tournament, France and Spain were favorites, but on the eve of the final, Polymarket data showed Spain's probability of winning surged to 58%, which ultimately aligned with the outcome. This article will review how Polymarket data revealed the market's collective expectations for the event.
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Prediction Market Trading Platforms: An Overview of Four Core Platforms
Prediction market platforms allow users to bet on or trade the outcomes of future events, aggregating collective intelligence to forecast trends. This article will delve into four core platforms: Kalshi, regulated by the U.S. CFTC; Polymarket, a crypto-native platform based on Polygon; Augur, a decentralized pioneer on Ethereum; and Zeitgeist, which employs a Futarchy governance model within the Kusama ecosystem. We will analyze their operational models, regulatory compliance, technical characteristics, and current development status to help readers understand the diverse landscape of this emerging field.
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Polymarket Prediction Market Plagued by Insider Trading: Regulatory Challenges Highlighted by Maduro Ousting Bets
Crypto prediction market Polymarket has recently drawn significant attention due to multiple insider trading allegations. In one instance, a U.S. Army sergeant allegedly used classified military operation information to accurately bet on the ousting of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, profiting over $400,000. This has led to criminal and civil lawsuits from the U.S. Department of Justice and the CFTC. Additionally, the platform has been involved in several other cases of trading based on internal information, highlighting the regulatory gaps and integrity challenges faced by prediction markets in their rapid development.
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Polymarket vs. Kalshi Valuation Showdown: An In-depth Analysis of Prediction Market Platform Investment Value
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi are competing in the rapidly evolving event contracts sector. Polymarket is seeking a $21 billion valuation, while Kalshi is targeting $40 billion. This article will provide a comprehensive comparison of their valuations, regulatory compliance, market share, trading volume, revenue models, and potential risks, offering readers a complete perspective to explore which holds greater investment potential in the current market environment.
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Polymarket
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