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Polymarket
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Smart Money Bets $390,000 on a French Win in Regular Time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup semifinal prediction event for France vs. Spain, the address RJW1—which had a total profit of $1.7 million—purchased $390,0
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Some idiot bet $550,000 on France advancing to the World Cup final
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Semifinal: France vs. Spain,” total losses exceeded $7.4 million. The account “mooseborzoi” (address
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Gate Prediction Market Launches Real-Time Price Movement Alerts to Help Users Efficiently Track Capital Flows
Svmuu News: The Gate Prediction Market has officially launched a real-time market anomaly alert feature. By monitoring large-volume buy and sell transactions in real time, this feature helps users qui
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BLG failed to win the League of Legends MSI Mid-Season Invitational championship, and the Polymarket bet on whether “BLG would achieve the ‘Golden Path’ (Grand Slam)” settled as “No.”
According to data from the PPP prediction market tool, the League of Legends MSI (Mid-Season Invitational) World Championship has officially concluded. In the final, BLG suffered a narrow 2–3 loss to
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Polymarket's revenue exceeded $11 million this week, setting a new record high
Svmuu reports that Polymarket's revenue this week has exceeded $11 million, setting a new record, with the protocol's cumulative revenue now surpassing $97 million.
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$1.9 million profit in one week; bet $260,000 on Argentina vs. Switzerland with total goals over 1.5
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup quarterfinal event predicting the total goals in the Argentina vs. Switzerland match, “smart money” that had made a profit
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$2.3 million profit in one week; spent $380,000 on bets; Norway has not won in regular time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup quarterfinal prediction event for Norway vs. England, the address “swisstony”—which had made $2.3 million in profits over 7
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A "smart money" bettor placed a $146,000 bet on HLE to defeat LYON in the League of Legends MSI Losers' Bracket Final.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “MSI Losers’ Bracket Final: HLE vs. LYON,” the “smart money” account ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD made a profit of over
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$980,000 in profits in one week; $330,000 spent on bets; Spain has yet to win in regulation time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup quarterfinal prediction event for Spain vs. Belgium, the address “BreakTheBank”—which had earned $980,000 over 7 days—purch
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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Some idiot bet $387,000 that Spain will beat Belgium in the World Cup quarterfinals.
According to PPP prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Quarterfinals: Spain vs. Belgium,” a “fool’s money” account that lost nearly $630,000 (address: 0x5b4e
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Transaction fees for order execution on predict.fun are now consistently lower than those on Polymarket
Svmuu News: Data shows that in the cryptocurrency and sports sectors, predict.fun’s order-taking fees are now consistently lower than those of Polymarket. Specifically, in the price range below 50¢, p
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Total 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket’s Perp section reached $48.43 million
Svmuu News: According to official data from Polymarket, the total trading volume in the Perp segment reached $48.43 million on its first day of launch; the top three pairs by trading volume were ETH-U
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North Carolina will impose a 6% tax on prediction markets, acknowledging the CFTC’s federal regulatory authority
Svmuu News: The budget bill signed into law in North Carolina takes a different regulatory approach to prediction markets. Effective January 1, 2027, the state will impose a 6% tax on net transaction
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Polymarket is seeking a U.S. margin trading license, which could allow users to place bets with less upfront capital
Svmuu News: Prediction market platform Polymarket is seeking U.S. regulatory approval to offer margin trading, which would allow users to place bets with less upfront capital. Through its affiliate, C
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On Polymarket, the probability that Anthropic will reach a year-end valuation of $1.5 trillion has risen to 78%, with the price up 47% over the past 24 hours.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, data from the “Anthropic’s Highest Valuation This Year” prediction event on Polymarket shows that the probability of Anthropic reaching a valuation of
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Made $400,000 in a week; used $220,000 to buy in; Morocco failed to win during regular time
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket World Cup quarterfinal prediction event for France vs. Morocco, “pingan123”—a “smart money” player who made $400,000 in 7 days—purcha
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Iranian media: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has launched super-heavy missiles targeting U.S. bases in Arab countries in the Persian Gulf; 2. Research firm: Global semiconductor device industry r
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A "smart money" investor bought $336,000 worth of BLG to beat HLE
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “League of Legends MSI Winners’ Bracket Final: HLE vs. BLG,” the “smart money” account Eztennis (address: 0x4be1fa92
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With profits exceeding $430,000, "smart money" bought $72,000 worth of HLE, which defeated BLG
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “League of Legends MSI Winners’ Bracket Final: HLE vs. BLG,” a “smart money” account (address: 0xef27152015c5313daf4
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Polymarket has launched its Perp trading feature, supporting select crypto and stock assets with up to 20x leverage
Svmuu News: According to the official interface, Polymarket has launched Perp trading, currently supporting 10 assets, including BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE, as well as gold, silver, SP500, NAS100, WTIOIL, an
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A "smart money" investor bought approximately $370,000 worth of bets on France to defeat Morocco in the World Cup quarterfinals.
According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Quarterfinals: France vs. Morocco,” a “smart money” account that generated over $870,000 in profits
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After making a profit of $1.22 million on a single bet, an address exited the market after creating a new wallet on Polymarket
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain’s monitoring, a certain address placed just one bet on Polymarket after creating a new wallet, made a profit of $1.22 million, and then cashed out.
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Polymarket: The probability that “WTI crude oil will rise to $80 in July 2026” stands at 47%; the price has risen 28% over the past 24 hours
According to PPP prediction market tools, the probability that “WTI crude oil will rise to $80 in July 2026” on Polymarket has reached 47%, up 28% in the past 24 hours. Donald TrumpToday, it was repor
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The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, and Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.97% on Monday, just 3 basis points shy of the 5% threshold, while the 30-year Treasury yield hovered at 5.35%. Brent crude prices climbed to $107 per barrel,
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Prediction markets are becoming more professionalized, making it harder for traders to profit, experts say
Experts note that the institutionalization of prediction markets is eroding the edge of skilled traders. According to an academic paper analyzing $13.76 billion in Polymarket trades, roughly 27% of do
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A Cluster of Polymarket Accounts Won ~$22,000 on Companies Audited by KPMG, Per Bubblemaps Analysis
A mysterious Polymarket user earned approximately $22,000 through a series of nearly perfect bets on the quarterly earnings of 18 companies audited by KPMG, including Wells Fargo, Home Depot, and Door
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Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
Europe’s top regulator ESMA questions Polymarket and Kalshi’s EU access, warning event contracts may fall under binary-options bans, MiCA or gambling laws
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Polymarket, a crypto prediction market, has appointed Warren Jenson, former Amazon CFO, as its first Chief Financial Officer.
Polymarket announced the appointment of veteran executive Warren Jenson as its first Chief Financial Officer. Jenson previously served as CFO at Amazon and currently sits on the boards of companies su
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Adobe reports Q3 earnings after market close, with prediction markets betting on CEO Narayen's key phrases
Polymarket traders give Adobe roughly a 92% chance of beating the market's $6.08 non-GAAP EPS benchmark. On Kalshi, traders are betting on specific words CEO Shantanu Narayen and his team will say on
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Anthropic's IPO is still most likely to occur in October, with Polymarket data indicating a delay in the roadshow.
Polymarket data indicates that Anthropic's IPO is most likely to occur in October, with an implied probability of 63%, despite reports of a delayed roadshow. The roadshow is not expected to begin befo
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Micron (MU) stock surged 256% in 2026, with analysts raising consensus target to $1,513 and FY2027 EPS estimates from $103 to $155.
Micron Technology's stock closed Friday at $1,016.59, driven by record DRAM pricing and AI datacenter memory demand. The company reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $41.46 billion, up 345.7% year-over-
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UK regulator FCA weighs easing ban on financial prediction markets, reportedly held talks with trading platforms as Britons turn to Polymarket and Kalshi
The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is reportedly considering easing its ban on financial prediction markets. The regulator held talks with trading platforms, as British citizens have increasin
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LeBron James teases Polymarket partnership in new social media video, six weeks after his free agency decision generated $273 million in prediction market volume
Philadelphia 76ers forward LeBron James posted a 14-second video on X and Instagram showing him entering a stylized Polymarket office with the caption "Welcome to Polymarket HQ. Coming soon," and "In
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Prediction market Polymarket launches cryptocurrency perpetual contracts, offering 20x leverage.
Prediction market Polymarket has launched perpetual futures contracts covering 10 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, offering investors up to 20x leverage. Users can open long or short
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Polymarket Launches Perpetual Oil Futures in 24/7 Trading Push
The move sees Polymarket stepping into a market that rival Kalshi Inc. is also seeking to enter, as trading venues compete to offer round-the-clock access to the commodity.
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Kalshi and Polymarket’s combined volume falls 15% in August to $45.33 billion, marking first monthly decline in a year
The combined monthly volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US fell 14.5% in August to $45.33 billion, marking the first decline since August 2025. Specifically, Kalshi recorded $37.17 billion in
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Donald Trump's son's co-owned fund, 1789 Capital, led Polymarket's $1 billion funding round, valuing the latter at $21 billion.
1789 Capital, a venture capital fund co-founded by Donald Trump's son, is leading a funding round of approximately $1 billion for prediction market platform Polymarket, with the fund contributing arou
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Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to about $21 billion.
Donald Trump Jr.'s fund, 1789 Capital, has made an additional investment of approximately $300 million into the prediction market Polymarket. This funding round will bring Polymarket's valuation to ab
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Anthropic IPO Process Accelerates: Plans to Allow Early Shareholders to Cash Out and Extend Lock-up Period; Prospectus Expected After US Labor Day on September 7, with Listing as Early as Late September
AI startup Anthropic is considering allowing existing shareholders to sell some shares in its IPO, while also exploring a lock-up period exceeding 180 days to balance the monetization needs of early i
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Donald Trump Jr. advised Republican state attorneys general not to fight prediction markets, NYT reports
The New York Times reported on Thursday that Donald Trump Jr., an advisor to two major prediction market platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket), told Republican attorneys general in March to back off the i
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Ahead of NVIDIA's earnings report, prediction market traders are betting on the company to beat earnings expectations, with a 97% probability of success.
Traders on the online prediction market Polymarket believe there’s a 97% chance NVIDIA will beat Wall Street’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) expectations when it reports earnings after market clos
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Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
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Prediction markets doubt Treasury Secretary Bessent's bond interventions, see 10-year yield hitting new highs in 2026
Prediction market traders on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are skeptical that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond interventions will significantly lower yields. Speculators on Kalshi see a
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Analysts believe Salesforce (CRM) stock is poised for a rally after its earnings release on August 26, driven by strong AI business growth and Polymarket's prediction of a 91% probability of an earnings beat.
Analysis indicates that Salesforce (CRM) stock performs well ahead of its Q2 FY2027 earnings report on August 26, citing reasons such as its Agentforce annual recurring revenue (ARR) surpassing $1 bil
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Prediction markets show Anthropic is poised to surpass Elon Musk's SpaceX as the largest IPO in 2026.
According to Polymarket data, prediction markets show that AI company Anthropic is rapidly closing the gap with SpaceX, with the potential to become the largest initial public offering (IPO) of 2026 a
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Polymarket Once Reached a Weekly Trading Volume Milestone of $2.1 Billion: Exploring Its Rise as the World's Largest Blockchain Prediction Market
Decentralized prediction market Polymarket set a new record in March 2026 with over $2.1 billion in weekly trading volume, solidifying its position as the world's largest blockchain prediction market. Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, the platform operates on the Polygon network and uses USDC for transactions. Polymarket successfully operates compliantly in the United States by acquiring a CFTC-licensed entity and obtaining a "no-action" letter. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and insider trading concerns, Polymarket has attracted prominent investors such as Intercontinental Exchange and established partnerships with X (Twitter) and Blockchain.com, continuously expanding its market influence.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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