The U.S. Economy

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Yardeni Research views September stock weakness as a buying opportunity ahead of year-end rally, citing normalizing bond yields and resilient U.S. economic data.
Yardeni Research believes September's reputation as the weakest month for stocks could create an attractive buying opportunity, anticipating a year-end rally. The firm acknowledges concerns over risin

02/09/2026 16:38 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Bond yield #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. factory orders rose 0.9% in July, beating expectations for a 0.6% increase and rebounding from June’s decline.
Orders excluding transportation climbed 0.6%, while orders excluding defense jumped 1.0%. Durable goods orders were confirmed at +1.1%, and nondurable goods orders increased 0.7%. However, computers a

02/09/2026 14:02 UTC #Factory Orders #Manufacturing #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon: US Faces Dilemma of Accelerating Growth or Cutting Spending, AI Expected to Boost Future Growth
Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO David Solomon stated on Monday at the G20 Finance Ministers' Meeting that the U.S. economy is currently performing well with strong consumer resilience. However, given c

01/09/2026 15:38 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Goldman Sachs #U.S. Treasuries #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
US construction spending unexpectedly fell 0.5% in July to $2.158 trillion, hitting a nearly three-year low
The Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported on Tuesday that the July decline, the lowest level since October 2023, was primarily due to higher mortgage rates weighing on single-family homebuildin

01/09/2026 15:29 UTC #Real Estate #The U.S. Economy #Economic Data #Macro #U.S. stocks
US August ISM Manufacturing Index falls to 54.6, below estimate of 55.2
US August ISM Manufacturing Index falls to 54.6, below estimate of 55.2

01/09/2026 14:02 UTC #ISM Manufacturing Index #Manufacturing #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says US economy is performing well
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says US economy is performing well

31/08/2026 15:06 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Goldman Sachs #Macro
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that U.S. consumers remain quite resilient.
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon stated that U.S. consumers remain quite resilient.

31/08/2026 15:05 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Goldman Sachs #Macro
L&G Strategist Ben Bennett Calls Fed Chair Warsh's Latest Speech "Pragmatic," Says Inflation Control Will Benefit US Economic Growth
L&G Asia Head of Investment Strategy Ben Bennett describes Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's latest Jackson Hole speech as "pragmatic," noting that controlling inflation will benefit US economic expansion. He s

31/08/2026 05:25 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate hike #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
Economists' consensus on the shape of the U.S. economy is crumbling, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declaring the "K-shaped economy is over."
CNBC reported that economists widely believed the U.S. economy was experiencing a "K-shaped" recovery post-pandemic, meaning uneven expansion across different groups, but this consensus has now dissol

29/08/2026 12:32 UTC #U.S. Department of the Treasury #The U.S. Economy #JPMorgan Chase #Geopolitics #Macro
U.S. Department of Labor: The number of jobs was revised down by 79,000 for the 12-month period ending March this year, indicating a slight weakening in the labor market.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) stated that revised data showed the number of U.S. jobs decreased by 79,000 in the 12 months ending in March this year compared to previously reported figures

28/08/2026 14:32 UTC #Labor Market #The U.S. Economy #U.S. Department of Labor #Macro #U.S. stocks
Truckers are finally making real money again, with AI-driven data-center construction a key factor
Business is booming for U.S. freight companies, thanks to strong demand from manufacturing customers, a rush of data-center construction and capacity constraints. Higher freight rates are expected to

28/08/2026 10:34 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Data Center #Artificial Intelligence #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. freight and logistics sector sees wave of bankruptcies from late July through August
At least 21 transportation and logistics-related companies, ranging from single-truck carriers to national distributors, sought Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 protection. Among the largest was BF

27/08/2026 15:36 UTC #Freight Logistics #Corporate Bankruptcy #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US goods-trade deficit widened 17.2% to $118.8B in July, far exceeding forecasts and largest since March 2025
The US goods-trade deficit expanded to $118.8 billion in July, significantly higher than the $100.5 billion forecast and the largest deficit recorded since March 2025. Imports surged 3.7%, driven by t

27/08/2026 12:50 UTC #Trade Deficit #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Initial Jobless Claims Fall to 203K in Aug 22 Week, Below Estimates
US initial jobless claims decreased by 4,000 to 203,000 in the week ended August 22, falling below the survey estimate of 208,000. Additionally, continuing claims for the week ended August 15 fell by

27/08/2026 12:42 UTC #Initial Unemployment Claims #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. consumer spending posts smallest increase in 14 months
Americans spent less on gas, new cars, and recreational vehicles.

26/08/2026 13:04 UTC #Consumption #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Q2 GDP Second Estimate Shows 1.5% Annualized Growth
According to the second estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the second quarter of 202

26/08/2026 12:35 UTC #U.S. GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US preliminary Q2 GDP rises 1.5%, in line with consensus
US preliminary Q2 GDP rises 1.5%, in line with consensus

26/08/2026 12:32 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
Moody's economist Mark Zandi warns: Conditions for a US economic crisis are forming, with debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 100%.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, stated in a recent podcast that the United States is facing an economic "reckoning day," with all necessary conditions forming. He pointed out that th

26/08/2026 12:02 UTC #Moody's #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #U.S. Treasuries #Macro
NVIDIA's earnings report will be released this afternoon, with the market focusing on its guidance for the direction of AI and tech stocks.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang is expected to speak at the earnings call, with his remarks anticipated to signal the future direction of artificial intelligence and impact the tech stock market and the US ec

26/08/2026 08:18 UTC #The U.S. Economy #NVIDIA #Tech stocks #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
Conference Board CEO: US Consumer Confidence Shows Divergence, Present Situation Index Up 6.8 Points But Consumers Worried About Future
The Conference Board CEO Steve Odland discussed recent consumer confidence data, noting a significant divergence between current sentiment and future expectations. The present situation index increase

25/08/2026 21:21 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Abby Joseph Cohen Warns Uneven Consumer Spending Signals US Economic Issues, AI Investing May Not Be Sustainable
Abby Joseph Cohen, a Columbia Business School professor and former partner at Goldman Sachs, stated that recent consumer spending patterns indicate problems with the U.S. economy. Speaking on "Bloombe

25/08/2026 20:05 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Goldman Sachs #Artificial Intelligence #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
U.S. consumer confidence fell to a seven-month low of 89.4 points in August, the lowest since January this year, due to increasing pessimism about employment and economic prospects.
U.S. consumer confidence fell by 0.8 points to 89.4 in August, following a downward revision in the previous month, data from the Conference Board showed on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the University of Michi

25/08/2026 18:48 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Employment #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says "K-shaped economy is over," low-income wage growth surpasses high-income for the first time
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated earlier this month that the "K-shaped economy is over" and it's now more like a "C-shaped economy," with low-income workers catching up. Data from the Bank

25/08/2026 18:44 UTC #Income Gap #The U.S. Economy #Debt #Macro
RXO Reports: U.S. Truckload Spot Rate Index Continues to Soar in Q3, Up 43% Year-Over-Year
Freight brokerage RXO said on Tuesday that its truckload spot rate index recorded its largest quarter-over-quarter increase in five years in the second quarter and continued to rise in the third quart

25/08/2026 17:54 UTC #Freight #RXO #The U.S. Economy #Commodities #Inflation #U.S. stocks
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int

30/10/2026 16:43 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate hike #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve #Foreign Exchange
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala

30/10/2026 15:57 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Employment #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
Fed insider Nick Timiraos: US private sector compensation growth slowed to 3.1% in Q3, the lowest since Q1 2021.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos cited Employment Cost Index data, stating that U.S. wage growth has slowed slightly over the past year. Private sector compensation (excluding incentive-based occ

30/10/2026 12:54 UTC #Remuneration #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis points to 4.586%.
Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis point

30/10/2026 12:39 UTC #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #U.S. Treasuries #Macro
Donald Trump reposted a tweet from Mark Levin, reiterating his optimistic assessment of the U.S. economy, citing falling gasoline and food prices, economic growth, and rising consumer confidence.
Donald Trump reposted a tweet from conservative radio host Mark Levin, reiterating his optimistic assessment of the U.S. economy. The tweet highlighted falling gasoline prices, flat or decreasing food

30/10/2026 10:51 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
Donald Trump stated that the U.S. economy grew by 3.4%, a new historical high, with equipment investment surging 21% and core inflation remaining low.
Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, stating that the U.S. economy is "booming" at a rate of 3.4%, with "significant increases" in consumer spending and business investment, and a "21% explosion" in n

29/10/2026 19:12 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Q3 GDP Grows 3.4%, Strongest in a Year; Private Investment Hits Nearly 15-Year High
The White House announced that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, marking its strongest pace in a year. Private investment in plants and equipment surged

29/10/2026 16:46 UTC #Consumption #GDP #Investment #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding expectations, while the core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above expectations.
U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, above market expectations of 3.2% and the previous quarter's 2.2%. Meanwhile, the Q3 core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above the ex

29/10/2026 12:57 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #digital currency
US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, beating forecasts, with AI spending fueling growth.
US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, beating forecasts, with AI spending fueling growth.

29/10/2026 12:41 UTC #The U.S. Economy #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis: U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, higher than Q2's 2.2%.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026 (July, August, and September), according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic A

29/10/2026 12:38 UTC #BEA #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Q3 GDP initial estimate rose 3.4%, exceeding expectations; the market anticipates September PCE inflation year-on-year to accelerate to 3.7%.
U.S. Q3 GDP grew at an annualized 3.4% in its initial estimate, exceeding market expectations. Meanwhile, according to Dow Jones consensus, the market anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month increase in t

29/10/2026 12:36 UTC #GDP #PCE #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth exceeded expectations at 3.4%, while inflation accelerated, with Q3 core PCE rising to 2.5%.
U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding market expectations of 3.2% and accelerating from Q2's 2.2%. Meanwhile, inflation data also showed signs of acceleration, with the Q3 core PCE price i

29/10/2026 12:35 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations
US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations

29/10/2026 12:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Foreign Exchange
EPA projects Trump's methane policy rollback would minimally impact 2027 crude prices, lowering them by 11 cents a barrel
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) projects that U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed rollback of methane emissions rules would lower U.S. crude prices by 11 cents a barrel in 2027, or 0.14%.

29/10/2026 04:05 UTC #U.S. Environmental Protection Agency #The U.S. Economy #Policy #Commodities #Crude oil #Macro
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent anticipates strong Q3 GDP data.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent anticipates strong Q3 GDP data.

28/10/2026 20:14 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US September Goods Trade Deficit Widens to $134.9 Billion, Largest Since March 2025, Driven by AI Data Center-Related Capital Goods Imports
The US goods trade deficit widened 2.1% to $134.9 billion in September, marking its largest level since March 2025. This exceeded economists' expectations of $130.2 billion. Imports rose 2.4%, primari

28/10/2026 12:45 UTC #Trade Deficit #The U.S. Economy #Semiconductor #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
Early Q3 earnings reports indicate U.S. consumers remain 'resilient' despite high inflation, though some companies show signs of strain. Companies like Royal Caribbean, Coca-Cola, and UPS reported ste

27/10/2026 18:18 UTC #Consumption #The U.S. Economy #Financial Report #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
US October Consumer Confidence Index rises to 91.7, exceeding consensus of 81.0; September revised to 84.2 from 81.9, according to Conference Board
US October Consumer Confidence Index rises to 91.7, exceeding consensus of 81.0; September revised to 84.2 from 81.9, according to Conference Board

27/10/2026 14:01 UTC #Conference Board #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US durable goods orders rose 1.8% in September, slightly above the 1.7% forecast, following a revised 0.1% increase in August
US durable goods orders rose 1.8% in September, slightly above the 1.7% forecast, following a revised 0.1% increase in August. However, orders excluding transportation rose 0.5% against a 0.6% expecta

27/10/2026 12:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
ADP data shows that the U.S. private sector added an average of 16,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 10.
ADP data shows that the U.S. private sector added an average of 16,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 10.

27/10/2026 12:21 UTC #ADP #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.07 in September, up from -0.08
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.07 in September, up from -0.08, indicating that U.S. economic growth was slightly above its historical trend. The report showed that productio

26/10/2026 12:32 UTC #Chicago Fed #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. consumer confidence fell to 48.0 ahead of the midterm elections, nearing a historic low.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 48.0 in its latest reading released on Friday, the second-lowest on record, only above the all-time low of 44.8 set in May of this year. Eco

23/10/2026 17:43 UTC #Consumer Confidence #Midterm Elections #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US Consumer Sentiment Slips to Five-Month Low on Inflation Woes
US consumer sentiment edged down to a five-month low in October as high prices and rising interest rates depressed morale.

23/10/2026 14:08 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Inflation #Macro
U.S. October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final Reading Rose to 48.0, Exceeding Expectations but Inflation Expectations Increased
The final reading of the US October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was 48.0, exceeding the expected 46.3 but still below September's 48.1. Within this, the Current Economic Conditions

23/10/2026 14:03 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
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