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Federal Reserve
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Fed FOMC Economic Projections: Median GDP growth projections for the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 2.4%, 2.3%, and 2.1%, respectively.
Svmuu News The Federal Reserve FOMC economic projections: The median GDP growth projections for the end of 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 2.4%, 2.3%, and 2.1%, respectively. (December projections were 2.3%,
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U.S. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Upper Limit) as of March 18th: 3.75%, Expected 3.75%, Previous 3.75%
Svmuu News According to Jinshi, the U.S. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Upper Limit) as of March 18th is 3.75%, with an expectation of 3.75% and a previous value of 3.75%.
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Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News The Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, holding steady for the second consecutive time, in line with market expectations. (Jin10)
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Before the Fed's Interest Rate Decision: The probability of keeping rates unchanged at this meeting is 98.9%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points at this meeting is 0%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.9%, and the probabili
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Analyst: If Powell Adopts Hawkish Tone and Dollar Rises Above 100, It Could Pressure Global Risk Trading
According to market analyst Jared Blikre, the March Global Fund Manager Survey released by Bank of America on Tuesday shows that large institutional investors' allocations to emerging market stocks ha
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Analysis: With U.S. PPI coming in stronger than expected and the FOMC meeting approaching, Bitcoins have fallen back to the $72,000 range.
Svmuu News: Bitcoins have fallen back to around $72,000 following the release of U.S. inflation data that exceeded expectations. The data showed that the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.7% mont
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Analysis: Iran Vows to Strike Oil Facilities in Three Middle Eastern Countries, Oil Prices Soar, Gold and Silver Under Pressure to Decline
Svmuu News Previously, Iran stated it would retaliate for attacks on its energy facilities, designating oil facilities in three Middle Eastern countries as legitimate targets. Oil prices rose in respo
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Analysis: Bitcoin Retreats to $72,3K Amid Dual Impact of Geopolitical Conflict and Inflation Data
Svmuu News According to , influenced by escalating tensions in the Middle East and higher-than-expected US inflation data, Bitcoin's price has rapidly retreated to $72,300, marking a roughly 2% declin
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Analysis: Strong PPI data has bolstered the dollar, while markets are concerned that tightening policies will persist for a longer period.
Svmuu News: Greg Michalowski, an analyst at the financial website Investinglive, noted that the U.S. PPI for February exceeded expectations, with the overall PPI rising 0.7% month-over-month, higher t
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US February PPI Data Exceeds Expectations, Fed May Keep Rates Unchanged Tonight
Svmuu News: The year-over-year increase in the US February Producer Price Index (PPI) exceeded expectations, and with the Middle East conflict driving up oil prices and ongoing import pass-through, it
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Traders further reduce bets on Fed rate cuts in 2026
Svmuu News Traders further reduce bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. The US Producer Price Index rose 3.4% year-on-year in February, higher than the market estimate of 3.0%.
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U.S. Democratic Senator Warren: Trump is obstructing the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates
Svmuu News U.S. Democratic Senator Warren stated that Trump is obstructing the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates. (Jin10)
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Trump: When Will Fed Chair Powell Cut Interest Rates?
Svmuu News: Trump said: When will Fed Chair Powell cut interest rates? Previous news indicated that the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for this month will be announced at 2 a.m. this Thursda
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Analysis: Interplay of Fed Policy Expectations and Oil Price Factors, Bitcoin May Maintain Volatile Pattern
According to market expectations, the Federal Reserve is likely to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged within the 3.5%-3.75% range. Market focus has shifted to growth and inflation prospects, a
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analysis: Dot plot expected to show one rate cut this year, awaiting Powell's guidance; 2. Massive bet on the eve of the rate decision: An address spent nearly one million dollars betting on "no ra
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Institutions: The Threshold for Further Fed Rate Cuts Is High
Svmuu News BeiChen Lin, Senior Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, stated that the fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain solid, which implies that the threshold for the Federal Reserve to
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Source: The upcoming meeting of the Federal Reserve is expected to highlight risks related to inflation and employment.
Svmuu News: Daniel Lavigne, Head of Fixed Income at Mediolanum International Fund Management, stated that even before the situation in the Gulf deteriorated, the market had already anticipated that th
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Analyst: Fed Meeting Expected to Be Overshadowed by Middle East Crisis
Svmuu News According to John Tyner, Head of Fixed Income at Aptus Capital Advisors, the Fed meeting will undoubtedly be somewhat overshadowed by the conflict in the Middle East and rising oil prices,
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An account bet over $950,000 on Polymarket The Fed left interest rates unchanged in March, or it was a sweeper operation
Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that account Ryan888 bet on Polymarket 1 hour ago on the Fed to leave interest rates unchanged in March, betting $954,600, all bets 99.5¢, buying share 959,496.6
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Massive Bets on the Eve of the Rate Decision: An Address Spends Nearly a Million Dollars Betting on "No Rate Change in March"
Seer Channel monitoring shows that an address invested $954,699, betting that the Fed's March FOMC interest rate decision will remain unchanged. The average opening price was around 99.5¢, and the cur
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CryptoQuant: Bitcoin's Rally May Face Resistance in the $75,000 to $85,000 Range
Svmuu News On-chain data analytics firm CryptoQuant stated that ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, sentiment among derivatives market traders has clearly shifted towards b
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Analyst: Fed Interest Rate Decision Looms, Bitcoin May Face Volatility Within $68,000-$80,000 Range
Svmuu News: Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, posted on the X platform that this Thursday at 2 AM, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for this month will be announced. Currently, the
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Analysis: Fed Rate Cut Timing Remains a "Black Box," Energy Shocks May Consume Easing Room
Svmuu News Recently, inflation and employment data have shown moderation, reducing the Fed's urgency to cut rates. Analysis suggests the timing of a Fed rate cut remains a "black box." Simultaneously,
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BofA Survey: Rate Cut Expectations Have Significantly Cooled, Geopolitical Conflict Replaces AI Bubble as the "Biggest Tail Risk"
The Iran conflict is reshaping the global investment landscape and forcing markets to drastically reassess the global economic outlook. The March global fund manager survey released by Bank of America
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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