Federal Reserve
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Goldman Sachs Raises Probability of US Recession to 30%
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs stated that due to the surge in oil and natural gas prices, the probability of the US economy falling into a recession within the next 12 months has risen to 30%, an increase
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed
Svmuu News Federal Reserve's Goolsbee: There may be situations where interest rate hikes are needed. (Jin10)
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Morgan Stanley currently holds a neutral stance on US Treasuries
Svmuu News Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that they currently recommend maintaining a neutral strategy towards US Treasuries until the impact of the Middle East conflict on the economy
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Spot Gold Nearly Erases All Gains for the Year
Svmuu News On Monday, spot gold once fell to $4,320.30 per ounce—just over a dollar higher than its price at the end of last year, nearly erasing all gains for the year. Meanwhile, the war in the Midd
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10x Research: Bitcoin Falls Below $69,000, Derivatives Market Turns Defensive, Downside Risks Intensify
Svmuu reported that 10x Research posted an analysis on platform X, pointing out that Bitcoin has fallen below the critical price level of $69,000, indicating a significant shift in market structure wi
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 87.6%, while the probability of a rate hike is 12.4%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.6%. The pr
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Analysis: Trump's "48-Hour Ultimatum" to Iran Triggers Risk-Off Sentiment, Leading to Broad Decline in Major Crypto Assets
Svmuu News According to , influenced by Trump issuing a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran and threatening to strike power facilities, Bitcoin experienced a rapid decline over the weekend, falling below the $6
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Institution: The Core of Current Gold Price Movement Lies in the Re-constraint of Energy Price Increases on Interest Rate Expectations
Svmuu News According to Xinda Futures, from the current drivers, the core of gold price movement lies in the re-constraint of energy price increases on interest rate expectations. As the Middle East c
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HSBC: Maintains Expectation for Fed to Hold Rates Steady This Year and Next
Svmuu News HSBC stated that the Federal Reserve once again kept its policy rate unchanged at the March meeting, remaining at 3.50%-3.75%, and hinted at adopting a "wait-and-see" approach. Persistent i
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Bitcoin mining difficulty dropped to 133.79 T, a decrease of 7.76%; 2. Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $41.9715 million yesterday, marking three consecutive days of net outflows; 3. A
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Analysis: "Fed Rate Hike" Nightmare May Come True, Bank of America Says Three Conditions Must Be Met First
Svmuu News Wall Street is concerned that escalating conflicts in the Middle East could lead to a surge in international oil prices, potentially reigniting U.S. inflation and prompting the Federal Rese
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The market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December
Svmuu News According to short-term interest rate futures prices, the market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December. (Jin10)
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Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October
Svmuu News According to market news: Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October. (Jin10)
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Iran War Intensifies Fed Divisions: Waller Turns Cautious, Bowman Sticks to Three Rate Cuts This Year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller revealed that he would have voted against holding rates steady again this week, but paused due to the Iran war; Vice Chair for Supervision Michel
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: "Emergency Withdrawal" of Rate Cut Vote Due to Oil Price Surge
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that, given the unexpected unemployment situation in February, he had originally planned to vote in favor of a rate cut at this week's central bank me
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Fed Governor Waller: If Reserve Demand Declines, Tapering Could Be Discussed
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that if reserve demand declines, tapering could be discussed. The Fed has no reason to create a reserve shortage, and an adverse shock could lead businesses to st
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Fed Governor Waller: Will Advocate for Rate Cuts if Conditions Develop Favorably
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that the market has not yet shown signs of expectations becoming unanchored. If conditions develop relatively smoothly and the labor market weakens, he will begin
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Fed Governor Waller: Wants to Observe First Before Deciding Whether to Cut Rates Later This Year
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that he wants to observe developments first before deciding whether to cut rates later this year. (Jin10)
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Fed Governor Waller: If oil prices remain high for several months, it will eventually pass through to core inflation
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that if oil prices remain high for several months, it will eventually pass through to core inflation. A high and sustained oil shock does not have a temporary imp
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Fed Governor Waller: Closure of the Strait of Hormuz May Intensify Inflationary Pressures
According to Fed Governor Waller, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz may intensify inflationary pressures. It is now also anticipated that labor force growth will approach zero, which alters the brea
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Fed Governor Bowman: Still Expects Three Rate Cuts in 2026
Svmuu News Fed Governor Bowman stated that he still expects three rate cuts in 2026. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Will Monitor Leverage Levels in the Artificial Intelligence Sector
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that they will monitor leverage levels in the artificial intelligence sector to ensure regulators are focused on the associated risks. (Jin10)
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Global Central Banks on High Alert to Counter Inflation Resurgence, Dollar Under Pressure Falls Over 1%
Svmuu News Non-US currencies strengthened across the board, with the US Dollar Index under pressure falling over 1% in late New York trading on Thursday. This week saw policy meetings from central ban
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Democratic Senator Demands Kevin Warsh Respond to Epstein Files Issue
Svmuu News: US Democratic Senator Warren: (to Fed nominee Warsh) Your name appears to be in the Epstein files. US Democratic Senator Warren has demanded that Warsh respond to the Epstein files issue b
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Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session
Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session. Traders are preparing for the Federal Reserve's expected decision to keep inter
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Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise
Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise. Ahead of major tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Anthropic's initial public offering applicat
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US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
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A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees
A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees, as the existing rules violate congressional legislative intent. The court noted
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Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting
Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting, which concludes this week. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to k
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On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting, but some analysts warn that inaction could raise questions about its inflation-fighting credibility. Despite in
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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What is NBM Coin (NFTBlackmarket)? Status and Trading Channels Analysis
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Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) Q3 Earnings Report Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.31, market expectation $1.27 Revenue: $34.31 billion, market expectation $34.77 billion Reporting Period: FY2026 Q3 (ended September 30, 2026) Release Date: October 26, 2026
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AI Tokens Explained: Definition, Key Projects, and Market Outlook for Artificial Intelligence Cryptocurrencies
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
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U.S. WTI crude futures fell 2.19% to $101 per barrel, while Brent crude futures dropped 1.89% to $114.51 per barrel
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Israel will hold general elections on Tuesday, with war, security, the economy, and coalition formation being the main issues
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Which Platforms Allow Bitcoin Purchases Now? A Guide to Choosing Bitcoin Trading Apps
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What is EURe? An Analysis of the Euro Stablecoin EURe's Features, Uses, and Trading Channels
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Virtual Currency Exchange Review: Compliance and Risk Boundaries of Major Global Platforms
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Will Cryptocurrencies Disappear? A Comprehensive Analysis of Their Survival Prospects and Challenges
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