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Federal Reserve
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The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 100%. The probabil
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Fed Chair Nominee Warsh to Firmly Commit to Strict Independence on Interest Rate Issues
Svmuu News According to Politico: Fed Chair nominee Warsh will firmly commit to maintaining strict independence on interest rate issues.
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Binance's life market cap has reached a new all-time high, now reported at $530 million. 2. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $664 million yesterday, marking four consecutive days of net
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Polymarket Launches "When Will Powell Step Down as Fed Chair" Market, June 6-12 Probability Currently at 20%
Monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that Polymarket has launched a new market titled "When will Powell step down as Fed Chair". Currently, the probability for June 6-12 is the highest at 20%; t
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Yi Lihua: Remains bullish on this rebound phase, sees no reason to take profits for now; 2. Iranian Parliament Speaker: All 7 of Trump's social media statements are "untrue"; 3. DeepSeek Seeks Firs
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Fed's Daly: May Keep Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News Fed's Daly stated that interest rates may be kept unchanged; if inflation accelerates, rate hikes will be necessary; if conflicts end quickly, rate cuts may be possible. Maintaining the cur
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Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts Heat Up, Probability of June Cut Rises to 7.1%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5% (unchanged from t
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The market expects the probability of a Fed rate cut by December to be around 60%
Svmuu News According to federal funds futures prices, the market now expects the probability of a Fed rate cut by December to be around 60%. (Jin10)
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Markets expect increased likelihood of Fed rate cuts in 2026
Svmuu News U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose, with markets expecting an increased likelihood of Fed rate cuts in 2026. (Jin10)
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Fed Rate Cut Pricing Reappears: 15 Basis Points Cut Expected by December
Svmuu News: The interest rate swap market indicates a dovish shift, now pricing in a 15 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve by December. (Jin10)
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Analysis: Bitcoin Approaches $76,000 but Market Sentiment Remains in "Extreme Fear"
Svmuu News Despite Bitcoin briefly rising to $76,300 this week, market sentiment remains subdued. The Fear & Greed Index is still at 21, in the "Extreme Fear" zone, indicating a significant divergence
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U.S. Senator: Warsh is the First Unethical Federal Reserve Chair Nominee During Trump's Current Term
Svmuu News After Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh submitted documents to the Senate disclosing his assets, U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren pointed out that he did not fully reveal his wealth st
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Arthur Hayes: Expects a surge in Hyperliquid trading volume, bullish on HYPE rising above $150; 2. Polymarket launches new market "When will Israel and Hezbollah reach a permanent peace agreement";
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UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year
Svmuu News UBS A research report notes that Federal Reserve remains on track for further easing. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently downplayed the need to tighten monetary policy due to risi
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Fed's Williams: Due to energy prices, inflation is expected to reach 2.75%-3% this year
Svmuu News Fed's Williams: Due to energy prices, inflation is expected to reach 2.75%-3% this year. Fed's Williams: GDP growth is expected to be 2%-2.5% in 2026. (Jin10)
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Possibly influenced by the difficulty of Warsh's Senate confirmation, Polymarket shows only a 2% probability of Powell stepping down as Fed Chair after his term expires
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that although Powell's term as Chair ends on May 15th, the probability on Polymarket of Powell stepping down as Fed Chair after his term expires (May 14th) is only
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Svmuu Noon News
1. Fed Chair nominee Warsh may struggle to secure congressional approval before May 15; 2. Machi Big Brother adds to BTC and HYPE long positions, with total portfolio value now exceeding $56.5 million
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Fed Chair Nominee Warsh May Struggle to Secure Congressional Approval by May 15
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Powell are set to face off over a key question: whether the incumbent Powell has the right to remain in his position if Trump fails to secure
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Bessent: Believes Warsh Can Assume Fed Chair as Scheduled
Svmuu News U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent expressed optimism on Wednesday local time regarding the timely confirmation of Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair. "He will face a h
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Fed Beige Book: War Heightens Uncertainty, U.S. Businesses Adopt Wait-and-See Approach
Svmuu News The Federal Reserve indicated that economic activity continued to expand at a modest to slight pace across most of the United States, as the war with Iran introduced new uncertainties and d
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Fed's Moussalem: Need to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged for a Period of Time
Svmuu News: On Wednesday, Federal Reserve official Moussalem stated that high oil prices may keep the core inflation rate for the remainder of this year nearly one percentage point above the Fed's 2%
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The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%
Svmuu News According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 98.4%. The pro
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate Setters Face "Double Danger" from Iran War and Tariffs
Svmuu News Fed's Goolsbee stated that rate setters face a "double danger" from the Iran war and tariffs. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell responds to Donald Trump: Has no intention of resigning before the investigation is concluded
Svmuu News: U.S. President Donald Trump has stated that if Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remains in office after his term expires, he will dismiss him. According to the schedule, Jerome Powel
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Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session
Gold prices stabilized above $4,000 per ounce, currently trading near $4,010, after rising 0.5% in the previous session. Traders are preparing for the Federal Reserve's expected decision to keep inter
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Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise
Anthropic's IPO Filing Boosts Market Sentiment, Asian Stocks Poised to Rise. Ahead of major tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Anthropic's initial public offering applicat
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US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
US stocks rose, as Anthropic's IPO application eased market concerns about an AI bubble. Later this week, the market will also see tech earnings reports and a Federal Reserve policy statement.
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A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees
A federal appeals court ruled that the Federal Reserve must rewrite its rules on debit card transaction processing fees, as the existing rules violate congressional legislative intent. The court noted
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Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting
Bitcoin prices fluctuated around $80,000 on Monday, with traders closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting, which concludes this week. The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to k
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On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
On Monday, October 26, the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) facility saw usage of $200 million (1 counterparty), unchanged from the previous trading day.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at this week's meeting, but some analysts warn that inaction could raise questions about its inflation-fighting credibility. Despite in
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US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024
Research released by the University of Michigan on October 23 shows that US consumers' long-term inflation expectations remain above comparable levels in 2019 and 2024, reaching 3.5% (up from 3.4% in
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The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates this Wednesday, according to Nick Timiraos. However, given the hot CPI and PPI data for September, the debate over whether to hike rates is m
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US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38 a.m. in New York, while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.5%. Brent crude fell 1.3% to $115 a barrel.
US stock futures rose slightly on Monday as investors await key Big Tech earnings this week and the Federal Reserve’s next decision on Wednesday. Contracts on the S&P 500 Index gained 0.3% as of 8:38
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The BLS collected 66.3% of targeted price observations in its September commodities-and-services survey
Bitcoin faces another Federal Reserve interest-rate decision on October 27-28, as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continues to struggle with restoring its inflation data collection operations.
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Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals
Ed Yardeni anticipates further market volatility but remains bullish on U.S. equities, citing strong earnings and economic fundamentals. He views any upcoming market sell-offs as buying opportunities.
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Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7
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Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is ho
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh
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South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar.
South Korea's KOSPI index closed down 1.46% on Monday at 5,469.47 points, as investors remained cautious ahead of chipmakers' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. The Kor
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Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high
Wu Blockchain noted that despite soaring cloud revenue (Azure up 43%, Google Cloud up 82%, AWS up 37%), AI infrastructure costs are high. With the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the B
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Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300
Bitcoin fell nearly 2% to around $79,800 in early Monday Asian trading, Ethereum dropped almost 3% to above $2,300, and XRP declined about 3% to $1.28, as traders avoided risk ahead of the Federal Res
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Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses
Copper prices extended last week's decline, falling as much as 0.6% in London on Monday, after two consecutive weeks of losses. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence (AI) stocks remained under pressure,
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Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision for new directional guidance.
Asian stock markets generally fell on Monday, with market risk aversion increasing. Meanwhile, oil prices hovered near multi-month highs, as market participants closely watched the Federal Reserve's u
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stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike
Goldman Sachs' economic research team, in their preview report for the October FOMC meeting, stated that they expect the Federal Reserve to skip the October meeting after its September rate hike, but
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As of 9:15 AM, the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was down 24.45 points, or 0.46%, at 5,524.85 points
South Korea's KOSPI index opened lower on Monday as investors awaited third-quarter earnings reports from major chipmakers and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision later this week. As of 9:1
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Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Gold stabilized after its biggest weekly drop since June, as traders weighed elevated energy prices and focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.
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CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
CNBC highlights key market drivers this week: peak earnings season, a Fed meeting, and fresh inflation data.
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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The bank raised its 2027 humanoid robot sales forecast for Unitree Robotics to 31,701 units
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Meta's earnings triggered a significant widening of AI credit spreads, with its Credit Default Swaps (CDS) reaching an all-time high
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shows that the computational power consumption for training humanoid robot full-body motion controllers can be compressed by over 1000 times
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What is NBM Coin (NFTBlackmarket)? Status and Trading Channels Analysis
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Toncoin Institutional Investor Analysis: Funding, Custody, and Market Impact of the Telegram Ecosystem
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Cryptocurrency Basics: Definition, Development, and Secure Investment Strategies
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founder of Citrini Research, stated that he has significantly reduced his semiconductor holdings and holds some short positions
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Ethereum Monetary Theory: From EIP-1559 to the "Ultra Sound Money" Vision
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Israel will hold general elections on Tuesday, with war, security, the economy, and coalition formation being the main issues
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Hong Kong aims to increase its total gold storage capacity by more than tenfold to 2,000 tons by 2030
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